Energies 2013, 6(4), 1887-1901; doi:10.3390/en6041887
Article

Support Vector Regression Model Based on Empirical Mode Decomposition and Auto Regression for Electric Load Forecasting

1 Engineering Research Center of Metallurgical Energy Conservation and Emission Reduction, Ministry of Education, Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming 650093, China 2 Department of Information Management, Oriental Institute of Technology/58 Sec. 2, Sichuan Rd., Panchiao, Taipei 220, Taiwan
* Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Received: 28 November 2012; in revised form: 2 February 2013 / Accepted: 25 March 2013 / Published: 2 April 2013
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Hybrid Advanced Techniques for Forecasting in Energy Sector)
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Abstract: Electric load forecasting is an important issue for a power utility, associated with the management of daily operations such as energy transfer scheduling, unit commitment, and load dispatch. Inspired by strong non-linear learning capability of support vector regression (SVR), this paper presents a SVR model hybridized with the empirical mode decomposition (EMD) method and auto regression (AR) for electric load forecasting. The electric load data of the New South Wales (Australia) market are employed for comparing the forecasting performances of different forecasting models. The results confirm the validity of the idea that the proposed model can simultaneously provide forecasting with good accuracy and interpretability.
Keywords: electric load prediction; support vector regression; empirical mode decomposition auto regression

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MDPI and ACS Style

Fan, G.-F.; Qing, S.; Wang, H.; Hong, W.-C.; Li, H.-J. Support Vector Regression Model Based on Empirical Mode Decomposition and Auto Regression for Electric Load Forecasting. Energies 2013, 6, 1887-1901.

AMA Style

Fan G-F, Qing S, Wang H, Hong W-C, Li H-J. Support Vector Regression Model Based on Empirical Mode Decomposition and Auto Regression for Electric Load Forecasting. Energies. 2013; 6(4):1887-1901.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Fan, Guo-Feng; Qing, Shan; Wang, Hua; Hong, Wei-Chiang; Li, Hong-Juan. 2013. "Support Vector Regression Model Based on Empirical Mode Decomposition and Auto Regression for Electric Load Forecasting." Energies 6, no. 4: 1887-1901.

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