Adaptation of Land-Use Demands to the Impact of Climate Change on the Hydrological Processes of an Urbanized Watershed
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Area
2.2. Climate Change Scenarios
2.3. Adaptation of Land-Use Demands
Scenarios | Built-up | Forest | Agriculture | Grass | Water | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Case 0 | Demand | 1,623 | 14,833 | 177 | 473 | 1,293 |
Case 1 | Demand | 1,536 | 14,898 | 186 | 486 | 1,293 |
Adapted area | −87 | 65 | 9 | 13 | 0 | |
(−0.47%) | -0.35% | -0.05% | -0.07% | 0.00% | ||
Case 2 | Demand | 1,449 | 14,964 | 195 | 499 | 1,293 |
Adapted area | −174 | 131 | 18 | 26 | 0 | |
(−0.95%) | -0.71% | -0.10% | -0.14% | 0.00% | ||
Case 3 | Demand | 1,362 | 15,029 | 204 | 512 | 1,293 |
Adapted area | −261 | 196 | 27 | 39 | 0 | |
(−1.42%) | -1.07% | -0.15% | -0.21% | 0.00% | ||
Case 4 | Demand | 1,274 | 15,095 | 212 | 525 | 1,293 |
Adapted area | −349 | 262 | 35 | 52 | 0 | |
(−1.90%) | -1.42% | -0.19% | -0.28% | 0.00% | ||
Case 5 | Demand | 1,187 | 15,160 | 221 | 538 | 1,293 |
Adapted area | −436 | 327 | 44 | 65 | 0 | |
(−2.37%) | -1.78% | -0.24% | -0.35% | 0.00% | ||
Case 6 | Demand | 1,187 | 15,698 | 221 | 0 | 1,293 |
Adapted area | −436 | 865 | 44 | −473 | 0 | |
(−2.37%) | -4.70% | -0.24% | (−2.57%) | 0.00% | ||
Case 7 | Demand | 1,187 | 15,919 | 0 | 0 | 1,293 |
Adapted area | −436 | 1086 | −177 | −473 | 0 | |
(−2.37%) | -5.90% | (−0.96%) | (−2.57%) | 0.00% |
2.4. Hydrological Model
2.5. Land-Use Allocation Model
3. Results
3.1. Climate Change Scenarios
GCMs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GFDL21 | ECHAM5 | CGCM2 | CCSM | INCM3 | HADCM3 | |
Annual | −5.16% | –8.37% | –2.95% | 2.40% | 6.85% | 9.86% |
Dry season | –8.75% | –14.28% | –15.51% | –7.04% | –8.16% | 0.16% |
Wet season | –2.19% | –3.48% | 7.45% | 6.34% | 19.28% | 16.25% |
3.2. Hydrological Component Change on Land-Use Adaptation Policies
Groundwater | Direct runoff | Stream flow | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Annual | Increase | 3.22% | X | X |
Decrease | X | 3.55% | 0.47% | |
Wet season | Increase | 3.88% | X | X |
Decrease | X | 3.34% | 0.70% | |
Dry season | Increase | 2.77% | X | X |
Decrease | X | 3.84% | 0.29% |
3.3. Land-Use Patterns Based on The Demands of Adaptations
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Acknowledgements
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Lin, Y.-P.; Hong, N.-M.; Chiang, L.-C.; Liu, Y.-L.; Chu, H.-J. Adaptation of Land-Use Demands to the Impact of Climate Change on the Hydrological Processes of an Urbanized Watershed. Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2012, 9, 4083-4102. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph9114083
Lin Y-P, Hong N-M, Chiang L-C, Liu Y-L, Chu H-J. Adaptation of Land-Use Demands to the Impact of Climate Change on the Hydrological Processes of an Urbanized Watershed. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health. 2012; 9(11):4083-4102. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph9114083
Chicago/Turabian StyleLin, Yu-Pin, Nien-Ming Hong, Li-Chi Chiang, Yen-Lan Liu, and Hone-Jay Chu. 2012. "Adaptation of Land-Use Demands to the Impact of Climate Change on the Hydrological Processes of an Urbanized Watershed" International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 9, no. 11: 4083-4102. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph9114083