Reprint

Hybrid Advanced Techniques for Forecasting in Energy Sector

Edited by
October 2018
250 pages
  • ISBN978-3-03897-290-7 (Paperback)
  • ISBN978-3-03897-291-4 (PDF)

This book is a reprint of the Special Issue Hybrid Advanced Techniques for Forecasting in Energy Sector that was published in

Chemistry & Materials Science
Engineering
Environmental & Earth Sciences
Physical Sciences
Summary

Accurate forecasting performance in the energy sector is a primary factor in the modern restructured power market, accomplished by any novel advanced hybrid techniques. Particularly in the Big Data era, forecasting models are always based on a complex function combination, and energy data are always complicated by factors such as seasonality, cyclicity, fluctuation, dynamic nonlinearity, and so on. To comprehensively address this issue, it is insufficient to concentrate only on simply hybridizing evolutionary algorithms with each other, or on hybridizing evolutionary algorithms with chaotic mapping, quantum computing, recurrent and seasonal mechanisms, and fuzzy inference theory in order to determine suitable parameters for an existing model. It is necessary to also consider hybridizing or combining two or more existing models (e.g., neuro-fuzzy model, BPNN-fuzzy model, seasonal support vector regression–chaotic quantum particle swarm optimization (SSVR-CQPSO), etc.). These advanced novel hybrid techniques can provide more satisfactory energy forecasting performances.

This book aimed to attract researchers with an interest in the research areas described above. Specifically, we were interested in contributions towards recent developments, i.e., hybridizing or combining any advanced techniques in energy forecasting, with the superior capabilities over the traditional forecasting approaches, with the ability to overcome some embedded drawbacks, and with the very superiority to achieve significant improved forecasting accuracy.

Format
  • Paperback
License
© 2019 by the authors; CC BY license
Keywords
wind power forecasting; LS-SVM; ARIMA; fuzzy group; economic dispatch; quantum-behaved particle swarm optimization; valve-point effects; multiple fuel options; annual electric load forecasting; least squares support vector machine (LSSVM); fruit fly optimization algorithm (FOA); optimization problem; locational marginal price; forecasting; principal component analysis; clustering; time-series analysis; similarity measures; pattern discovery; building energy modeling; cluster validity; wind power forecasting; wind power variability; quantile forecasting; density forecasting; quantile regression; continuous ranked probability score; quantile loss function; check function; smart grid; photovoltaic generation; clearness index; forecasting; probability density functions; autoregressive models; Bayesian inference; load forecasting; data pattern classification; model-switching scheme (MSS); Kalman filtering; accumulated error; autoregressive moving average with exogenous variable (ARMAX); artificial neural network; distributed intelligence; short-term load forecasting; smart grid; microgrid; multilayer perceptron; electric load prediction; support vector regression; empirical mode decomposition auto regression; hybrid techniques; PV forecasting; artificial Intelligence; neural networks; short term load forecasting; artificial intelligence; statistical methods; short-term load forecasting; least-squares support vector machines; average daily load; two-stage approach; power forecasting; solar energy; data mining; genetic algorithm