Research on the Decision Making of Value Chain Reconstruction of Chinese Port Enterprises under the Background of Free Trade Zone Policy
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
2.1. Port Enterprise Value Chain
2.2. Free Trade Zone Policy
2.3. System Dynamics Applications
2.4. Summary of the Reviewed Literature
3. Model Construction
3.1. Applicability Analysis of the Model
3.2. Causal Relationship Model and Feedback Loop
3.3. Model Assumptions and System Flow Diagrams
- (1)
- In the endogenous factor subsystem, endogenous factors affect the work efficiency, and, thus, the work status of the whole subsystem.
- (2)
- In the basic factor subsystem, basic factor investment affects the business scope, then affects the whole subsystem operation condition.
- (3)
- In the exogenous factors subsystem, exogenous factors affect exogenous ability, and then affect the whole subsystem operation.
- (1)
- Business scope = Information factor + Industrial production factor + Logistics factor + Trade factor + Financial factor (units: CNY 100 million).
- (2)
- Information factor = 0.2 × basic factor subsystem input (units: CNY 100 million).
- (3)
- Logistics factors = 0.2 × basic factors subsystem input (units: CNY 100 million).
- (4)
- Trade factors = 0.2 × basic factor subsystem inputs (units: CNY 100 million).
- (5)
- Financial factors = 0.2 × basic factor subsystem inputs (units: CNY 100 million).
- (6)
- Industrial production factors = 0.2 × basic factor subsystem inputs (units: CNY 100 million).
- (7)
- Basic factor subsystem input = basic factor input rate × operating profit (units: CNY 100 million).
- (8)
- Basic factor input rate = 0.991 (units: Dmnl (dimensionless)).
- (9)
- Operation efficiency = operation ability + cooperative ability (units: CNY 100 million).
- (10)
- Operation ability = 0.5 × Endogenous factor subsystem input (units: CNY 100 million).
- (11)
- Cooperative ability = 0.5 × Endogenous factor subsystem input (units: CNY 100 million).
- (12)
- Endogenous factors subsystem input = Endogenous factor input rate * Operating profit (units: CNY 100 million).
- (13)
- Endogenous factor input rate = 0.108 (units: Dmnl (dimensionless)).
- (14)
- Exogenous ability = Competitive power + Customer demand satisfaction ability (units: CNY 100 million).
- (15)
- Competitive power = 0.5 × Exogenous factors subsystem input (units: CNY 100 million).
- (16)
- Customer demand satisfaction ability = 0.5 × Exogenous factor subsystem input (units: CNY 100 million).
- (17)
- Exogenous factors subsystem input = Exogenous factor input rate × operating profit (units: CNY 100 million).
- (18)
- Exogenous factor input rate = 0.0998 (units: Dmnl (dimensionless)).
- (19)
- Market share = Exogenous ability influence LOOKUP (Exogenous ability) + Free Trade Zone policy influence LOOKUP (Business scope) + Operational efficiency influence LOOKUP (Operation efficiency) (units: Dmnl (dimensionless)).
- (20)
- Traffic increment = Market share × Initial market size (units: CNY 100 million).
- (21)
- Initial market size = 117.67 (units: CNY 100 million).
- (22)
- Operating income increment = Traffic increment × Service price (units: CNY 100 million).
- (23)
- Service price = 50 (units: CNY/ton).
- (24)
- Operating cost increment = Endogenous factor input + Basic factor input + Exogenous factor input (units: CNY 100 million).
- (25)
- Operating profit = Operating income increment − Operating cost increment (units: CNY 100 million).
4. Simulation Analysis and Results Discussion
4.1. Model Parameter Setting
- (1)
- Initial value of state variable
- (2)
- Ancillary variables
- (3)
- Table function
- (4)
- Constants
4.2. Subsystem Simulation Results Analysis
4.3. Total System Simulation Results Analysis
- (1)
- Simulation of total system input rate combination with optimal single-factor subsystem
- (2)
- Simulation of total system input rate combination with optimal overall perspective
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Loop 1: Reinforcing feedback | Endogenous factors↑→Operation ability/Coordination ability↑→Operation efficiency↑→Market share↑→Traffic increment↑→Operating income increment↑→Operating profit↑→Endogenous factors↑ |
Loop 2: Balancing feedback | Endogenous factors↑→Operating cost increment↑→Operating profit↓→Endogenous factors↑ |
Loop 3: Reinforcing feedback | Basic factors↑→Finance/Trade/Information/Industry/Logistics↑→Business Scope↑→Market share↑→Traffic increment↑→Operating income increment↑→Operating profit↑→Basic factors↑ |
Loop 4: Balancing feedback | Basic factors↑→Operating cost increment↑→Operating profit↓→Basic factors↑ |
Loop 5: Reinforcing feedback | Exogenous factors↑→Competitive power/Customer demand satisfaction↑→Exogenous ability↑→Market share↑→Traffic increment↑→Operating income increment↑→Operating profit↑→Exogenous factors↑ |
Loop 6: Balancing feedback | Exogenous factors↑→Operating cost increment↑→Operating profit↓→Exogenous factors↑ |
Years | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Operating income (CNY 100 million) | 281.62 | 287.79 | 295.11 | 310.59 | 354.24 | 380.43 |
Cargo throughput (100 million tons) | 5.87 | 5.89 | 5.98 | 5.89 | 6.89 | 7.59 |
Service price (CNY/ton) | 47.97 | 48.86 | 49.34 | 52.73 | 51.40 | 50.01 |
Grade | Endogenous Factor | Basic Factor | Exogenous Factor |
---|---|---|---|
Ⅰ | 15% | 5% | 30% |
Ⅱ | 20% | 3% | 20% |
Ⅲ | 10% | 10% | 40% |
Ⅳ | 5% | 15% | 10% |
Combination | Endogenous Factor | Basic Factor | Exogenous Factor |
Combination A | 15% | 6% | 9% |
Combination B | 13% | 5% | 12% |
Combination C | 0 | 0 | 30% |
Current | 10.86% | 9.1% | 9.98% |
Combination | Endogenous Factor | Basic Factor | Exogenous Factor |
---|---|---|---|
Combination D | 15% | 0 | 0 |
Combination E | 0 | 5% | 0 |
Combination C | 0 | 0 | 30% |
Current | 10.86% | 9.1% | 9.98% |
Combination | Endogenous Factor | Basic Factor | Exogenous Factor |
---|---|---|---|
Combination B | 13% | 5% | 12% |
Combination F | 13% | 4% | 13% |
Current | 10.86% | 9.1% | 9.98% |
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Wan, M.; Kuang, H.; Jia, P.; Zhao, S. Research on the Decision Making of Value Chain Reconstruction of Chinese Port Enterprises under the Background of Free Trade Zone Policy. Systems 2024, 12, 91. https://doi.org/10.3390/systems12030091
Wan M, Kuang H, Jia P, Zhao S. Research on the Decision Making of Value Chain Reconstruction of Chinese Port Enterprises under the Background of Free Trade Zone Policy. Systems. 2024; 12(3):91. https://doi.org/10.3390/systems12030091
Chicago/Turabian StyleWan, Min, Haibo Kuang, Peng Jia, and Sue Zhao. 2024. "Research on the Decision Making of Value Chain Reconstruction of Chinese Port Enterprises under the Background of Free Trade Zone Policy" Systems 12, no. 3: 91. https://doi.org/10.3390/systems12030091
APA StyleWan, M., Kuang, H., Jia, P., & Zhao, S. (2024). Research on the Decision Making of Value Chain Reconstruction of Chinese Port Enterprises under the Background of Free Trade Zone Policy. Systems, 12(3), 91. https://doi.org/10.3390/systems12030091