Indian Summer Monsoon and El Niño Southern Oscillation in CMIP5 Models: A Few Areas of Agreement and Disagreement
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Methodology and Data
3. Results
3.1. Spatial and Temporal Pattern of ISM Rainfall in the CNE Region
3.1.1. Spatial Patterns in the CI Region
3.1.2. Temporal Patterns in the CI Region
3.2. Niño 3.4 in the RCP Scenario
3.3. Correlation between ISM and Niño 3.4 in the Historical and RCP Scenario
3.4. Precipitation in RCP Scenarios
4. Conclusions
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Model Centre | Model Type | Model ID (Chosen) | High Top (H)/Low Top (L) | |
---|---|---|---|---|
CMIP5 | AMIP5 | |||
CSIRO-BOM, Australia | ACCESS1.0 | ACCESS1.0 | A | L |
ACCESS1.3 | ACCESS1.3 | B | L | |
BCC, China | BCC-CSM1.1 | BCC-CSM1.1 | C | L |
BCC-CSM1.1(m) | BCC-CSM1.1(m) | D | L | |
GCESS, China | BNU-ESM | BNU-ESM | E | L |
CCCMA, Canada | CanESM2 | CanAM4 | F | L |
NCAR, USA | CCSM4 | CCSM4 | G | L |
CMCC, Italy | CMCC-CM | CMCC-CM | H | L |
CNRM-CERFACS, France | CNRM-CM5 | CNRM-CM5 | I | L |
CSIRO-QCCCE, Australia | CSIRO-Mk3.6.0 | CSIRO-Mk3.6.0 | J | L |
LASG-CESS, China | FGOALS-g2 | FGOALS-g2 | K | L |
LASG-IAP, China | FGOALS-s2 | FGOALS-s2 | L | L |
INM, Russia | INM-CM4 | INM-CM4 | M | L |
MIROC, Japan | MIROC5 | MIROC5 | N | L |
NCC, Norway | NorESM1-M | NorESM1-M | O | L |
NOAA-GFDL, USA | GFDL-CM3 | GFDL-CM3 | P | H |
MOHC, England | HadGEM2-CC | HadGEM2-A | Q | H |
NASA-GISS, USA | GISS-E2-R | GISS-E2-R | R | H |
IPSL, France | IPSL-CM5A-LR | IPSL-CM5A-LR | S | H |
IPSL-CM5A-MR | IPSL-CM5A-MR | T | H | |
MPI-M, Germany | MPI-ESM-LR | MPI-ESM-LR | U | H |
MPI-ESM-MR | MPI-ESM-MR | V | H | |
MRI, Japan | MRI-CGM3 | MRI-CGCM3 | W | H |
Model ID | CMIP5 Model Name | Correlation: Rainfall vs. Niño 3.4 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Whole India | Region (CI) | Region (CII) | |||||
Historical | RCP | Historical | RCP | Historical | RCP | ||
A | ACCESS1.0 | −0.33 | −0.19 | −0.13 | −0.14 | −0.14 | −0.20 |
B | ACCESS1.3 | −0.42 | −0.24 | −0.29 | −0.13 | −0.28 | −0.07 |
C | BCC-CSM1.1 | −0.14 | −0.15 | −0.14 | −0.14 | −0.14 | −0.14 |
D | BCC-CSM1.1(m) | −0.42 | −0.03 | −0.34 | −0.17 | −0.43 | −0.22 |
E | BNU-ESM | −0.51 | −0.64 | −0.33 | −0.18 | −0.29 | −0.04 |
F | CanESM2 | −0.52 | −0.64 | −0.33 | −0.34 | −0.33 | −0.35 |
G | CCSM4 | −0.71 | −0.57 | −0.42 | −0.14 | −0.47 | −0.36 |
H | CMCC-CM | −0.18 | −0.29 | −0.33 | −0.51 | −0.35 | −0.55 |
I | CNRM-CM5 | −0.40 | −0.36 | −0.37 | −0.37 | −0.40 | −0.33 |
J | CSIRO-Mk3.6.0 | −0.24 | −0.31 | −0.28 | −0.40 | −0.28 | −0.37 |
K | FGOALS-g2 | −0.31 | −0.51 | −0.30 | −0.48 | −0.26 | −0.48 |
L | FGOALS-s2 | −0.37 | −0.51 | −0.29 | −0.44 | −0.18 | −0.33 |
M | INM-CM4 | −0.45 | −0.40 | −0.38 | −0.28 | −0.33 | −0.22 |
N | MIROC5 | −0.64 | −0.74 | −0.35 | −0.39 | −0.30 | −0.48 |
O | NorESM1-M | −0.79 | −0.70 | −0.51 | −0.47 | −0.59 | −0.52 |
P | GFDL-CM3 | −0.49 | −0.27 | −0.25 | −0.22 | −0.26 | −0.20 |
Q | HadGEM2-CC | −0.27 | −0.26 | −0.38 | −0.32 | −0.36 | −0.35 |
R | GISS-E2-R | −0.26 | −0.56 | −0.07 | −0.26 | −0.06 | −0.25 |
S | IPSL-CM5A-LR | −0.61 | −0.61 | −0.54 | −0.57 | −0.62 | −0.61 |
T | IPSL-CM5A-MR | −0.69 | −0.56 | −0.64 | −0.53 | −0.67 | −0.54 |
U | MPI-ESM-LR | −0.36 | −0.47 | −0.37 | −0.51 | −0.23 | −0.52 |
V | MPI-ESM-MR | −0.17 | −0.36 | −0.27 | −0.49 | −0.15 | −0.37 |
W | MRI-CGM3 | −0.10 | 0.11 | −0.51 | −0.47 | −0.24 | −0.22 |
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Roy, I. Indian Summer Monsoon and El Niño Southern Oscillation in CMIP5 Models: A Few Areas of Agreement and Disagreement. Atmosphere 2017, 8, 154. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos8080154
Roy I. Indian Summer Monsoon and El Niño Southern Oscillation in CMIP5 Models: A Few Areas of Agreement and Disagreement. Atmosphere. 2017; 8(8):154. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos8080154
Chicago/Turabian StyleRoy, Indrani. 2017. "Indian Summer Monsoon and El Niño Southern Oscillation in CMIP5 Models: A Few Areas of Agreement and Disagreement" Atmosphere 8, no. 8: 154. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos8080154