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Search Results (310)

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Keywords = vaccination era

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17 pages, 1254 KiB  
Article
Attitudes Toward COVID-19 and Seasonal Influenza Vaccines in the Post-COVID Era: A Cross-Sectional Study Among Adults in Malta
by Maria Cordina, Mary Anne Lauri and Josef Lauri
Pharmacy 2025, 13(4), 102; https://doi.org/10.3390/pharmacy13040102 - 29 Jul 2025
Viewed by 198
Abstract
The uptake of the COVID-19 and seasonal influenza (SI) vaccines have decreased in Europe and especially in Malta. The present study aimed to investigate the attitudes toward COVID-19 and SI vaccines and determine if individuals perceive that these vaccines are relevant to protect [...] Read more.
The uptake of the COVID-19 and seasonal influenza (SI) vaccines have decreased in Europe and especially in Malta. The present study aimed to investigate the attitudes toward COVID-19 and SI vaccines and determine if individuals perceive that these vaccines are relevant to protect their health and identify reasons for their responses. A cross-sectional study using an anonymous questionnaire, informed by the Theory of Planned Behavior, addressing behavior beliefs and attitudes, and targeted at adult residents in Malta, was designed on Google Forms and disseminated using social media between January and March 2024. A total of 555 responses were received. The majority of respondents did not take/intend to take the COVID-19 (75%, n = 417) or SI (64.3%, n = 362) vaccines, with females being less likely to do so (p = 0.033). Perceived lack of safety (31.3%, n = 174) was the primary reason for rejecting the COVID-19 vaccine, and perceived lack of a threat from SI (26%, n = 144) was the reason for rejecting the SI vaccine. Those having chronic conditions were positively associated with uptake of both vaccines. In the post-pandemic era, these vaccines are not envisaged as having a major role in protecting one’s health. A high degree of skepticism especially toward the combined COVID-19 and SI vaccine in terms of safety, mostly in women, is still present. Full article
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22 pages, 1028 KiB  
Article
Revisiting Public Trust and Media Influence During COVID-19 Post-Vaccination Era—Waning of Anxiety and Depression Levels Among Skilled Workers and Students in Serbia
by Miljan Adamovic, Srdjan Nikolovski, Stefan Milojevic, Nebojsa Zdravkovic, Ivan Markovic, Olivera Djokic, Slobodan Tomic, Ivana Burazor, Dragoslava Zivkov Saponja, Jasna Gacic, Jelena Petkovic, Snezana Knezevic, Marko Spiler, Snezana Svetozarevic and Ana Adamovic
Behav. Sci. 2025, 15(7), 939; https://doi.org/10.3390/bs15070939 - 11 Jul 2025
Viewed by 405
Abstract
Infectious disease outbreaks amplify the influence of stressors on psychological conditions. The purpose of this study was to analyze the disturbing influence of COVID-19 outbreak-related information and the influence of trust on the Serbian healthcare system and COVID-19 preventive measures on anxiety and [...] Read more.
Infectious disease outbreaks amplify the influence of stressors on psychological conditions. The purpose of this study was to analyze the disturbing influence of COVID-19 outbreak-related information and the influence of trust on the Serbian healthcare system and COVID-19 preventive measures on anxiety and depression. An anonymous online questionnaire assessing the demographic information, disturbance level and causes, and levels of anxiety and depression has been distributed to the participants, divided into student and non-student groups. The non-student group was further divided into healthcare, military, and education workers. Anxiety and depression levels, as well as the level of decreased trust in COVID-19-related preventive measures, were higher among students compared to non-students (p = 0.011). Higher anxiety and depression levels, and higher influence of the COVID-19 outbreak on those levels, were observed in education and healthcare workers, compared to military personnel. Medical doctors reported a higher level of trust in the healthcare system compared to nurses (p = 0.023). Trust in the healthcare system increased more frequently compared to the pre-vaccination period among medical doctors, compared to nurses (p = 0.040). Higher anxiety and depression and lower public trust levels in students and workers in education and the healthcare sector indicate a need to focus on these important society members during public health emergencies. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Social Psychology)
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37 pages, 1448 KiB  
Review
Immuno-Oncology at the Crossroads: Confronting Challenges in the Quest for Effective Cancer Therapies
by Claudiu Natanael Roznovan, Luminița Gabriela Măruțescu and Gratiela Gradisteanu Pircalabioru
Int. J. Mol. Sci. 2025, 26(13), 6177; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijms26136177 - 26 Jun 2025
Viewed by 710
Abstract
Immuno-oncology has rapidly evolved into a cornerstone of modern cancer therapy, offering promising avenues for durable responses and personalized treatment strategies. This narrative review provides a thorough overview of the mechanisms underlying tumor–immune system interactions and the therapeutic innovations emerging from this knowledge. [...] Read more.
Immuno-oncology has rapidly evolved into a cornerstone of modern cancer therapy, offering promising avenues for durable responses and personalized treatment strategies. This narrative review provides a thorough overview of the mechanisms underlying tumor–immune system interactions and the therapeutic innovations emerging from this knowledge. Central to this discussion is the tumor microenvironment (TME), a complex ecosystem of immune and stromal cells that supports tumor growth and shapes therapeutic outcomes. Key cellular and molecular factors within the TME are examined, along with diverse immune escape strategies. We further analyze the landscape of immunotherapeutic approaches, including immune checkpoint inhibitors, cancer vaccines, adoptive cell therapies such as CAR-T cells, and cytokine-based interventions. This review also addresses the increasing importance of predictive biomarkers in immuno-oncology, particularly in patient stratification, monitoring resistance, and managing immunotherapy-related toxicity. Finally, we explore the emerging role of the microbiome as a modulator of immunotherapy efficacy, shedding light on host–microbe–immune interactions that may influence clinical outcomes. By integrating current biological insights with therapeutic innovation, this review outlines the challenges and opportunities ahead in immuno-oncology and emphasizes the need for translational research and cross-disciplinary collaboration to optimize cancer immunotherapy in the era of precision medicine. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Biomarkers in Cancer Immunology)
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21 pages, 640 KiB  
Review
Advances in Contraceptive Vaccine Development: A Comprehensive Review
by Wen Gao, Xiaoting Shen, Peipei Li, Chanchan Xiao and Yongxia Wang
Vaccines 2025, 13(7), 692; https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines13070692 - 26 Jun 2025
Viewed by 667
Abstract
The issues of uncontrolled global population growth and unintended pregnancies are severe, and the existing contraceptive methods have numerous limitations, making the development of novel contraceptive technologies urgent. Contraceptive vaccines offer a promising alternative to traditional contraception methods. This article reviews the three [...] Read more.
The issues of uncontrolled global population growth and unintended pregnancies are severe, and the existing contraceptive methods have numerous limitations, making the development of novel contraceptive technologies urgent. Contraceptive vaccines offer a promising alternative to traditional contraception methods. This article reviews the three developmental stages of contraceptive vaccines, including early exploration, technical bottlenecks, and innovative development directions in the new era. This article also summarizes the targets of immunocontraception, covering the current research status of contraceptive vaccines targeting sperm production, sperm antigens, oocyte zona pellucida, and gamete outcomes. Furthermore, this article explores the advantages of contraceptive vaccines in terms of efficiency, non-invasiveness, reversibility, and the promotion of gender equality. Challenges associated with clinical translation and real-world implementation are also critically analyzed. Full article
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53 pages, 1094 KiB  
Review
Research and Clinical Progress of Therapeutic Tumor Vaccines
by Chunyan Dong, Zhuang Li, Dejiang Tan, Huimin Sun, Jinghui Liang, Dexian Wei, Yiyang Zheng, Linyu Zhang, Sihan Liu, Yu Zhang, Junzhi Wang and Qing He
Vaccines 2025, 13(7), 672; https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines13070672 - 23 Jun 2025
Viewed by 1594
Abstract
Therapeutic cancer vaccines are a new growth point of biomedicine with broad industrial prospects in the post-COVID-19 era. Many large international pharmaceutical companies and emerging biotechnology companies are deploying different tumor therapeutic cancer vaccine projects, focusing on promoting their clinical transformation, and the [...] Read more.
Therapeutic cancer vaccines are a new growth point of biomedicine with broad industrial prospects in the post-COVID-19 era. Many large international pharmaceutical companies and emerging biotechnology companies are deploying different tumor therapeutic cancer vaccine projects, focusing on promoting their clinical transformation, and the vaccine industry has strong momentum for development. Such vaccines are also the core engine and pilot site for the development of new vaccine targets, new vectors, new adjuvants, and new technologies, which play a key role in promoting the innovation and development of vaccines. Various therapeutic cancer vaccines, such as viral vector vaccines, bacterial vector vaccines, cell vector vaccines, peptide vaccines, and nucleic acid vaccines, have all been applied in clinical research. With the continuous development of technology, therapeutic cancer vaccines are evolving towards the trends of precise antigens, efficient carriers, diversified adjuvants, and combined applications. For instance, the rapidly advancing mRNA-4157 vaccine is a typical representative that combines personalized antigens with efficient delivery vectors (lipid nanoparticles, LNPs), and it also shows synergistic advantages in melanoma patients treated in combination with immune checkpoint inhibitors. In this article, we will systematically discuss the current research and development status and clinical research progress of various therapeutic cancer vaccines. Full article
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15 pages, 228 KiB  
Article
Body Mass Index and COVID-19: An Overview Among an Italian Multicentric Cohort of Healthcare Workers in the Pre- and Post-Vaccination Eras—ORCHESTRA Project
by Gianluca Spiteri, Lorena Torroni, Maria Grazia Lourdes Monaco, Angela Carta, Francesco Taus, Alberto Modenese, Loretta Casolari, Maria Luisa Scapellato, Filippo Liviero, Francesca Larese Filon, Francesca Rui, Giuseppe Verlato and Stefano Porru
Vaccines 2025, 13(6), 660; https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines13060660 - 19 Jun 2025
Viewed by 505
Abstract
Background The prevalence of obesity is increasing all over the world, resulting in a global health emergency. The impact of obesity on the risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection and symptom severity, especially among high-risk working populations such as health workers, deserves further studies. Methods [...] Read more.
Background The prevalence of obesity is increasing all over the world, resulting in a global health emergency. The impact of obesity on the risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection and symptom severity, especially among high-risk working populations such as health workers, deserves further studies. Methods A multicentric retrospective cohort study was conducted among health workers at four Italian University Hospitals belonging to the ORCHESTRA Project. Data were collected through an online survey, investigating sociodemographic and clinical data, until September 2022. Results The questionnaire was filled out by 5777 health workers. The median age was 46 years old (I–III quartile 20–72) and 75.5% were females. Data on BMI was available for 5470 participants. Overweight and obese subjects amounted to 23.4% and 9.8%, respectively. Naïve health workers were the majority (57.4%). Overweight and obese subjects were at a higher risk of infection only before vaccination with respect to normoweight subjects (RRR = 1.28 (IC 95% 1.01–1.62, p = 0.039) and 1.36 (1.00–1.86, p = 0.047), respectively). Major acute and post-acute COVID-19 symptoms were more common among obese subjects, as compared to those with a normal weight (35.2% vs. 23.5%, and 14.2% vs. 9.3%). BMI did not reduce antibody levels after vaccination. On the contrary, overweight and obese health workers had a significantly higher RGM after the third dose (1.12 and 1.48, respectively; normal weight as reference). Conclusions Overweight and obese subjects are at a higher risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection. However, SARS-CoV-2 vaccination fosters a high antibody response even in these individuals. Vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 should be prioritized in subjects with a high BMI, especially in highly exposed workers, such as health workers. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section COVID-19 Vaccines and Vaccination)
9 pages, 1004 KiB  
Perspective
Opportunities for and Challenges of Conducting Indirect Treatment Comparisons and Meta-Analyses for Vaccines in Post-EU HTA Regulation Era
by Charlotte Graham, Erin Barker, Joe Moss, Emily Gregg, Rachael McCool, Nathalie Largeron, Mélanie Trichard, José Bartelt-Hofer and Maribel Tribaldos
J. Mark. Access Health Policy 2025, 13(2), 31; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmahp13020031 - 11 Jun 2025
Viewed by 834
Abstract
The dynamic nature of infectious diseases introduces inherent challenges to the design of vaccine clinical trials, which consequently makes vaccine indirect treatment comparisons (ITCs) and meta-analyses (MAs) more challenging compared with regular pharmaceuticals. However, comparisons of efficacy and safety between vaccines are being [...] Read more.
The dynamic nature of infectious diseases introduces inherent challenges to the design of vaccine clinical trials, which consequently makes vaccine indirect treatment comparisons (ITCs) and meta-analyses (MAs) more challenging compared with regular pharmaceuticals. However, comparisons of efficacy and safety between vaccines are being frequently required in vaccine decision making due to a low number of head-to-head clinical trials in the vaccine landscape. The introduction of the European Union Health Technology Assessment (HTA) Regulation (EU HTAR) aims to harmonize HTA efforts across Europe. However, the EU HTAR could also escalate existing challenges for conducting vaccine MAs and ITCs. Such challenges include generating efficacy evidence in time for Joint Clinical Assessment (JCA), incorporating high levels of heterogeneity due to infectious disease-specific characteristics, and tackling a high number of PICOs per submission—likely driven by heterogeneity in the available data and differences in national vaccine calendars. Opportunities to tackle these challenges include introducing a stepwise approach to vaccine assessment in JCA, best-practice recommendations for conducting/interpreting vaccine MAs and ITCs, and condensing the number of PICOs to create larger ‘catch-all’ ITC networks. This perspective article explores these challenges and opportunities further. Full article
(This article belongs to the Collection European Health Technology Assessment (EU HTA))
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14 pages, 586 KiB  
Review
Congenital Rubella Syndrome in the Post-Elimination Era: Why Vigilance Remains Essential
by Livian Cássia De Melo, Marina Macruz Rugna, Talita Almeida Durães, Stefany Silva Pereira, Gustavo Yano Callado, Pedro Pires, Evelyn Traina, Edward Araujo Júnior and Roberta Granese
J. Clin. Med. 2025, 14(11), 3986; https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm14113986 - 5 Jun 2025
Viewed by 1117
Abstract
Congenital Rubella Syndrome (CRS) results from maternal infection with the rubella virus during pregnancy, particularly in the first trimester, when the risk of vertical transmission and severe fetal damage is highest. CRS is characterized by a broad spectrum of congenital anomalies, including sensorineural [...] Read more.
Congenital Rubella Syndrome (CRS) results from maternal infection with the rubella virus during pregnancy, particularly in the first trimester, when the risk of vertical transmission and severe fetal damage is highest. CRS is characterized by a broad spectrum of congenital anomalies, including sensorineural hearing loss, congenital heart defects, cataracts, neurodevelopmental delay, and behavioral disorders. Despite the absence of specific antiviral therapies, active immunization remains the only effective strategy to prevent rubella infection and its congenital consequences. Global immunization efforts, particularly in the Americas, have led to the elimination of rubella and CRS in several countries. However, challenges persist in the post-elimination era, including declining vaccine coverage, vaccine hesitancy, and setbacks caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. Diagnosis relies on maternal serology, fetal imaging, postnatal antibody testing, and molecular techniques. Management requires long-term, multidisciplinary follow-up due to the complex and lifelong sequelae affecting sensory, motor, and cognitive development. This review highlights the clinical, epidemiological, and pathophysiological aspects of CRS, while emphasizing the urgent need to maintain high vaccination coverage and strengthen surveillance systems. Sustained public health commitment is essential to prevent the reemergence of rubella and protect future generations from this preventable syndrome. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Obstetrics & Gynecology)
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16 pages, 4152 KiB  
Article
Analysis of Epidemiological and Evolutionary Characteristics of Seasonal Influenza Viruses in Shenzhen City from 2018 to 2024
by Weiyu Peng, Hui Liu, Xin Wang, Chao Li, Shunwu Huang, Shiyu Qi, Zhongnan Hu, Xiaoying Xu, Haihai Jiang, Jinyu Duan, Hui Chen, Manyu Huang, Ying Sun, Weihua Wu, Min Jiang, Xuan Zou and Shisong Fang
Viruses 2025, 17(6), 798; https://doi.org/10.3390/v17060798 - 30 May 2025
Viewed by 644
Abstract
The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic and the implementation of associated non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) profoundly altered the epidemiology of seasonal influenza viruses. To investigate these changes, we analyzed influenza-like illness samples in Shenzhen, China, across six influenza seasons spanning 2018 to 2024. Influenza activity declined markedly [...] Read more.
The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic and the implementation of associated non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) profoundly altered the epidemiology of seasonal influenza viruses. To investigate these changes, we analyzed influenza-like illness samples in Shenzhen, China, across six influenza seasons spanning 2018 to 2024. Influenza activity declined markedly during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic compared with the pre-pandemic period but returned to or even exceeded pre-pandemic levels in the post-pandemic era. Phylogenetic analysis of hemagglutinin (HA) and neuraminidase (NA) genes from 58 H1N1pdm09, 78 H3N2, and 97 B/Victoria isolates revealed substantial genetic divergence from the WHO-recommended vaccine strains. Notably, key mutations in the HA genes of H1N1pdm09, H3N2, and B/Victoria viruses were concentrated in the receptor-binding site (RBS) and adjacent antigenic sites. Hemagglutination inhibition (HI) assays demonstrated that most circulating viruses remained antigenically matched to their corresponding vaccine strains. However, significant antigenic drift was observed in H3N2 clade 3C.2a1b.1b viruses during the 2018–2019 season and in B/Victoria clade V1A.3a.2 viruses during the 2023–2024 season. These findings highlight the impact of NPIs and pandemic-related disruptions on influenza virus circulation and evolution, providing critical insights for future surveillance and public health preparedness. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Human Virology and Viral Diseases)
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14 pages, 1712 KiB  
Article
Bacterial Acute Otitis Media Complicated with Otorrhea in a Children’s Hospital in the Era of Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccines
by Irene Tzovara, Anastasios Doudoulakakis, Georgios Kalogeras, Emmanouil Koutouzis, Charilaos Dellis, Sophia Pasparakis, Marietta Charakida, Evangelia Lebessi, Elisavet Bozavoutoglou, Michael Tsakanikos, Vassiliki Syriopoulou and Maria Tsolia
Pathogens 2025, 14(5), 494; https://doi.org/10.3390/pathogens14050494 - 17 May 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 766
Abstract
Acute otitis media (AOM) is a common disease among children and can be complicated by otorrhea (AOMO). In 2010, the 13-valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine (PCV13) replaced the 7-valent vaccine (PCV7) in Greece. We aimed to describe the microbiological profile of bacterial ΑOMO among [...] Read more.
Acute otitis media (AOM) is a common disease among children and can be complicated by otorrhea (AOMO). In 2010, the 13-valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine (PCV13) replaced the 7-valent vaccine (PCV7) in Greece. We aimed to describe the microbiological profile of bacterial ΑOMO among children younger than 16 years across the two PCV periods in a tertiary children’s hospital. Middle ear fluid cultures from 2418 children with AOMO were collected from 2007 to 2022. Otopathogens were isolated and tested for antimicrobial susceptibility. Data were compared between the PCV7- (2007–2011) and PCV13-period (2012–2019). The most common otopathogen over the 16-year period was S. pyogenes (35.4%), followed by H. influenzae (33.8%), S. pneumoniae (26.6%), and M. catarrhalis (4.1%). Pneumococcal resistance to cefotaxime and clindamycin significantly increased from 2% to 4.5% (p = 0.019) and 16.1% to 22.8% (p = 0.039), respectively. Resistance of H. influenzae to ampicillin increased from 6.3% to 13.9% (p < 0.001). A significant reduction in cotrimoxazole-resistant S. pneumoniae from 31% to 22.4% (p = 0.012), and in clindamycin-resistant and erythromycin-resistant S pyogenes, from 17.4% to 9.3% and 21.4% to 10.8%, respectively (p ≤ 0.001), was observed. During 2013–2022, 38 S. pneumoniae serotypes were identified among 250 isolates. Serotype 3 (27.2%) and 19A (13.2%) prevailed, followed by 19F (7%). The most common causes after the shift to PCV13 are S. pyogenes and H. influenzae. However, S. pneumoniae remains an important otopathogen with significant antimicrobial resistance. Serotype 3 was mostly detected, followed by 19A. Full article
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20 pages, 1434 KiB  
Review
The New Era of Pneumococcal Vaccination in Adults: What Is Next?
by Lale Ozisik
Vaccines 2025, 13(5), 498; https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines13050498 - 7 May 2025
Viewed by 3469
Abstract
Streptococcus pneumoniae remains the leading cause of community-acquired pneumonia in adults and bacterial meningitis in children worldwide. In addition to pneumonia, invasive pneumococcal diseases (IPDs), such as bacteremia and meningitis, pose a significant burden, particularly among older adults and individuals with underlying comorbidities. [...] Read more.
Streptococcus pneumoniae remains the leading cause of community-acquired pneumonia in adults and bacterial meningitis in children worldwide. In addition to pneumonia, invasive pneumococcal diseases (IPDs), such as bacteremia and meningitis, pose a significant burden, particularly among older adults and individuals with underlying comorbidities. These diseases lead to substantial morbidity and mortality. Pneumococcal vaccination has been a cornerstone of disease prevention, reducing incidence and antimicrobial resistance. Recent advances in understanding S. pneumoniae epidemiology, genomic diversity, and the real-world impact of conjugate vaccines have driven the development and licensure of new-generation pneumococcal vaccines with expanded serotype coverage. Introducing 15-valent (PCV15), 20-valent (PCV20), and 21-valent (PCV21) conjugate vaccines has reshaped pneumococcal immunization strategies, particularly in adults, replacing previous sequential vaccine recommendations in many settings. In parallel, emerging epidemiological data and shifts in pneumococcal serotype distribution continue to influence vaccine policy decisions and immunization guidelines worldwide. In light of these advancements, adult pneumococcal vaccination recommendations continuously evolve to enhance protection in high-risk populations and optimize long-term immunity. This review provides an updated overview of the pneumococcal disease burden, the evolution of pneumococcal vaccines, and the latest immunization strategies in an expanding vaccine landscape. Additionally, we discuss future directions in pneumococcal vaccine development and the potential impact of novel vaccination approaches on public health outcomes. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Vaccines and Vaccine Preventable Diseases)
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24 pages, 4850 KiB  
Review
Anti-Cancer Drugs: Trends and Insights from PubMed Records
by Ferdinando Spagnolo, Silvia Brugiapaglia, Martina Perin, Simona Intonti and Claudia Curcio
Pharmaceutics 2025, 17(5), 610; https://doi.org/10.3390/pharmaceutics17050610 - 4 May 2025
Viewed by 900
Abstract
Background: In recent years, there has been an exponential growth in global anti-cancer drug research, prompting the necessity for comprehensive analyses of publication output and thematic shifts. Methods: This study utilized a comprehensive set of PubMed records from 1962 to 2024 and [...] Read more.
Background: In recent years, there has been an exponential growth in global anti-cancer drug research, prompting the necessity for comprehensive analyses of publication output and thematic shifts. Methods: This study utilized a comprehensive set of PubMed records from 1962 to 2024 and examined growth patterns, content classification, and co-occurrence of key pharmacological and molecular terms. Results: Our results highlight an exponential rise in publications, with an annual compound growth rate of over 14%, influenced by advancements in digital knowledge sharing and novel therapeutic breakthroughs. A pronounced surge occurred during the COVID-19 pandemic, suggesting a sustained shift in research dynamics. The content analyses revealed a strong emphasis on classical chemotherapeutic agents—often studied in combination with targeted therapies or immunotherapies—and a growing focus on immune checkpoint inhibitors and vaccine platforms. Furthermore, co-occurrence networks indicated robust links between chemotherapy and supportive care, as well as emerging synergies between immuno-oncology, precision medicine approaches. Conclusions: Our study suggests that while novel modalities are reshaping treatment paradigms, chemotherapy remains central, underscoring the value of integrative regimens. This trend toward personalized, combination-based strategies indicates a transformative era in oncology research, where multidimensional data assessment is instrumental in guiding future therapeutic innovations. Full article
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21 pages, 1216 KiB  
Article
Studying Disease Reinfection Rates, Vaccine Efficacy, and the Timing of Vaccine Rollout in the Context of Infectious Diseases: A COVID-19 Case Study
by Elizabeth B. Amona, Indranil Sahoo, Edward L. Boone and Ryad Ghanam
Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2025, 22(5), 731; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph22050731 - 3 May 2025
Viewed by 583
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the intricate nature of disease dynamics, extending beyond transmission patterns to the complex interplay of intervention strategies. In the post-COVID-19 era, reinfection has emerged as a critical factor, shaping how we model disease progression, evaluate immunity, and assess [...] Read more.
The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the intricate nature of disease dynamics, extending beyond transmission patterns to the complex interplay of intervention strategies. In the post-COVID-19 era, reinfection has emerged as a critical factor, shaping how we model disease progression, evaluate immunity, and assess the effectiveness of public health interventions. This research uniquely explores the varied efficacy of existing vaccines and the pivotal role of vaccination timing in the context of COVID-19. Departing from conventional modeling, we introduce two models that account for the impact of vaccines on infections, reinfections, and deaths. We estimate model parameters under the Bayesian framework, specifically utilizing the Metropolis–Hastings Sampler. We conduct data-driven scenario analyses for the State of Qatar, quantifying the potential duration during which the healthcare system could have been overwhelmed by an influx of new COVID-19 cases surpassing available hospital beds. Additionally, the research explores similarities in predictive probability distributions of cumulative infections, reinfections, and deaths, employing the Hellinger distance metric. Comparative analysis, utilizing the Bayes factor, underscores the plausibility of a model assuming a different susceptibility rate to reinfection, as opposed to assuming the same susceptibility rate for both infections and reinfections. Results highlight the adverse outcomes associated with delayed vaccination, emphasizing the efficacy of early vaccination in reducing infections, reinfections, and deaths. Our research advocates for prioritization of early vaccination as a key strategy in effectively combating future pandemics, thereby providing vital insights for evidence-based public health interventions. Full article
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21 pages, 4677 KiB  
Article
Genetic Sequencing of a Bacterial Pneumonia Vaccine Produced in 1916
by Yongli Xiao, Sebastian M. Gygli, Tomoko Y. Steen and Jeffery K. Taubenberger
Vaccines 2025, 13(5), 491; https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines13050491 - 2 May 2025
Viewed by 845
Abstract
Background/Objectives: Bacterial vaccines were first developed and used in the late 1800s to prevent chicken cholera and anthrax. Bacterial pneumonia vaccines were widely used during the 1918 influenza pandemic, despite the influenza A/H1N1 virus not yet being identified. Studies showed that bacterial [...] Read more.
Background/Objectives: Bacterial vaccines were first developed and used in the late 1800s to prevent chicken cholera and anthrax. Bacterial pneumonia vaccines were widely used during the 1918 influenza pandemic, despite the influenza A/H1N1 virus not yet being identified. Studies showed that bacterial pathogens, including Haemophilus influenzae, Streptococcus pneumoniae, and Streptococcus pyogenes, contributed significantly to fatal secondary bacterial pneumonias during the pandemic. In this study, we aimed to characterize the microbial composition of two ampules of a mixed bacterial influenza vaccine produced in 1916, which were labeled as containing killed Bacillus influenzae, Pneumococci, and Streptococcus pyogenes. Methods: DNA was extracted from two 1916-era vaccine ampules, and due to low DNA yields, whole genome amplification (WGA) was performed prior to construction of Illumina sequencing libraries. Deep sequencing was conducted, followed by bioinformatic analysis to identify bacterial DNA content. Consensus genomes were assembled for predominant species, and further analyzed for serotype, phylogeny, and antibiotic resistance genes. Results: The amount of recoverable DNA from these century-old vaccine ampules was limited. The sequencing results revealed minimal detectable S. pneumoniae DNA. The first ampule contained predominantly H. influenzae DNA, while the second vial primarily contained Enterococcus faecium DNA, in addition to S. pyogenes DNA. Consensus genomes for H. influenzae, S. pyogenes, and E. faecium were assembled and analyzed for serotype, phylogeny, and antibiotic resistance genes. Conclusions: This study presents the first genomic analysis of century-old bacterial pneumonia vaccine ampules from the 1918 influenza pandemic era. The findings provide a unique historical perspective on early vaccine formulations and highlight the limitations of early vaccine production. Full article
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24 pages, 2160 KiB  
Article
Deciphering the Risk–Return Dynamics of Pharmaceutical Companies Using the GARCH-M Model
by Arvinder Kaur and Kavita Chavali
Risks 2025, 13(5), 87; https://doi.org/10.3390/risks13050087 - 1 May 2025
Viewed by 817
Abstract
This study focuses on the precise forecasting of stock price movement to determine returns, diversify risk, and demystify existing opportunities. It also aims to gauge the difference in terms of the stock volatility of various pharma companies before and during the pandemic era. [...] Read more.
This study focuses on the precise forecasting of stock price movement to determine returns, diversify risk, and demystify existing opportunities. It also aims to gauge the difference in terms of the stock volatility of various pharma companies before and during the pandemic era. The prediction of stock market volatility and associated risks is demonstrated by using the GARCH-M model. A sample is collected by clustering daily closing and opening prices from the official websites of the top ten pharmaceutical companies listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange for ten years, from 2012 to 2023. It is evident when using the GARCH-M model, which indicates pharma stock volatility clustering before the COVID-19 pandemic, that a significant relationship is present between risk and return and that these could cause future volatility and significant price movements. Before the COVID-19 pandemic, investors had time to adjust to market conditions, as the volatility was constant but less sensitive to transient shocks. Though it passed faster than ever, the COVID-19 pandemic produced significant market instability. The findings suggest that, especially before the COVID-19 pandemic, the high GARCH(-1) coefficients held Merton’s ICAPM, which maintains that past volatility shapes future returns. This sort of activity is compatible with the way financial markets usually operate. The findings suggest that volatility rose after the COVID-19 pandemic, but this was more because of changes in government policies and vaccines than because of regular market forces. Pricing patterns are dominated by stock interventions, liquidity constraints, and sentiments during a crisis period when volatility becomes irrelevant. Appropriate decision-making by individual investors, portfolio managers, and policymakers regarding the stock market is possible through effective prediction based on time-series analysis. The GARCH-M model is compatible with predicting future stock price changes efficiently. This study uniquely applies the GARCH-M model to the Indian pharmaceutical sector, offering valuable insights into stock volatility and risk–return dynamics, particularly during the COVID-19 pandemic. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Risk Management for Capital Markets)
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