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Sustainability 2010, 2(2), 684-701; doi:10.3390/su2020684

Estimating Arrival Numbers for Informal Recreation: A Geographical Approach and Case Study of British Woodlands

CSERGE, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, Norfolk, NR4 7TJ, UK
Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), VU University Amsterdam, De Boelelaan 1087, 1081 HV, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Received: 14 January 2010 / Accepted: 21 February 2010 / Published: 25 February 2010
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This paper describes a novel methodology for generating models of demand for informal outdoor recreation. We analyze visitor data from multiple forest sites across Great Britain. We introduce a wide range of variables typically omitted from most economic demand models of recreation. These include on-site characteristics, and off-site locational drivers of visitation including substitute and complement availability. A Poisson multilevel model is used to model visitor counts, and the methodology is applied to a dataset of more than 10,000 visits to open-access woodland sites. Results confirm it identifies a broader range of demand drivers than previously observed. The use of nationally available explanatory variables enhances the transferability and hence general applicability of the methodology. View Full-Text
Keywords: forests; arrival modeling; sustainable tourism; transferrable demand forests; arrival modeling; sustainable tourism; transferrable demand

This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 3.0).

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MDPI and ACS Style

Jones, A.; Wright, J.; Bateman, I.; Schaafsma, M. Estimating Arrival Numbers for Informal Recreation: A Geographical Approach and Case Study of British Woodlands. Sustainability 2010, 2, 684-701.

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