Was Mandatory Quarantine Necessary in China for Controlling the 2009 H1N1 Pandemic?
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Methods
2.1. The SEIR Model
2.2. Determination of Model Parameters
3. Results
3.1. Summary of 2009 H1N1 Pandemic Infection and Control in Beijing and Mainland China
3.2. Effectiveness of Quarantine in Beijing
Scenario 1: nobody was quarantined | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Quarantined individuals | Cost per capita (US$) | Cost (US$) | Memo | |
Tracking | 3,279 | 120 | 3.93E+05 | an ambulance with three staff |
Accommodations | 3,279 | 70 × 7 days | 1.61E+06 | seven days in a three star hotel |
Medical check | 3,279 | 50 | 1.64E+05 | |
Infected individuals | Cost per capita (US$) | Cost (US$) | Memo | |
Medical check | 26,622/3.38 * = 7876 | 50 | 3.94E+05 | simulated intensity/duration |
Total | 2.56E+06 | |||
Scenarios 2: close contactors were quarantined during the period from 16 May to 8 July 2009 | ||||
Infected individuals | Cost per capita (US$) | Cost (US$) | Memo | |
Medical check | 128,004/3.38 * = 37,871 | 50 | 1.89E+06 | simulated intensity/duration |
Total | 1.89E+06 |
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Acknowledgements
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Li, X.; Geng, W.; Tian, H.; Lai, D. Was Mandatory Quarantine Necessary in China for Controlling the 2009 H1N1 Pandemic? Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2013, 10, 4690-4700. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph10104690
Li X, Geng W, Tian H, Lai D. Was Mandatory Quarantine Necessary in China for Controlling the 2009 H1N1 Pandemic? International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 2013; 10(10):4690-4700. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph10104690
Chicago/Turabian StyleLi, Xinhai, Wenjun Geng, Huidong Tian, and Dejian Lai. 2013. "Was Mandatory Quarantine Necessary in China for Controlling the 2009 H1N1 Pandemic?" International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 10, no. 10: 4690-4700. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph10104690