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Forests 2015, 6(2), 311-327; doi:10.3390/f6020311

Behavioral Modelling in a Decision Support System

1
European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC), Institute for Environment and Sustainability (IES), Forest Resources and Climate Unit, Via E. Fermi, 2749 I-21027 Ispra, Italy
2
Southern Swedish Forest Research Centre, SLU, Sundsvägen 3, SE-230 53 Alnarp, Sweden
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Academic Editors: Thomas J. Straka and Eric J. Jokela
Received: 15 December 2014 / Revised: 13 January 2015 / Accepted: 22 January 2015 / Published: 2 February 2015
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Abstract

Considering the variety of attitudes, objectives and behaviors characterizing forest owners is crucial for accurately assessing the impact of policy and market drivers on forest resources. A serious shortcoming of existing pan-European Decision Support Systems (DSS) is that they do not account for such heterogeneity, consequently disregarding the effects that this might have on timber supply and forest development. Linking a behavioral harvesting decision model—Expected Value Asymmetries (EVA)—to a forest resource dynamics model—European Forestry Dynamics Model (EFDM)—we provide an example of how forest owner specific characterization can be integrated in a DSS. The simulation results indicate that the approach holds promise as regards accounting for forest owner behavior in simulations of forest resources development. Hence, forest owner heterogeneity makes the distribution of forestland on owner types non-trivial, as it affects harvesting intensity and, subsequently, inter-temporal forest development. View Full-Text
Keywords: forest owner; forest development; timber supply; DSS forest owner; forest development; timber supply; DSS
This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. (CC BY 4.0).

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MDPI and ACS Style

Rinaldi, F.; Jonsson, R.; Sallnäs, O.; Trubins, R. Behavioral Modelling in a Decision Support System. Forests 2015, 6, 311-327.

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