Search Results (2)

The growing sports betting market works on the premise that sports are unpredictable, making it more likely to be wrong than right, as the user has to choose between win, draw, or lose. So could football, the world’s most popular sport, be predictable? This article studies this question using deep neural networks to predict the outcome of football matches using publicly available data. Data from 24,760 matches from 13 leagues over 2 to 10 years were used as input for the neural network and to generate a state-of-the-art validated feature, the pi-rating, and the parameters proposed in this work, such as relative attack, defence, and mid power. The data were pre-processed to improve the network’s interpretation and deal with missing or inconsistent data. With the validated pi-rating, data organisation methods were evaluated to find the most fitting option for this prediction system. The final network has four layers with 100, 80, 5, and 3 neurons, respectively, applying the dropout technique to reduce overfitting errors. The results showed that the most influential features are the proposed relative defending, playmaking, and midfield power, and the home team goal expectancy features, surpassing the pi-rating. Finally, the proposed model obtained an accuracy of 52.8% in 2589 matches, reaching 80.3% in specific situations. These results prove that football can be predictable and that some leagues are more predictable than others. Full article

This chapter evaluates how South Africa approaches and applies certain aspects of the Hague Convention on the Civil Aspects of International Child Abduction, the challenges it faces, and how it submits proposals to improve its application. The SA courts are the upper guardians of children in terms of the common law and uphold the best interests of the child as a paramount principle. The Chief Family Advocate (“FA”) has been appointed as the Central Authority (“CA”) and falls under the Department of Justice and Correctional Services. The Chief Liaison Judge is based in the Appeal Court and has appointed Liaison Judges in the Provincial Divisions. How SA approaches international child abduction, and applies the HC, is explored. SA has a rich jurisprudence around the practical application of the HC. The procedure in these matters; the general rules and exceptions; the voice, representation and participation of the child; and the approach to children’s best interests and measures to protect their interests are evaluated. SA’s approach in regard to HC matters could be improved. How the challenges of an independent best-interests factor, outcomes veering away from the return principles, the FA’s compromised role as the CA, and the delays in outcomes prejudice the HC’s philosophy and the application thereof are considered. Recommendations are made for the acceleration of proceedings, more certainty in the consideration of Article 13 defences incorporating protective measures in return orders, further clarity from courts or the implementation of practice directives in these matters, the use of mediation, and further guidelines/directives to be provided. Given the importance of the HC in international child abduction matters, hopefully the aims and purposes of the HC can be fully realised in SA’s future. Full article