Labor Supply as a Buffer: The Implication of Credit Constraints in the US
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Financial Shocks and Labor Market
2.1. Liquidity Constraint, Job Search Time, and Labor Supply
2.2. Wealth, Finance, and Work Hours
3. Data and Variables
4. Econometric Methodology
5. Results and Discussions
5.1. Analysis of Job Search Outcome
5.2. Analysis of Job Search Outcome
5.3. Analysis of Working Hours
6. Conclusions and Policy Implication
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
1 | Workers are more productive during the early hours of the day but less productive during the last hour of days. |
2 | |
3 | |
4 | Although Current Population Survey (CPS) has an advantage over the SCF due to the panel nature of data or outgoing rotation group (ORG) component of the population. But it does not have information about the credit market. |
5 | This study only consider the main job, ignoring the part-time work. |
6 | SCF asks the question about the distance between respondent and nearby institution branch if it is less than half a mile. |
7 | SCF measures the distance between respondent and nearest institution branch by applying the haversine method to the latitudes and longitude of the center of the respondent’s census tract and nearest branch. |
8 | We remove certain control variables such as family size, sex, education, marital status, and race to test the robustness of our results. We found that the results remained robust and statistically significant, though the coefficient values increased slightly. The results are available. |
References
- Attanasio, O., Low, H., & Sänchez-Marcos, V. (2005). Female labour supply as insurance against idiosyncratic risk. Journal of the European Economic Association, Papers and Proceedings, 3, 775–764. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Attanasio, O., & Weber, G. (2010). Consumption and saving: Models of intertemporal allocation and their implications for public policy. Journal of Economic Literature, 48(3), 693–751. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Bartscher, A. K. (2023). It takes two to borrow: The effects of the equal credit opportunity act on housing, credit, and labor market decisions of married couples. The Review of Financial Studies, 36(1), 155–193. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Barzel, Y. (1973). The determination of daily hours and wages. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 87(2), 220–238. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Basten, A., Fagereng, C., & Telle, K. (2012). Cash on hand and the duration of job search: Quasi experimental evidence from Norway. The Economic Journal, 124, 540–568. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Benito, A., & Saleheen, J. (2013). Labour supply as a buffer: Evidence from UK households. Economica, 80(320), 698–720. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Bennett, Z. H. (2011). Labor’s liquidity service and firing costs. Labour Economics, 18, 102–110. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Berger, A. N., & Udell, G. F. (2006). A more complete conceptual framework for SMEs finance. Journal of Banking & Finance, 30(11), 2945–2966. [Google Scholar]
- Bernhardt, D., & Backus, D. (1990). Borrowing Constraints, occupational choice, and labor supply. Journal of Labor Economics, 8(1), 145–173. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Bernstein, A. (2021). Negative home equity and household labor supply. The Journal of Finance, 76(6), 2963–2995. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Bick, A., Fuchs-Schündeln, N., Lagakos, D., & Tsujiyama, H. (2022). Structural change in labor supply and cross-country differences in hours worked. Journal of Monetary Economics, 130, 68–85. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Block, M. K., & Heineke, J. M. (1973). The allocation of effort under uncertainty: The case of risk-averse behavior. Journal of Political Economy, 81(2), 376–385. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Blundell, R. (2006). From income to consumption: Partial insurance and the transmission of inequality. Econometric Society Presidential Lecture. Available online: https://www.ucl.ac.uk/~uctp39a/Blundell%20-%20From%20Income%20to%20Consumption%20Inequality%20Handout.pdf (accessed on 17 April 2025).
- Blundell, R., Bozio, A., & Laroque, G. (2011). Labor supply and the extensive margin. American Economic Review, 101(3), 482–486. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Boca, D. D., & Lusardi, A. (2003). Credit market constraints and labor market decisions. Labour Economics, 10, 681–703. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Boppart, T., & Krusell, P. (2020). Labor supply in the past, present, and future: A balanced-growth perspective. Journal of Political Economy, 128(1), 118–157. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Bottazzi, R. (2004). Labour market participation and mortgage-related borrowing constraint. WP04/09. The Institute for Fiscal Studies. [Google Scholar]
- Bottazzi, R., Low, H., & Wakefield, M. (2007). Why do home owners work longer hours? Working Paper 10/07. IFS. [Google Scholar]
- Breunig, R., & Cobb-Clark, D. (2005). Understanding the factors associated with financial stress in Australian households. Australian Social Policy, 13–64. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Brewer, M., Emmanuel, S., & Andrew, S. (2010). Means-testing and tax rates on earnings. In J. Mirrlees (Ed.), Dimensions of tax design (pp. 90–173). Oxford University Press. [Google Scholar]
- Bryan, M. (2007). Free to choose? Differences in the hours determination of constrained and unconstrained workers. Oxford Economic Papers, 59(2), 226–252. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Bui, D. K., & Ume, S. E. (2020). Credit constraint and labor supply: Evidence from bank branching deregulation. Economic Inquiry, 58(1), 335–360. [Google Scholar]
- Cai, D., Song, Q., Ma, S., Dong, Y., & Xu, Q. (2018). The relationship between credit constraints and household entrepreneurship in China. International Review of Economics & Finance, 58, 246–258. [Google Scholar]
- Cao, Y. (2017). Consumption commitments and the added worker effect. Working Paper. Available online: https://lsa.umich.edu/econ/news-events/all-events.detail.html/44146-9888992.html (accessed on 17 April 2025).
- Carroll, C. (1992). The buffer stock theory of saving: Some macroeconomic evidenc. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 23(2), 61–156. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Cesarini, D., Lindqvist, E., Notowidigdo, M. J., & Östling, R. (2017). The effect of wealth on individual and household labor supply: Evidence from Swedish lotteries. American Economic Review, 107(12), 3917–3946. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Cheng, I.-H., & French, E. (2000). The effect of the run-up in the stock market on labor supply. Economic Perspectives, 25(IV), 48–65. [Google Scholar]
- Chetty, R. (2008). Moral hazard versus liquidity and optimal unemployment insurance. Journal of Political Economy, 116, 173–234. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Chiu, W. H., & Eeckhoudt, L. (2010). The effects of stochastic wages and non-labor income on labor supply: Update and extensions. Journal of Economics, 100, 69–83. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Corsini, L. (2012). Unemployment insurance schemes, liquidity constraints and re-employment: A three country comparison. Comparative Economic Studies, 54, 321–340. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Cowan, K., Drexler, A., & Yanez, A. (2015). The effect of credit guarantees on credit availability and delinquency rates. Journal of Banking & Finance, 59, 98–110. [Google Scholar]
- Deaton, A. (1991). Saving and liquidity constraints. Econometrica, 59, 1221–1245. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Evans, S. D., & Jovanovic, B. (1989). An estimated model of entrepreneurial choice under liquidity constraints. Journal of Political Economy, 97(4), 808–827. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Friebel, G., & Giannetti, M. (2009). Fighting for talent: Risk-taking, corporate volatility, and organizational change. Economic Journal, 119, 1344–1373. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Garcia, R., Lusardi, A., & Ng, S. (1997). Excess sensitivity and asymmetries in consumption: An empirical investigation. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 29(2), 154–176. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Gerards, R., & Welters, R. (2020). Liquidity constraints, unemployed job search and labour market outcomes. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 82(3), 625–646. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Giannetti, M. (2011). Liquidity constraints and occupational choice. Finance Research Letters, 8, 37–44. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Jappelli, T. (1990). Who is credit constrained in the US economy? The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 105(1), 219–234. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Kiely, K. M., Leach, L. S., Olesen, S. C., & Butterworth, P. (2015). How financial hardship is associated with the onset of mental health problems over time. Social Psychiatry and Psychiatric Epidemiology, 50, 909–918. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Kumar, A., & Liang, C.-Y. (2018). Labor market effects of credit constraints: Evidence from a natural experiment. Working Paper 1810. Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Research Department. [Google Scholar]
- Kumar, A., & Liang, C.-Y. (2024). Labor market effects of credit constraints: Evidence from a natural experiment. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 16(3), 1–26. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Laroque, G. (2005). Income maintenance and labor force participation. Econometrica, 73(2), 341–376. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Low, H. (2005). Self-insurance in a life cycle model of labour supply and savings. Review of Economic Dynamics, 8, 945–975. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Lusardi, A., & Mitchell, O. S. (2017). Older women’s labor market attachment, retirement planning, and household debt. In Women working longer: Increased employment at older ages. University of Chicago Press. [Google Scholar]
- Naylor, R. A. (2002). Labour supply, efficient bargains and countervailing power. Department of Economics, University of Warwick, Coventry. [Google Scholar]
- Pitt, M. M., & Shahidur, R. K. (1996). Household and intrahousehold impacts of the Grameen Bank and similar targeted credit programs in Bangladesh. World Bank Discussion Papers. The World Bank. [Google Scholar]
- Rossi, M., & Trucchi, S. (2016). Liquidity constraints and labor supply. European Economic Review, 87, 176–193. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Sousa-Poza, A., & Ziegler, A. (2003). Asymmetric information about workers productivity as a cause for inefficient long working hours. Labour Economics, 10(6), 727–747. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Stefania, B., De Vincentiis, P., Isaia, E., & Rossi, M. (2022). Women-led firms and credit access. A gendered story? Italian Economic Journal, 98–110. [Google Scholar]
- Stewart, M., & Swaffield, J. (1997). Constraints on the desired hours of work of British men. Economic Journal, 107, 520–535. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Stock, J. H., & Yogo, M. (2005). Testing for weak instruments in linear IV regression. In Identification and inference for econometric models: Essays in honor of thomas rothenberg. 80s108. Cambridge University Press. [Google Scholar]
- Yue, P., Korkmaz, G. A., Yin, Z., & Zhou, H. (2021). Liquidity constraints and family labor participation. Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 28, 53–74. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Zhao, L., & Burge, G. (2017). Housing wealth, property taxes, and labor supply among the elderly. Journal of Labor Economics, 35(1), 227–263. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
Variables | Definitions | Mean |
---|---|---|
Labor Supply Decision | ||
Extensive Margin | ||
Labor force participation | =1 if individual labor force status is employed | 75.98 |
Time to search employment (c) | Number of weeks it took the unemployed to find employment | 19.04 |
Intensive Margin (c) | Number of hours worked in last week | 46.55 |
Credit Request: | ||
Credit Constrained | =1 if credit application was constrained in any way | 17.74 |
Rejected | =1 if credit application has been turned down | 8.82 |
Underfunded | =1 if request for credit was approved but underfunded | 2.47 |
Discouraged | =1 if think not to be approved and not applied | 3.88 |
Price out | =1 if observe high interest rate for loan and not applied | 2.56 |
Rejected (revised) Borrower | =1 if was still rejected after multiple attempts | 4.01 |
Income Sources | ||
wages | Average wage per hours | 42.77 |
Log (savings) | The logarithmic value of savings in savings or money market acount | 5.07 |
Risk: | ||
Occupational Risk | =1 if household runs a business or work as self-employed | 2.73 |
Wealth: | ||
Auto Ownership | =1 if household owns their own automobile | 85.27 |
Home Mortgage | =1 if household has mortgage on their home | 2.71 |
Socioeconomic Variables: | ||
Age (c) | The avarge agae of the individual | 51.71 |
Household Size | The avarage family size | 2.36 |
Gender (omitted: Male) | ||
Female | =1 if head of household is female | 23.90 |
Martial Status (omitted: Single) | ||
Married | =1 if head of household is married | 54.60 |
Separated | =1 if head of household is separated | 17.13 |
Widowed | =1 if head of household is widowed | 6.72 |
Race and Ethnicity (omitted: White) | ||
Black | =if head of household is Black | 15.60 |
Asian/Indian/Hawaiian | =if head of household is Asian/American Indian/Native Hawaiian | 8.78 |
Hispanic/Latino | =if head of household is Hispanic | 13.60 |
Education (omitted: <High School) | ||
High School | =if head of household has high school diploma only | 19.68 |
Bachelors Degree | =if head of household has a bachelors degree | 47.21 |
Post Graduate | =if head of household has some post-graduate education | 23.76 |
Two-Sided T-Test | CreditC | RejB | UnderFB | DisB | PriceOB | RejRB |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Extensive Margin | ||||||
(i) Labor Force Participation | 0.55 *** | 0.65 *** | 0.73 *** | 0.71 *** | 0.73 *** | 0.71 *** |
Short-run Job Search Outcome | ||||||
(ii) Time to Employment | 1.90 *** | 1.99 *** | 2.05 *** | 2.04 *** | 2.05 *** | 2.04 *** |
Intensive Margin | ||||||
(i) Number of Hours Worked | 46.37 *** | 46.45 *** | 46.52 *** | 46.52 *** | 46.52 *** | 46.51 *** |
Labor and non-labor income | ||||||
(i) Wages (log) | 1.89 *** | 1.98 *** | 2.04 *** | 2.03 *** | 2.04 *** | 2.03 *** |
(ii) Savings (log) | 4.89 *** | 4.98 *** | 5.04 *** | 5.03 *** | 5.04 *** | 5.03 *** |
Occupational Risk | −0.15 *** | −0.06 *** | 0.001 * | −0.01 *** | 0.001 | −0.12 *** |
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Probit | Probit | First Stage | Second Stage | First Stage | Second Stage | |
Credit Constrained | −0.014 ** | 0.743 *** | ||||
(0.006) | (0.287) | |||||
Rejected Borrower | −0.007 | 1.568 * | ||||
(0.008) | (0.810) | |||||
Distance to Lender | 0.041 *** | 0.019 ** | ||||
(0.010) | (0.008) | |||||
Wage | 0.150 *** | 0.150 *** | −0.009 * | 0.156 *** | 0.015 *** | 0.126 *** |
(0.004) | (0.004) | (0.005) | (0.006) | (0.004) | (0.014) | |
Wage Sq. | −0.014 *** | −0.014 *** | −0.001 | −0.013 *** | −0.004 *** | −0.008 ** |
(0.001) | (0.001) | (0.001) | (0.001) | (0.001) | (0.003) | |
Savings | 0.001 ** | 0.001 ** | −0.010 *** | 0.009 *** | −0.006 *** | 0.011 ** |
(0.001) | (0.001) | (0.001) | (0.003) | (0.001) | (0.005) | |
Occupational Risk | 0.224 *** | 0.225 *** | −0.033 * | 0.250 *** | −0.008 | 0.238 *** |
(0.021) | (0.021) | (0.017) | (0.027) | (0.014) | (0.031) | |
Age | 0.020 *** | 0.020 *** | 0.005 ** | 0.016 *** | 0.003 * | 0.014 *** |
(0.002) | (0.002) | (0.002) | (0.003) | (0.002) | (0.005) | |
Age Sq. | −0.000 *** | −0.000 *** | −0.000 *** | −0.000 *** | −0.000 *** | −0.000 *** |
(0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000) | |
Auto Ownership | 0.047 *** | 0.047 *** | −0.034 *** | 0.075 *** | 0.012 | 0.032 ** |
(0.007) | (0.007) | (0.009) | (0.015) | (0.007) | (0.015) | |
Home Mortgage | 0.020 | 0.019 | 0.008 | 0.013 | −0.001 | 0.020 |
(0.016) | (0.016) | (0.020) | (0.022) | (0.016) | (0.030) | |
Family Size | −0.003 | −0.003 | 0.017 *** | −0.016 *** | 0.007 *** | −0.014 ** |
(0.002) | (0.002) | (0.003) | (0.006) | (0.002) | (0.007) | |
Female | −0.046 *** | −0.047 *** | 0.030 *** | −0.068 *** | 0.001 | −0.048 *** |
(0.007) | (0.007) | (0.009) | (0.013) | (0.007) | (0.013) | |
Married | 0.028 *** | 0.029 *** | −0.048 *** | 0.065 *** | 0.004 | 0.023 |
(0.008) | (0.008) | (0.010) | (0.018) | (0.008) | (0.015) | |
Separated | 0.012 | 0.011 | 0.053 *** | −0.027 | 0.049 *** | −0.066 |
(0.008) | (0.008) | (0.010) | (0.018) | (0.008) | (0.042) | |
Widow | −0.041 *** | −0.042 *** | 0.030 | −0.063 *** | 0.069 *** | −0.149 ** |
(0.014) | (0.014) | (0.019) | (0.022) | (0.015) | (0.062) | |
High School | 0.036 *** | 0.037 *** | −0.022 * | 0.052 *** | 0.036 *** | −0.020 |
(0.009) | (0.009) | (0.012) | (0.014) | (0.010) | (0.034) | |
Bachelor Degree | 0.030 *** | 0.032 *** | −0.085 *** | 0.093 *** | 0.005 | 0.022 |
(0.009) | (0.009) | (0.012) | (0.027) | (0.009) | (0.018) | |
Post Graduate | 0.093 *** | 0.094 *** | −0.104 *** | 0.170 *** | −0.003 | 0.097 *** |
(0.011) | (0.011) | (0.013) | (0.033) | (0.010) | (0.019) | |
Black | −0.018 ** | −0.019 *** | 0.163 *** | −0.140 *** | 0.083 *** | −0.150 ** |
(0.007) | (0.007) | (0.009) | (0.048) | (0.007) | (0.069) | |
Hispanic/Latino | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.034 *** | −0.018 | 0.011 | −0.009 |
(0.008) | (0.008) | (0.009) | (0.015) | (0.007) | (0.017) | |
Asian/Indian/Hawaiian | −0.030 *** | −0.030 *** | 0.006 | −0.038 *** | 0.014 * | −0.055 *** |
(0.009) | (0.009) | (0.010) | (0.012) | (0.008) | (0.020) | |
Constant | 0.269 *** | 0.036 | ||||
(0.054) | (0.043) | |||||
Observations | 16,386 | 16,386 | 16,386 | 16,386 | 16,386 | 16,386 |
Wald Chi-squared | 12,967.09 (0.00) | 19,355.40 (0.00) | ||||
Pseudo R-squared | 0.426 | 0.425 | ||||
Endogeneity test | ||||||
Wald test of exogeneity | 15.07 (0.00) | 12.41 (0.00) |
Variables | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Constraint 1 | 2.598 * | |||
(1.352) | ||||
Constraint 2 | 4.703 | |||
(4.166) | ||||
Constraint 3 | 2.480 * | |||
(1.298) | ||||
Constraint 4 | 2.482 * | |||
(1.462) | ||||
Wage | 0.145 *** | 0.258 *** | 0.156 *** | 0.157 *** |
(0.007) | (0.097) | (0.007) | (0.009) | |
Wage Sq. | −0.011 *** | −0.029 ** | −0.014 *** | −0.014 *** |
(0.002) | (0.014) | (0.001) | (0.002) | |
Savings | 0.002 ** | 0.016 | 0.003 ** | 0.007 ** |
(0.001) | (0.013) | (0.001) | (0.003) | |
Occupational Risk | 0.280 *** | 0.217 *** | 0.235*** | 0.272 *** |
(0.041) | (0.049) | (0.029) | (0.043) | |
Observations | 16,386 | 16,386 | 16,386 | 16,386 |
Wald Chi-squared | 17,206 (0.00) | 27,529.6 (0.00) | 17,868.7 (0.00) | 21,540.7 (0.00) |
Wald test of exogeneity | 10.63 (0.00) | 7.47 (0.00) | 10.83 (0.00) | 10.36 (0.00) |
Variables | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First Stage | Second Stage | First Stage | Second Stage | First Stage | Second Stage | |
Credit Constrained | 2.012 ** | |||||
(0.940) | ||||||
Rejected Borrower | 27.46 | |||||
(94.32) | ||||||
Constraint 1 | 2.569 ** | |||||
(1.055) | ||||||
Distance to Lender | 0.0536 *** | 0.00393 | 0.0420 *** | |||
(0.0174) | (0.0135) | (0.00758) | ||||
Wage | −0.00519 | −0.119 *** | 0.0131 *** | −0.489 | 0.00104 | −0.132 *** |
(0.00390) | (0.0124) | (0.00304) | (1.236) | (0.00170) | (0.00998) | |
Wage Sq. | −0.00148 * | 0.0152 *** | −0.00317 *** | 0.0993 | −0.000716 ** | 0.0140 *** |
(0.000798) | (0.00266) | (0.000621) | (0.299) | (0.000348) | (0.00215) | |
Savings | −0.00930 *** | 0.0101 | −0.00513 *** | 0.132 | −0.000246 | −0.00802 *** |
(0.000505) | (0.00885) | (0.000393) | (0.484) | (0.000220) | (0.00131) | |
Occupational Risk | −0.0232 | 0.0993 ** | 0.00242 | −0.0136 | −0.0197 *** | 0.103 ** |
(0.0144) | (0.0465) | (0.0112) | (0.389) | (0.00630) | (0.0416) | |
Age | 0.000103 | −0.00546 ** | −0.00141 ** | 0.0336 | −0.000846 ** | −0.00308 |
(0.000907) | (0.00263) | (0.000705) | (0.134) | (0.000395) | (0.00246) | |
Age Sq. | −3.39 × *** | 1.31 × | −8.12 × | 0.000168 | 4.15 × | −6.58 × *** |
(8.78 × ) | (4.10 × ) | (6.83 × ) | (0.000791) | (3.83 × ) | (2.27 × ) | |
Auto Ownership | −0.0293 *** | −0.0274 | 0.000219 | −0.0925 | 0.0161 *** | −0.128 *** |
(0.00704) | (0.0346) | (0.00548) | (0.151) | (0.00307) | (0.0245) | |
Home Mortgage | 0.00232 | −0.0341 | 0.00664 | −0.212 | −0.00645 | −0.0128 |
(0.0146) | (0.0424) | (0.0113) | (0.707) | (0.00636) | (0.0376) | |
Family Size | 0.0170 *** | −0.0215 | 0.00499 *** | −0.124 | 0.00462 *** | 0.000877 |
(0.00222) | (0.0172) | (0.00173) | (0.473) | (0.000967) | (0.00747) | |
Female | 0.0187 *** | 0.0364 | −0.00675 | 0.259 | 0.00631 ** | 0.0578 *** |
(0.00703) | (0.0264) | (0.00547) | (0.659) | (0.00306) | (0.0189) | |
Married | −0.0523*** | −0.0470 | 0.00184 | −0.203 | −0.00446 | −0.141 *** |
(0.00829) | (0.0550) | (0.00645) | (0.246) | (0.00362) | (0.0217) | |
Separated | 0.0413 *** | −0.206 *** | 0.0440 *** | −1.330 | 0.00661 * | −0.140 *** |
(0.00828) | (0.0455) | (0.00644) | (4.149) | (0.00361) | (0.0222) | |
Widow | −0.00925 | −0.212 *** | 0.0361 *** | −1.221 | 0.00795 | −0.251 *** |
(0.0119) | (0.0356) | (0.00925) | (3.408) | (0.00519) | (0.0314) | |
High School | −0.0663 *** | 0.0714 | 0.0283 *** | −0.841 | 0.00540 | −0.0759 *** |
(0.00966) | (0.0682) | (0.00752) | (2.683) | (0.00421) | (0.0253) | |
Bachelor Degree | −0.112 *** | 0.154 | 0.00425 | −0.189 | 0.00558 | −0.0863 *** |
(0.00919) | (0.108) | (0.00715) | (0.450) | (0.00401) | (0.0242) | |
Post Graduate | −0.129 *** | 0.101 | −0.00752 | 0.0481 | 0.0125 *** | −0.191 *** |
(0.0102) | (0.123) | (0.00794) | (0.734) | (0.00445) | (0.0296) | |
Black | 0.159 *** | −0.168 | 0.0793 *** | −2.026 | 0.0288*** | 0.0787 ** |
(0.00725) | (0.151) | (0.00564) | (7.484) | (0.00316) | (0.0356) | |
Hispanic/Latino | 0.0352 *** | 0.0327 | 0.00812 | −0.119 | 0.00684 ** | 0.0859 *** |
(0.00785) | (0.0404) | (0.00611) | (0.786) | (0.00342) | (0.0214) | |
Asian/Indian/Hawaiian | 0.000899 | 0.105 *** | 0.00700 | −0.0857 | −0.00722 * | 0.125 *** |
(0.00856) | (0.0248) | (0.00666) | (0.690) | (0.00373) | (0.0229) | |
Constant | 0.410 *** | 0.287 | 0.167 *** | −3.471 | 0.0240 ** | 1.051 *** |
(0.0242) | (0.391) | (0.0189) | (15.75) | (0.0106) | (0.0666) | |
Observations | 22,975 | 22,975 | 22,975 | 22,975 | 22,975 | 22,975 |
Wald Chi-squared | 1641.73 (0.00) | 30.34 (0.00) | 2122.65 (0.00) | |||
R-squared | 0.143 | 0.058 | 0.014 | |||
1st Stage F-Statistics | 191.30 (0.00) | 70.84 (0.00) | 15.93 (0.00) | |||
Endogeneity Test | ||||||
Durbin Chi-Sq. | 5.52 (0.01) | 7.08 (0.00) | 6.40 (0.01) | |||
Wu-Hausman | 5.52 (0.01) | 7.08 (0.00) | 6.40 (0.01) |
Variables | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OLS | OLS | First Stage | Second Stage | First Stage | Second Stage | |
Credit Constrained | −0.001 | 0.802 *** | ||||
(0.005) | (0.234) | |||||
Rejected Borrower | 0.004 | 1.149 *** | ||||
(0.006) | (0.373) | |||||
Distance to Lender | 0.121 *** | 0.0846 *** | ||||
(0.0303) | (0.0244) | |||||
Wage | −0.072 *** | −0.072 *** | 0.000884 | −0.0720 *** | 0.0165 *** | −0.0902 *** |
(0.003) | (0.003) | (0.00667) | (0.00625) | (0.00536) | (0.00904) | |
Wage Sq. | 0.014 *** | 0.014 *** | −0.00302 ** | 0.0161 *** | −0.00380 *** | 0.0180 *** |
(0.001) | (0.001) | (0.00118) | (0.00129) | (0.000947) | (0.00184) | |
Savings | 0.001 *** | 0.001 *** | −0.00924 *** | 0.00838 *** | −0.00611 *** | 0.00799 *** |
(0.000) | (0.000) | (0.000754) | (0.00226) | (0.000607) | (0.00239) | |
Occupational Risk | 0.028 *** | 0.028 *** | −0.0227 | 0.0460 *** | 0.000177 | 0.0276 |
(0.009) | (0.009) | (0.0181) | (0.0177) | (0.0145) | (0.0188) | |
Age | 0.005 *** | 0.005 *** | 0.00111 | 0.00416 | 0.00287 | 0.00175 |
(0.001) | (0.001) | (0.00296) | (0.00280) | (0.00238) | (0.00327) | |
Age Sq. | −0.000 *** | −0.000 *** | −3.06 × | −2.83 × | −4.09 × | −5.81 × |
(0.000) | (0.000) | (3.31 × ) | (3.19 × ) | (2.66 × ) | (3.78 × ) | |
Auto Ownership | −0.009 | −0.009 | −0.0174 | 0.00724 | 0.00506 | −0.0125 |
(0.005) | (0.005) | (0.0111) | (0.0114) | (0.00896) | (0.0116) | |
Home Mortgage | 0.033 *** | 0.034 *** | −0.00276 | 0.0319 | −0.0477 ** | 0.0845 *** |
(0.013) | (0.013) | (0.0265) | (0.0249) | (0.0213) | (0.0322) | |
Family Size | −0.001 | −0.001 | 0.0183 *** | −0.0161 *** | 0.00635 *** | −0.00872 ** |
(0.001) | (0.001) | (0.00290) | (0.00508) | (0.00233) | (0.00384) | |
Female | −0.050 *** | −0.050 *** | 0.00186 | −0.0521 *** | −0.0296 *** | −0.0165 |
(0.005) | (0.005) | (0.0109) | (0.0103) | (0.00879) | (0.0157) | |
Married | 0.016 *** | 0.016 *** | −0.0591 *** | 0.0634 *** | −0.00773 | 0.0250 ** |
(0.006) | (0.006) | (0.0115) | (0.0176) | (0.00927) | (0.0123) | |
Separated | 0.027 *** | 0.027 *** | 0.0471 *** | −0.00996 | 0.0505 *** | −0.0302 |
(0.006) | (0.006) | (0.0119) | (0.0156) | (0.00954) | (0.0224) | |
Widow | 0.015 | 0.015 | 0.138 *** | −0.0964 ** | 0.151 *** | −0.160 ** |
(0.013) | (0.013) | (0.0276) | (0.0417) | (0.0222) | (0.0637) | |
High School | 0.032 *** | 0.032 *** | −0.0293 * | 0.0553 *** | 0.0391 *** | −0.0131 |
(0.008) | (0.008) | (0.0154) | (0.0159) | (0.0124) | (0.0218) | |
Bachelor Degree | 0.015 ** | 0.015 ** | −0.0843 *** | 0.0825 *** | 0.0185 | −0.00632 |
(0.007) | (0.007) | (0.0149) | (0.0241) | (0.0120) | (0.0170) | |
Post Graduate | 0.042 *** | 0.042 *** | −0.0997 *** | 0.120 *** | 0.00388 | 0.0360 ** |
(0.008) | (0.008) | (0.0163) | (0.0274) | (0.0131) | (0.0170) | |
Black | −0.048 *** | −0.049 *** | 0.183 *** | −0.194 *** | 0.116 *** | −0.181 *** |
(0.005) | (0.005) | (0.0106) | (0.0437) | (0.00851) | (0.0445) | |
Hispanic/Latino | −0.027 *** | −0.027 *** | 0.0336 *** | −0.0532 *** | 0.0151* | −0.0436 *** |
(0.005) | (0.005) | (0.0106) | (0.0126) | (0.00851) | (0.0123) | |
Asian/Indian/Hawaiian | −0.060 *** | −0.060 *** | −0.000823 | −0.0588 *** | 0.00547 | −0.0657 *** |
(0.005) | (0.005) | (0.0113) | (0.0106) | (0.00907) | (0.0119) | |
Constant | 3.764 *** | 3.764 *** | 0.308 *** | 3.515 *** | 0.0221 | 3.736 *** |
(0.032) | (0.032) | (0.0649) | (0.0949) | (0.0522) | (0.0682) | |
Number of Observations | 11,549 | 11,549 | 11,549 | 11,549 | 11,549 | 11,549 |
Wald Chi-squared | 501.96 (0.00) | 557.09 (0.00) | ||||
R-Squared | 0.138 | 0.138 | 0.061 | 0.123 | ||
1-Stage F-Statistics | 37.55 (0.00) | 81.48 (0.00) | ||||
Endogeneity Test | ||||||
Durbin Chi-Sq. | 43.70 (0.00) | 43.24 (0.00) | ||||
Wu-Hausman | 43.79 (0.00) | 43.32 (0.00) |
(1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Constraint 1 | 2.442 * | 0.610 | 2.066 *** | 1.189 *** |
(1.357) | (0.814) | (0.653) | (0.437) | |
Wage | −0.0737 *** | −0.0626 *** | −0.0710 *** | −0.0651 *** |
(0.00798) | (0.0135) | (0.00677) | (0.00589) | |
Wage Sq. | 0.0158 *** | 0.0126 *** | 0.0146 *** | 0.0128 *** |
(0.00179) | (0.00176) | (0.00122) | (0.000999) | |
Savings | 0.00223 ** | 0.00229 | 0.00221 *** | 0.00392 *** |
(0.00112) | (0.00173) | (0.000851) | (0.00122) | |
Occupational Risk | 0.0894 ** | 0.0238 ** | 0.0386 ** | 0.0557 *** |
(0.0403) | (0.0118) | (0.0186) | (0.0175) | |
Observations | 11,549 | 11,549 | 11,549 | 11,549 |
Wald Chi-squared | 17,206 (0.00) | 27,529.6 (0.00) | 17,868.7 (0.00) | 21,540.7 (0.00) |
Endogeneity Tests | ||||
Durbin Chi-Sq. | 19.28 (0.00) | 0.824 (0.36) | 43.56 (0.00) | 18.94 (0.00) |
Wu-Hausman | 19.28 (0.00) | 0.822 (0.36) | 43.64 (0.00) | 18.94 (0.00) |
Variable | Age 26–35 | Age 26–40 | Age 26–45 | Age 26–50 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Credit Constrained | 0.0928 | 0.217 ** | 0.756 *** | 0.842 *** |
(0.108) | (0.0993) | (0.238) | (0.201) | |
Wage | −0.101 *** | −0.0976 *** | −0.0632 *** | −0.0749 *** |
(0.0132) | (0.00807) | (0.0114) | (0.00950) | |
Wage Sq. | 0.0244 *** | 0.0228 *** | 0.0164 *** | 0.0185 *** |
(0.00335) | (0.00154) | (0.00183) | (0.00178) | |
Savings | 0.000244 | 0.00380 ** | 0.00971 *** | 0.00975 *** |
(0.00131) | (0.00149) | (0.00313) | (0.00246) | |
Occupational Risk | 0.129 *** | 0.0589 * | −0.00725 | 0.0509 * |
(0.0470) | (0.0314) | (0.0414) | (0.0296) | |
Number of Observations | 2365 | 4164 | 5745 | 7428 |
Wald Chi-squared | 350.97 (0.00) | 515.72 (0.00) | 220.91 (0.00) | 279.84 (0.00) |
Endogeneity Tests | ||||
Durbin Chi-Sq. | 0.54 (0.46) | 6.34 (0.01) | 44.20 (0.00) | 82.63 (0.00) |
Wu-Hausman | 0.54 (0.46) | 6.32 (0.01) | 44.37 (0.00) | 83.31 (0.00) |
Disclaimer/Publisher’s Note: The statements, opinions and data contained in all publications are solely those of the individual author(s) and contributor(s) and not of MDPI and/or the editor(s). MDPI and/or the editor(s) disclaim responsibility for any injury to people or property resulting from any ideas, methods, instructions or products referred to in the content. |
© 2025 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Share and Cite
Nawaz, M.; Koirala, N.P.; Butt, H. Labor Supply as a Buffer: The Implication of Credit Constraints in the US. J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18, 299. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18060299
Nawaz M, Koirala NP, Butt H. Labor Supply as a Buffer: The Implication of Credit Constraints in the US. Journal of Risk and Financial Management. 2025; 18(6):299. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18060299
Chicago/Turabian StyleNawaz, Muhammad, Niraj P. Koirala, and Hassan Butt. 2025. "Labor Supply as a Buffer: The Implication of Credit Constraints in the US" Journal of Risk and Financial Management 18, no. 6: 299. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18060299
APA StyleNawaz, M., Koirala, N. P., & Butt, H. (2025). Labor Supply as a Buffer: The Implication of Credit Constraints in the US. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 18(6), 299. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18060299