Three Decades of Trends in Risk Factors Attributed to Disease Burden in Saudi Arabia: Findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Methods
2.1. GBD Hierarchy
2.2. Summary Exposure Value (SEV)
2.3. Disability-Adjusted Life Years
2.4. Analysis
2.5. Ethical Approval
3. Results
3.1. Summary Exposure Values (SEVs)
All Risk Factors | Female | Male | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SEV 1990 | SEV 2021 | Rate of Change from 1990 to 2021 (%) | SEV 1990 | SEV 2021 | Rate of Change from 1990 to 2021 (%) | |
* Environmental and occupational risks | ||||||
δ Unsafe water, sanitation, and handwashing | 23.03 (32 to 12.87) | 5.5 (8.5 to 2.6) | −0.75 (−0.65 to −0.8) | 23 (3 to 12.9) | 5.5 (8.5 to 2.6) | −0.75 (−0.65 to −0.83) |
δ Occupational risks | 0.45 (0.65 to −0.37) | 0.76 (0.97 to 0.62) | 0.56 (0.9 to 0.26) | 3.98 (4.56 to 3.4) | 3.8 (4.4 to 3.3) | −0.034 (0.035 to −0.1) |
δ Air pollution | 37.79 (46.8 to −29.2) | 41.2 (49.3 to 33.7) | 0.09 (0.31 to −0.08) | 39.29 (48.3 to 30.45) | 42.9 (51.2 to 35.2) | 0.093 (0.32 to −0.08) |
δ Other environmental risks | 35.87 (45.32 to 2.88) | 23.3 (29.7 to 2.5) | −035 (0 to −0.54) | 52.12 (62.9 to 2.88) | 32.1 (39.5 to 2.5) | −0.4 (0 to −0.448) |
δ Non-optimal temperature | 79.62 (87.4 to 70.78) | 86.5 (94.9 to 74.7) | 0.086 (0.14 to 0.018) | 79.6 (87.4 to 70.8) | 86.5 (94.9 to −74.7) | 0.086 (0.14 to 0.018) |
* Metabolic risks | ||||||
δ Kidney dysfunction | 3.03 (3.95 to 2.39) | 3 (3.9 to 2.45) | 0.008 (0.07 to −0.04) | 2.95 (3.9 to 2.3) | 2.9 (3.9 to 2.4) | −0.0016 (0.05 to −0.05) |
δ High LDL cholesterol | 36.2 (51.7 to 23.6) | 46.9 (65.7 to 31.9) | 0.29 (0.38 to 0.23) | 38.8 (55.25 to 25.4) | 47.8 (66.7 to 32.1) | 0.23 (0.31 to 0.17) |
δ High fasting plasma glucose | 14.1 (17.2 to 10.32) | 30.3 (37.1 to 21.8) | 1.15 (1.6 to 0.72) | 17.25 (21.08 to 13.3) | 29.7 (35.8 to 22.5) | 0.72 (1.17 to 0.34) |
δ High systolic blood pressure | 33.82 (49.9 to 20.8) | 22.2 (33.5 to 14) | −0.34 (−0.03 to −0.56) | 36 (51.23 to 24.1) | 35.7 (49 to 24.6) | −0.01 (0.2 to −0.24) |
δ High body mass index | 29.7 (33.8 to 25.32) | 57.98 (64.1 to 49.2) | 0.95 (1.12 to 0.78) | 23.27 (27.1 to 20.1) | 50.75 (57.1 to 42.3) | 1.18 (1.4 to 0.95) |
δ Low bone mineral density | 27.14 (35.1 to 20.14) | 23.58 (30.8 to 17.1) | −0.13 (0.05 to −0.3) | 20.8 (28.3 to 14.5) | 17.9 (25.1 to 11.6) | −0.13 (0.08 to −0.32) |
* Behavioral risks | ||||||
δ Drug use | 0.49 (0.76 to 0.23) | 0.5 (0.76 to 0.22) | 0.037 (0.2 to −0.1) | 0.35 (0.48 to 0.22) | 0.33 (0.44 to 0.21) | −0.05 (0.05 to −0.15) |
δ Child and maternal malnutrition | 12.73 (18.2 to 8.27) | 11.9 (16.7 to 7.9) | −0.06 (0.05 to −0.17) | 7.36 (12.9 to 3.9) | 3.3 (5.8 to 1.8) | −0.55 (−0.5 to −0.6) |
δ Childhood sexual abuse and bullying | 4.97 (7.3 to 3.5) | 6.5 (10.45 to 4.1) | 0.30 (0.58 to 0.067) | 7.15 (12.47 to 3.8) | 8.8 (16.2 to 4.26) | 0.23 (0.54 to −0.2) |
δ Tobacco | 18.9 (21.15 to 16.7) | 21 (23.5 to 18.7) | 0.11 (0.28 to −0.4) | 32.42 (36.3 to 28.76) | 32.78 (36.36 to 29.2) | 0.01 (0.15 to −0.1) |
δ High alcohol use | 0.5 (1.49 to 0.16) | 0.41 (1.28 to 0.13) | −0.18 (−0.02 to −0.43) | 1.37 (4.3 to 0.51) | 0.99 (3.29 to 0.34) | −0.27 (−0.12 to −0.5) |
δ Dietary risks | 27.64 (36.4 to 19.1) | 31.3 (40.6 to 22.8) | 0.13 (0.26 to 0.04) | 28.65 (39.37 to 19.6) | 31.7 (42.6 to 22.1) | 0.1 (0.2 to 0.03) |
δ Low physical activity | 35.3 (42.5 to 28.8) | 46.3 (54.9 to 38.24) | 0.31 (0.61 to 0.06) | 20.8 (26.6 to 15.5) | 26.9 (34.3 to 20.5) | 0.3 (0.74 to −0.03) |
δ Intimate partner violence | 24 (31.7 to 13.66) | 23.9 (31.3 to 13.6) | −0.002 (0.7 to −0.3) |
3.2. Ranking of Leading Risk Factors for Females and Males Between 1990 and 2021
3.3. Attributable Burden in 2021 for Different Risk Factors
3.4. Attributable Deaths in 2021 for Different Risk Factors
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
GBD | Global burden of disease |
DALYs | Disability-adjusted life years |
HALE | Healthy life expectancy at birth |
SEV | Summary exposure value |
GATHER | Guidelines for Accurate and Transparent Health Estimates Reporting |
YLL | Years of life lost |
YLD | Years lived with disability |
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Zaidan, A. Three Decades of Trends in Risk Factors Attributed to Disease Burden in Saudi Arabia: Findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. Healthcare 2025, 13, 1717. https://doi.org/10.3390/healthcare13141717
Zaidan A. Three Decades of Trends in Risk Factors Attributed to Disease Burden in Saudi Arabia: Findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. Healthcare. 2025; 13(14):1717. https://doi.org/10.3390/healthcare13141717
Chicago/Turabian StyleZaidan, Amal. 2025. "Three Decades of Trends in Risk Factors Attributed to Disease Burden in Saudi Arabia: Findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021" Healthcare 13, no. 14: 1717. https://doi.org/10.3390/healthcare13141717
APA StyleZaidan, A. (2025). Three Decades of Trends in Risk Factors Attributed to Disease Burden in Saudi Arabia: Findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. Healthcare, 13(14), 1717. https://doi.org/10.3390/healthcare13141717