Study on Qinghai Province Residents’ Perception of Grassland Fire Risk and Influencing Factors
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Overview of the Study Area
2.2. Data Source
2.3. Research Methods
2.3.1. Grassland Fire Risk Perception Evaluation Index System
- (1)
- Knowledge related to grassland fires denotes residents’ capacity to acquire, retain, and process information on such events, encompassing cognitive understanding derived from education, media exposure, and practical experience. Higher levels of such knowledge facilitate more accurate risk assessments and heightened risk perception. Therefore, based on prior research, we selected the following indicators to evaluate residents’ knowledge: causes of grassland fires (K1), awareness of grassland fire hazards (K2, K3), knowledge of grassland fire escape knowledge (K4), disaster prevention and mitigation knowledge (K5), understanding of grassland fire consequences (K6), and familiarity with emergency response plans (K7).
- (2)
- Attitudes toward responding to grassland fires denote residents’ evaluations and predispositions shaped by their values, knowledge, and experience, and are readily influenced by the level of knowledge. Individuals with positive attitudes exhibit greater sensitivity and proactive responses, whereas those with negative attitudes tend to be passive. Therefore, the assessment of attitudes toward grassland fire response primarily involves indicators such as sensitivity to fire hazards (A1), participation levels and social trust (A2, A3), self-evaluation of behavior (A4), and attentiveness to relevant information (A5).
- (3)
- Individual responses to grassland fires denote the risk mitigation measures adopted by residents when confronted with fire threats. Variations in knowledge and attitudes shape behavioral tendencies, with more proactive individuals being likelier to undertake defensive, rescue, and avoidance actions. Accordingly, the assessment of individual behavioral responses to grassland fires incorporates the following indicators: emergency preparedness (P1, P2) and participation in firefighting or rescue activities (P3, P4, P5).
2.3.2. Grassland Fire Risk Perception Model
- (1)
- Determine weighting.
- (a)
- Entropy rights method for rights confirmation.
- (b)
- Validation using the CRITIC weighting method
- (2)
- Calculation of grassland fire risk perception model
2.3.3. Quantile Regression and the Selection of Factors Influencing Risk Perception
2.3.4. Classification of Residents
3. Results
3.1. Grassland Fire Risk Perception
3.1.1. Evaluation of Residents’ Perception of Grassland Fire Risk
3.1.2. Dimensional Analysis of Residents’ Perception of Grassland Fire Risk
- (1)
- Knowledge related to grassland fires.
- (2)
- Attitudes toward grassland fire response
- (3)
- Grassland fire response behavior.
3.2. Factors Influencing Residents’ Perception of Grassland Fire Risk
4. Discussion
4.1. Residents’ Perception of Grassland Fire Risk and Response Behavior
4.2. Analysis of Factors Affecting Perception of Grassland Fire Risk in Qinghai Province
5. Conclusions
- (1)
- The average grassland fire risk perception score among residents in Qinghai Province was 0.509, with response behavior contributing the most, knowledge second, and attitude the least.
- (2)
- Perception levels were highest in agricultural areas, lowest in pastoral areas; residents with moderate dependency ratios and in moderately fire-susceptible zones performed best, while high-susceptibility zones showed signs of “risk desensitization.”
- (3)
- Residents of Qinghai Province show distinct variations in their perceptions of grassland fire risks and response behaviors. Agricultural regions should prioritize scenario-based training, pastoral regions’ mobile training, and early warning systems. Measures—such as demonstration projects, subsidies, and welfare incentives—should align with local dependency ratios. High-susceptibility areas require reinforced mandatory prevention, medium- and low-susceptibility areas strengthened proactive strategies. A tiered, multi-channel risk communication system, incorporating fire prevention education into school curricula, is essential for long-term sustainability.
- (4)
- Strengthening risk communication mechanisms is vital for grassland fire prevention and suppression. Effective information dissemination underpins both residents’ risk perception and collective response systems. With climate change altering fire frequency, spatiotemporal distribution, and intensity, environmental impacts must be closely monitored and risk information promptly updated. Addressing gaps in residents’ knowledge and prevention capacities through targeted guidance can shift them from passive acceptance to active engagement, improving both understanding and response capabilities.
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Primary Indicator | Secondary Indicators | Tertiary Indicators | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Indicator | Weighting | Indicator | Survey Question | Question Type | Weighting | |
Residents’ perception of grassland fire risk | Knowledge related to grassland fires (K) | 0.412 | Cause of fire | (K1) Which of the following do you think are the causes of grassland fires? | MRQ | 0.142 |
Combustible material | (K2) Which of the following are combustible materials found on grasslands? | MRQ | 0.148 | |||
Fire hazard | (K3) What are the main hazards of grassland fires? | MRQ | 0.147 | |||
Fire Self-Rescue | (K4) Do you think the statement about self-rescue in grassland fires is correct? | SRQ | 0.147 | |||
Fire Safety Knowledge | (K5) How much do you know about grassland fires (firefighting measures)? | SRQ | 0.137 | |||
Infrastructure impact | (K6) Do you know how much grassland fires affect infrastructure? | SRQ | 0.143 | |||
Emergency plan | (K7) How familiar are you with emergency response plans? | SRQ | 0.137 | |||
Attitude toward responding to grassland fires (A) | 0.292 | Threat to personal safety | (A1) How much of a threat do you think grassland fires pose to the safety of your family? | SRQ | 0.200 | |
Government role | (A2) Should government departments play a greater role in preventing and mitigating grassland fires? | SRQ | 0.204 | |||
Sense of belonging | (A3) Can families play a greater role in preventing and mitigating grassland fires? | SRQ | 0.202 | |||
Behavior causing a fire | (A4) Do you think your actions could cause a grassland fire? | SRQ | 0.192 | |||
Information attention | (A5) How concerned are you about information related to grassland fires? | SRQ | 0.202 | |||
Grassland fire response behavior (P) | 0.295 | Emergency supplies | (P1) Does your family consciously stockpile emergency supplies? | SRQ | 0.199 | |
Insurance quantity | (P2) How much insurance do you purchase? | MRQ | 0.191 | |||
Disaster self-rescue behavior | (P3) If a grassland fire occurs, would you engage in self-rescue and mutual aid among the public? | SRQ | 0.202 | |||
Fire response | (P4) If you were to experience a grassland fire, what would you do? | MRQ | 0.203 | |||
Fire Report Items | (P5) When you discover a grassland fire, what should you report? | MRQ | 0.205 |
Dimension | Independent Variable | Variable Interpretation and Assignment | Mean | Standard Deviation |
---|---|---|---|---|
Resident characteristics | Level of education (X1) | Illiterate = 1; Elementary school = 2; Junior high school = 3; High school or vocational school = 4; College or university and above = 5 | 2.824 | 0.865 |
Grassland area (X2) | Grassland area /acre | 393.319 | 2313.510 | |
Annual household income (X3) | less than 10,000 = 1; 10,000–30,000 = 2; 30,000–100,000 = 3; 100,000–500,000 = 4; and 500,000 or more = 5. | 2.240 | 1.024 | |
Percentage of household income attributable to livestock farming (X4) | Less than 20% = 1; 20–40% = 2; 40–60% = 3; 60–80% = 4; More than 80% = 5 | 1.990 | 1.260 | |
Number of grassland fires experienced (X5) | No experience = 1; 1–2 times = 2; 3–4 times = 3; 5–6 times = 4; 7 times or more = 5 | 1.229 | 0.512 | |
Climate variables | Annual average temperature (X6) | Local average annual temperature/°C | −0.651 | 4.141 |
Annual precipitation (X7) | Local annual average precipitation/mm | 421.421 | 103.745 | |
Dryness (X8) | ArcGIS 10.8 extraction of dryness of survey points | 2.314 | 1.094 | |
Risk communication | Received information on grassland fire conditions and safety measures (X9) | Never received = 1; Rarely received = 2; Sometimes received = 3; Often received = 4; Always received = 5 | 3.288 | 1.343 |
Title 1 | Explanatory Variable | γ = 0.25 | γ = 0.50 | γ = 0.75 | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Coefficient | t | Coefficient | t | Coefficient | t | ||
S1 | X1 | −0.003 | −0.565 | 0.003 | 0.57 | 0.006 | 1.114 |
X2 | −0.000001408 | −0.675 | −0.0000001542 | −0.081 | −0.000001785 | −0.911 | |
X3 | −0.002 | −0.499 | 0.004 | 1.255 | 0.003 | 1.137 | |
X4 | −0.002 | −0.437 | 0.001 | 0.145 | 0.000 | 0.067 | |
X5 | −0.005 | −0.529 | −0.006 | −0.723 | −0.007 | −0.771 | |
S2 | X6 | 0.006 *** | 4.379 | 0.005 *** | 3.828 | 0.005 *** | 3.601 |
X7 | 0.000 *** | −4.796 | 0.000 *** | −3.474 | 0.000 *** | −3.289 | |
X8 | −0.031 *** | −3.579 | −0.026 *** | −3.281 | −0.027 *** | −3.289 | |
S3 | X9 | 0.028 *** | 7.709 | 0.024 *** | 7.424 | 0.023 *** | 6.79 |
Sample size | 1188 | 1188 | 1188 | ||||
Pseudo-R2 | 0.078 | 0.053 | 0.047 |
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Xu, W.; Zhou, Q.; Ma, W.; Liu, F.; Niu, B.; Li, L. Study on Qinghai Province Residents’ Perception of Grassland Fire Risk and Influencing Factors. Fire 2025, 8, 371. https://doi.org/10.3390/fire8090371
Xu W, Zhou Q, Ma W, Liu F, Niu B, Li L. Study on Qinghai Province Residents’ Perception of Grassland Fire Risk and Influencing Factors. Fire. 2025; 8(9):371. https://doi.org/10.3390/fire8090371
Chicago/Turabian StyleXu, Wenjing, Qiang Zhou, Weidong Ma, Fenggui Liu, Baicheng Niu, and Long Li. 2025. "Study on Qinghai Province Residents’ Perception of Grassland Fire Risk and Influencing Factors" Fire 8, no. 9: 371. https://doi.org/10.3390/fire8090371
APA StyleXu, W., Zhou, Q., Ma, W., Liu, F., Niu, B., & Li, L. (2025). Study on Qinghai Province Residents’ Perception of Grassland Fire Risk and Influencing Factors. Fire, 8(9), 371. https://doi.org/10.3390/fire8090371