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Water 2016, 8(12), 558; doi:10.3390/w8120558

Assessing the Spatial and Temporal Patterns of Seasonal Precipitation Extremes and the Potential Influencing Factors in Dongting Lake Basin, China

School of Education Science, Hunan First Normal University, Changsha 410205, China
Key Laboratory for Agro-ecological Processes in Subtropical Region, Institute of Subtropical Agriculture, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changsha 410125, China
Huanjiang Observation and Research Station for Karst Ecosystem, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Huanjiang 547100, China
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Academic Editor: Athanasios Loukas
Received: 13 October 2016 / Revised: 15 November 2016 / Accepted: 24 November 2016 / Published: 29 November 2016
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The Dongting Lake Basin (DTLB) of China is a flood prone area. Knowledge of the spatiotemporal characteristics and risks of precipitation extremes is essential for flood mitigation. Based on the precipitation amount (R), precipitation intensity (Ri), max 1 day precipitation amount (Rx1) and max 5 day precipitation amount (Rx5), this study analyzed the spatial-temporal patterns, risks and investigated the influences of the precipitation extremes at seasonal scale. The distributed high values of R, Ri, Rx1, Rx5 and their 5-year return levels (R5, Ri5, Rx15, Rx55) indicated high flood risks in the eastern and northern parts of the basin, and the general upward trends of these indices suggested increasing flood risks, except for some areas in southwestern part in spring and autumn. The precipitation extremes were related to the topographic and circulation factors, within which the latter might have greater roles. Furthermore, the trend directions of the 5-year return levels (R5, Ri5, Rx15, Rx55) were not always the same as the initial indices (R, Ri, Rx1, Rx5), suggesting that overall decreasing (increasing) precipitation extremes do not always represent decreasing (increasing) risks of floods. Hence, policy makers should pay more attention to the risks of precipitation extremes rather than their overall tendencies. View Full-Text
Keywords: precipitation extreme; risk; climate change; flood; Dongting Lake precipitation extreme; risk; climate change; flood; Dongting Lake

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This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. (CC BY 4.0).

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Zhang, X.; Liu, M. Assessing the Spatial and Temporal Patterns of Seasonal Precipitation Extremes and the Potential Influencing Factors in Dongting Lake Basin, China. Water 2016, 8, 558.

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