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Viruses 2013, 5(12), 3021-3047; doi:10.3390/v5123021
Abstract: West Nile virus (WNV; Flavivirus; Flaviviridae) is the cause of the most widespread arthropod-borne viral disease in the world and the largest outbreak of neuroinvasive disease ever observed. Mosquito-borne outbreaks are influenced by intrinsic (e.g., vector and viral genetics, vector and host competence, vector life-history traits) and extrinsic (e.g., temperature, rainfall, human land use) factors that affect virus activity and mosquito biology in complex ways. The concept of vectorial capacity integrates these factors to address interactions of the virus with the arthropod host, leading to a clearer understanding of their complex interrelationships, how they affect transmission of vector-borne disease, and how they impact human health. Vertebrate factors including host competence, population dynamics, and immune status also affect transmission dynamics. The complexity of these interactions are further exacerbated by the fact that not only can divergent hosts differentially alter the virus, but the virus also can affect both vertebrate and invertebrate hosts in ways that significantly alter patterns of virus transmission. This chapter concentrates on selected components of the virus-vector-vertebrate interrelationship, focusing specifically on how interactions between vector, virus, and environment shape the patterns and intensity of WNV transmission.
West Nile virus (WNV; Flaviviridae; Flavivirus) was first detected in the Americas in 1999, the result of a single point introduction into the New York City area [1,2], followed by a dramatic range expansion [3,4,5,6]. This virus is currently the most widely distributed arbovirus in the world, occurring on all continents except Antarctica. Throughout its worldwide distribution, WNV is maintained in nature in an enzootic cycle between competent ornithophilic mosquito vectors—predominantly Culex species and susceptible birds—the particular species dependent on geographic location. In all, 59 species of mosquitoes and 284 species of birds have been found infected in North America . Virus prevalence varies spatially and temporally depending on a complex set of intrinsic and extrinsic factors. Intrinsic factors which are influenced by interspecies and intraspecies genetics include such elements as host and vector competence, mosquito feeding preferences, mosquito longevity, and host immunity  as has been thoroughly reviewed by . Extrinsic factors influence contact between the mosquito and susceptible vertebrate hosts and include such elements as density and composition of the host and vector populations, and environmental conditions. These factors together contribute to selective pressures shaping dynamic viral populations, host-virus outcomes and, ultimately, epidemiological patterns.
WNV has been successful in persisting in the environment of North America, partly a consequence of its generalist nature, but also likely a consequence of its ability to adapt readily to new hosts. Like all RNA viruses, WNV has the ability to mutate rapidly due to its error-prone RNA dependent RNA polymerase, rapid rate of replication, and replication to high titers. This chapter will delve into intrinsic and extrinsic factors, focusing on vector-virus-environment interactions that impact the intensity of WNV transmission. In evaluating the importance of each factor, it is critical to do so in the context of vectorial capacity (VC), a measure of a mosquito population’s capacity to transmit an infectious agent to a new susceptible population. Calculation of VC is founded on the basic formula:
2.1. Vector Distribution and Genetics
Recently available molecular tools have facilitated advancement of our knowledge of medically important mosquito vector genetics, feeding habits, and infection prevalence. Species distribution and population density suggest that Culex pipiens L. and Culex restuans Theobald may be responsible for up to 80% of human WNV infections in the northeastern USA . Cx. restuans populations peak in the spring and early summer [13,14,15], unlike Cx. pipiens populations which peak later, and the former may be the critical vector of WNV early in the transmission season . Cx. restuans occurs from California to North Carolina, from southern Canada to Honduras; locally adapted populations may differ in epidemiologically significant traits .
The Cx. pipiens complex includes Cx. pipiens, Cx. quinquefasciatus Say, Cx. australicus Dobrotworsky & Drummond, and Cx. globocoxitus Dobrotworsky, mosquito species that have a worldwide distribution (Figure 1), are evolutionarily closely related, and difficult to separate morphologically . There are two recognized subspecies of Culex pipiens, i.e., Cx. pipiens pipiens, an Old World taxa distributed from Northern Europe to the highlands of South Africa  and Cx. p. pallens, distributed east of the Urals across temperate Asia . Furthermore, Cx. pipiens has two bioforms—molestus and pipiens—which differ in a number of biological characteristics including autogeny, stenogamy, ability to diapause, and feeding preference [21,22]. The sibling species Cx. quinquefasciatus differs from Cx. pipiens in that it thrives in tropical and sub-tropical regions south of 36° latitude [23,24], but, like Cx. pipiens, is predominantly ornithophilic, preferring to feed on birds, although both also will feed on humans. Hybrids of Cx. pipiens and Cx. quinquefasciatus are found in a zone where the two overlap stretching from approximately 30°N to 40°N latitude in N. America [25,26,27]. Studies of hybrid populations of Cx. pipiens complex mosquitoes including Cx. pipiens form pipiens, Cx. pipiens form molestus, and Cx. quinquefasciatus indicate hybridization has a significant effect on WNV infection, dissemination, and, particularly, transmission. Specifically, presence of Cx. quinquefasciatus signature in the hybrid mosquitoes increased susceptibility to infection; and the percent of infected hybrid populations transmitting by day 13/14 was found to be significantly higher than one or both parental populations . Therefore, extrinsic factors such as land use and urbanization in particular, which likely increase the potential for hybridization between bioforms [29,30,31], may have an impact on WNV activity. Extensive discussion of the Cx. pipiens species complex can be found elsewhere [22,32].
The primary WNV vector in the western United States (USA) is Cx. tarsalis Coquillett, [23,33]. Unlike Cx. pipiens, Cx. tarsalis thrive in agricultural landscapes  and is responsible for the western expansion of WNV , in which human activity was highly correlated to Cx. tarsalis activity in rural regions separating urban landscapes [36,37]. Cx. tarsalis is not known to hybridize, yet significant spatial genetic clustering is noted [38,39], which likely contributes to population level variability in vectorial capacity.
2.2. Vectorial Capacity
2.2.1. Vector Competence (b) and Extrinsic Incubation Period (n)
Following ingestion of an infectious blood meal by a mosquito, the virus must overcome barriers to transmission including the midgut infection barrier , midgut escape barrier , salivary gland infection barrier  and salivary gland escape barrier . Taken together, the ability to overcome these barriers comprises vector competence, and the number of days from ingestion to transmission, the extrinsic incubation period (EIP). Vector competence of a mosquito population can vary over time and appears to be dependent on intrinsic and extrinsic influences, including environmental and genetic factors, as well as their interaction. Although vector competence is not the most important determinant of vectorial capacity, and relatively incompetent populations are capable of sustaining arbovirus outbreaks , capacity does fluctuate directly with competence and is therefore represented as a linear term in expressions of vectorial capacity [43,44].
The vector competence of colonized and field populations of mosquitoes for WNV has been a focus of research since WNV was first identified in the USA. It has been found to vary among mosquito species and genera [13,45,46,47,48,49], days since feeding [50,51,52], strain of WNV [50,51,52], and temperature during the EIP [51,53]. Specifically, studies with Cx. tarsalis calclulated an EIP of 109 degree-days for WNV , yet subsequent work with Cx. pipiens demonstrated an accelerating effect with increasing temperatures, suggesting degree day models are likely to underestimate the effects of temperature . Even modest increases in EIP will exponentially increase vectorial capacity independent of intrinsic transmissibility (competence), so temperature, viral genotype, and other factors altering the pace of viral infections in mosquitoes are likely to be of primary importance in governing activity. Vector competence for WNV also has been shown to vary among mosquito populations of the same species [46,55,56,57] with evidence of a genetic basis , and may vary seasonally . Spatio-temporal variability in vector competence of Cx. pipiens and the possible interaction between mosquito genetics and local environmental factors was demonstrated in NYS . These studies characterize genetic differentiation in Cx. pipiens populations between counties in NYS, demonstrating that vector competence is not a static intrinsic trait of a particular mosquito population, but instead a dynamic trait governed by the intersection of multiple variables.
2.2.2. Population Density (m) and Daily Survival (p)
Extrinsic factors are known to have a direct influence on mosquito survivorship, developmental rates of immature stages, and, subsequently, population density [61,62]. Temperature is a particularly important factor for mosquitoes as it can directly affect life history traits important in vectorial capacity [61,63,64]. For this reason, current and predicted temperature rises resulting from global climate change are likely to significantly alter patterns of WNV and other vector-borne diseases . Studies with field populations of Culex mosquitoes in general indicate that increases in temperature are likely to accelerate mosquito development , demonstrating that increasing temperatures are associated with accelerated proliferation. A recent study confirmed these findings, yet also demonstrated that this effect is less pronounced at temperatures over 24 °C, suggesting that rising temperatures in milder regions may have lesser effects on the rate of Culex development than would increases in regions where mean summer temperatures range from 16–24 °C . In addition, it was shown that a negative correlation between temperature and longevity could at times result in an overall decline in vectorial capacity despite accelerated development. This same study demonstrated that among field populations of Cx. pipiens, Cx. quinquefasciatus, and Cx. restuans, Cx. restuans are most likely to be affected by temperature increases, with increased sensitivity to temperature rises over 16 °C as evidenced by adult and immature mortality (Figure 2). Mild winter and early spring conditions may also contribute to larger springtime Culex populations and earlier commencement of WNV activity, yet abnormally high winter temperatures may result in premature exodus from hibernacula and winter mortality in diapausing populations [67,68].
The impact of larval nutrition on development and vector competence is virus- and vector-specific. Studies conducted with Cx. tarsalis and WNV demonstrated that nutritional deprivation of larvae increased development time, decreased pupation and emergence rates, and resulted in decreased adult female body size, yet no consistent differences in WNV infection, dissemination, and transmission rates were measured . These results are similar to those with Aedes vigilax infected with Ross River virus , but differ from those with La Crosse virus (LACV) and Ae. triseriatus . The effect of sucrose concentration on adult survivorship and vector competence was explored with Cx. pipens and WNV, demonstrating that survivorship was directly proportional to sucrose intake, but also that mosquitoes with lower nutrient reserves as a result of less concentrated sucrose meals were more likely to orally transmit virus .
The interaction between rainfall and mosquito populations is a dynamic one, and also species-specific. Decreased precipitation has been associated with increased WNV infection prevalence in horses, birds and humans [73,74,75]. Although this may be partially due to increased population density of the vector due to both increased breeding/development success and decreased predation, it appeared to be more likely due to increased activity in the mosquito population .
2.2.3. Blood Feeding Behavior (a)
Mosquitoes may be generalists or opportunists in feeding, or they may be specialists with a strong preference for a single host species. Primary WNV vectors may feed on a range of avian and mammalian hosts with variable levels of WNV competence , therefore determining temporal and spatial variability in feeding preference and intensity is critical to predicting patterns of WNV transmission. Many geographic and species-specific differences in blood feeding behavior among Culex mosquitoes have been noted [15,77,78,79]. Effective bridge vectors of WNV feed on avian hosts during their first blood meal and humans during the second, to become infected with and transmit virus, respectively. In general, Cx. tarsalis tend to be more generalist feeders than the more ornithophilic Cx. pipens complex mosquitoes [77,79,80,81], yet temporal alterations in feeding behavior likely drive the spillover of WNV from the enzootic cycle of Cx. pipiens, Cx. quinquefasciatus, and Cx. tarsalis from birds early in the transmission season to humans later [82,83]. Genetic signature of Cx. pipiens mosquitoes may also be an important contributor to host feeding preference. Northern European populations of Cx. pipiens are pure, whereas USA populations generally contain varying levels of Cx. molestus signature, a characteristic which may correlate to geographical differences in the propensity to feed on mammals and the likelihood of spillover to humans [21,84]. Genetically determined preferences may be supplanted by availability of the preferred hosts, e.g., vectors with avian preferences will be affected by where the bird nests, what time of day the bird is active, and where it forages. Avian population distribution is a critical factor, with droughts often resulting in the aggregation of Culex species mosquitoes and wild birds, leading to high levels of WNV transmission .
2.3. WNV Infection and Mosquito Life History Traits
Although interactions between mosquito vectors and the pathogens they carry are generally characterized as avirulent, arboviral infections can at times significantly alter mosquito life-history traits and, subsequently, vectorial capacity. Recent studies with WNV have begun to demonstrate that such interactions are highly specific and, similar to vertebrate infections; the outcomes of mosquito infections are likely to be dependent on both host species and viral strain. Infection of Cx. tarsalis with WNV demonstrated decreased fecundity and increased blood feeding rates in infected mosquitoes which, as has been shown with Plasmodium-mosquito interactions  and LACV , could enhance vectorial capacity . Subsequent studies with Cx. pipiens demonstrated that WNV infection is not associated with alterations to life-history traits, showing species specificity, yet that resistance to infection may be associated with decreased longevity . This survival cost of resistance, which has also been demonstrated in a more recent study with WNV , as well as with Dengue virus (DENV; ), suggests the maintenance of a potentially costly immune response to invading arboviruses and a potential cost in vector populations resulting from arbovirus exposure alone. A follow-up study demonstrated that a WNV infection can indeed be virulent in Cx. pipiens, with decreased longevity as well as altered fecundity and blood feeding patterns associated with exposure to a mosquito-adapted strain but not wildtype WNV . These data establish that a highly-fit WNV strain with superior intrinsic fitness may ultimately have decreased vectorial capacity due to strain-specific effects on life history traits (Figure 3). Previous studies with alphaviruses demonstrate a similar fitness cost from infection [91,92,93], as does recent work with DENV , yet the variability and specificity of these outcomes demonstrated with WNV adds complexity to our understanding of the role of vector-virus interactions in governing transmission intensity. The specific mechanisms of WNV virulence in mosquitoes remain uncharacterized. Studies in Cx. quinquefasciatus demonstrated that infection can be associated with tissue damage in salivary glands  and apoptosis of midgut cells , suggesting that virulence could be a direct result of viral pathology, yet it is also possible that there is an indirect metabolic cost resulting from activation of the immune response, as suggested by the documented costs of resistance. Regardless of the mechanisms, these studies indicate that viral strain and mosquito species-specific effects on life-history traits are important factors contributing to WNV vectorial capacity.
2.4. Mosquito Immunity and Microbial Interactions
Recent studies have also advanced our understanding of the complexity of interactions between invading arboviruses and mosquito immune defenses . It is now well established that the primary immune response to an arboviral infection of a mosquito is the RNA interference pathway (RNAi; . RNAi produces specific, small interfering RNA (siRNA) signals that target double-stranded viral RNA for degradation and in turn modulate viral replication. This siRNA-mediated silencing has been shown to provide functional innate immunity in invertebrates against a range of RNA viruses , including WNV . In addition, classical innate immune pathways, including IMD, Jak-STAT, and Toll have been implicated as secondary pathways in modulating WNV infection in mosquitoes  and activation of these pathways may be initiated by crosstalk with the RNAi response . An extensive review of the interactions between flaviviruses and the mosquito innate immune responses can be found in this issue .
Although co-infections among WNV and other pathogenic arboviruses are rare in mosquitoes, increasing numbers of insect-specific flaviviruses (ISFs) have been identified in recent years, many in primary vectors of WNV. These include Cell fusing agent virus , Kamiti River virus , Culex flavivirus (CxFV; ), Lammi virus , Calbertado virus , and Palm Creek virus (PCV; ). The presence of co-infection with ISFs and WNV has been noted [109,110,111], yet the extent of interaction and/or effect on WNV transmissibility is not fully defined. Although epidemiological studies have identified an association between CxFV infection and WNV infection [109,110] and experimental evidence suggests co-infection could enhance WNV transmission via complementation in Cx. quinquefasciatus , recent studies link CxFV infection with delayed progression of WNV infection in Cx. pipiens , and PCV infection with suppression of WNV replication in mosquito cell culture , as would be predicted by the concept of super-infection exclusion . Together, these data suggest that the relationship between WNV transmission and ISF infections are also likely to be variable and species-specific, perhaps as a result of the extent of evolutionary history between these viruses and individual mosquito populations.
Although it is still unclear if the extent or effect of co-infection with ISFs is extensive enough to significantly alter vector-WNV interactions in nature, microbial infections of mosquitoes are ubiquitous, and interactions with bacterial flora are known to directly impact arbovirus infection and replication . A recent trial to exploit this symbiont-mediated protection utilizing introduction of maternally inherited bacteria of the genus Wolbachia for the control of DENV in Ae. aegypti in northern Australia was successfully carried out . The primary mechanism of virus inhibition of these bacteria is likely activation of the Toll pathway via induction of reactive oxygen species . Wolbachia spp. are native to the WNV vectors Cx. pipiens and Cx. quinquefasciatus, but not Cx. tarsalis, and have been found to increase resistance to WNV infection in the laboratory . Not surprisingly, additional studies have also found the capacity of Wolbachia to modulate WNV infection is both strain and species-specific in vitro , as has been shown with DENV . It is unlikely from an evolutionary perspective that the capacity to modulate viral infection would be limited to a single bacterial species, particularly given recent advances in understanding the redundancy of mosquito immune pathways . Indeed, many more bacterial genera can likely be found in primary vectors of WNV , and studies with DENV suggest complex interactions between the gut microbiome, innate immunity, and vector competence . In addition to direct interactions with viral infection and replication, microbial populations may also alter life-history traits, including feeding behavior, which itself could lead to significant variation in vectorial capacity independent of direct effects on vector competence . Furthermore, many fungal species inhabit mosquitoes [123,124] and a recent study with Ae. aegypti demonstrates significantly reduced vectorial capacity for DENV-2 resulting from co-infection with the fungus M. anisopliae .
WNV is zoonotic and may be considered an ecological generalist, as not only can the virus be transmitted by numerous species of mosquitoes, it also is capable of infecting numerous and diverse vertebrate hosts. Reservoir competence, i.e., an index that reflects the relative number of infectious mosquitoes that would be derived from feeding on each host species, is a useful measure of the relative importance of each vertebrate species. This value depends on the susceptibility of the vertebrate host, the concentration of infectious virus particles in the blood, and the duration of an infectious level viremia in the host .
3.1. Avian Host Competence
The enzootic transmission cycle is comprised predominantly by ornithophilic Culex species and passeriform birds. West Nile virus causes neurologic disease in some avian species, particularly passeriforms, while other species demonstrate variable levels of morbidity and mortality as demonstrated in laboratory studies  and in serosurveys . The high mortality observed in wild birds in the USA  is unique to North America, but mortality was noted in birds in Israel in 1998, and hooded crows experimentally infected in Egypt . The Corvidae (Order Passeriformes) are among the most susceptible avian families to WN disease [127,131], but the virus has caused death and morbidity in at least 326 species . A serosurvey of American crows in 1999 in New Jersey found 5.1% seropositive for WNV , and 50% of wild birds tested in the epicenter (Queens, NY, USA) were seropositive . Nonetheless, severe regional declines have been noted in some avian species  following introduction of WNV. The increased avian mortality from WNV in the U.S. likely increases the intensity of transmission (i.e., R0) in the enzootic cycle partly by removing individuals who would have become immune. This increase in enzootic R0 might be expected to result in more human infections .
Migratory birds are thought to have been the principal agent for the spread of WNV in North America and globally. Infectious viremias were detected in birds during fall migration in 2002 and 2003 . In addition, viremic white storks (Ciconia ciconia) in Israel were identified during migration within two days of arrival at a stopover site .
3.2. Other Vertebrates
Although the main enzootic vectors, Culex species mosquitoes, are ornithophilic, it has been noted that late in the transmission season they become more opportunistic and largely switch to feeding on mammals [82,136,137]. Experimental and field studies have demonstrated that like birds , non-avian vertebrates vary in their morbidity, mortality, host competence [138,139], as well as seroprevalence in nature . Mammals, including horses and humans, are generally considered dead-end hosts, as the level of viremia they mount is too low and the length too brief to infect mosquitoes. Exceptions have been noted following laboratory studies, including tree squirrels (Sciurus spp.), eastern gray squirrels (Sciurus carolinensis)  eastern chipmunks (Tamias striatus), and eastern cottontail rabbits (Sylvilagus floridanus), which develop viremia sufficient for infecting some mosquito species, but it is not clear whether the infected mosquitoes are competent, i.e., will transmit virus. These studies are well summarized elsewhere and therefore will not be discussed further .
4.1. Population Genetics and Molecular Epidemiology
WNV, first isolated in 1937 from a febrile patient in Uganda , is a member of the Japanese encephalitis serogroup and, as such, is a close relative of Japanese encephalitis virus, Murray Valley encephalitis virus, Usutu virus, and St. Louis encephalitis virus (SLEV), among others. WNV has historically been classified into at least two phylogenetically distinct lineages. Lineage 1 WNV, which is associated with West Nile fever in humans and CNS infection in approximately 1% of cases , is the most widely distributed, occurring in Africa, Asia, Europe, Australia and North and Central America . Lineage 1 WNV can be further divided into three sublineages: Lineage 1a is the most widely distributed, occurring in Africa, Europe and the Americas; lineage 1b, also known as Kunjin virus, occurs in Australia; lineage 1c occurs in India. Lineage 2 is ~20% genetically divergent from lineage I, occurs in sub-Saharan Africa, where it is the cause of WNF . Although once thought to be incapable of invading the CNS, recent evidence of neuoroinvasive disease resulting from infection with Lineage 2 WNV has emerged [144,145] and some Lineage 2 strains are virulent in mice . Rabensburg virus (RabV), which has 75%–77% nucleotide identity and 89%–90% amino acid identity with representative members of Lineage 1 and 2 WNV, was isolated from Cx. pipiens in the Czech Republic in 1997  and subsequently from Aedes rossicus Dolbescin, Gorickaja and Mitrofanova . Initially considered a Lineage 3 WNV, RabV is limited in its capacity to infect vertebrate hosts and may therefore represent an intermediate between a mosquito-specific and horizontally-transmitted flavivirus . Further antigenic and genetic analyses of isolates from Russia, India and Malaysia suggest that WNV could in fact be classified into seven distinct lineages [150,151,152,153]. Charrel et al.  initially defined membership in the species WNV to be <21% genetic distance, yet inclusion of Lineages 3–7 would result in sequence divergences of over 25% for some isolates (Figure 4; ).
Sequence analyses following the WNV U.S. invasion are consistent with a single point introduction with a strain most closely related to a 1998 Israeli strain  which had likely been introduced to Israel by migrating storks from Africa [135,155]. Despite subsequent range expansion throughout the Americas, WNV has remained relatively genetically static and unstructured, although some recent evidence for geographic structure has emerged [156,157]. The most phylogenetically distinct event occurring in the U.S. was the complete displacement of the introduced strain by WN02, a genotype distinguished by just a single consistent amino acid change in the envelope protein, V159A, which likely drove displacement by decreasing EIP in Culex mosquitoes [50,52], facilitated by warmer than average temperatures . There is also evidence for spread of another distinct genotype, SW/WN03, characterized my amino acid changes in the NS4B and NS5 coding regions . Although rare, other evidence of WNV adaptive change in the U.S. exists, including NS3 and NS4a mutations associated with increased virulence in birds [157,158], as well as positive selection acting on other genes including E, NS2A and NS5 [143,156,159].
4.2. Bottlenecks and Intrahost Diversity
The commencement of infection in the mosquito mesenteron (midgut) is likely constrained to a limited number of cells in the posterior midgut epethelia [7,160] and therefore often imposes a significant genetic bottleneck on host-derived viral populations [161,162]. Although this bottleneck is documented in both Cx. pipiens  and Cx. quinquefasciatus , additional genetic bottlenecks have been identified with salivary gland infection and transmission in Cx. pipiens but not Cx. quinquefasciatus, consistent with species-specific differences in competence . In addition, significant temporal decreases in intrahost diversity have been identified [161,162], particularly in tissues responsible for secondary amplification, suggesting a stochastic narrowing of the swarm possibly driven by a decrease in the extent of infected cells over time as mosquito innate immune pathways are triggered. In addition to these stochastic events, positive selection is also likely to occur at times, both across barriers and through time. WNV intrahost populations may overcome the negative effects of genetic narrowing through high mutation rates shared among RNA viruses  in concert with relaxed purifying selection . Consistent with this, intrahost diversity of mosquito-derived WNV has generally been shown to be more extensive than avian-derived WNV [165,166,167], similar to what has been shown for SLEV; . This genetic diversity likely corresponds to phenotypic diversity  and therefore host breadth , and may also be advantageous to replicative fitness in mosquitoes due to an increased capacity to evade the mosquito RNAi response [171,172]. Despite this, experimental evolution studies in Cx. pipiens, which utilized passage of virus-positive salivary secretions, demonstrate that a combination of selection and intrahost bottlenecks may purge diversity, yet this does not necessarily preclude WNV from adapting further to mosquito hosts .
Although more extensive purifying selection within avian hosts serves to decrease WNV intrahost diversity [164,167], genetic bottlenecks within birds have not been well defined. It is likely that significant narrowing of the viral swarm could occur with neouroinvasive infections, yet the production of infectious viremia levels alone does not itself require crossing extensive barriers; therefore stochastic events in the avian host may not contribute as significantly to shaping the WNV swarm as those encountered during mosquito infections.
As the intensity of WNV transmission cycles in concert with Culex populations, seasonal genetic bottlenecks are also likely, particularly in temperate areas in which mosquitoes must overwinter. Diapausing Cx. pipiens and Cx. tarsalis, likely infected via vertical transmission [174,175,176], are the most probable candidates to serve as winter reservoirs for WNV, a maintenance process which may impose substantial declines in WNV inter- and intrahost genetic variability, particularly because rates of vertical transmission, as well as successful transtadial transmission, are low [177,178]. The extent of this bottleneck may depend on the success of overwintering populations, which is governed largely by variation in winter temperatures . Although the genetic and phenotypic consequences of vertical transmission or temporal variation in WNV swarm breadth have not been evaluated, studies with SLEV demonstrate swarm breadth may decrease over time, which could increase vulnerability to the negative consequences of genetic isolation . Given differences in transmission intensity and levels of activity between WNV and SLEV, seasonal bottlenecks may prove less of a threat to WNV, as the rapid and widespread local diversification of WNV swarms may generate sufficiently high levels of diversity prior to subsequent breaks in transmission.
4.3. Adaptive Constraint
Although recent phylogenetic analyses have revealed some instances of positive selection , and adaptive change has been noted with the displacement of the NY99 strain with WNV02 , WNV, like many arboviruses, remains relatively genetically and phenotypically conserved despite the enormous adaptive potential that accompanies rapid replication of RNA genomes [1,180,181]. Such constraint is historically attributed to the cost of cycling between disparate hosts [182,183]. Specifically, a cost for host-specific adaptation in the alternate host may slow or prevent fixing of beneficial mutations, an idea evolutionarily synonymous to antagonistic pleiotropy . Evidence for such adaptive tradeoffs for WNV is mixed, with no fitness cost in vertebrate cells resulting from adaptation to mosquito cell culture  or in terms of viremia kinetics in chicks resulting from mosquito adaptation achieved through sequential passage of Cx. pipiens salivary secretions . In contrast, sequential passage of WNV derived from whole Cx. pipiens bodies may result in a loss of fitness in chicks, yet, interestingly, passage and adaptation to chicks may simultaneously increase WNV fitness in mosquitoes . These data demonstrate, not surprisingly, that adaptive trade-offs may occur, but are not the rule for WNV, which is clearly a generalist capable of high levels of co-adaptation.
Theory predicts that under high mutation rates in which selection cannot outpace mutation, RNA virus evolution should favor mutational robustness to avoid accumulation of deleterious mutations . Such robustness may effectively trap arboviruses in sub-optimal fitness landscapes, such that mutational neighbors have a tendency to be phenotypically equivalent. This scenario implies that these viruses may often require multiple, epistatic mutations to attain fitness gains, an idea that is supported by evolutionary and adaptive change noted in alphaviruses including Chikungunya virus  and Venezuelan equine encephalitis virus . An evolutionary strategy which could overcome the need for mutational robustness and promote phenotypic diversity is widespread complementation and cooperative interactions among co-infecting strains. WNV can evolve to overcome super-infection exclusion , and may readily share gene products in co-infected cells. A recent study demonstrates that evolution of a WNV swarm in the presence of co-infection promotes complementation which acts to maintain genetic and phenotypic diversity. Furthermore, although such interactions may slow selection for high fitness variants, cooperation may result in swarm fitness levels which exceed that of any individual . Although the extent of co-infection and/or cooperative or inhibitory interactions in vivo remain(s) uncharacterized, studies with WNV-infected Cx. quinquefasciatus suggest that complementation could act to maintain deletion mutants , as has been shown with DENV in Ae. aegypti , demonstrating that the capacity for frequent interactions among viable particles in vivo exists and could contribute significantly to WNV swarm dynamics, adaptation, and evolvability.
5. Concluding Remarks
Patterns and intensity of WNV transmission are governed by complex and dynamic interactions between vector, vertebrate, virus and environment. The capacity to characterize the role of extrinsic and intrinsic factors that determine the outcomes of these interactions is complicated by the fact that effects may rarely act independently. Instead, as has been shown with DENV [191,192], it is likely that vector-virus genotype by genotype interactions, as well as genotype by environment interactions are the rule. This confounds our ability to provide static, generic characterization of the transmission potential of individual WNV genotypes or mosquito populations, yet this variability also provides an opportunity to more completely uncover the mechanisms that govern WNV transmission. While the historic focus with regards to vector-WNV interactions has been on assessing variation in vector competence, since both species and strain-specific effects on life-history traits are now evident [88,89], a shift towards considering the whole entity of WNV vectorial capacity is required if we are to accurately bridge virus and vector genotypes to transmission potential. On the virus side, a more in-depth understanding of the phenotypic importance of the WNV swarm, as well as the selective pressures that shape these swarms, is required. Characterizing interactions within viral swarms as well as between WNV and both microbial populations and host immune genes should be a focus of future studies. In particular, further characterization of important genes and immune pathways associated with WNV infection of mosquitoes, as well as defining the physiological costs of infection and resistance are important to better define how host variation and evolution guide patterns of transmission. In regard to extrinsic factors, continued efforts to define how environmental fluctuations work in concert with host and viral variation to alter transmission intensity is critical, particularly at a time when worldwide climatic shifts are likely to dramatically alter environmental and ecological landscapes, and anthropogenic change is rampant. Although many predicted that WNV activity in the U.S. was likely to continue to equilibrate or decline following a peak in 2003 [165,193], unprecedented activity occurred in 2012 in terms of both confirmed neuroinvasive cases and deaths . Preliminary evidence suggests it is likely environmental change, rather than genetic change, in the virus triggered this spike in WNV activity , yet the specific factors driving this resurgence remain undefined. This is a reminder that, despite over a decade of high quality WNV research, further studies are required to fully understand the specific factors that dictate patterns of WNV transmission.
The authors would like to thank Elizabeth Kauffman and Mary Franke for assistance with images.
Conflicts of Interest
The authors declare no conflict of interest.
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