1. Introduction
Consider a continuous-time homogeneous Markov chain on
, with the transition rate matrix
. Following Chen [
1], we call the Markov chain a
downwardly skip-free process (
or single death process), if
Q satisfies
for all
, and
for all
. We call the Markov chain an
upwardly skip-free process (
or single birth process), if
Q satisfies
,
for all
and
. In this short note, we are only interested in totally stable transition rate matrices, which means that
for all
.
Downwardly skip-free processes, as an important class of Markov chains, include several models such as birth–death processes and branching processes. Based on the explicit representation of the solution to the Poisson equation, various criteria for classical problems such as uniqueness, recurrence, ergodicity, exponential ergodicity, and strong ergodicity have been established for downwardly skip-free processes in [
2,
3,
4]. However, it appears that some valuable quantities, including mean occupation time and mean explosion time, cannot be obtained using this method. Therefore, the main purpose of this note is to explore downwardly skip-free processes using a duality method, which does not rely on the representation of the solution to the Poisson equation. This duality, now known as Siegmund duality, was introduced in Siegmund [
5] for Markov chains and aims to relate the entrance law of the original chain to the exit laws of its dual chain.
In this note, we observe that a downwardly skip-free process is the Siegmund dual of an upwardly skip-free process, which has been extensively studied; see, e.g., [
1,
2,
6]. By applying the duality method, we can transform problems related to downwardly skip-free processes into those of upwardly skip-free processes. Therefore, for a class of downwardly skip-free processes, we rederive some known results and establish new quantities that have not been addressed in the literature.
Definition 1. Let be a transition function. If there exists another transition function satisfyingthen we call the Siegmund dual of . In the rest of this paper, we denote the transition rate matrix of a downwardly skip-free process by
and the corresponding minimal process by
. To guarantee the existence of duality, we impose the following two conditions:
Condition 2. , where
,
Remark 1. Since for and for , we conclude that for . Therefore, if satisfiesthen Condition 2 holds. Recall that a transition function is called honest if for and a transition rate matrix Q is called conservative if for . We say is stochastically monotone, if is a non-decreasing function of i for fixed and . Our first main result establishes a sufficient condition for the existence of the duality between upwardly skip-free processes and downwardly skip-free processes.
Theorem 1. Suppose that the downwardly skip-free transition rate matrix satisfies Conditions 1 and 2. Then,
(i)
There exists a stochastically monotone upwardly skip-free transition function with transition rate matrix Q defined bysuch that is the Siegmund dual of .(ii) If , then Q is conservative, and is honest.
Let be a downwardly skip-free process on , with the transition rate matrix . Define the extinction time , the occupation time for , and the explosion time .
When the downwardly skip-free process
is the Siegmund dual of the upwardly skip-free process
with transition rate matrix
Q, we derive explicit expressions for several quantities related to the downwardly skip-free process using
Q. To this end, we define
for
and
Theorem 2. Suppose that the downwardly skip-free transition rate matrix satisfies Condition 1, Condition 2, and . Then:
(i) is not strongly ergodic.
(ii) is honest if and only if is not strongly ergodic.
(iii)
For any initial state , the extinction probability of the downwardly skip-free process satisfies if and only if is ergodic. Indeed, the extinction probability is given bywhere for .(iv)
The mean occupation time of the downwardly skip-free process is given byMoreover, if the extinction probability of the downwardly skip-free process is 1, thenwhere for .(v)
For the downwardly skip-free process, the conditional expectation of the explosion time is given by(vi)
For the downwardly skip-free process, the conditional expectation of the extinction time is given byMoreover, if the extinction probability of the downwardly skip-free process is 1, then The paper is organized as follows: In
Section 2, we recall some known properties of the Siegmund dual and then prove Theorem 1. In
Section 3, we establish Theorem 2. Finally, in
Section 4, we present two examples of downwardly skip-free processes to illustrate our main results.
4. Examples
In this section, we consider two examples of the downwardly skip-free processes and provide the extinction probability, the mean occupation time, the mean explosion time, and the mean extinction time for the two downwardly skip-free processes.
Example 1. Let be a downwardly skip-free transition rate matrix on , and let be the corresponding minimal process. Suppose that is given as follows:It is clear that for , thus, Condition 1 holds. SinceRemark 1 implies that Condition 2 also holds. Then, from Theorem 1, there exists a stochastically monotone upwardly skip-free transition function , such that is the Siegmund dual of . Let be the transition rate matrix of . Equation (2) then yieldsUsing and Theorem 1, we have that Q is conservative. Noting that is bounded, we find that Q is regular. DefineFrom (3), (4), and (32), we can compute thatNoting that Q is regular and , it follows from (Chen [1], Theorem 4.52) that is recurrence. Since([1], Theorem 4.52) implies that is not ergodic. Then, we find that for , and is not strongly ergodic. Applying Theorem 2, we conclude that is honest, is not strongly ergodic, and the extinct probability of is 1. Substituting (33) into (10) shows This example demonstrates how our duality-based approach efficiently computes mean occupation and extinction times for a downwardly skip-free process. The explicit expressions obtained through Theorems 2(iv) and 2(vi) would be challenging to derive using conventional methods for skip-free processes like those in Chen [
1], while Zhang [
3,
4] established recurrence/transience criteria for similar processes, our method provides exact quantitative results for occupation and extinction times that complement these qualitative classifications. The infinite mean extinction time aligns with known results for processes with unbounded transition rates.
Example 2. Let be a downwardly skip-free transition rate matrix on , and let be the corresponding minimal process. Suppose that is given as follows:It is clear that for , thus, Condition 1 holds. SinceRemark 1 implies that Condition 2 also holds. Then, from Theorem 1, there exists a stochastically monotone upwardly skip-free transition function , such that is the Siegmund dual of . Let be the transition rate matrix of . Equation (2) then yieldsUsing and Theorem 1, we have that Q is conservative. Noting that is bounded, we find that Q is regular. From (3), (4) and (32), we can compute thatSince Q is regular and([1], Theorem 4.52) implies that is ergodic. Let be the stationary distribution of . From , we get for . Noting thatit follows from ([1], Theorem 4.52) that is strongly ergodic. Applying Theorem 2, we conclude that is not honest, is not strongly ergodic, and the extinct probability of is given by When , using (6) yields When , using (6) yields Substituting (34) and (35) into (8) shows Substituting (34) and (35) into (9) shows This example illustrates how our duality framework yields closed-form expressions for conditional explosion and extinction times in a constant-rate downwardly skip-free process.
5. Conclusions
In this note, we have established that a class of downwardly skip-free processes can be viewed as the Siegmund dual of upwardly skip-free processes. By leveraging this duality relationship and existing results on upwardly skip-free processes, we derived explicit expressions for several important quantities associated with downwardly skip-free processes. Specifically, under Conditions 1 and 2, we showed the following:
1. The extinction probability of a downwardly skip-free process is given by for , where is the stationary distribution of the dual upwardly skip-free process.
2. The mean occupation time has the following explicit form:
for
, with simplified expressions when extinction is certain.
3. The conditional expectations of explosion and extinction times are provided in Theorems 2(v) and 2(vi), generalizing previous results.
Through two concrete examples, we demonstrated how these formulas can be applied to compute key quantities for specific downwardly skip-free processes. The duality approach developed in this work provides a powerful framework for analyzing downwardly skip-free processes by transferring problems to their upwardly skip-free duals, for which comprehensive theory already exists.
Future work should explore extensions to more general state spaces, applications to specific stochastic models in queueing theory and population dynamics, and connections to other duality relationships in stochastic processes.