Next Article in Journal
Estimation of Forest Biomass Patterns across Northeast China Based on Allometric Scale Relationship
Previous Article in Journal
Changes in Seed Germination Ability, Lipid Peroxidation and Antioxidant Enzyme Activities of Ginkgo biloba Seed during Desiccation
Article Menu
Issue 8 (August) cover image

Export Article

Open AccessArticle
Forests 2017, 8(8), 285; doi:10.3390/f8080285

Projected Future Distribution of Tsuga canadensis across Alternative Climate Scenarios in Maine, U.S

1
Unity College, School of Environmental Citizenship, 90 Quaker Hill Rd., Unity, ME 04988, USA
2
School of Forest Resources, University of Maine, 201 Nutting Hall, Orono, ME 04469, USA
3
The Woods Hole Research Center, 149 Woods Hole Rd., Falmouth, MA 02540, USA
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Received: 2 June 2017 / Revised: 4 August 2017 / Accepted: 4 August 2017 / Published: 6 August 2017
View Full-Text   |   Download PDF [4664 KB, uploaded 6 August 2017]   |  

Abstract

Climate change is having an impact on forest ecosystems around the world and is expected to alter the suitable habitat of individual tree species. Forest managers require resources about potential impacts of climate change at the regional scale to aid in climate mitigation efforts. By understanding the geographic distribution of changes in suitable habitat, migration corridors can be identified for conservation and active management. With the increased availability of climate projection data, ancillary Geographic Information Systems data, and field observations, modeling efforts at the regional scale are now possible. Here, we modeled and mapped the continuous distribution of Tsuga canadensis throughout the state of Maine at the regional scale(30 m) with high precision (89% of pixels had a coefficient of variation ≤ 4.0%). The random forest algorithm was used to create a strong prediction of suitable habitat for the years 2050 and 2100 from both high and low emission climate projections. The results clearly suggest a significant gain in suitable habitat for Tsuga canadensis range with a general northwest expansion. View Full-Text
Keywords: NASA Earth Exchange Downscaled Climate Projections; predictive modeling; habitat suitability; eastern hemlock; Acadian Forest NASA Earth Exchange Downscaled Climate Projections; predictive modeling; habitat suitability; eastern hemlock; Acadian Forest
Figures

Figure 1

This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. (CC BY 4.0).

Scifeed alert for new publications

Never miss any articles matching your research from any publisher
  • Get alerts for new papers matching your research
  • Find out the new papers from selected authors
  • Updated daily for 49'000+ journals and 6000+ publishers
  • Define your Scifeed now

SciFeed Share & Cite This Article

MDPI and ACS Style

Dunckel, K.; Weiskittel, A.; Fiske, G. Projected Future Distribution of Tsuga canadensis across Alternative Climate Scenarios in Maine, U.S. Forests 2017, 8, 285.

Show more citation formats Show less citations formats

Note that from the first issue of 2016, MDPI journals use article numbers instead of page numbers. See further details here.

Related Articles

Article Metrics

Article Access Statistics

1

Comments

[Return to top]
Forests EISSN 1999-4907 Published by MDPI AG, Basel, Switzerland RSS E-Mail Table of Contents Alert
Back to Top