1. Introduction
The rapid urbanization throughout the world reflects not only the industrialization of the global economy, but also a very significant rural exodus [
1,
2,
3,
4,
5,
6,
7,
8,
9]. This is especially the case in China, given its high urbanization rates [
8]. From 2007 to 2015, the rural population in China decreased by 15.60% due to urbanization [
10]. However, the total areas of rural settlements in China increased by 257.27 million hectares due to various factors such as institutional problems [
7,
11,
12,
13,
14,
15,
16,
17,
18,
19]. For the large rural population baseline, the continuous expansion of rural settlements inevitably leads to the arable land loss [
20,
21,
22,
23]. Furthermore, a large amount of high-quality arable land is usually distributed in rural areas. The expansion of rural settlements in China and the occupation of high-quality arable land are likely to pose a threat to food security. On this basis, clarification of the situation regarding the expansion of rural settlements and the take-up of arable land, especially high-quality land, is of great significance for ensuring regional food security.
At present, in developed countries, the development of rural settlements is relatively stable; however, in developing countries, rural settlements are still subject to dramatic changes [
24,
25,
26]. For China, the dynamic changes in rural settlements throughout the country are clearly evident, and most of the rural settlements are in a state of continuous expansion [
13,
27,
28,
29]. For example, Ma et al. [
30] investigated the evolution of rural settlements in Shandan County of China and found that the area of rural settlements in Shandan increased by 3.54 km
2 from 1998 to 2015. Similarly, Xu et al. [
31] observed that the total area of rural settlements in Jiangsu Province of China increased by nearly 2000 km
2 from 1980 to 2010. Wang et al. [
14] found that the total area of rural settlements of Henan Province of China increased by 170 km
2 from the 1980s to 2010. The reasons for rural settlements expansion in China in the background of a rapid urbanization are diverse [
6,
21]. The causes of this phenomenon can be summarized as the institutional problems and the personal reasons such as the farmers’ willingness to improve housing conditions.
For China, given its large population and limited land resource per capita, arable land is a valuable resource [
32,
33,
34,
35,
36,
37]. However, in the last 30 years, this resource has been drastically reducing as a consequence of the rapid economic development [
38,
39,
40,
41,
42]. According to statistical data, from 1987 to 2000, the area of arable land in China showed a net reduction of about 4.5 million hectares [
43]. Clearly, this development represents a serious threat to regional food security and sustainable development. It has been reported that urban expansion usually leads to the loss of high-quality arable land because the distribution of urban areas and high-quality arable land usually shares similar land conditions such as the flat terrain and having resources close to the water [
2,
4,
11,
12,
23,
38,
39,
42,
44,
45]. However, whether rural settlement expansion prefers to consume high-quality arable land is still not clear now.
In consideration of the inevitability of rural settlements expansion in China, discerning the high-quality arable land loss due to this expansion is of great importance for assessing regional food security. To accomplish this, we adopted an indicator to link rural settlement expansion with its occupation of high-quality arable land. By virtue of this indicator, we assessed the occupation of high-quality arable land by rural settlements expansion. Our specific aims were to: (1) reveal the evolution of the expansion of rural settlements in Tongzhou District in China from 1972 to 2015, and to summarize the evolution characteristics of rural settlements in the different periods; (2) analyze the occupation situation regarding the expansion of rural settlements on arable land; and (3) evaluate the quality grades of the arable land occupied by the rural settlements, hence revealing the mechanism of rural settlement expansion.
4. Results
4.1. Verification of Accuracy of Image Classification
Using the error matrices, the accuracy of land use classification for 1972, 1991, and 2015 was assessed. The overall accuracy of land use classification in 1972, 1991, and 2015 were 93%, 90%, and 89%, respectively (
Table 4,
Table 5 and
Table 6). It can be seen that the accuracy of the land use map in 1972 was the highest, followed by the maps for 1991 and 2015.
For the land use map of 1972, the classification accuracy of arable land, forest and grass land, and water areas were very high, while the classification accuracy of rural settlement, urban land, and other construction land was low (
Table 4) due to the misclassifications among rural settlement, urban land, and other construction. For the land use map of 1991, the classification accuracy of water bodies was as high as 100%, followed by arable land (94.9%), forest and grass land (90%), rural settlement (80%), urban land (77.8%), and other construction land (71.4%) (
Table 5). For the land use map of 2015, the classification accuracy of water bodies was as high as 100%, followed by arable land (95.7%), forest and grass land (81.8%), rural settlement (81.8%), urban land (80%), and other construction land (71.4%). As a whole, the classification accuracy for land use maps for 1972, 1991, and 2015 was high according to the accuracy requirements for image classification [
54,
55].
According to Equation (1), the accuracy of land use change from 1972 to 1991 and from 1991 to 2015 was assessed to be 90% and 88%, respectively. Among the 50 conversion samples from 1972 to 1991, 45 of them were correctly identified, while 5 of them were misclassified (
Figure 2). Among the five conversion samples, two conversion samples were misclassified due to the misclassification of land use in 1972, while there were three that were misclassified in the 1991 dataset. Among the 50 conversion samples from 1991 to 2015 (
Figure 3), 44 of them were correctly identified, while 6 of them were misclassified. Among the six conversion samples, one conversion sample was misclassified due to misclassification in both the 1991 and 2015 datasets, two due to misclassification in the 1991 dataset, and three were misclassified in the 2015 dataset.
4.2. Evolution of Rural Settlement Expansion
From 1972 to 2015, rural settlements in Tongzhou District experienced large-scale expansion, with different rates of expansion during different periods. The total areas of rural settlements increased by 51.54% from 1972 to 1991 and by 79.51% from 1991 to 2015, and the average annual rates of increase were 2.58 and 3.20%, respectively. From 1972 to 1991 (
Table 7), although 27.72 km
2 of the rural settlements were converted into other land use types, 73.22 km
2 of other land use types were converted into rural settlements; among these other land use types, arable land accounted for the highest proportion with 53.72%. In terms of the available space, from 1972 to 1991 (
Figure 4), the rural settlements expanded mainly in the form of a diffused outward development around the original rural settlements. Throughout the study area, almost all locations, where rural settlements occurred, showed a certain degree of outward expansion.
From 1991 to 2015 (
Table 8), 47.56 km
2 of rural settlements were converted into other land use types, but 154.70 km
2 of other land use types were converted into rural settlements, of which 60.40% was arable land. During this period, the expansion modes of rural settlements were relatively diverse. Due to the diffuse outward development, some rural settlements also merged to form larger rural settlement, such as those in Lucheng Town, Zhangjiawan Town, and Songzhuang Town. Some rural settlements in Songzhuang Town, Taihu Town, and Yongledian Town were newly built, which could be considered as a new form of rural settlement expansion (
Figure 4).
During the entire study period (1972–2015), the total areas of rural settlements in Tongzhou District increased by 173.05%, and the proportion of arable land being converted into rural settlements accounted for 78.47% of the total land available. In 1972, the distribution of rural settlements in the study area was relatively scattered, and the scale of individual settlements was generally small; by 2015, the degree of clustering of rural settlements had increased dramatically, approaching the same scale as that of single rural settlements. In other words, the peripheral boundaries of rural settlement in 2015 expanded outward to a very large degree compared to those in 1972. Moreover, because of the merged expansion of rural settlements, the peripheral boundary of certain rural settlement in 2015 contained two or even more rural settlements that had existed in 1972.
4.3. Variation in Arable Land Distribution
Arable land was the main land use type of Tongzhou, and its distribution area accounted for 85.77% (1972), 76.83% (1991), and 56.11% (2015) of the total area of the district. From 1972 to 2015, the total area of arable land in Tongzhou decreased by 34.57%, and arable land was mainly converted into rural settlements, which accounted for 61.83% of the total converted arable land. From 1972 to 1991 (
Table 7), the area of arable land decreased by 10.46%, and the arable land that was converted into rural settlements accounted for 64.74% of the total converted arable land. From 1991 to 2015 (
Table 8), the area of arable land decreased sharply by 26.94%. Arable land was mostly converted into rural settlements and, albeit to a lesser extent, into urban land. Nevertheless, the occupation of rural settlements was still the main reason for the decrease of arable land.
From 1972 to 2015, the reduction of arable land of indifferent quality followed a different path (
Figure 5). The
IHC values for rural settlements in Tongzhou District were 1.14 for 1972 to 1991 and 0.91 for 1991 to 2015 (
Table 9). As indicated, the expansion of rural settlements in Tongzhou District between 1972 and 1991 occurred mainly at the expense of high-quality arable land (
Figure 5). From 1991 to 2015, rural settlements accordingly occupied less high-quality arable land, but more medium-quality and low-quality arable land (
Figure 5); the proportion of occupied medium-quality arable land increased from 28.64% to 31.18%, while that of low-quality arable land increased from 37.58% to 41.04% (
Table 9).
Spatially, the expansion of rural settlements on high-quality arable land is presented as a clear encroachment. The original intact distribution of high-quality arable land gradually became occupied by rural settlements, which effectively swallowed more and more high-quality arable land. From 1972 to 1991, the expansion of rural settlements was represented as mainly an outward-diffused development with the original rural settlements at its center. Under this diffusion model, the rural settlements gradually invaded and encroached on the arable land. During this period, the expansion of rural settlements occurred around a zone where there was a clustering of high-quality arable land, such as with Songzhuang Town, Zhangjiawan Town, Majuqiao Town, and Guoxian Town. From 1991 to 2015, the expansion of rural settlements was not simply an outward diffusion, and many villages exhibited a trend toward merging. For instance, the expansion and merging of rural settlements occurred to a very great extent among the northern villages of Taihu Town, Lucheng Town, and Zhangjiawan.
5. Discussion
The rapid urbanization of Tongzhou District is still underway. According to “Overall Planning of Tongzhou District, Beijing (2016–2035)” [
68], by 2030, 64.2% of the population in this district will live in urban areas. However, along with such a large shift in the population distribution, the total area of rural settlements continues to expand. This abnormal phenomenon has also been reported in other studies such as Chen et al. [
69], Wang et al. [
45], and Tan and Li [
13]. Despite the institutional reasons, improvements in economic conditions encouraging rural residents to strive for more comfortable living environments also resulted in an increased demand for houses in rural areas and the further expansion of rural settlements [
70].
Previous studies on the evolution of rural settlements have also explored the problem of arable land occupation as a result of rural settlements. For example, Su et al. [
28] demonstrated that rural settlements were more inclined to encroach on open paddy fields in the process of expansion, while Tian et al. [
71] concluded that 60% of the expanding area of rural settlements throughout China involved arable land. However, these studies did not give a clear picture of the high-quality arable land loss due to rural settlements expansion. In our research, we found that rural settlements in Tongzhou occupied mainly high-quality arable land from 1972 to 1991. The following reasons can explain this phenomenon. First, according to the high-quality arable land map of Tongzhou, the high-quality arable land was mainly distributed around rural settlements. Farmers of Tongzhou have relied on agricultural production for a long time. Hence, the farmers initially built their houses near arable land. After a long period of cultivation, the soil quality increased due to the presence of high amounts of organic matter. Second, high-quality arable land of Tongzhou is generally in relatively flat areas, thereby facilitating the development of new settlements.
From 1991 to 2015, the proportion of high-quality arable land occupied by the rural settlements expansion of Tongzhou decreased because of the implementation of some land use policies. During this period, the Chinese government formulated a series of arable land protection programs and strengthened public awareness for the need to protect arable land. In particular, the Land Administration Law [
72] was issued during this period, containing specific regulations for the inspection and approval of construction land, as well as the prosecution of people destroying arable land. In 1998, the China State Council issued Regulations on the Protection of Basic Farmland [
72] to emphasize the need for the protection of traditional farmland. In 2005, China began to focus on the protection of arable land, and in 2006, the government promulgated the Farmland Occupation Balance Policy. Tongzhou is located in eastern Beijing, the capital of China. For the close location to the capital, the execution of these arable land protection policies was easily done. Therefore, these land use policies were executed strictly in Tongzhou, resulting in a decrease in the construction on high-quality arable land [
73].
In addition, Beijing also strengthened the management for rural buildings, which contributed to reducing the consumption of high-quality arable land by rural settlement expansion. In 1990, the People’s Government of Beijing Municipality promulgated the Provisions on Strengthening Rural Construction Land Use Management [
74], requiring the villagers to carefully implement the basic national policy of protecting arable land when building new houses; in addition, the newly built houses must comply with the overall land use planning conditions at the town level and make full use of neglected land and old house sites, thus reducing the area required for the building of new housing sites on high-quality arable land. In addition to the influence of the above policies, before 1991, high-quality arable land around rural settlements in Tongzhou was occupied predominantly by rural houses, which led to a decrease in the area of high-quality arable land (which accounted for only 29.58% of the total area of arable land). As a result, the expansion of rural settlements into high-quality arable land was impeded [
16,
75].
During the expansion process, rural settlements sometimes occupied surrounding high-quality arable land in Tongzhou. Therefore, it is necessary to examine housing sites in rural areas and to prohibit the further occupation of high-quality arable land. This requires that reasonable control measures are in place to ensure the adequate expansion of rural settlements. For example, farmers should be encouraged to build their houses on the original, low-quality land and make full use of idle land, sloping wildland, and abandoned land in villages, but strictly prohibit the establishment of new houses beyond the control lines of rural settlements. At the same time, strict measures to protect the quality of arable land should be made. The high-quality and medium-quality arable land should be incorporated into the arable land protection regions, and the corresponding measures of rewards and punishments should be formulated to strictly restrict construction on the surrounding high-quality arable land. In addition, according to the experiences of arable land protection from Quebec of Canada, it is important to provide a broad framework for arable land protection taking account of the essentials of arable protection. Furthermore, it is essential to take into account the general considerations needed to main and develop a viable agricultural sector [
76].
In this paper, the decrypted military remote sensing images were used to obtain the spatial data of rural settlements in 1972 and 1991. The images provided a reference for obtaining long-term land use change data at a relatively high resolution. However, the validation of these maps was very difficult due to the lack of defendable reference data. To solve this problem, we proposed a new approach to create the reference data. Using these data, the overall accuracy of the land use classification for 1972, 1991, and 2015 were assessed as 93%, 90%, and 89%, respectively. We also proposed an approach to assess the accuracy of mapped land use changes. It was found that the accuracy of changes from 1972 to 1991 and from 1991 to 2015 was 90% and 88%, respectively. The accuracy of these maps and the mapped changes was high. However, there were many uncertainties for the accuracy assessment. Here, the reference data was created by the visual interpretation consistency test among three experts. However, even if the judgments of the three experts were unanimous, the classification of reference data could still be wrong. Considering this problem, the actual accuracy of the land use map for 1972 and 1991 could be lower than that of our assessment. In addition, when assessing the change accuracy from 1971 to 1992 and from 1992 to 2015, we resampled the land use map of 1992 and 2015 from 3 m to 2 m and from 30 m to 3 m, respectively. These resamples could also generate uncertainties for change accuracy assessment.
6. Conclusions
In this paper, we employed KeyHole and RESURS F1 satellite images to analyze the expansion of rural settlements in Tongzhou District in Beijing from 1972 to 2015, as well as the corresponding occupation of rural settlements on arable land, especially those of high quality. By calculating the IHC, we found that from 1972 to 1991, rural settlements expanded mainly into high-quality arable land, while from 1991 to 2015, lower amounts of high-quality arable land were occupied. However, medium- and low-quality arable land was increasingly occupied during the latter period. The rate of rural settlement expansion in Tongzhou District was maintained at a very high rate of expansion over the 43 years studied, and the subsequent loss of arable land is serious.
The occupation of high-quality arable land was associated with lower building costs and more convenient transportation, which has resulted in a considerable occupation of such areas in the course of rural settlement expansion. Adequate protection measures and stringent land management procedures can, however, reduce such occupation to a certain extent. However, this requires appropriate policies. On the one hand, the government should put in place control measures for rural settlement expansion and guide the development of new rural settlements, while on the other hand, the government should incorporate the arable land quality assessment results into the township land use planning system, examine and approve development plans for all new housing sites in rural areas, and prohibit the construction of new houses on high-quality arable land, thus ensuring long-term regional food security.