1. Introduction and Aims of the Work
The “financialization” of the real estate market (Real Estate, hereafter RE) which has increased dramatically since the early 1990s, has gradually brought together very large amounts of capital, according to a clear “speculative” ratio [
1]. In this context, the overvaluation of the RE assets put up as collateral for loans (the “subprime crisis”) has been all too frequent; this overvaluation generated the “housing bubble” in 2007 from which the still ongoing (2017) widespread economic and financial crisis originated. The opportunity to restore financial levers through Loan To Value (LTV) ratios up to 100% (of overestimated values) triggered a proliferation of RE initiatives not always born well by the market. On the one hand, these initiatives caused fruitless land consumption; on the other hand, they also had a negative impact on the credit system, damaging all types of investor (institutional, qualified, ordinary). According to some analysts [
2] these effects were related to: (i) the belief in a continuous and endless economic growth; (ii) specific responsibilities related to deficient checks during the granting of loans; and (iii) some relevant aspects for the formulation of assessment judgments not having been taken into account, such as: collateral utilities in the long term, the viability of those in debt and environmental and social sustainability.
Focusing on the structural causes which have caused the malfunction of the global economy, and the inability of growth models to simultaneously guarantee social, economic and environmental sustainability. The definition of new objectives aiming towards the common good and integral and sustainable development appears to be necessary.
As a consequence of the economic spread, new attention has been given to investment prospects integrating the principles of conventional finance with those of an ethical nature [
2]. The first investments related to so-called “ethical finance” date back to the 1920s in the United States. Between the 1970s and 1980s, the concept of ethical finance became widely recognized. In 1976, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) published guidelines regarding corporate social responsibility. The spread of ethical investment had been moderately growing until the early 2000s, and then increased very rapidly as a result of the persistence of the current global financial crisis [
3].
In this context new interest should be devoted to ethical investments and, more specifically, to Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) or socially-responsible investments whose aim is not to exclusively satisfy the creation of wealth for the investor/shareholder, but rather to produce benefits for the various categories of stakeholders as well. According to Eurosif [
4] the designation of socially-responsible investments changed into “sustainable and responsible investment (SRI/s)” which is a long-term investment approach, integrating Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) factors during research, analysis and in the selection process of securities within an investment portfolio. SRI/s combine fundamental analysis and “engagement” with an evaluation of ESG factors in order to better capture long term returns for investors, and to benefit society by influencing the behavior of companies [
4]. In brief, SRIs are geared towards practical “ethics” in which: (i) the investor’s profit, in any case admitted, is fair; (ii) the economic and financial equilibrium is guaranteed over the medium/long term; (iii) the governance aims to reduce corporate and social risks; and (iv) the environmental sustainability is ensured [
2].
In the regulatory frameworks of the European states where SRIs are widespread (Germany, France, Spain, England, Italy), there is no regulation aimed to outline the perimeter of action and the specific characteristics of SRI. In general, SRIs are based on a set of practices “voluntarily” adopted and increasingly demanded on a global level by both civil society and the financial world [
5]. This may cover different policy areas: (i) environmental: climate change contrast, water optimization, natural resources safeguards, renewable energies development, “agritech” improvements, waste reuse [
6,
7]; (ii) social: human rights protection, human capital development, “smartech” and “edutech” increase, attraction of talent, social housing, equal opportunities, health and safety, relationships with the community, philanthropy [
8,
9,
10]; and (iii) governance: independence and remuneration of investors, compliance, corruption contrast, shareholders’ rights protection, and risk management [
11,
12]. The SRIs market is continuously growing: it had a worldwide value of around
$22,000 billion in 2015, while in 2013 it was estimated at
$16,000 billion; the increase in the period 2013–2015 is approximately 37% [
4].
The most significant investment approaches for SRI are:
- (1)
Exclusions: excluding investments in businesses and organizations (essentially private ones) operating in the so-called “controversial” industries (tobacco; alcohol; pornography; weapons);
- (2)
Norms-Based Screening: choosing investments in organizations (essentially public ones) that, as part of their own activities, cohere with the international regulations and standards;
- (3)
Engagement/Voting: choosing investments in businesses and organizations (public and private) that include forms of active shareholder participation in decision-making;
- (4)
ESG Integration: explicit inclusion by asset managers of ESG risks and opportunities into traditional financial analysis and investment decisions based on a systematic process and appropriate research sources;
- (5)
Best in Class: an approach where leading or best-performing investments within a universe, category, or class are selected or given weight based on ESG criteria;
- (6)
Sustainability-Themed: investment in themes or assets linked to the development of sustainability. Thematic funds focus on specific or multiple issues related to ESG;
- (7)
Impact Investment: choosing “responsible” investments in businesses and organizations (public and private) that, as part of their activities, alongside a financial income, are able to generate a beneficial (and measurable) social and/or environmental impact.
From 2013 to 2015 there has been an evolution of SRI strategies and continuous growth, with significant increases of the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) and, more specifically, exclusion + 22%; norms based-screening + 18%; engagement and voting + 14%, ESG integration + 18%, best in class + 18%, sustainability-themed + 57%, while impact investing is still the fastest growing strategy, at 120% CAGR [
4].
During the last few years, the number of investors in SRIs has expanded, including institutional (corporate, insurance, asset managers); qualified (corporate, non-governmental and/or para-governmental organizations), and common (small, small and medium companies). The growing attractiveness of these forms of investment has led to the establishment of a significant number of Funds geared towards SRIs referred to as “socially-responsible funds” [
13]. In general terms, socially-responsible funds allocate capital (to public and private businesses and organizations) both on the basis of financial profit (in line with the conventional processes of financial assessment) and with a view to the satisfaction of social and environmental demands.
Only in Europe, during the period 1999–2015, was there an increase of about 800% in socially-responsible funds (from 158 socially-responsible funds in 1999 to 1204 socially-responsible funds in 2015). As a result the total of financial Assets Under Management (AUM) amounted to around 372 billion euro in 2015, with a growth of about 56% compared to the previous two years [
14]. Socially-responsible funds collected 372 billion euro representing about 2% of the world's financial mass related to SRIs [
14]. SRIs within socially-responsible funds (SRIF/s) have however a relevant financial consistency and are expected to increase. The growth of SRIFs is also witnessed through the activity of major market players who have considerably increased the SRIFs within their assets under management for the 2013–2015 period: for example in 2015, Candriam Investor Group, 21 billion (21% total AUM); Natixis Asset Management launched Mirova, with 46 billion of AUM (6% total Natixis AUM); Northern Trust 62 billion (7% total AUM) [
4]. The wide consistency of SRIFs involves a variety of operational possibilities (policy areas), which also include RE (see
Section 2).
Buying into RE can provide investors with additional guarantees which generate positive environmental (reduced consumption of resources/energy) and social (employment, security, well-being, people relationships) effects. Green building may also have an added value compared to traditional building. Thus, RE may represent an interesting sector for SRIFs, in relation to some specific approaches to SRIs (ESG integration, sustainability-themed, impact investment) and sustainable development goals [
15,
16]. Introducing measures and tools which guarantee sustainability can also increase the RE value [
17,
18]. In recent years building construction in many Western countries has exceeded and/or been distant from the “real” market (an effect caused by the global crisis). However there are still various opportunities for sustainable RE development related to: an aging population; the failure of urban decentralization models; making savings in property management costs and, more generally, through the environmental sustainability of interventions and urban ecology.
In this context, among RE operators there is a growing awareness of having to formulate RE proposals and scenarios that do not have profitability as their only criteria. The common objective is growth based on “sustainable” development from an environmental point of view (the safeguarding of increasingly “rare” resources, such as land, energy, and natural features) [
19], as well as from a social one (protecting the population and raising its level of well-being). They pertain to what is known as “ethical finance”, instead of mere “speculative” investment. Many RE trusts and funds claim to have increasing levels of sustainability in their portfolios. From corporate social responsibility reporting to various certifications, the list demonstrating their level of sustainability is extensive [
20]. Even between different players operating within the field of RE, it has now been agreed that the objectives of RE initiatives should be relating to "ethical finance". In fact, this area is poorly covered by SRIFs, with initiatives aimed at the creation of housing for vulnerable groups [
21,
22,
23,
24] on both greenfield and brownfield sites.
Among the causes of the only partial inclusion of RE in SRIFs it is recognized that: (i) the “mistrust” results from previous events (crisis in sub-prime and the RE bubble) that caused the current global financial and economic crisis [
25,
26,
27]; (ii) the “elusive” assessment approach used by socially-responsible funds to identify the expected returns from investment in relation to possible and sudden changes in the housing market. Such an approach does not provide adequate means to understand the other effects (social and environmental) involved in RE initiatives [
1,
28,
29,
30,
31].
Different assessment procedures are generally applied during the evaluation of SRIs in order to measure the returns associated with ESG investment factors [
32]. In addition to traditional economic indicators (economic net present value and economic internal rate of return), Social Return On investment (SROI) is used to assess the relationship between economic value and monetary Investment, including several ESG indicators [
33]. Therefore, further growth of SRIFs may concern RE but the reporting and evaluation standards demanding major transparency and accountability must increase [
4]. SRIFs in RE require joint assessment of (traditional) financial risk, as well as non-monetary aspects related to ESG factors employing the assessment tools also used in the ordinary management of socially-responsible funds.
In decision-making problems where a variety of aspects and effects have to be simultaneously considered, the use of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) tools is well established for the evaluation of both financial, risk-related [
34], and ESG aspects at the same time, and also in the implementation of RE initiatives [
35,
36,
37,
38,
39]. This paper aims to propose an assessment procedure, structured on a MCDA model, that makes it possible to verify when and if an RE initiative, which is to be included in the investment basket of an socially-responsible funds, may be considered, given its properties, an SRIF or a traditional type investment.
Hereinafter the present paper will be proceed as follows. Firstly with the analysis of a significant sample of 40 socially-responsible funds and of the related regulatory framework SRIs in order to determine assessment criteria, sub-criteria, indicators, relevance, and features to assess an investment in RE (both SRIF and traditional) (
Section 2). Secondly we will examine the selection of the most suitable MCDA technique on which to base the assessment procedure (
Section 3). Finally the phases and the mathematical/assessment operations used in the assessment procedure proposed will be described, together with their application in a specific case study of a social housing project in the municipality of Anguillara Sabazia (Rome) (
Section 4). The obtained results will then be summarized (
Section 5).
2. Regulatory Framework for the SRIs/Socially-Responsible Funds, Properties, and Criteria for SRIF Assessment
Before 2014, the Member States of the European Community did not have any kind of common regulatory framework regarding SRIs and socially-responsible funds. In general, every country had “soft laws”, with no direct binding effect, but flexible and capable of adapting to the rapid developments that characterize certain aspects of economic or social life [
2]. The European Directive (2014/95/EU) [
40] which amended Directive 2013/34/EU [
41] “as regards disclosure of non-financial and diversity information by certain large undertakings and groups” is aimed at improving transparency in financial reporting. Among the objectives of this Directive is that of increasing the relevance, the consistency and the comparability of the information disclosed by certain activities and groups across the European Union. Member States should have brought into force the laws, regulations and administrative provisions necessary to comply with this Directive by 6 December 2016. A review of the legal and regulatory framework regarding SRIs in the principle countries of Europe has been carried out in the European SRI Study [
4]. This study highlights the growing attention in this area and the first regulatory guidelines on SRIs and SRIFs. However, through the European SRI study [
4] it has been shown that the regulatory frameworks of these main European countries are not designed to adapt specific references and assessment tools to the features of SRIFs.
In this paper, in order to identify the features and assessment criteria of SRIF in RE an analysis has been carried out of the aspects (refer to approaches shown in
Section 1) and procedures used to choose investments. The study looks at a sample (40) of international socially-responsible funds that, in allocating their own resources, offer opportunities for subscription to investors in Italy. The significant sample of 40 socially-responsible funds is identified by the report entitled
Investimenti socialmente responsabili: la mappa dei fondi [
42].
On the site 34 international socially-responsible funds are listed as offering the possibility of subscription to investors in Italy. This list of socially-responsible funds has been supplemented with a further six socially-responsible funds of the asset-management company
Investire (Rome, Italy), identified through an online survey looking at the websites of the leading asset management companies operating in Italy. The analysis (
Table 1) shows that the most popular are those involving environmental and social enterprises. Only a restricted number of socially-responsible funds (6) include, among their social SRIFs, social housing (SH) initiatives.
Within savings management, traditional investments in RE are generally connected to “facility management” activities and to “refurbishment and urban development” without limits or restrictions relating to the size and type of the initiative; SRIFs in the same sector (RE), based on the analysis carried out, are limited to SH initiatives. In both cases (traditional investments and SH), for all the players present in the RE market, the allocation of capital in initiatives/companies is typically approved in relation to financial income indicators as well as risk assessments (see
Section 1).
An in-depth examination of the socially-responsible funds whose investment sectors include SH highlights, as already mentioned in
Section 1, demonstrates that the choice of SRIFs does not rely purely on the financial income indicators and risk assessments, but also on the non-monetary effects of the initiatives connected with them. This includes the method by which the housing asset is accessed (purchase or rental) and the management sustainability for the various segments of the population (including the weakest); employment increase; support for education and professional training.
To assess a SRIF in RE, it is necessary to consider the criteria, sub-criteria, indicators, relevance, and features that show the difference between a traditional initiative and a socially responsible one. This is in order to recognize when a RE initiative is an SRIF instead of traditional. Since it is deemed that socially-responsible funds may deal with every kind of RE initiative, not only SH, a number of: (i) criteria, (ii) sub-criteria and indicators, including their relevance, and (iii) thresholds that the indicators must attain (properties) in order to be considered “impact” or “traditional,” were defined in consideration of the following (
Table 2):
assessment criteria and sub-criteria used by the six socially-responsible funds among those considered, whose investment sectors include SH (sub-criteria 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 8, 9, 10);
assessment criteria and sub-criteria available from European Directive 2014/95/EU [
40] related to regulations and “good practices” (sub-criteria 7, 14, 15);
assessment criteria taken from “A Guide to Social Return on Investment” [
33] and which are relevant for the SROI calculation (sub-criteria 11, 12, 13, 18);
Urban quality assessment criteria and sub-criteria are more pertinent to the purposes of this paper, proposed by
AUDIS Associazione Aree Urbane Dismesse [
43]. These criteria were formulated with the aim of identifying the aspects of settlement transformation able to guarantee the quality of the city and of the life of its inhabitants (sub-criteria 16, 17, 19). The 19 sub-criteria (
Table 2) were defined to: (i) take into account all the main aspects which characterize an RE initiative [
44]; and (ii) enabling quick and effective implementation of the MCDA.
Table 2 also indicates the properties that, if considered together, represent the necessary conditions for an investment to be considered acceptable as a “traditional investment” or an SRIF. Such features, when compared to the data of the initiative to be assessed, make it possible to outline two solutions of reference: (i) a traditional solution (TS); (ii) a socially-responsibility solution (SRS). These are to be used as the alternatives in the assessment procedure.
The properties of the investments used were decided: (i) for the traditional investments, by means of the performance levels ordinarily detectable in initiatives in the RE market; and (ii) for the SRIF, by interpreting the performance of the principles underpinning this type of approach, which have been deduced from the analysis of the 40 socially-responsible funds. It should be taken into consideration that if an initiative does not present a financial income which is satisfactory for ordinary market rates, it cannot be financed, neither by socially-responsible funds, nor by the usual channels of financing for development and refurbishment processes in the RE market (such as banks, investment funds, club deals, and crowd-funding).
4. The Assessment Procedure Applied to a Case Study
As already mentioned, the proposed assessment procedure has been created in order to recognize when a RE initiative is a SRIF enabling us to consider whether or not it can be included in the investment basket within a socially-responsible fund. The proposed assessment procedure provides an operational declination using the TOPSIS method which can effectively organize the initiative(s) being assessed with regard not only to the ideal and non-ideal solutions (that TOPSIS is able to create), including those that are hypothetical and unlikely to be repeated, but also with regard to viable reference solutions TS and SRS (see
Section 3). With regard to the initiative(s) to be assessed, the specific parameters which define them from the point of view of what is acceptable for respectively traditional investments and SRIFs must be defined (see
Section 2). In the next section, the proposed assessment procedure will be described in conjunction with its application to the case study—the social housing initiative
Piano di Zona Le Fontane in the municipality of Anguillara Sabazia (RM)—as follows:
Analysis of the initiative(s) to be assessed;
Construction and compilation of the assessment matrix;
Normalization of the assessment matrix;
Definition and attribution of weights to the assessment matrix; and
Aggregation of data and results of the assessment.
4.1. Analysis of the Initiative(s) Being Assessed
The analysis of the initiative(s) to be assessed has been done through examination of the available documentation (technical and descriptive documents, administrative records on the adoption and approval procedures) and is aimed at extrapolating the main data regarding the initiative’s general and dimensional aspects (
Table 4).
These data must be appropriately processed in order to determine the impact related to the financial, social, and environmental sub-criteria, which is to be inserted into the assessment matrix [
48].
Piano di Zona Le Fontane is an urban program which pursues the objective of increasing SH units in the Municipality of Anguillara Sabazia (RM) aiming at satisfying the demand for housing of the less affluent elements of the resident population in the municipality. This program also seeks to reorganize the peripheral urban setting between Cesano di Roma (RM) and the urban centers situated on
Via Anguillarese. This setting is currently (2016) a suburban area devoid of services and public facilities. The initiative includes, in addition to the residential aspect, a retirement home for the elderly and commercial services for the entire district. The initiative benefits from a public grant of about €5 million, for the building of 260 housing units within small buildings and villas, linked to a new road network and provided with green spaces. In addition to the housing grant of approximately €20,000, the sale price of the residential units is regulated in alignment with the maximum total set for
edilizia agevolata (assisted building) by the Lazio Region (about €2000/m
2).
4.2. Construction and Filling of the Assessment Matrix
Regarding the assessment matrix (two-dimensional (SC × A), in which one dimension is represented by the SCj sub-criteria (
j = 1, …,
j) and the other by the alternative Ai (initiative(s) to be assessed and solutions of reference) (
i = 1, …,
i)) the criteria, sub-criteria, and indicators defined in
Section 2 (
Table 2) have been used.
The assessment matrix has been completed by inserting the impacts
i(
SCn) (which express the performance) of the initiative
Piano di Zona Le Fontane and the two reference solutions, TS and SRS (
Table 5, part a).
4.3. Normalization of the Assessment Matrix
To proceed with the comparison of the data entered in the assessment matrix, it is necessary for it to be “normalized”.
The data have been made uniform and comparable by assigning each impact i(SCn) a coefficient c(SCn).
Among the different functions that were applicable (row maximum, row minimum, ideal value, average value, interval standardization, additive constraint) we have decided to apply the linear function “row maximum” that allows the coefficients for each sub-criteria to be determined by comparing, the impact of each alternative to the impact which has the best performance (
Table 5, part b).
4.4. Definition and Attribution of Weights to the Assessment Matrix
A weight obtained by the pair comparison method on the basis of the average relevance assigned to the sub-criteria, based on the importance given them in the two hypotheses of reference, has then been given to each of the sub-criteria SCn.
Normalized and weighted coefficients
wc(
SCn) have been obtained by multiplying each of the input data transformed into coefficients, as present in the assessment matrix
c(
SCn), by the respective weights
w(
SCn), (
Table 5, part c) using the formula:
4.5. Aggregation of the Data and Results of the Assessment
Through the aggregation of data it is possible:
Having estimated the proximity of the initiative(s) which are to be assessed, and of the TS and SRS reference solutions to the ideal solution, the position of
Piano di Zona Le Fontane, with respect to the TS and SRS reference solutions has been verified. The assessment results (
Table 6) show that the SRS reference solution should be in the first position, followed by the SH initiative
Piano di Zona Le Fontane and the TS reference solution is in third place.
Piano di Zona Le Fontane is, therefore, characterized by lower values when compared to the SRS reference solution and is superior to the TS reference solution. Subsequently, it is appropriate to assess which of the two solutions—SRS or TS—it falls closer to. Considering the median distance of the two SRS and TS reference solutions, the Piano di Zona Le Fontane SH initiative has a greater proximity to the SRS than to the TS reference solution. Therefore, it may be considered next to an ethical investment. The case study could be considered by socially-responsible funds operators for inclusion in the investment basket in relation to the threshold considered by the socially-responsible funds managers.
In the case in which the initiative had been more close to the TS solution, it would have been considered as a traditional investment, but not a SRIF.
The initiative being assessed could have had a proximity to the ideal solution that is: (i) higher than both the SRS and the TS solutions; in this case, the initiative(s) may be considered a SRIF; or (ii) less, closer to both the SRS solution and the TS solution; in this case, the initiative(s) cannot be considered a SRIF, nor would it have the prerequisites for a traditional-type investment.
Therefore, the results obtained by applying the assessment procedure allowed us to sort between the alternatives (reference and real) verifying the reciprocal distances. Consequently the level of correspondence between the real initiative and the defined parameters characterizing a SRIF has been identified.
5. Conclusions
RE initiatives that pursue aims related to ethical finance can be included in the socially-responsible funds’ investment basket [
49,
50]. By relying on “alternatives” to the investment channels by which RE renovation and development is traditionally financed (non-socially-responsible banks, investment funds, club deals, crowdfunding), businesses operating in RE can increase the possibility of initiating responsible and sustainable housing projects.
The procedure can be considered a tool that is quick and easy to implement, even in the absence of a decision aid specialist, thus, it can be used even within ordinary socially-responsible fund management competent structures.
The management structures of the socially-responsible funds have decision and deliberative powers and, consequently, responsibility for the success of investments to be undertaken. The lack of tools highlighting components of a SRIF results in the long-term for monetary resource allocation decisions, currently between 18 and 24 months from the preparatory phase to the approval stage of the financing proposal. The proposed evaluation procedure, particularly regarding SRIFs in RE, could be considered as a protocol in the capital allocation decision making process, making it more transparent and, thus, increasing responsibility in the management of socially-responsible funds. Indeed, the standardized use of the procedure can have a positive impact on reduction of time for resources allocation which is one of the key prerequisites for greater dynamism in the RE market segments of the SRIF.
Furthermore, the procedure can be applied to check whether certain initiatives in RE (SH) satisfy the requirements of SRIFs; in this way it can be used in the management of socially-responsible funds, allowing one to intervene when balancing business initiatives.
From this application, the beneficial effects connected both to the related business generated by this sector and the effects of the physical regeneration/revitalization of the RE can be noticed.
The appraisal procedure allows to recognize when one or more RE initiatives can be considered as “ethical” helping to bring together the socially-responsible funds which are part of the available financial enterprises aimed at satisfying new financial, social, and environmental needs. These kinds of initiatives and, generally, land-transformation interventions, may also effectively contribute to the resolution of problems, such as urban decay, therefore increasing the quality of man-made spaces and, consequently, the living conditions of the population [
51].