Investigating the Impact of Digital Transformation on the Labor Market in the Era of Changing Digital Transformation Dynamics in Saudi Arabia
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Methodology
2.1. Data and Model Specification
2.2. Technical Details on the Statistical Methods
2.2.1. Unit Root Test
2.2.2. Lag Length Criterion
2.2.3. Bound Test
2.2.4. Long-Run and Short-Run Relationship
2.2.5. Pairwise Granger Causality Test
2.2.6. Diagnostic Test
3. Findings and Discussions
3.1. Long-Run Relationship
3.2. Short-Run Estimates of the ARDL Approach
4. Conclusions
- LNGDPP significantly affects the labor market in the agricultural sector. However, the digital variables do not significantly affect the labor market in the agricultural sector.
- An increase in labor productivity (LNGDPP) by 1% would decrease the demand for labor by 0.65%. Meanwhile, an increase in digital development, LNFBS, by 1% would increase the demand for labor by 0.03% in the service sector.
- An increase in digital development variables such as LNCCO and LNMCS has a negative impact on the demand for labor in the industrial sector while LNFBS and human capital have a positive impact.
- The unemployment rate is decreased by 0.09%, 0.08%, and 0.032% for every 1 percent increase in LNCCO, LNFBS, and LNMCS, respectively. Therefore, it is evident that digital variables LNCCO, LNFBS, and LNMCS are influencing the unemployment rate in Saudi Arabia.
5. Policy Implications
6. Limitation and Future Research Directions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
Variables | p-Value: ADF Test (Intercept Only) | p-Value: PP Test (Intercept Only) | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Level | 1st Diff | Level | 1st Diff | |
LNGDPP | 0.8156 | 0.0114 ** | 0.8786 | 0.0007 * |
LNCCO | 0.0000 | 0.0103 ** | 0.0832 | 0.0008 * |
LNSE | 0.4110 | 0.1000 *** | 0.6599 | 0.0800 *** |
LNUNE | 0.0928 | 0.0414 ** | 0.0207 | 0.0037 * |
LNFBS | 0.0601 | 0.0655 *** | 0.0852 | 0.0008 * |
LNTLF | 0.8330 | 0.1000 *** | 0.6065 | 0.0120 ** |
LNMCS | 0.0000 | 0.0064 * | 0.0002 | 0.0064 * |
LNLF_IND | 0.9198 | 0.0093 * | 0.9187 | 0.0093 * |
LNLF_ AGR | 0.1332 | 0.0516 *** | 0.5576 | 0.1000 *** |
LNLF_SER | 0.7473 | 0.0289 ** | 0.6557 | 0.0289 ** |
Appendix B
Model 1 | ||||
Test Statistic | Value | Sign | I(0) | I(1) |
F-statistic | 3.840882 | 10% | 2.08 | 3 |
k | 5 | 5% | 2.39 | 3.38 |
2.5% | 2.7 | 3.73 | ||
1% | 3.06 | 4.15 | ||
Model 2 | ||||
F-statistic | 4.027924 | 10% | 2.08 | 3 |
k | 5 | 5% | 2.39 | 3.38 |
2.5% | 2.7 | 3.73 | ||
1% | 3.06 | 4.15 | ||
Model 3 | ||||
F-statistic | 3.773361 | 10% | 2.08 | 3 |
k | 5 | 5% | 2.39 | 3.38 |
2.5% | 2.7 | 3.73 | ||
1% | 3.06 | 4.15 | ||
Model 4 | ||||
F-statistic | 8.177814 | 10% | 2.08 | 3 |
k | 5 | 5% | 2.39 | 3.38 |
2.5% | 2.7 | 3.73 | ||
1% | 3.06 | 4.15 | ||
Model 5 | ||||
F-statistic | 4.854579 | 10% | 1.99 | 2.94 |
k | 6 | 5% | 2.27 | 3.28 |
2.5% | 2.55 | 3.61 | ||
1% | 2.88 | 3.99 |
Appendix C
Appendix D
Null Hypothesis | Probability Value |
---|---|
Model 2 | |
D(LNLF_SER) does not Granger cause D(LNSE) | 0.0640 ** |
Model 4 | |
D(LNGDPP) does not Granger cause D(LNCCO) | 0.0236 ** |
D(LNGDPP) does not Granger cause D(LNFBS) | 0.0204 ** |
D(LNMCS) does not Granger cause D(LNGDPP) D(LNGDPP) does not Granger cause D(LNMCS) | 0.0946 * 0.0952 * |
Model 5 | |
D(LNFBS) does not Granger cause D(LNUNE) | 0.0557 * |
D(LNUNE) does not Granger cause D(LNMCS) | 0.0353 ** |
D(LNUNE) does not Granger cause D(LNGDPP) | 0.0120 ** |
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Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | Model 5 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dependent variables | LF-AGR | LF-SEV | LF-IND | TLF | UEM | |
Variable description | Labor force participation rate in agriculture | Labor force participation rate in the service sector | Labor force participation rate in industries | Total labor force | Unemployment | |
Independent variables | LNGDPP | LNCCO | LNSE | LNFBS | LNMCS | TLF |
Variable description | Gross domestic product per person employed | Computer, communications, and other services (% of commercial service imports) | Enrollment in tertiary education (numbers) | Fixed broadband subscriptions (per 100 people)” | Mobile cellular subscriptions (per 100 people)” | Total labor force (numbers) |
Lag | LogL | LR | FPE | AIC | SC | HQ |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | 178.82 | NA | 9.05 × 10−16 | −20.44 | −20.20 | −20.42 |
1 | 221.63 | 55.40 * | 1.30 × 10−16 * | −22.54 * | −21.07 * | −22.39 * |
2 | 294.81 | 51.65 | 1.32 × 10−18 | −28.21 | −25.51 | −27.94 |
Dependent Variables | LNLF-AGR | LNLF-SEV | LNLF-IND | LNTLF | LNUEM |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Independent Variables | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | Model 5 |
LNGDPP (Coefficient) (Prob) | 23.529 0.0960 *** | −0.6540 0.0661 *** | −0.4086 0.1310 | −0.4337 0.2110 | 0.6177 (0.4007) |
LNCCO (Coefficient) (Prob) | −0.3273 (0.5051) | −0.0018 0.8882 | 0.0439 0.0895 *** | −0.0089 0.0481 ** | −0.0916 (0.4811) |
LNSE (Coefficient) (Prob) | 2.0683 (0.1393) | −0.1574 0.0024 * | 0.2575 0.0003 * | 0.0899 0.5657 | −0.2326 (0.4434) |
LNFBS(Coefficient) (Prob) | −0.2063 (0.4148) | 0.0177 0.0341 ** | −0.0284 0.0245 ** | 0.0122 0.0238 ** | −0.0804 0.0115 ** |
LNMCS(Coefficient) (Prob) | 0.2527 (0.1121) | −0.0083 0.0464 ** | −0.0041 0.4797 | −0.0173 0.0134 ** | −0.0316 0.0467 ** |
C(Coefficient) (Prob) | −303.78 (0.0968) *** | 14.188 0.0087 * | 4.2471 0.2388 | 17.596 0.0004 * | −1.7999 0.4521 |
Model 1 | Dependent Variable: D(LNLF_AGR) | ||
Independent Variables | Lag Order | ||
0 | 1 | ||
D(LNLF_AGR) | 1.5497 ** (0.0290) | ||
D(LNGDPP) | 3.2025 (0.101) | 5.8509 ** (0.0472) | |
D(LNCCO) | 0.3174 ** (0.0414) | −0.6643 ** (0.025) | |
D(LNSE) | −0.5355 (0.5330) | ||
D(LNFBS) | −1.2798 ** (0.0282) | 1.0922 ** (0.0194) | |
D(LNMCS) | 0.0226 (0.4389) | 0.0487 (0.1275) | |
ECT(−1) | −2.2534 ** (0.0435) | ||
Model 2 | Dependent variable: D(LNLF_SER) | ||
D(LNLF_SER) | −0.5598 (0.2525) | ||
D(LNGDPP) | 0.0519 (0.7319) | 0.0054 (0.9806) | |
D(LNCCO) | −0.0030 (0.7552) | −0.0153 (0.3971) | |
D(LNSE) | −0.2086 ** (0.0401) | ||
D(LNFBS) | −0.0184 (0.5641) | 0.0231 (0.4296) | |
D(LNMCS) | −0.0027 (0.4056) | ||
ECT(−1) | −0.048464 ** (0.02786) | ||
Model 3 | Dependent variable: D(LNLF_IND) | ||
D(LNLF_IND) | −0.3377 (0.8712) | ||
D(LNGDPP) | −0.4514 (0.4439) | −0.2545 (0.7372) | |
D(LNCCO) | 0.0019 (0.9528) | 0.0571 (0.3156) | |
D(LNSE) | 0.3326 (0.1661) | ||
D(LNFBS) | 0.0670 (0.5189) | −0.1109 (0.2506) | |
D(LNMCS) | −0.0044 (0.6763) | 0.0009 (0.9218) | |
ECT(−1) | 0.040149(0.7795) | ||
Model 4 | Dependent variable: D(LNGDPP) | ||
D(LNGDPP) | −0.0632 (0.8297) | ||
D(LNTLF) | 0.7393 (0.5203) | −1.9361 (0.1318) | |
D(LNCCO) | −0.0106 (0.5554) | ||
D(LNSE) | −0.0741 (0.7949) | 0.4396 (0.1143) | |
D(LNFBS) | 0.0185 (0.5867) | −0.0039 (0.8695) | |
D(LNMCS) | −0.0120 ** (0.0500) | ||
ECT(−1) | −0.1103 *** (0.0774) | ||
Model 5 | Dependent variable: D(LNUNE) | ||
D(LNUNE) | −0.0996 (0.7796) | ||
D(LNTLF) | −0.0371 (0.9876) | −0.3989 (0.8091) | |
D(LNCCO) | −0.0129 (0.7050) | −0.0738 *** (0.0595) | |
D(LNSE) | 0.0709 (0.09012) | ||
D(LNFBS) | −0.1028 (0.1227) | ||
D(LNMCS) | −0.0097 (0.4576) | −0.0129 (0.3409) | |
D(LNGDPP) | −0.4364 (0.6400) | −0.2104 (0.7964) | |
ECT(−1) | −0.4813 *** (0.0978) |
Models | Ramsey Reset Test | Normality Test | Serial Correlation LM Test |
---|---|---|---|
F Statistic (Prob) | |||
Model 1 | 0.605 | 0.551 | 0.552 |
Model 2 | 0.657 | 0.516 | 0.053 |
Model 3 | 0.917 | 0.653 | 0.821 |
Model 4 | 0.330 | 0.884 | 0.268 |
Model 5 | 0.917 | 0.871 | 0.932 |
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Sarabdeen, M.; Alofaysan, H. Investigating the Impact of Digital Transformation on the Labor Market in the Era of Changing Digital Transformation Dynamics in Saudi Arabia. Economies 2023, 11, 12. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies11010012
Sarabdeen M, Alofaysan H. Investigating the Impact of Digital Transformation on the Labor Market in the Era of Changing Digital Transformation Dynamics in Saudi Arabia. Economies. 2023; 11(1):12. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies11010012
Chicago/Turabian StyleSarabdeen, Masahina, and Hind Alofaysan. 2023. "Investigating the Impact of Digital Transformation on the Labor Market in the Era of Changing Digital Transformation Dynamics in Saudi Arabia" Economies 11, no. 1: 12. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies11010012
APA StyleSarabdeen, M., & Alofaysan, H. (2023). Investigating the Impact of Digital Transformation on the Labor Market in the Era of Changing Digital Transformation Dynamics in Saudi Arabia. Economies, 11(1), 12. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies11010012