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Land 2014, 3(1), 322-341; doi:10.3390/land3010322
Article

Development of Future Land Cover Change Scenarios in the Metropolitan Fringe, Oregon, U.S., with Stakeholder Involvement

 and *
Received: 26 November 2013; in revised form: 26 February 2014 / Accepted: 6 March 2014 / Published: 14 March 2014
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Land Change Modeling: Connecting to the Bigger Picture)
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Abstract: We describe a future land cover scenario construction process developed under consultation with a group of stakeholders from our study area. We developed a simple geographic information system (GIS) method to modify a land cover dataset and then used qualitative data extracted from the stakeholder storyline to modify it. These identified variables related to our study area’s land use regulation system as the major driver in the placement of new urban growth on the landscape; and the accommodation of new population as the determinant of its growth rate. The outcome was a series of three scenario maps depicting a gradient of increased urbanization. The effort attempted to create a simple and transparent modeling framework that is easy to communicate. The incorporation of the regulatory context and rules and place-specific modeling for denser urban and sparse rural areas provide new insights of future land conversions. This relatively rapid mapping process provides useful information for spatial planning and projects for where and how much urban land will be present by the year 2050.
Keywords: land cover change; urbanization; scenarios; stakeholder participation; GIS land cover change; urbanization; scenarios; stakeholder participation; GIS
This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

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MDPI and ACS Style

Hoyer, R.W.; Chang, H. Development of Future Land Cover Change Scenarios in the Metropolitan Fringe, Oregon, U.S., with Stakeholder Involvement. Land 2014, 3, 322-341.

AMA Style

Hoyer RW, Chang H. Development of Future Land Cover Change Scenarios in the Metropolitan Fringe, Oregon, U.S., with Stakeholder Involvement. Land. 2014; 3(1):322-341.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Hoyer, Robert W.; Chang, Heejun. 2014. "Development of Future Land Cover Change Scenarios in the Metropolitan Fringe, Oregon, U.S., with Stakeholder Involvement." Land 3, no. 1: 322-341.

Land EISSN 2073-445X Published by MDPI AG, Basel, Switzerland RSS E-Mail Table of Contents Alert