1. Introduction
The Chicxulub asteroid impact in Yucatán 66 million years ago released intense heat, vast quantities of dust, and climate-altering gases, initiating abrupt atmospheric changes. The collision into carbonate-rich terrain injected exceptionally high levels of CO
2 and particulates into the atmosphere, making this impact more biologically important than other large impacts [
1]. Simulations suggest a collapse of photosynthetic activity lasting nearly two years, followed by prolonged warming driven by carbon dioxide from vaporized rocks [
2]. These changes triggered a dramatic decline in water quality and chemistry in both marine and freshwater systems, severely affecting aquatic life. On land, dust, fires and altered soil chemistry caused widespread vegetation loss. This vegetation collapse undermined food webs, causing the extinction of many herbivores and predators, and the effects of this global event are evident in fossil records from as far as Patagonia and New Zealand [
3]. Despite its scale, the impact’s consequences for soil invertebrates, including onychophorans, remain largely unexplored.
However, this full-extinction interpretation, until recently widely accepted among researchers, has been challenged in later years, among others, because of the “Fern Spike” phenomenon. Recent evidence from Tanis, North Dakota, suggests that ferns began growing even during the deposition of the clay layer marking the K–Pg boundary—thought to have formed within minutes or hours of the Chicxulub impact—indicating a faster recovery of certain plant species than previously assumed [
4].
Fossil data also indicate that arboreal mammals and marine substrate invertebrates were not so strongly affected by the asteroid’s impact [
5,
6]. However, several groups of Foraminifera were affected, like orbitolinoids. Recent paleoclimatological evidence, including CO
2 variations, also suggests that the asteroid’s effects may have been less severe than traditionally portrayed [
7]. Recovery rates varied geographically: regions closer to the impact suffered significant biodiversity loss, taking 1.6 to 10 million years to recover, but coastal areas recovered faster, and more distant regions fared better, with Patagonia recovering in 4 million years and New Zealand experiencing only moderate changes [
3].
Although onychophorans are ancient in origin and globally distributed, their fossil record is extremely sparse due to their soft-bodied nature, which limits preservation. Most fossil taxa that superficially resemble onychophorans and are commonly referred to as “lobopodians” cannot be reliably assigned to the phylum [
8] and are therefore excluded from the present study. As noted by Giribet and others [
8], no unequivocal onychophoran fossils from the Mesozoic or Cenozoic have been found in the Americas. This absence of direct fossil evidence—particularly across major extinction boundaries such as the K–Pg—needs alternative approaches to assess survival and biogeographic continuity. In this context, phylogeographic patterns and molecular data remain primary tools for reconstructing the evolutionary history of the group and its relationship with the asteroid impact extinctions.
Historically, the presence of onychophorans in the Caribbean islands and regions around the Caribbean has been interpreted through the lens of Darlington’s [
9] classic model, which posits that the Greater Antilles and Central American landmasses were colonized by over-water dispersal. This model, however, predates the modern understanding of the Chicxulub impact, raising the critical question of whether circum-Caribbean fauna survived this event in situ or recolonized an empty landscape afterward. While a post-impact recolonization is a plausible scenario, our phylogenetic data, combined with the documented survival of onychophorans in areas devastated by recent volcanic eruptions, opens the way for an alternative hypothesis: that some lineages persisted through the K–Pg event. This concept of survival in refugia is consistent with findings for other terrestrial and marine organisms [
5,
6] and with the demonstrated role of refugia in other Caribbean ecosystems, e.g., mangroves [
10]. Therefore, we present our results to frame clear, competing hypotheses for future research.
This study investigates whether the Chicxulub impact caused the extinction of onychophoran lineages in the regions associated with the Caribbean Sea, the area closest to the crater. We test this hypothesis by comparing the timing of diversification in extant taxa—based on published DNA phylogenies—with the timing of the impact. If the impact eliminated local populations, clades from the area would show the effects in their diversification trends. Instead, our results indicate continuity across the K–Pg boundary, suggesting that onychophorans survived the event and that their current distribution reflects long-term persistence rather than post-event recolonization.
2. Materials and Methods
Due to the extreme rarity of onychophoran fossils—and their full absence in extinction boundaries such as the K–Pg—this study relies on DNA phylogenies and biogeographic reconstructions using fossil evidence from other co-distributed taxa to infer habitat conditions and extinction risk. This approach currently represents a reasonable strategy for soft-bodied taxa lacking fossil records.
2.1. Literature Search and Selection Criteria
We conducted a comprehensive search of published phylogenies, biogeographic syntheses, and geological reports relevant to onychophoran distribution and diversification in the Americas. Databases included Web of Science, Scopus, and Google Scholar, with key terms “Onychophora,” “phylogeny,” “K–Pg extinction,” and “Chicxulub.” Studies were selected if they (1) presented DNA-based phylogenies with clear clade divergence estimates; (2) included Caribbean, Central American, or South American taxa; or (3) provided geological or ecological context relevant to onychophoran habitats.
2.2. Phylogenetic and Biogeographic Framework
The phylogenetic topology was based on published molecular trees using mitochondrial and nuclear loci (e.g., COI, 18S, 28S), primarily following the chronogram proposed by Giribet et al. [
8], which was generated using BEAST for Bayesian inference. This topology was also cross-validated with the phylogenomic trees presented by Baker et al. [
11], constructed using software for maximum likelihood (IQ-TREE) and Bayesian (PhyloBayes) methods, as well as the ultraconserved element-based trees from Sato et al. [
12], also built with IQ-TREE. Divergence times were interpreted according to the calibrations and molecular clock models used by Baker et al. [
11]. The tree was manually simplified to facilitate comparison with geological reconstructions of the Caribbean region. No new molecular data were generated in this study.
2.3. Mapping and Impact Zone Inference
To reconstruct the paleogeography corresponding to the time of the asteroid impact (66 Ma), we used the open-source software GPlates version 2.5 (GPlates Consortium,
www.gplates.org), which allows for the visualization and reconstruction of past plate tectonic configurations. We employed datasets from the PALEOMAP Project by Scotese, [
13,
14], specifically the rotation model PALEOMAP_PlateModel.rot and plate geometry file PALEOMAP_PlatePolygons.gpml, which are publicly available through the GPlates 2.5 data portal (
https://www.earthbyte.org/download-gplates-2-5/, accessed on 15 June 2025). The reconstruction at 66 Ma was performed in GPlates 2.5 and exported as ESRI shapefiles. These shapefiles were subsequently imported into R (R Core Team, 2024) using the package sf [
15], which enabled spatial visualization and analysis. This process allowed us to overlay geographic features of interest, such as the Chicxulub crater location, and examine the distribution of emergent landmasses and potential impact-affected areas during the Cretaceous–Paleogene transition.
The spatial extent of the Chicxulub impact zone was obtained from geophysical studies, crater modeling, and ejecta distribution maps from the literature, as detailed in figure captions. Spatial congruence was assessed qualitatively, considering both modern elevation and paleo-environmental conditions, also detailed in figure captions. All the images presented here are from sources with CC BY licenses or remade based on published maps and used according to the norms of those licenses (each figure caption includes the pertinent license information).
2.4. Limitations
No fossil data were available for the taxa and time period under consideration. However, phylogenetic continuity and biogeographic congruence provide indirect evidence of lineage survival. All analytical conclusions are drawn with this limitation in mind.
3. Results
At the time of the impact, many lowland areas were underwater, and there was no land connection between South and North America, conditions that were affected by asteroid impact and later geologic evolution (
Figure 1A–D). There are no fossil onychophorans from this period and area, but they are thought to have occurred all the way from Brazil to Mexico, including whatever was emergent in the Caribbean and Central American region [
11].
While there has been speculation about 1.5 km tall tsunamis, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration wave simulations indicate that some coastal and lowland ecosystems were affected by far smaller waves: 3 to 20 m waves in Mexico and Caribbean islands and even lower waves in Colombia [
18]. Most of Mexico and South America, and high parts of Jamaica, Puerto Rico and Cuba, were free of tsunami effects (
Figure 1C).
The first minutes after the impact may have also produced high temperatures that could ignite vegetation [
19]. Potentially affected were parts of the USA, all of Mexico, Central America and the Caribbean; the Andean region; and a wide belt along tropical South America (
Figure 1A), but some authors state that there is no evidence of global fires in the fossil record of that period [
3,
20].
Marine communities quickly recovered even at the very site of the impact: before the impact, the ocean floor was dominated by burrowing animals; immediately after the impact, the number and variety of their traces dropped for a short time; but, within a few years, the same species moved back in from less affected areas [
6].
In the first years after the fall of the asteroid, terrestrial ecosystems were marked by an abundance of fungi, which possibly were feeding on the abundant corpses left by the impact, and ferns also became abundant (their spores persist viable for years even if exposed to high temperatures; see Paul et al. [
21].
3.1. Onychophora Radiation Before the Asteroid Impact
This section is based on the DNA phylogeographic tree (
Figure 2), Scotese maps [
13,
14] and climatic and vegetation reconstructions by Carvalho et al. [
3] and Wang et al. [
7]. Paleobiogeographic reconstruction indicates that the last common ancestor of the extant onychophoran fauna in the Americas likely lived during the late Jurassic. At that time, the supercontinent Gondwana was still largely intact, and the regions in question—South and Central America—were characterized by a variety of warm, humid climate sites and drier and cooler habitats in higher areas.
Our updated phylogenetic tree (
Figure 2) indicates that from this ancestral late Jurassic lineage, two principal clades appear to have diverged, one on the Pacific side and the other on what today is the Atlantic side of the continent. The first lineage gave rise to the velvet worm species currently inhabiting the Pacific regions of Colombia and Ecuador. Our phylogeny (
Figure 2) reveals a notable subclade within this group that includes several
Oroperipatus species, a topology that suggests a dispersal by sea to the Galápagos Islands and the Pacific coast of Mexico. From the Mexican Pacific, the lineage appears to have expanded eastward, though the precise dispersal routes remain speculative. These regions would have featured high humidity and dense vegetation, favoring onychophoran survival.
Also, based on our phylogenetic reconstruction (
Figure 2), the second Jurassic lineage, distant from the coast, is inferred to be the ancestor of all extant Peripatidae distributed around the Caribbean Basin and the Atlantic coast of South America. This group underwent further diversification during the early Cretaceous and still inhabits the Atlantic coast of Brazil and the Caribbean coast of Central America and Mexico. The lineage underwent a further radiation during the Cretaceous.
Its radiation resulted in three geographic subgroups, also according to the tree presented in
Figure 2:
A genetically interconnected subgroup comprising species from Trinidad, Tobago, Hispaniola, Puerto Rico, and Belize. Colonization events in Caribbean islands likely occurred via overwater dispersal. Notably, the origin of the Belize population may have been the Caribbean islands rather than mainland Central America. These islands at the time were emergent volcanic arcs or proto-islands covered in humid forest, with less marine distance from Central America at the time, and perhaps even periodically connected among themselves via lowered sea levels (
Figure 1D).
A second subgroup includes species from Brazil and the Guianas. From this region, colonization possibly extended to Panama and Hispaniola, though these connections remain uncertain and require further phylogeographic verification. The Amazonian region during this period was an expansive lowland tropical forest, crisscrossed by large river systems and subject to wet equatorial climates fit for onychophorans (
Figure 1D).
The third genetically close subgroup consists of species from Panama, Costa Rica, and the Caribbean coast of Mexico. These taxa show phylogenetic affinities to species in Venezuela, Brazil, and the Guianas, although the precise directions and timings of these colonization events are still unresolved. Central America during the late Cretaceous was characterized by narrow land bridges and scattered volcanic islands with warm, moist conditions suitable for onychophoran dispersal and persistence (
Figure 1B) and later the land connections would increase (
Figure 1D) until the land connection became complete as known in the present.
These patterns underscore a complex history of both vicariance and overwater dispersal shaping the distribution of American velvet worms. Climatic and vegetational continuity across these regions likely played a key role in facilitating the persistence and radiation of onychophoran lineages. If the asteroid impact had caused the extinction of even some of these populations, the current populations would be the result of recolonization from surviving populations, and these new populations would have several genetic markers that are lacking in all studies, as will be analyzed in the discussion section of this paper.
3.2. Onychophorans on Islands
While onychophorans are physiologically vulnerable to saltwater immersion and desiccation, their dispersal and survival capabilities are more robust than they first appear. Dispersal can occur rapidly via natural rafts, a well-documented phenomenon for a wide range of terrestrial organisms colonizing new volcanic islands and traversing ocean gaps. For onychophorans specifically, this is not merely theoretical; they have been observed on natural rafts [
22]. Their survival during such journeys, or during catastrophic events like the Chicxulub impact, is likely facilitated by their ability to shelter in protected micro-refuges. Onychophorans can still travel in small groups and feed on other animals in the rafts, and they also can survive for weeks without food within the logs, soil, and root masses that form these rafts, which buffer them from the lethal high temperatures and salinity of the external environment. A single pregnant onychophoran female can establish an entire new population, as she carries a mixed-sex brood of young that can mature and interbreed. Their burrowing behavior explains their remarkable resilience in modern disasters, where they survive the most devastating forest fires and volcanic eruptions over their very microhabitats by remaining sealed underground in their burrows [
23]. This capacity for survival in protected micro-refuges is consistent with our phylogenetic data, which indicates the persistence of lineages through the K–Pg boundary rather than their replacement by later colonizers.
In this case, overwater dispersal remains the most parsimonious explanation for several Caribbean colonization events, especially in the absence of historical land bridges or anthropogenic transport and given the congruence with prevailing marine currents [
24,
25]. Currently, onychophorans are primarily found throughout the Lesser Antilles, extending to Puerto Rico and Jamaica, but are absent from Cuba. The direction of marine currents (
Figure 3) suggests that species from the Lesser Antilles and Puerto Rico could have arrived from Brazil, and Jamaican onychophorans from Venezuela. The species from Hispaniola could have arrived from Venezuela or Brazil because currents from both places reach Hispaniola. Currents would also explain any species from Costa Rica and Panama found to be closely related to species in the Magdalena River basin, Colombia [
25], and this seems compatible with the phylogeny presented in
Figure 2.
The ancestors of species from southern Mexico probably reached Mexico from Central America by land, but natural rafts along marine currents could theoretically have taken species from Ecuador to the Pacific coast of Mexico, matching the local current directions (
Figure 4). This would require the velvet worms to survive on the raft for at least two weeks: although it may seem improbable for these animals to survive oceanic rafting, there is evidence that they can from Galápagos onychophorans [
26] and they are known to recover after two weeks without food [
27].
Overall, the affinities of all species, as summarized here from several studies [
8,
11,
12] fit the model presented here and a pattern of phylogenetic divergence that closely parallels geographic separation [
23]. Furthermore, even though they were far from the impact site, species in Africa, Asia and Oceania do not lose branches or show any novel trend at the time of the impact (
Figure 2).
4. Discussion
By integrating data on paleogeography, tsunami dynamics, wildfire potential, and marine currents with phylogenetic analyses, this study tests the hypothesis that the Chicxulub asteroid impact caused the extinction of onychophorans in the regions surrounding the impact.
However, the current phylogenetic structure and geographic distribution of American onychophorans strongly suggest that all the extant lineages existed before the impact and that they persisted through the Cretaceous–Paleogene (K–Pg), surviving the global extinction event triggered by the Chicxulub asteroid impact. If the Chicxulub impact had resulted in the complete extinction of onychophoran populations across most of the continent—with survival limited to the Andean region, where climatic buffering and geographic isolation softened the ecological consequences of the asteroid [
28,
29]—the modern tree would likely exhibit:
A deep crown node representing a single surviving Andean lineage, followed by a relatively recent and shallow radiation into other regions during the Paleogene and Neogene, a general expectation for bottleneck and re-radiation. There would be low genetic divergence among extant species outside the Andes, indicating a post-extinction dispersal and recolonization [
30].
Loss of deep branching Caribbean and Central American lineages, and an absence of distinct clades in areas closest to the impact site, such as the Caribbean islands and Mesoamerica (not the case according to Baker et al. [
11]).
Instead, the phylogeny reveals multiple deeply divergent clades across a broad geographic range—including Central America, the Caribbean, northern South America, and Brazil—that trace their origins to the late Jurassic and Cretaceous, well before the K–Pg boundary. This is implied by our phylogeographic analysis and matches previous works on the phylogeny of the group [
8,
11]. Extant onychophoran clades do not cluster in a way that would suggest recent common ancestry from a single population (this is also supported by the strong tree produced by Baker et al. [
11]). Rather, their divergence patterns correspond closely to the geological and biogeographic history of their respective regions, implying in situ survival across a mosaic of habitats.
This distributed survival implies that onychophoran species survived the end-Cretaceous extinction event throughout their entire range, from Mexico to Brazil and across the Caribbean. Several factors may have contributed to their persistence, including their soil-dwelling habits, low metabolic requirements, and ecological specialization in microhabitats buffered from broader climatic and ecological disturbances thanks to their underground location [
23]. In forested regions, subterranean and moist leaf-litter microenvironments may have offered sufficient food and refuge to protect populations from the worst post-impact effects, such as atmospheric dust and loss of photosynthesis-driven food chains [
23]. Recent evidence suggests that volcanic activity may have caused repeated, short-term global cooling events
before the asteroid impact [
31]; if this is correct, neotropical organisms, from fungi and plants to onychophorans and vertebrates, could have developed adaptations that would later help them survive the effects of the asteroid, for example, dormancy, diapause, hibernation, antifreeze molecules, insulation and burrowing.
While the most parsimonious interpretation of the current phylogeny is broad geographic survival, alternative explanations must also be considered. One possibility is multiple independent recolonizations of now-distinct regions from unknown areas. However, this would require post-extinction dispersal patterns and timing that are inconsistent with both the depth of divergence observed and the biogeographic barriers that would have constrained long-distance movement (e.g., ocean gaps, mountain ranges) [
11]. Another less likely interpretation is cryptic extinction and replacement, where early lineages were replaced by newer arrivals with similar genetic signatures—yet such a pattern would likely produce phylogenetic anomalies or convergence artifacts, which are not observed in current molecular data [
11]. The phylogeographic structure of American onychophorans—particularly the presence of deep lineages across multiple regions affected by the Chicxulub impact—is consistent with models of complex biogeographic history involving both vicariance and dispersal, as known in other organisms from the same regions [
32], perhaps associated with cycles of range expansion and contraction that can explain the current complexity of their genetic constitution [
33].