Search Results (643)

This study investigates the use of a Random Forest (RF), an artificial intelligence (AI) model, to estimate the planetary boundary layer height (PBLH) over Central Amazonia from climatic elements data collected during the GoAmazon experiment, held in 2014 and 2015, as it is a key metric for air quality, weather forecasting, and climate modeling. The novelty of this study lies in estimating PBLH using only surface-based meteorological observations. This approach is validated against remote sensing measurements (e.g., LIDAR, ceilometer, and wind profilers), which are seldom available in the Amazon region. The dataset includes various meteorological features, though substantial missing data for the latent heat flux (LE) and net radiation (Rn) measurements posed challenges. We addressed these gaps through different data-cleaning strategies, such as feature exclusion, row removal, and imputation techniques, assessing their impact on model performance using the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and $r^2$ metrics. The best-performing strategy achieved an RMSE of 375.9 m. In addition to the RF model, we benchmarked its performance against Linear Regression, Support Vector Regression, LightGBM, XGBoost, and a Deep Neural Network. While all models showed moderate correlation with observed PBLH, the RF model outperformed all others with statistically significant differences confirmed by paired t-tests. SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) values were used to enhance model interpretability, revealing hour of the day, air temperature, and relative humidity as the most influential predictors for PBLH, underscoring their critical role in atmospheric dynamics in Central Amazonia. Despite these optimizations, the model underestimates the PBLH values—by an average of 197 m, particularly in the spring and early summer austral seasons when atmospheric conditions are more variable. These findings emphasize the importance of robust data preprocessing and higtextight the potential of ML models for improving PBLH estimation in data-scarce tropical environments. Full article

Air–sea interactions play a pivotal role in shaping cyclone development and evolution. In this context, this study investigates the role of ocean optical properties and solar radiation penetration in modulating subsurface heat content and their subsequent influence on the intensity of Mediterranean cyclones. Using a regional coupled ocean–wave–atmosphere model, we conducted sensitivity experiments for Storm Daniel (2023) comparing two solar radiation penetration schemes in the ocean model component: one with a constant light attenuation depth and another with chlorophyll-dependent attenuation based on satellite estimates. Results show that the chlorophyll-driven radiative heating scheme consistently produces warmer sea surface temperatures (SSTs) prior to cyclone onset, leading to stronger cyclones characterized by deeper minimum mean sea-level pressure, intensified convective activity, and increased rainfall. However, post-storm SST cooling is also amplified due to stronger wind stress and vertical mixing, potentially influencing subsequent local atmospheric conditions. Overall, this work demonstrates that ocean bio-optical processes can meaningfully impact Mediterranean cyclone behavior, highlighting the importance of using appropriate underwater light attenuation schemes and ocean color remote sensing data in coupled models. Full article

Extreme surface winds and wave heights of tropical cyclones (TCs)—pose serious threats to coastal community, infrastructure and environments. In recent decades, progress in numerical wave modeling has significantly enhanced the ability to reconstruct and predict wave behavior. This review offers an in-depth overview of TC-related wave modeling utilizing different computational schemes, with a special attention to WAVEWATCH III (WW3) and Simulating Waves Nearshore (SWAN). Due to the complex air–sea interactions during TCs, it is challenging to obtain accurate wind input data and optimize the parameterizations. Substantial spatial and temporal variations in water levels and current patterns occurs when coastal circulation is modulated by varying underwater topography. To explore their influence on waves, this study employs a coupled SWAN and Finite-Volume Community Ocean Model (FVCOM) modeling approach. Additionally, the interplay between wave and sea surface temperature (SST) is investigated by incorporating four key wave-induced forcing through breaking and non-breaking waves, radiation stress, and Stokes drift from WW3 into the Stony Brook Parallel Ocean Model (sbPOM). 20 TC events were analyzed to evaluate the performance of the selected parameterizations of external forcings in WW3 and SWAN. Among different nonlinear wave interaction schemes, Generalized Multiple Discrete Interaction Approximation (GMD) Discrete Interaction Approximation (DIA) and the computationally expensive Wave-Ray Tracing (WRT) A refined drag coefficient (C_d) equation, applied within an upgraded ST6 configuration, reduce significant wave height (SWH) prediction errors and the root mean square error (RMSE) for both SWAN and WW3 wave models. Surface currents and sea level variations notably altered the wave energy and wave height distributions, especially in the area with strong TC-induced oceanic current. Finally, coupling four wave-induced forcings into sbPOM enhanced SST simulation by refining heat flux estimates and promoting vertical mixing. Validation against Argo data showed that the updated sbPOM model achieved an RMSE as low as 1.39 m, with correlation coefficients nearing 0.9881. Full article

Maintaining the required relative humidity values in the vehicle cabin is an important HVAC task, along with considerations related to the temperature, velocity, air pressure and noise. Deviation from the optimal values worsens the psycho-physiological state of the driver and affects the energy efficiency of the train. In this study, a model of liquid film formation on and removal from various cabin surfaces was constructed using the fundamental Navier–Stokes hydrodynamic equations. A special transport model based on the liquid vapor diffusion equation was used to simulate the air environment inside the cabin. The evaporation and condensation of surface films were simulated using the Euler film model, which directly considers liquid–gas and gas–liquid transitions. Numerical results were obtained using the RANS equations and a turbulence model by means of the finite volume method in Ansys CFD. Conjugate fields of temperature, velocity and moisture concentration were constructed for various time intervals, and the dependence values for the film thicknesses on various surfaces relative to time were determined. The verification was conducted in comparison with the experimental data, based on the protocol for measuring the microclimate indicators in workplaces, as applied to the train cabin: the average ranges encompassed temperature changes from 11% to 18%, and relative humidity ranges from 16% to 26%. Comparison with the results of other studies, without considering the phase transition and condensation, shows that, for the warm mode, the average air temperature in the cabin with condensation is 12.5% lower than without condensation, which is related to the process of liquid evaporation from the heated walls. The difference in temperature values for the model with and without condensation ranged from −12.5% to +4.9%. We demonstrate that, with an effective mode of removing condensate film from the window surface, including recirculation modes, the energy consumption of the climate control system improves significantly, but this requires a more accurate consideration of thermodynamic parameters and relative humidity. Thus, considering the moisture condensation model reveals that this variable can significantly affect other parameters of the microclimate in cabins: in particular, the temperature. This means that it should be considered in the numerical modeling, along with the basic heat transfer equations. Full article

Creating a comfortable microclimate in the premises of buildings is currently becoming one of the priorities in the field of architecture, construction and engineering systems. The increased attention from the scientific community to this topic is due not only to the desire to ensure healthy and favorable conditions for human life but also to the need for the rational use of energy resources. This area is becoming particularly relevant in the context of global challenges related to climate change, rising energy costs and increased environmental requirements. Practice shows that any technical solutions to ensure comfortable temperature, humidity and air exchange in rooms should be closely linked to the concept of energy efficiency. This allows one not only to reduce operating costs but also to significantly reduce greenhouse gas emissions, thereby contributing to sustainable development and environmental safety. In this connection, this study presents a parametric assessment of the influence of climatic and geometric factors on the aerodynamic characteristics of the air cavity, which affect the heat exchange process in the ventilated layer of curtain wall systems. The assessment was carried out using a combined analytical calculation method that provides averaged thermophysical parameters, such as mean air velocity ($V_s$), average internal surface temperature ($t_{in.s}^{av}$), and convective heat transfer coefficient (${\alpha }_s$) within the air cavity. This study resulted in empirical average values, demonstrating that the air velocity within the cavity significantly depends on atmospheric pressure and façade height difference. For instance, a 10-fold increase in façade height leads to a 4.4-fold increase in air velocity. Furthermore, a three-fold variation in local resistance coefficients results in up to a two-fold change in airflow velocity. The cavity thickness, depending on atmospheric pressure, was also found to affect airflow velocity by up to 25%. Similar patterns were observed under ambient temperatures of +20 °C, +30 °C, and +40 °C. The analysis confirmed that airflow velocity is directly affected by cavity height, while the impact of solar radiation is negligible. However, based on the outcomes of the analytical model, it was concluded that the method does not adequately account for the effects of solar radiation and vertical temperature gradients on airflow within ventilated façades. This highlights the need for further full-scale experimental investigations under hot climate conditions in South Kazakhstan. The findings are expected to be applicable internationally to regions with comparable climatic characteristics. Ultimately, a correct understanding of thermophysical processes in such structures will support the advancement of trends such as Lightweight Design, Functionally Graded Design, and Value Engineering in the development of curtain wall systems, through the optimized selection of façade configurations, accounting for temperature loads under specific climatic and design conditions. Full article

The goal of this study was to look at changes in mean air temperatures, minimum air temperatures, maximum air temperatures, dew points, and precipitation over each of 1033 lakes in the coterminous United States over the summer months in the years 1981–2024. Near-surface water temperatures in the same lakes were calculated with equations using 8-day mean daily air temperatures, latitude, elevation, and the year of sampling. Over the past 43 years, there have been changes in air temperatures over many lakes of the United States with generally increasing trends for minimum air temperatures and mean air temperatures during the months of June through September. The greatest increases have been in daily minimum air temperatures followed by the mean daily air temperatures. Maximum daily air temperatures did not show a statistically significant increase for the summer season but did show a significant increase for the month of September. Along with the changes in the climate, the near-surface water temperatures of the lakes of the United States on average showed increases of 0.33 °C decade⁻¹ for the four summer months and increases for each of the summer months. Full article

Extreme air temperatures along with the synoptic conditions leading to their appearance are examined for the Mediterranean region for the 85-year period of 1940–2024. The data used are daily (04UTC and 12UTC) grid point (1° × 1°) values of 2 m air temperature, 850 hPa air temperature, and 1000 hPa and 500 hPa geopotential heights, obtained from the ERA5 database. For 12UTC and 04UTC, the 2 m air temperature anomalies are calculated and are used for the definition of Extremely High Temperature Days (EHTDs) and Extremely Low Temperature Days (ELTDs), respectively. Overall, 3787 EHTDs and 4872 ELTDs are defined. It is found that EHTDs are evidently more frequent in recent years (increased by 305% since the 1980s) whereas ELTDs are less frequent (decreased by 41% since the 1980s), providing a clear sign of warming of the Mediterranean climate. A multivariate statistical analysis combining factor analysis and k-means clustering, known as spectral clustering, is applied to the data resulting in the definition of nine EHTD and seven ELTD clusters. EHTDs are mainly associated with intense solar heating, blocking anticyclones and warm air advection. ELTDs are connected to intense radiative cooling of the Earth’s surface, cold air advection and Arctic outbreaks. This is a unique study for the Mediterranean region utilizing the high-resolution ERA5 data collected since the 1940s to define and investigate the variability of both high and low temperature extremes using a validated methodology. Full article

Mangrove forests serve as critical ecological barriers in coastal zones and play a vital role in global blue carbon sequestration strategies. In recent decades, China’s mangrove ecosystems have experienced complex interactions between degradation and restoration under intense coastal urbanization and systematic conservation efforts. However, the long-term spatiotemporal patterns and driving mechanisms of mangrove ecosystem health changes remain insufficiently quantified. This study developed a multi-temporal analytical framework using Landsat imagery (1986–2021) to derive kernel normalized difference vegetation index (kNDVI) time series—an advanced phenological indicator with enhanced sensitivity to vegetation dynamics. We systematically characterized mangrove growth patterns along China’s southeastern coast through integrated Theil–Sen slope estimation, Mann–Kendall trend analysis, and Hurst exponent forecasting. A Deep Forest regression model was subsequently applied to quantify the relative contributions of environmental drivers (mean annual sea surface temperature, precipitation, air temperature, tropical cyclone frequency, and relative sea-level rise rate) and anthropogenic pressures (nighttime light index). The results showed the following: (1) a nationally significant improvement in mangrove vitality (p < 0.05), with mean annual kNDVI increasing by 0.0072/yr during 1986–2021; (2) spatially divergent trajectories, with 58.68% of mangroves exhibiting significant improvement (p < 0.05), which was 2.89 times higher than the proportion of degraded areas (15.10%); (3) Hurst persistence analysis (H = 0.896) indicating that 74.97% of the mangrove regions were likely to maintain their growth trends, while 15.07% of the coastal zones faced potential degradation risks; and (4) Deep Forest regression id the relative rate of sea-level rise (importance = 0.91) and anthropogenic (nighttime light index, importance = 0.81) as dominant drivers, surpassing climatic factors. This study provides the first national-scale, 30 m resolution assessment of mangrove growth dynamics using kNDVI, offering a scientific basis for adaptive management and blue carbon strategies in subtropical coastal ecosystems. Full article

Glacier classification offers a structured framework for assessing glacier characteristics and understanding their responses to climate change. In this study, we apply the Shi–Xie glacier classification system, proposed by Chinese glaciologists Shi and Xie, to evaluate the transformation of extremely continental, subcontinental, and maritime glaciers across China over the past four decades. Our results show a widespread rise in equilibrium line altitudes (ELAs), alongside complex changes in climatic and glaciological parameters. Notably, despite ongoing warming trends, nearly half of the glaciers experienced cooling at the ELA, and over two-thirds showed a decline in summer mean temperatures. This apparent contradiction is explained by elevation-induced cooling; as ELAs rise to higher altitudes, the corresponding summer air temperatures decline due to the lapse rate effect. Near-surface ice temperatures (20 m depth) were strongly consistent with changes in annual air temperature. Precipitation trends were spatially heterogeneous, yet around 70% of glaciers experienced stable or slightly increasing annual precipitation. In contrast, maritime glaciers, particularly those in the southeastern glacierized regions, exhibited marked decreases. Glacier surface velocities generally declined, with 90% of glaciers flowing at speeds below 50 m a⁻¹. Threshold-based analysis reveals that glaciers in transitional zones frequently exhibit multi-indicator deviations. Extremely continental glaciers near classification boundaries showed a shift toward warmer, wetter subcontinental conditions, while maritime glaciers tended toward drier, colder subcontinental characteristics. These findings offer new insights into the differentiated responses and ongoing transformation of glacier types in China under climate change. Full article

The main objective of this work was to evaluate new variants of passive heating systems used for horticultural crop cycles planted in the cold period in low-cost greenhouses on the Mediterranean Spanish coast (a mild-winter area). The double low cover (DLC) is variant of the conventional fixed plastic screen that reduces the air volume and increases the airtightness around crops. Three identical DLCs were installed inside a typical greenhouse, and the microclimate measured in the three DLCs was similar. The DLCs reduced the solar radiation transmissivity coefficient by around 0.05 but increased the mean daily substrate and air temperatures (up to 1.6 and 3.6 °C, respectively). They also modified the air humidity, although this can be modulated by opening the vertical sheets located on the greenhouse aisles (DLC vents). The black plastic mulch forming an air chamber around the substrate bags (BMC), a new mulch variant used in substrate-grown crops, increased the substrate temperature with respect to the conventional black mulch covering the entire ground surface. The combination of BMC plus DLC increased the mean daily substrate temperature by up to 2.9 °C, especially at night. Low tunnels covered with transparent film and with a spun-bonded fabric sheet were also compared, and both materials were efficient heating systems regarding substrate and air temperatures. Low tunnels combined with the DLC substantially increased air humidity, but this can be partially offset by opening the DLC vents. The combination of low tunnels and DLC does not seem recommendable for greenhouse crops planted in winter, since both systems reduce solar radiation transmissivity. Full article

Greenhouses offer optimal environments for crop cultivation during the winter months. The rationale for this study was identified as the synergistic exchange of air between the soil, the wall, and the indoor environment within the greenhouse (referring to the coupling law of the temperature fields of the three elements in space and time, including the direction of heat transfer and the consistency of the temperature zoning), thereby maintaining a more optimal temperature. However, there is a paucity of research on the impact of different spans on the thermal environment in solar greenhouses and even fewer studies on the synergistic law of changes in soil-wall indoor air in solar greenhouses with different spans. In this study, two solar greenhouses with different spans were analyzed through a combination of experiments as follows: K-means classification optimized using the grey wolf optimizer (GWO), computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations, and long short-term memory (LSTM) prediction models. The two solar greenhouses, designated as S1 and S2, had spans of 11 m and 10 m, respectively. The results are as follows: In two greenhouses when the span and temperature were the same, the indoor air temperature and soil temperature of the S1 greenhouse were lower than those of the S2 greenhouse; there was an isothermal layer in the north wall of greenhouses S1 and S2 (a stable area where the temperature change over time is less than 0.5 °C), the horizontal distance between the isothermal layer on the inside of the greenhouse wall and the inside of the wall was more than 400 mm, and that of the outside of the greenhouse wall was more than 200 mm; within the solar greenhouse, this study identified that heat was emitted from the inner surface of the wall (at 0 mm from the inner surface) toward the outer surface of the wall (at 0 mm from the outer surface), as well as at a horizontal distance of 200 mm from the inner surface of the wall. The temperature data from 0:00 to 8:00 at night were selected for the purpose of analyzing the temperature synergistic change in soil-wall indoor air in the S1 greenhouse. The temperature change can be classified into four categories according to K-means classification, which was optimized based on the grey wolf algorithm. The categories were as follows: high-temperature region, medium-high temperature region, medium-low temperature region, and low-temperature region. The low-temperature region spanned the range of X = (800, 3000) mm, and its height range was Y = (−150, 1200) mm. The CFD model and LSTM prediction model have been shown to be superior, and the findings of this study offer a theoretical basis for the optimization of thermal environment control in solar greenhouses. Full article

Puerto Rico has experienced recent increases in annual, seasonal and daily temperatures that have been associated with climate change. More recently, the island has been experiencing an increase in the frequency of extremely warm days that are causing significant environmental and socio-economic impacts. This study focuses on examining how annual, seasonal and daily temperatures have changed over recent decades in 12 historical sites spread across the island for the 1970–2024 period and how it relates to climate change. The Mann–Kendall tests for trends were employed for the annual and seasonal series to identify areas of the island where warming has been found to be statistically significant. The 90th, 95th, and 99th percentiles of daily temperature series were also analyzed. This study found that Puerto Rico has experienced significant warming from 1970 to 2024, with the most consistent increases in minimum temperatures, especially during the summer and nighttime hours. The frequency of extreme heat events has increased across nearly all stations in different areas of the island. Stepwise regression models identified surface air temperature (SAT), sea surface temperature (SST), and total precipitable water (TPW) as the most influential regional climate predictors driving mean temperature trends and the occurrence of extreme heat events. Full article

The modified asphalt with high softening point was prepared by air oxidation polymerization with coal liquefied asphalt as raw material. The quality control model regarding the coking value and softening point of the product were established based on the DFSS (Design for Six Sigma) and RSM (response surface method). By means of elemental analysis, infrared, XPS, XRD, nuclear magnetic, MALDI-TOF and other characterization methods, the composition and structure characteristics of the modified asphalt were analyzed. Using the target product as raw material, general base asphalt carbon fiber was prepared by spinning, pre-oxidation and carbonization. The results show that the fitting effect of the quality control model about the coking value and softening point of the product is good, and the operating window range of the polymerization process parameters corresponding to the preparation of target product is wide. It can be found that the oxidation time and oxidation temperature has the most significant effect on the coking value and softening point of products, respectively, and all of them show a positive correlation. The dealkylation reaction and oxidative crosslinking reaction were carried out at the same time, and the bridging products of methylene bridging products, ether–oxygen bonds, carbonyl bonds, anhydride bonds and other oxygen-containing groups were generated. The properties of carbon fiber prepared with the target product are better: the tensile strength is 775 MPa, the elastic modulus is 68.6 GPa and the elongation at break is 1.13%. Full article

PM_2.5 pollution poses significant risks to human health and the environment, underscoring the importance of accurate PM_2.5 simulation. This study simulated a representative PM_2.5 pollution event using the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with chemistry (WRF-Chem), incorporating the assimilation of infrared atmospheric motion vector (AMV) data from the Fengyun-4A (FY-4A) satellite. A comprehensive analysis was conducted to examine the meteorological characteristics of the event and their influence on PM_2.5 concentration simulations. The results demonstrate that the assimilation of FY-4A infrared AMV data significantly enhanced the simulation performance of meteorological variables, particularly improving the wind field and capturing local and small-scale wind variations. Moreover, PM_2.5 concentrations simulated with AMV assimilation showed improved spatial and temporal agreement with ground-based observations, reducing the root mean square error (RMSE) by 8.2% and the mean bias (MB) by 15.2 µg/m³ relative to the control (CTL) experiment. In addition to regional improvements, the assimilation notably enhanced PM_2.5 simulation accuracy in severely polluted cities, such as Tangshan and Tianjin. Mechanistic analysis revealed that low wind speeds and weak atmospheric divergence restricted pollutant dispersion, resulting in higher near-surface concentrations. This was exacerbated by cooler nighttime temperatures and a lower planetary boundary layer height (PBLH). These findings underscore the utility of assimilating satellite-derived wind products to enhance regional air quality modeling and forecasting accuracy. This study highlights the potential of FY-4A infrared AMV data in improving regional pollution simulations, offering scientific support for the application of next-generation Chinese geostationary satellite data in numerical air quality forecasting. Full article

Anti-insect nets are characterized by a very low porosity that determines a variation in the microclimate below the protection in terms of an increase in the relative humidity, a reduction in air ventilation, and a temperature rise. The air permeability of the textile depends on numerous factors such as the thickness of the wires, the size of the holes, the porosity, and the air velocity. The knowledge of this relationship would make it possible to optimize the size of the holes in order to maintain the anti-insect function with the increase in air velocity. The air permeability coefficients of 10 anti-insect nets were evaluated by means of a micro wind tunnel. The results showed that the loss coefficient is linked to the porosity (ε) of the nets: as the porosity increases, the loss coefficient decreases. The parameter that demonstrated the strongest correlation with the loss coefficient was the function of porosity h(ε) = (1 − ε²)/ε². In the interval of porosity $0.10<\epsilon <0.60$, the linear regression correlation is quite high ($R^2=0.87$). Finally, the reduction factor RF(ε)—an estimation of the reduction in wind pressure acting perpendicularly on the surface of a textile due to its porosity—was calculated and compared with that proposed by the Australian standard, which, currently, is the only international standard that explicitly considers the effect of porosity on wind action. Full article