Search Results (51)

This study investigates the predictive performance of financial indicators in forecasting stock prices within the automotive sector using an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS). In light of the growing complexity of global financial markets and the increasing demand for automated, data-driven forecasting models, this research aims to identify those financial ratios that most accurately reflect price dynamics in this specific industry. The model incorporates four widely used financial indicators, return on assets (ROA), return on equity (ROE), earnings per share (EPS), and profit margin (PM), as inputs. The analysis is based on real financial and market data from automotive companies, and model performance was assessed using RMSE, nRMSE, and confidence intervals. The results indicate that the full model, including all four indicators, achieved the highest accuracy and prediction stability, while the exclusion of ROA or ROE significantly deteriorated model performance. These findings challenge the weak-form efficiency hypothesis and underscore the relevance of firm-level fundamentals in stock price formation. This study’s sector-specific approach highlights the importance of tailoring predictive models to industry characteristics, offering implications for both financial modeling and investment strategies. Future research directions include expanding the indicator set, increasing the sample size, and testing the model across additional industry domains. Full article

This research empirically investigates how the adoption of restricted stock units (RSUs) affects earnings per share (EPS) and operating profit, focusing on variations across industries. RSUs have emerged as a strategic compensation tool for promoting alignment between employee interests and long-term organizational objectives, while overcoming the short-sighted focus typically associated with conventional stock options. However, previous studies have mainly focused on analyzing the average effect of RSU or verifying only whether there is a short-term improvement in performance after its introduction, and there has been no sufficient review of the long-term effects. In addition, there is a lack of analyses on how the effects of RSU differ by industry. To fill this research gap, this study applied hierarchical regression analysis to S&P 500 company data from 1997 to 2023 to compare and analyze the differential effects of RSU by industry. The analysis showed that the EPS and operating income were only significantly affected by some industries in the early stages of RSU introduction, but the EPS and operating income were significantly improved in all industries in the long term. In addition, it was confirmed that the effects of RSU differ depending on the characteristics of the industry. This study empirically verifies the long-term effects of RSU and the differences by industry, offering practical insights for executives and shareholders when utilizing RSUs as a forward-looking compensation mechanism that fosters sustainable performance and enduring corporate value. Full article

This study investigates the relationship between corporate social responsibility performance and financial performance among firms listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange in South Africa. Utilising a multi-metric approach, the research incorporates corporate social responsibility scores; environmental, social, and governance ratings; and the social pillar score to provide a comprehensive analysis. Data from 104 companies with 624 observations from 2017 to 2022 was analysed. This quantitative study employs a Generalised Least Squares estimation, and the findings reveal a significant positive correlation between corporate social responsibility performance and several key financial metrics, including return on assets, earnings per share, market value added, and Tobin’s Q ratio. The results suggest that companies prioritising corporate social responsibility initiatives are likely to experience improved financial outcomes. Furthermore, the study examines the influence of board characteristics on financial performance, identifying a positive effect of gender diversity and negative impacts from board independence and meeting frequency. Overall, this research contributes to the literature on corporate social responsibility and financial performance by highlighting the importance of corporate social responsibility in driving sustainable business practices and enhancing firm performance within the context of an emerging economy. The findings underscore the need for firms to integrate corporate social responsibility into their strategies to promote long-term success while addressing societal challenges. Full article

This study aims to rate the impact of the three major risks (credit, capital adequacy, and liquidity) on three financial performance measures (return on equity (ROE), earnings per share (EPS), and price-earnings ratio (PER)). This study stands out as one of the few in its field, and the only one focusing on banks in the Middle East and Africa, to employ the adaptive neural network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) that combines neural networks and fuzzy logic systems. The significance of this study lies in its comprehensive coverage of major risks and performance variables and its application of highly technical, sophisticated, and precise AI techniques (ANFIS). The main findings indicate that credit risk, as measured by the non-performing loans (NPL) has significant impact on both ROE and EPS. Liquidity risk comes second in importance for ROE and EPS, with the loan-deposit ratio (LDR) being the dominant component. In contrast, liquidity risk is the most significant determinant of PER, followed by capital adequacy. Our results also show that CAR, LDR, and NPL are the most significant risk components of capital adequacy, liquidity, and credit risks, respectively. The study contributes to business knowledge by applying the ANFIS technique as an accurate predictor of risk rating. Future research will explore the relationship between risks and macroeconomic indicators and differences among countries. Full article

This study aims to investigate the impact of environmental accounting disclosures on the financial performance of banks listed on Borsa Istanbul (BIST). In this study, sustainability and integrated reports for 2019–2023 are analyzed, and environmental accounting disclosures are classified into two categories as operational and financial activities. Using the Environmental Accounting Reporting Score, the relationship with financial performance indicators such as return on assets, return on equity, earnings per share, and profit margin is analyzed using the seemingly unrelated regression (SUR) method. The results show that environmental accounting disclosures do not have a direct and statistically significant effect on financial performance. However, control variables such as bank size, debt-to-asset ratio, and loan-to-asset ratio are found to have a positive effect on financial performance. In particular, larger banks tend to have higher profitability and earnings per share, while higher non-interest expenses have a negative impact on profitability. The study shows that the direct contribution of environmental accounting practices to financial performance is limited, but that banks’ operational and financial structures are greater determinants of performance. These findings highlight the need for improvements in areas such as standardization of sustainability reporting, stakeholder awareness, and environmental risk management for policy makers and banks. Full article

This article examines whether the presentation of integrated reports (IRs), the external assurance of non-financial information, and the use of auditing standards affect market liquidity and the accuracy of earnings per share forecasts in the Chilean market following the publication of the International IR Framework. Using ordinary least squares estimations, results show that IRs significantly reduce information asymmetry, thereby improving market liquidity. This effect is reinforced when non-financial information is externally assured, particularly under the ISAE3000 standard. However, neither IRs nor external assurance significantly impact financial analysts’ earnings forecast accuracy, suggesting that such information serves a complementary role in their evaluations. This study contributes to the literature by providing empirical evidence on the role of IRs and assurance in emerging economies, emphasizing their effectiveness in enhancing transparency and liquidity. The findings have direct implications for companies, as they suggest that adopting IRs and obtaining external assurance can strengthen market perceptions and investor confidence, particularly when using the ISAE3000 standard. For regulators, the results highlight the potential benefits of promoting standardized sustainability disclosures and assurance mechanisms to foster transparency in capital markets. Investors, in turn, can use IR quality and assurance as signals of corporate credibility and long-term value creation. Full article

Restricted stock units (RSUs) are a key component of executive compensation schemes, aligning executive incentives with the long-term goals of the company and compensating for the limitations of traditional stock options. This study empirically analyzes the impact of RSUs on corporate performance, particularly earnings per share (EPS) and operating profit. S&P 500 companies’ 27 years of data from 1997 to 2023 were used to evaluate the change in performance before and after the introduction of RSUs, and a paired t-test and hierarchical regression analysis were applied. The research results show that the introduction of RSUs has a stronger performance improvement effect in the 6th to 10th year after the introduction, suggesting that over time, even if RSUs cause short-term cost burdens, they increase the company’s financial stability in the long term and contribute to sustainable growth. In addition, the same analysis was conducted by setting not only EPS but also operating profit as an alternative variable, and it was confirmed that RSUs also have a positive impact on actual profitability improvement. This study emphasizes the need for companies to design RSUs as a strategic compensation system for long-term value creation, not as a short-term performance reward, and suggests the need for a further analysis of the effects of RSUs in various industries and regions. Full article

This study has made significant findings in A-share market data processing and portfolio management. Firstly, by adopting the Lasso method and CPCA framework, we effectively addressed the problem of multicollinearity among feature indicators, with the Lasso method demonstrating superior performance in handling this issue, thus providing a new method for financial data processing. Secondly, Deep Feedforward Neural Networks (DFN) exhibited exceptional performance in portfolio management, significantly outperforming other evaluated machine learning methods, and achieving high levels of out-of-sample performance and Sharpe ratios. Additionally, we consistently identified price changes, earnings per share, net assets per share, and excess returns as key factors influencing predictive signals. Finally, this study combined the Lasso method with DFN, providing a new perspective and methodological support for asset pricing measurement in the financial field. Full article

Poland is one of the leading milk producers in the EU, being the fifth largest after countries such as Germany, France, Italy, and the Netherlands. From Poland’s accession to the European Union in 2004 up to 2022, Polish milk production experienced dynamic development. In this, there occurred a strong decline in the number of dairy farms (by −78%) and the number of cows (by −21%), an increase in dairy herd size (3.5 times) and increase in milk production (+60%) and milk yield per cow (by +62%). These were among the highest growth dynamics among the analysed countries. As a result of this significant transformation, Poland maintained an important position in milk exports, with a 31% export share in production in 2022. The scale of milk production was the basic factor determining the efficiency and competitiveness of dairy farms in Poland. Milk yield, farmland productivity, labour productivity, milk price, and the Corrected Competitiveness Index (based on labour and land opportunity costs) all showed a positive relationship with cow herd size on the farm. Milk production is highly uncompetitive for smaller farms (<15 cows). Despite substantial public support, the smaller farms, where subsidies equal up to 47% of total production value, could not earn sufficient income to cover the cost of capital, risk, and management in 2008, and even more so in 2021. This is because the farm income is too small to cover the extremely high opportunity cost of labour. The larger farms (with 30 cows and more) are competitive and responsible for the majority (~60–70%) of milk produced and delivered to the market. The most challenging from the sectoral policy point of view are medium farms (10–29 cows), whose share in production and deliveries is still important. To survive as economically viable units, these farms have to increase in scale and improve productivity. Otherwise, they will be gradually supplanted by larger farms. Full article

In an era focused on deepening green sustainable development, improving corporate ESG performance has become a theoretical focal point. Starting from the positional attributes of the interlocking director network, this study investigates the influence of a company’s position within this network on its ESG performance among China’s A-share-listed companies from 2009 to 2022. It utilizes Huazheng ESG ratings from the Wind database and employs regression models, analyses, endogeneity, and propensity score matching tests via Stata15.0 to probe the internal mechanisms at play. Research findings indicate that corporations at the core of the interlocking director network exhibit significantly better ESG performance compared to those in peripheral positions. The interlocking director network enhances corporate ESG performance by improving internal control levels. Media attention positively influences the effect of the interlocking director network on corporate ESG performance. Further analysis reveals that the beneficial impact of the interlocking director network on ESG performance is more pronounced in highly marketized corporations, those outside of heavy pollution industries, and those with a higher proportion of female directors. Economically, the positive effect of the interlocking director network on ESG performance enhances both earnings per share and total factor productivity. This study offers a novel pathway for enhancing corporate sustainability in emerging economies through the lens of the interlocking director network, drawing on China’s experience. It aims to guide emerging markets in fostering ESG practices among corporations, thus offering theoretical insights for enhancing ESG performance. Full article

Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) was usually referred to as a concept where companies initiate voluntary action towards social and environmental concerns in the context of business operations related to the stakeholders of the company prior to the CSR Act 2013 in India. Post-2013, the voluntary initiative was replaced by regulatory guidelines to address social and environmental concerns. The CSR applicability–investment gap was used as a base concept in this study with instrumental theory; the study offers a strategic perspective of CSR and how organizations emphasized maximizing stakeholders’ value. In order to further investigate the effect of CSR on corporate financial performance (CFP) through the measure of shareholders’ value, i.e., the return on equity (ROE), the study used the sample from the National Stock Exchange (NSE)-Nifty-100 indexed companies of Emerging Economy—India for a span of fourteen years (2009–2023). The vast majority of research in this domain is conducted in developed countries; the research gap is filled by this study by considering India and drawing samples from multiple industries. The empirical model was developed by using panel data regression, where the dependent variable was ROE, and the independent variables were earning per share (EPS), log total income (LTI), CSR applicability/profit after tax (CRSAPPPAT), and CSR investment/profit after tax (CSRIPAT). The findings also highlighted the CSR applicability and investment of the firms during pre- and post-Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) periods. The same was also analyzed for the firms committed to CSR and not committed to CSR. The results indicated that there is no significant impact of the CSR/ESG initiatives (applicability and investment) on the ROE of the firms. The performance could be better if the companies minimize the CSR/ESG promise–performance gap through effective communication with stakeholders. Full article

Urban resilience provides the foundation and guarantee for the tourism economy, and the development of the tourism industry provides new opportunities and impetus for urban resilience. The coordinated development of urban resilience (UR) and the tourism economy (TE) contributes to the high-quality development of the regional economy. This study takes 27 cities in the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) urban agglomeration as an example. Various analytical techniques, including the entropy method, coupling coordination degree model (CCDM), kernel density estimation, Theil index, and obstacle degree model, are employed to investigate the spatiotemporal evolution patterns and influencing factors that affect the coupling coordination degree (CCD) between UR and TE. The findings indicate that: (1) The urban resilience and tourism economy exhibited an increasing trend denoted by “N” and “M”, respectively. (2) The coupling coordination level has undergone a development phase of “Moderate disorder–Bare coordination–Moderate disorder”. (3) The level of coordination has been enhanced, with intra-regional differences identified as the primary source of variation. (4) The number of Internet users, the number of students in institutions of higher learning, per capita public financial expenditure, science and technology expenditures as a share of fiscal expenditures, urban per capita disposable income, foreign exchange earnings from tourism, and the number of inbound tourists is the main factors affecting the CCD of urban resilience and tourism economy. Full article

Environmental, social, and governance (ESG) integration is an increasingly popular and innovative investing strategy that requires companies to be transparent about their ESG practices to facilitate investors’ decisions. In the palm oil sector, companies are addressing ESG risks by adopting and disclosing ESG efforts to improve access to financing. This study seeks to broaden existing research on ESG transparency and firms’ financial indicators by using firm valuation as a financial indicator and investigating the moderating role of firm size in the palm oil sector. It first investigates whether ESG transparency has a direct positive or negative effect on firm valuation. Transparency is measured using the Zoological Society of London’s (ZSL) Sustainability Policy Transparency Toolkit (SPOTT) 2021 assessment, which provides scores for palm oil companies’ total, environmental, social, and governance disclosures. Firm valuation is measured by the price-to-earnings ratio (P/E), a widely used ratio calculated by dividing the share price by earnings per share. The study also explores the moderating role of firm size, using accounting-based measures such as revenue and assets, in strengthening the relationship between ESG transparency and firm valuation. The results show statistically significant negative relationships between ESG transparency and firm valuation. Companies with stronger ESG transparency are valued at a discount relative to companies with weaker ESG transparency. Additionally, the results find that firm size plays a moderating role such that larger firms strengthen the negative relationships between all transparency measures and firm valuation. These findings encourage constructive action for various stakeholders and provide implications for future research to support mainstreaming sustainable palm oil. Full article

The purpose of this study was to examine the determinants of cash distribution options by critically considering the effects of earnings, dividends, firm size, and economic value added. The distribution of cash dividends to shareholders serves as a basic means by which shareholders receive returns on their investments, so it is essential to examine share repurchases alongside dividends to enhance management’s efforts in maximising shareholder value. This study utilised panel data from 52 companies listed on the Johannesburg Security Exchange (JSE) that engaged in open market share repurchases for at least 2 years between 2000 and 2019. The data were extracted from the IRESS database. The panel data regression model was fitted with the ordinary least squares (OLS), difference generalised moment method (Diff-GMM), system generalised moment method (Sys-GMM), and least-squares dummy variable correction estimator (LSDVC). The findings revealed that there was a positive and significant relationship between the earnings per share and the payoff flexibility, implying that there was an inherent flexibility of repurchases as a payout option in the sampled firms. Additionally, the study revealed a significant negative relationship between the firm size, economic value added, and payoff flexibility. This suggests that larger companies tend to distribute a lower proportion of their earnings as share repurchases and opt for higher cash dividends instead. The implications of these findings provide financial managers with valuable insights into the role of share repurchases as a cash distribution choice. By recognising share repurchases as a viable option, financial managers can enhance their efforts to create and maximise shareholder value, particularly in emerging market settings. This evidence should encourage financial managers to recognise share repurchases more as a distribution choice, diffusing the tension regarding share repurchases replacing the payment of cash dividends and some doubt that they may not possess attributes complimentary to cash dividends. The study recommended relevant academic, industry, and policy implications in the South African context. Full article

Corporations that prioritize Environment, Social, and Governance (ESG) considerations tend to have a more sustainable approach to business operations with a lower impact on the environment and society. Extant literature is available on the impact of ESG on firm performance, risk-taking, profitability, the cost of capital, cash flows, and default risk. However, very little is known about the role of ESG performance in shaping the current and future value of a corporation. Similarly, hi-tech firms, being a part of the rapidly growing sector of the world, are facing greater scrutiny from investors, regulators, and consumers to demonstrate their commitment to sustainability and social responsibility. This paper investigates the effect of ESG performance on the corporate present and future value of top global tech leaders for a period of eight years (2010 to 2017). Panel data techniques such as the fixed effects model and random effects model based on the Hausman test were used to observe this relationship. Earnings per share (EPS) and the price-to-earnings ratio (PE ratio) were used as a measure of firm current and future value, respectively. The results revealed that ESG has a significantly positive association with both proxies of corporate value of the top global tech companies. However, as compared to EPS, it had a more pronounced impact on the PE ratio of the sampled firms. Unlike many earlier studies that claimed that the ESG score impacts firm performance in the corresponding period, the present research is novel, as it asserts that investors are not only benefiting from firms’ higher investment in ESG through an increase in EPS but are also highly optimistic about the future performance of the firm and thus are paying more for each dollar of earnings. These finding contribute to the existing body of literature on the ESG and firm value nexus and are supported by the stakeholder theory of corporate social responsibility. Thus, policymakers for the tech sector should pay keen attention to firms’ ESG performance to earn the long-term trust of shareholders. Full article