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Soc. Sci. 2013, 2(3), 180-190; doi:10.3390/socsci2030180

Breaks and Convergence in U.S. Regional Crime Rates: Analysis of Their Presence and Implications

1,*  and 2
1 School of Management, Swansea University, Singleton Park, Swansea SA2 8PP, UK 2 School of Economics, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK
* Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Received: 11 July 2013 / Revised: 15 August 2013 / Accepted: 16 August 2013 / Published: 22 August 2013
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The literature examining the relative properties of U.S. regional crime rates is extended. Using a novel method, convergence in alternative classifications of crime is detected over the period 1965 to 2009. Subsequent statistical analysis identifies distinct epochs in the evolution of crime which match those noted anecdotally in the literature. The findings concerning convergence within these epochs prove interesting, with results found to vary both between the alternative crime classifications and through time. In particular, evidence of divergence is noted which contrasts starkly with other results for earlier and later periods. Potential explanations for the observed results, their importance for policy and their implications for theory and future research are discussed.
Keywords: crime; convergence; breaks crime; convergence; breaks
This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY) which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

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Cook, S.; Watson, D. Breaks and Convergence in U.S. Regional Crime Rates: Analysis of Their Presence and Implications. Soc. Sci. 2013, 2, 180-190.

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