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Buildings 2017, 7(3), 64; doi:10.3390/buildings7030064

Integrating Scenarios into Life Cycle Assessment: Understanding the Value and Financial Feasibility of a Demountable Building

1
Department of Architectural Engineering, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, 1050 Brussels, Belgium
2
Department of Architecture and Urban Planning, Ghent University, 9000 Ghent, Belgium
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Received: 13 June 2017 / Revised: 6 July 2017 / Accepted: 12 July 2017 / Published: 14 July 2017
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Real Estate Economics, Management and Investments)
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Abstract

Although life cycle assessment offers insight into the long-term value of our building stock, it has become impossible to model with certainty the service life of a building. What if new lifestyles make reality diverge from the expected service life? What if the building is decommissioned very early or forced to accommodate new functions? Would the same design decisions have been made or would an alternative have been preferred? In reaction to this challenge, the present paper proposes to integrate scenario planning and life cycle assessment. Therefore, it discusses from where scenario planning originates and how it appeared hitherto in architectural design and life cycle assessment. Thereafter, it explores how assessors can profit from scenarios when raising awareness and co-creating alternatives. Subsequently, a methodological framework for effective scenario development is proposed. To illustrate the added value of scenario integrated life cycle assessments, four divergent scenarios are developed for evaluating the financial feasibility of demountable building element reuse. With this simple case study is shown how more relevant and nuanced assessment outcomes are obtained when divergent scenarios are adopted. View Full-Text
Keywords: scenario planning; resilience; life cycle assessment; life cycle costing scenario planning; resilience; life cycle assessment; life cycle costing
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This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. (CC BY 4.0).

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Galle, W.; De Temmerman, N.; De Meyer, R. Integrating Scenarios into Life Cycle Assessment: Understanding the Value and Financial Feasibility of a Demountable Building. Buildings 2017, 7, 64.

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