Abstract
We show that a class of downwardly skip-free processes can be regarded as the Siegmund dual of upwardly skip-free processes, which have been extensively studied in the literature. For such downwardly skip-free processes, using the duality method and existing results on upwardly skip-free processes, we provide explicit expressions for the extinction probability, the mean occupation time, the mean explosion time, and the mean extinction time. Additionally, we provide two examples to illustrate the main contributions of this work.
Keywords:
downwardly skip-free processes; upwardly skip-free processes; Siegmund dual; extinction probability; mean occupation time; mean explosion time; mean extinction time MSC:
60J27
1. Introduction
Consider a continuous-time homogeneous Markov chain on , with the transition rate matrix . Following Chen [1], we call the Markov chain a downwardly skip-free process (or single death process), if Q satisfies for all , and for all . We call the Markov chain an upwardly skip-free process (or single birth process), if Q satisfies , for all and . In this short note, we are only interested in totally stable transition rate matrices, which means that for all .
Downwardly skip-free processes, as an important class of Markov chains, include several models such as birth–death processes and branching processes. Based on the explicit representation of the solution to the Poisson equation, various criteria for classical problems such as uniqueness, recurrence, ergodicity, exponential ergodicity, and strong ergodicity have been established for downwardly skip-free processes in [2,3,4]. However, it appears that some valuable quantities, including mean occupation time and mean explosion time, cannot be obtained using this method. Therefore, the main purpose of this note is to explore downwardly skip-free processes using a duality method, which does not rely on the representation of the solution to the Poisson equation. This duality, now known as Siegmund duality, was introduced in Siegmund [5] for Markov chains and aims to relate the entrance law of the original chain to the exit laws of its dual chain.
In this note, we observe that a downwardly skip-free process is the Siegmund dual of an upwardly skip-free process, which has been extensively studied; see, e.g., [1,2,6]. By applying the duality method, we can transform problems related to downwardly skip-free processes into those of upwardly skip-free processes. Therefore, for a class of downwardly skip-free processes, we rederive some known results and establish new quantities that have not been addressed in the literature.
Definition 1.
Let be a transition function. If there exists another transition function satisfying
then we call the Siegmund dual of .
In the rest of this paper, we denote the transition rate matrix of a downwardly skip-free process by and the corresponding minimal process by . To guarantee the existence of duality, we impose the following two conditions:
Condition 1.
Condition 2.
, where ,
Remark 1.
Since for and for , we conclude that for . Therefore, if satisfies
then Condition 2 holds.
Recall that a transition function is called honest if for and a transition rate matrix Q is called conservative if for . We say is stochastically monotone, if is a non-decreasing function of i for fixed and . Our first main result establishes a sufficient condition for the existence of the duality between upwardly skip-free processes and downwardly skip-free processes.
Theorem 1.
Suppose that the downwardly skip-free transition rate matrix satisfies Conditions 1 and 2. Then,
(i) There exists a stochastically monotone upwardly skip-free transition function with transition rate matrix Q defined by
such that is the Siegmund dual of .
(ii) If , then Q is conservative, and is honest.
Let be a downwardly skip-free process on , with the transition rate matrix . Define the extinction time , the occupation time for , and the explosion time .
When the downwardly skip-free process is the Siegmund dual of the upwardly skip-free process with transition rate matrix Q, we derive explicit expressions for several quantities related to the downwardly skip-free process using Q. To this end, we define for and
Theorem 2.
Suppose that the downwardly skip-free transition rate matrix satisfies Condition 1, Condition 2, and . Then:
(i) is not strongly ergodic.
(ii) is honest if and only if is not strongly ergodic.
(iii) For any initial state , the extinction probability of the downwardly skip-free process satisfies if and only if is ergodic. Indeed, the extinction probability is given by
where for .
(iv) The mean occupation time of the downwardly skip-free process is given by
Moreover, if the extinction probability of the downwardly skip-free process is 1, then
where for .
(v) For the downwardly skip-free process, the conditional expectation of the explosion time is given by
(vi) For the downwardly skip-free process, the conditional expectation of the extinction time is given by
Moreover, if the extinction probability of the downwardly skip-free process is 1, then
2. Siegmund Dual
The following proposition is taken from Chen and Zhang [7], and it establishes a necessary and sufficient condition for the existence of Siegmund duality. This result is of independent interest, as it does not require the assumption that is an upwardly skip-free process.
Proposition 1
([7]). The transition function is the Siegmund dual of a stochastically monotone transition function if and only if the following two conditions hold:
- (i)
- is non-increasing in i for each and ;
- (ii)
- for any and .
Proof of Proposition 1.
Suppose that satisfies conditions (i) and (ii). Define
It is clear that condition (i) implies for any . Furthermore, for any and , we obtain that
where the last equality follows from condition (ii). Therefore, the identity (1) holds and, in particular, . It follows from (1) that is non-decreasing in j for fixed i and . Thus, is stochastically monotone. Using the Chapman–Kolmogorov equation for , together with the identity (1), we have
Hence, satisfies the Chapman–Kolmogorov equation. Moreover, since , where if and otherwise, it follows that for any ,
Therefore, is the Siegmund dual of the stochastically monotone transition function .
Conversely, suppose that is the Siegmund dual of a stochastically monotone transition function . Then, the identity (1) holds by Definition 1. It follows immediately from (1) that condition (i) is satisfied. Furthermore, from (1), we have
which implies that for any and . Therefore, condition (ii) also holds true. □
A stochastically monotone transition function and its dual are completely determined by each other. From (1), we can derive
and
We now proceed to prove Theorem 1.
Proof of Theorem 1.
(i) It follows from Condition 1 and (Zhang [8], Proposition 2.4) that
Since is a downwardly skip-free transition rate matrix, we find that
From (Wang and Zhang [9], Theorem 1.3) and (Li [10], Proposition 2.2), we obtain that Condition 2 holds true if and only if the equation
has only the trivial solution for some (and hence for all) . This, together with (14) and ( Reuter and Riley [11], Theorem 8), implies that
Combining (13), (15) and Proposition 1, we conclude that there exists a stochastically monotone transition function satisfying both (1) and (12). Therefore, is the Siegmund dual of . Differentiating (12) at yields Equation (2). Since for all , and for all , it then follows from (2) that Q is an upwardly skip-free transition rate matrix.
- (ii) Summing both sides of (2) over yields that for any ,Since is a downwardly skip-free transition rate matrix, it is clear that for any . Hence, we find thatTaking in (16) and noting that , it follows that for any . Therefore, we obtainwhich implies that Q is conservative. Since , i.e., 0 is an absorbing state of , we have thatIt then follows from (1) thatThus, is honest. □
3. Proof of Theorem 2
Before proving Theorem 2, we first present the following useful theorem, which is taken from (Zhang et al. [12], Theorem 2.2).
Theorem 3.
Suppose is an ergodic and stochastically monotone transition function. Then, it is not strongly ergodic if and only if for any and .
Proof of Theorem 2.
(i) By Theorem 1, there exists a stochastically monotone upwardly skip-free transition function , such that is the Siegmund dual of . Consequently, Equation (11) holds. Moreover, from (11), we deduce that
It then follows from Theorem 3 that the downwardly skip-free process is not strongly ergodic.
Conversely, suppose that is not strongly ergodic. Theorem 3 implies that for and . Letting in (17) yields
Then, it follows that is honest.
- (iii) Letting in (17) gives thatSince for all , letting in the above equation yieldsNotice that is ergodic if and only if for some (and hence for all) . From (18), we therefore have if and only if is ergodic.
- (iv) Recall that the resolvent of is given bySince , Theorem 1 implies that Q is conservative. Hence, the resolvent of satisfies the following backward Kolmogorov equations:Applying (Chen and Zhang [2], Theorem 1.1) giveswhereSince for each , and are analytic in , we haveUsing the method of integration by substitution, and noting that for all , it follows that for ,Moreover, by the monotone convergence theorem and (17), we see that for ,
- (v) We begin by proving the identityLet for . Recall that the explosion time , then we know that . For each , define . Then, we get for ,Letting , and applying the monotone convergence theorem on the left hand side and Fatou’s lemma on the right hand side, then we seeLetting in the above equation shows thatOn the other hand, it follows from (25) thatLetting in the above equation givesUsing the Markov property, we conclude that for ,
- (vi) For , we haveWhen , dividing both sides by givesBy the Markov property, we can get for ,If the extinction probability satisfies , it then follows from (7) that for ,
□
4. Examples
In this section, we consider two examples of the downwardly skip-free processes and provide the extinction probability, the mean occupation time, the mean explosion time, and the mean extinction time for the two downwardly skip-free processes.
Example 1.
Let be a downwardly skip-free transition rate matrix on , and let be the corresponding minimal process. Suppose that is given as follows:
It is clear that for , thus, Condition 1 holds. Since
Remark 1 implies that Condition 2 also holds.
Then, from Theorem 1, there exists a stochastically monotone upwardly skip-free transition function , such that is the Siegmund dual of . Let be the transition rate matrix of . Equation (2) then yields
Using and Theorem 1, we have that Q is conservative. Noting that is bounded, we find that Q is regular. Define
From (3), (4), and (32), we can compute that
Noting that Q is regular and , it follows from (Chen [1], Theorem 4.52) that is recurrence. Since
([1], Theorem 4.52) implies that is not ergodic. Then, we find that for , and is not strongly ergodic. Applying Theorem 2, we conclude that is honest, is not strongly ergodic, and the extinct probability of is 1.
Using (7) yields
This example demonstrates how our duality-based approach efficiently computes mean occupation and extinction times for a downwardly skip-free process. The explicit expressions obtained through Theorems 2(iv) and 2(vi) would be challenging to derive using conventional methods for skip-free processes like those in Chen [1], while Zhang [3,4] established recurrence/transience criteria for similar processes, our method provides exact quantitative results for occupation and extinction times that complement these qualitative classifications. The infinite mean extinction time aligns with known results for processes with unbounded transition rates.
Example 2.
Let be a downwardly skip-free transition rate matrix on , and let be the corresponding minimal process. Suppose that is given as follows:
It is clear that for , thus, Condition 1 holds. Since
Remark 1 implies that Condition 2 also holds.
Then, from Theorem 1, there exists a stochastically monotone upwardly skip-free transition function , such that is the Siegmund dual of . Let be the transition rate matrix of . Equation (2) then yields
Using and Theorem 1, we have that Q is conservative. Noting that is bounded, we find that Q is regular.
From (3), (4) and (32), we can compute that
Since Q is regular and
([1], Theorem 4.52) implies that is ergodic. Let be the stationary distribution of . From , we get for . Noting that
it follows from ([1], Theorem 4.52) that is strongly ergodic. Applying Theorem 2, we conclude that is not honest, is not strongly ergodic, and the extinct probability of is given by
When , using (6) yields
When , using (6) yields
This example illustrates how our duality framework yields closed-form expressions for conditional explosion and extinction times in a constant-rate downwardly skip-free process.
5. Conclusions
In this note, we have established that a class of downwardly skip-free processes can be viewed as the Siegmund dual of upwardly skip-free processes. By leveraging this duality relationship and existing results on upwardly skip-free processes, we derived explicit expressions for several important quantities associated with downwardly skip-free processes. Specifically, under Conditions 1 and 2, we showed the following:
1. The extinction probability of a downwardly skip-free process is given by for , where is the stationary distribution of the dual upwardly skip-free process.
2. The mean occupation time has the following explicit form:
for , with simplified expressions when extinction is certain.
3. The conditional expectations of explosion and extinction times are provided in Theorems 2(v) and 2(vi), generalizing previous results.
Through two concrete examples, we demonstrated how these formulas can be applied to compute key quantities for specific downwardly skip-free processes. The duality approach developed in this work provides a powerful framework for analyzing downwardly skip-free processes by transferring problems to their upwardly skip-free duals, for which comprehensive theory already exists.
Future work should explore extensions to more general state spaces, applications to specific stochastic models in queueing theory and population dynamics, and connections to other duality relationships in stochastic processes.
Author Contributions
Writing—original draft preparation, P.-S.L. and P.Z.; writing—review and editing, P.-S.L. and P.Z. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
Funding
This work is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Nos. 12271029 and 11901570) and R&D Program of Beijing Municipal Education Commission (KM202411417001).
Data Availability Statement
Data is contained within the article.
Conflicts of Interest
The authors declare no conflict of interest.
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