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27 pages, 8347 KB  
Article
Diversity Constraint and Adaptive Graph Multi-View Functional Matrix Completion
by Haiyan Gao and Youdi Bian
Axioms 2025, 14(11), 793; https://doi.org/10.3390/axioms14110793 - 28 Oct 2025
Viewed by 186
Abstract
The integrity of real-time monitoring data is paramount to the accuracy of scientific research and the reliability of decision-making. However, data incompleteness arising from transmission interruptions or extreme weather disrupting equipment operations severely compromises the validity of statistical analyses and the stability of [...] Read more.
The integrity of real-time monitoring data is paramount to the accuracy of scientific research and the reliability of decision-making. However, data incompleteness arising from transmission interruptions or extreme weather disrupting equipment operations severely compromises the validity of statistical analyses and the stability of modelling. From a mathematical view, real-time monitoring data may be regarded as continuous functions, exhibiting intricate correlations and mutual influences between different indicators. Leveraging their inherent smoothness and interdependencies enables high-precision data imputation. Within the functional data analysis framework, this paper proposes a Diversity Constraint and Adaptive Graph Multi-View Functional Matrix Completion (DCAGMFMC) method. Integrating multi-view learning with an adaptive graph strategy, this approach comprehensively accounts for complex correlations between data from different views while extracting differential information across views, thereby enhancing information utilization and imputation accuracy. Random simulation experiments demonstrate that the DCAGMFMC method exhibits significant imputation advantages over classical methods such as KNN, HFI, SFI, MVNFMC, and GRMFMC. Furthermore, practical applications on meteorological datasets reveal that, compared to these imputation methods, the root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) of the DCAGMVNFMC method decreased by an average of 39.11% to 59.15%, 54.50% to 71.97%, and 43.96% to 63.70%, respectively. It also demonstrated stable imputation performance across various meteorological indicators and missing data rates, exhibiting good adaptability and practical value. Full article
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23 pages, 8095 KB  
Article
Three-Dimensional Measurement of Transmission Line Icing Based on a Rule-Based Stereo Vision Framework
by Nalini Rizkyta Nusantika, Jin Xiao and Xiaoguang Hu
Electronics 2025, 14(21), 4184; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics14214184 - 27 Oct 2025
Viewed by 224
Abstract
The safety and reliability of modern power systems are increasingly challenged by adverse environmental conditions. (1) Background: Ice accumulation on power transmission lines is recognized as a severe threat to grid stability, as tower collapse, conductor breakage, and large-scale outages may be caused, [...] Read more.
The safety and reliability of modern power systems are increasingly challenged by adverse environmental conditions. (1) Background: Ice accumulation on power transmission lines is recognized as a severe threat to grid stability, as tower collapse, conductor breakage, and large-scale outages may be caused, thereby making accurate monitoring essential. (2) Methods: A rule-driven and interpretable stereo vision framework is proposed for three-dimensional (3D) detection and quantitative measurement of transmission line icing. The framework consists of three stages. First, adaptive preprocessing and segmentation are applied using multiscale Retinex with nonlinear color restoration, graph-based segmentation with structural constraints, and hybrid edge detection. Second, stereo feature extraction and matching are performed through entropy-based adaptive cropping, self-adaptive keypoint thresholding with circular descriptor analysis, and multi-level geometric validation. Third, 3D reconstruction is realized by fusing segmentation and stereo correspondences through triangulation with shape-constrained refinement, reaching millimeter-level accuracy. (3) Result: An accuracy of 98.35%, sensitivity of 91.63%, specificity of 99.42%, and precision of 96.03% were achieved in contour extraction, while a precision of 90%, recall of 82%, and an F1-score of 0.8594 with real-time efficiency (0.014–0.037 s) were obtained in stereo matching. Millimeter-level accuracy (Mean Absolute Error: 1.26 mm, Root Mean Square Error: 1.53 mm, Coefficient of Determination = 0.99) was further achieved in 3D reconstruction. (4) Conclusions: Superior accuracy, efficiency, and interpretability are demonstrated compared with two existing rule-based stereo vision methods (Method A: ROI Tracking and Geometric Validation Method and Method B: Rule-Based Segmentation with Adaptive Thresholding) that perform line icing identification and 3D reconstruction, highlighting the framework’s advantages under limited data conditions. The interpretability of the framework is ensured through rule-based operations and stepwise visual outputs, allowing each processing result, from segmentation to three-dimensional reconstruction, to be directly understood and verified by operators and engineers. This transparency facilitates practical deployment and informed decision making in real world grid monitoring systems. Full article
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24 pages, 1525 KB  
Article
Counting Tree-like Multigraphs with a Given Number of Vertices and Multiple Edges
by Muhammad Ilyas, Seemab Hayat and Naveed Ahmed Azam
Mathematics 2025, 13(21), 3405; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13213405 - 26 Oct 2025
Viewed by 140
Abstract
The enumeration of chemical graphs plays a crucial role in cheminformatics and bioinformatics, especially in the search for novel drug discovery. These graphs are usually tree-like multigraphs, or they consist of tree-like multigraphs attached to a central core. In both configurations, the tree-like [...] Read more.
The enumeration of chemical graphs plays a crucial role in cheminformatics and bioinformatics, especially in the search for novel drug discovery. These graphs are usually tree-like multigraphs, or they consist of tree-like multigraphs attached to a central core. In both configurations, the tree-like components play a key role in determining the properties and activities of chemical compounds. In this work, we propose a dynamic programming approach to precisely count the number of tree-like multigraphs with a given number of n vertices and Δ multiple edges. Our method transforms multigraphs into rooted forms by designating their unicentroid or bicentroid as the root and then defining a canonical representation based on the maximal subgraphs rooted at the root’s children. This canonical form ensures that each multigraph is counted only once. Recursive formulas are then established based on the number of vertices and multiple edges in the largest subgraphs rooted at the root’s children. The resulting algorithm achieves a time complexity of O(n2(n+Δ(n+Δ2·min{n,Δ}))) and space complexity of O(n2(Δ3+1)). Extensive experiments demonstrate that the proposed method scales efficiently, being able to count multigraphs with up to 200 vertices (e.g., (200, 26)) and up to 50 multiple edges (e.g., (90, 50)) in under 15 min. In contrast, the available state-of-the-art tool Nauty runs out of memory beyond moderately sized instances, as it relies on explicit generation of all candidate multigraphs. These results highlight the practical advantage and strong potential of the proposed method as a scalable tool for chemical graph enumeration in drug discovery applications. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Graph Theory and Applications, 3rd Edition)
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18 pages, 1611 KB  
Article
A Graph-Based Algorithm for Detecting Long Non-Coding RNAs Through RNA Secondary Structure Analysis
by Hugo Cabrera-Ibarra, David Hernández-Granados and Lina Riego-Ruiz
Algorithms 2025, 18(10), 652; https://doi.org/10.3390/a18100652 - 16 Oct 2025
Viewed by 232
Abstract
Non-coding RNAs (ncRNAs) are involved in many biological processes, making their identification and functional characterization a priority. Among them, long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) have been shown to regulate diverse cellular processes, such as cell development, stress response, and transcriptional regulation. The continued identification [...] Read more.
Non-coding RNAs (ncRNAs) are involved in many biological processes, making their identification and functional characterization a priority. Among them, long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) have been shown to regulate diverse cellular processes, such as cell development, stress response, and transcriptional regulation. The continued identification of new lncRNAs highlights the demand for reliable methods for their detection, with structural analysis offering insightful information. Currently, lncRNAs are identified using tools such as LncFinder, whose database has a large collection of lncRNAs from humans, mice, and chickens, among others. In this work, we present a graph-based algorithm to represent and compare RNA secondary structures. Rooted tree graphs were used to compare two groups of Saccharomyces cerevisiae RNA sequences, lncRNAs and not lncRNAs, by searching for structural similarities between each group. When applied to a novel candidate sequence dataset, the algorithm evaluated whether characteristic structures identified in known lncRNAs recurred. If so, the sequences were classified as likely lncRNAs. These results indicate that graph-based structural analysis offers a complementary methodology for identifying lncRNAs and may complement existing sequence-based tools such as lncFinder or PreLnc. Recent studies have shown that tumor cells can secrete lncRNAs into human biological fluids forming circulating lncRNAs which can be used as biomarkers for cancer. Our algorithm could be applied to identify novel lncRNAs with structural similarities to those associated with tumor malignancy. Full article
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26 pages, 5440 KB  
Article
Improved Streamflow Forecasting Through SWE-Augmented Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Networks
by Akhila Akkala, Soukaina Filali Boubrahimi, Shah Muhammad Hamdi, Pouya Hosseinzadeh and Ayman Nassar
Hydrology 2025, 12(10), 268; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology12100268 - 11 Oct 2025
Viewed by 675
Abstract
Streamflow forecasting in snowmelt-dominated basins is essential for water resource planning, flood mitigation, and ecological sustainability. This study presents a comparative evaluation of statistical, machine learning (Random Forest), and deep learning models (Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), and Spatio-Temporal Graph [...] Read more.
Streamflow forecasting in snowmelt-dominated basins is essential for water resource planning, flood mitigation, and ecological sustainability. This study presents a comparative evaluation of statistical, machine learning (Random Forest), and deep learning models (Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), and Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Network (STGNN)) using 30 years of data from 20 monitoring stations across the Upper Colorado River Basin (UCRB). We assess the impact of integrating meteorological variables—particularly, the Snow Water Equivalent (SWE)—and spatial dependencies on predictive performance. Among all models, the Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Network (STGNN) achieved the highest accuracy, with a Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) of 0.84 and Kling–Gupta Efficiency (KGE) of 0.84 in the multivariate setting at the critical downstream node, Lees Ferry. Compared to the univariate setup, SWE-enhanced predictions reduced Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) by 12.8%. Seasonal and spatial analyses showed the greatest improvements at high-elevation and mid-network stations, where snowmelt dynamics dominate runoff. These findings demonstrate that spatio-temporal learning frameworks, especially STGNNs, provide a scalable and physically consistent approach to streamflow forecasting under variable climatic conditions. Full article
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32 pages, 5321 KB  
Article
Optimization of Artificial Neural Networks for Predicting the Radiological Risks of Thermal Waters in Türkiye
by Selin Erzin
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(20), 10891; https://doi.org/10.3390/app152010891 - 10 Oct 2025
Viewed by 226
Abstract
In this study, the prediction of four radiological risk parameters of thermal waters in Türkiye (dose contribution (DE) from radon release in thermal water to air for workers and visitors, the annual effective dose from radon ingestion (Ding [...] Read more.
In this study, the prediction of four radiological risk parameters of thermal waters in Türkiye (dose contribution (DE) from radon release in thermal water to air for workers and visitors, the annual effective dose from radon ingestion (Ding) and the annual effective dose to the stomach from radon ingestion (Dsto)) from three physicochemical properties of thermal waters (electrical conductivity (EC), pH and temperature (T)) was investigated using multilayer perceptron (MLP) and radial basis function (RBF) artificial neural networks (ANNs). To achieve this, two separate MLPANN and RBFANN models were constructed using data from the literature. The MLPANN and RBFANN models were verified using performance metrics (relative absolute error (RAE), root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and ratio of RMSE to data standard deviation (RSR)). The comparison of performance metrics shows that MLPANN models achieved approximately 54% lower error metrics than RBF models. The performance of the developed models was further examined using rank analysis, Taylor and Scaled Percentage Error (SPE) plots. Rank analysis and Taylor and SPE graphs showed that MLPANN models predicted the values of four radiological risk parameters of thermal waters more correctly than RBFANN models. This study demonstrates that MLPANNs significantly outperformed RBFANNs in predicting the radiological risks of thermal waters in Türkiye. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Measurement and Assessment of Environmental Radioactivity)
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22 pages, 724 KB  
Article
State of Health Estimation for Batteries Based on a Dynamic Graph Pruning Neural Network with a Self-Attention Mechanism
by Xuanyuan Gu, Mu Liu and Jilun Tian
Energies 2025, 18(20), 5333; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18205333 - 10 Oct 2025
Viewed by 565
Abstract
The accurate estimation of the state of health (SOH) of lithium-ion batteries is critical for ensuring the safety, reliability, and efficiency of modern energy storage systems. Traditional model-based and data-driven methods often struggle to capture complex spatiotemporal degradation patterns, leading to reduced accuracy [...] Read more.
The accurate estimation of the state of health (SOH) of lithium-ion batteries is critical for ensuring the safety, reliability, and efficiency of modern energy storage systems. Traditional model-based and data-driven methods often struggle to capture complex spatiotemporal degradation patterns, leading to reduced accuracy and robustness. To address these limitations, this paper proposes a novel dynamic graph pruning neural network with self-attention mechanism (DynaGPNN-SAM) for SOH estimation. The method transforms sequential battery features into graph-structured representations, enabling the explicit modeling of spatial dependencies among operational variables. A self-attention-guided pruning strategy is introduced to dynamically preserve informative nodes while filtering redundant ones, thereby enhancing interpretability and computational efficiency. The framework is validated on the NASA lithium-ion battery dataset, with extensive experiments and ablation studies demonstrating superior performance compared to conventional approaches. Results show that DynaGPNN-SAM achieves lower root mean square error (RMSE) and mean absolute error (MAE) values across multiple batteries, particularly excelling during rapid degradation phases. Overall, the proposed approach provides an accurate, robust, and scalable solution for real-world battery management systems. Full article
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20 pages, 4466 KB  
Article
SA-STGCN: A Spectral-Attentive Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Network for Wind Power Forecasting with Wavelet-Enhanced Multi-Scale Learning
by Yakai Yang, Zhenqing Liu and Zhongze Yu
Energies 2025, 18(19), 5315; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18195315 - 9 Oct 2025
Viewed by 499
Abstract
Wind power forecasting remains a major challenge for renewable energy integration, as conventional models often perform poorly when confronted with complex atmospheric dynamics. This study addresses the problem by developing a Spectral-Attentive Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Network (SA-STGCN) designed to capture the intricate temporal [...] Read more.
Wind power forecasting remains a major challenge for renewable energy integration, as conventional models often perform poorly when confronted with complex atmospheric dynamics. This study addresses the problem by developing a Spectral-Attentive Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Network (SA-STGCN) designed to capture the intricate temporal and spatial dependencies of wind systems. The approach first applies wavelet transform decomposition to separate volatile wind signals into distinct frequency components, enabling more interpretable representation of rapidly changing conditions. A dynamic temporal attention mechanism is then employed to adaptively identify historical patterns that are most relevant for prediction, moving beyond the fixed temporal windows used in many existing methods. In addition, spectral graph convolution is conducted in the frequency domain to capture farm-wide spatial correlations, thereby modeling long-range atmospheric interactions that conventional localized methods overlook. Although this design increases computational complexity, it proves critical for representing wind variability. Evaluation on real-world datasets demonstrates that SA-STGCN achieves substantial accuracy improvements, with a mean absolute error of 1.52 and a root mean square error of 2.31. These results suggest that embracing more expressive architectures can yield reliable forecasting performance, supporting the stable integration of wind power into modern energy systems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section A3: Wind, Wave and Tidal Energy)
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40 pages, 3685 KB  
Article
An Explainable Markov Chain–Machine Learning Sequential-Aware Anomaly Detection Framework for Industrial IoT Systems Based on OPC UA
by Youness Ghazi, Mohamed Tabaa, Mohamed Ennaji and Ghita Zaz
Sensors 2025, 25(19), 6122; https://doi.org/10.3390/s25196122 - 3 Oct 2025
Viewed by 595
Abstract
Stealth attacks targeting industrial control systems (ICS) exploit subtle sequences of malicious actions, making them difficult to detect with conventional methods. The OPC Unified Architecture (OPC UA) protocol—now widely adopted in SCADA/ICS environments—enhances OT–IT integration but simultaneously increases the exposure of critical infrastructures [...] Read more.
Stealth attacks targeting industrial control systems (ICS) exploit subtle sequences of malicious actions, making them difficult to detect with conventional methods. The OPC Unified Architecture (OPC UA) protocol—now widely adopted in SCADA/ICS environments—enhances OT–IT integration but simultaneously increases the exposure of critical infrastructures to sophisticated cyberattacks. Traditional detection approaches, which rely on instantaneous traffic features and static models, neglect the sequential dimension that is essential for uncovering such gradual intrusions. To address this limitation, we propose a hybrid sequential anomaly detection pipeline that combines Markov chain modeling to capture temporal dependencies with machine learning algorithms for anomaly detection. The pipeline is further augmented by explainability through SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) and causal inference using the PC algorithm. Experimental evaluation on an OPC UA dataset simulating Man-In-The-Middle (MITM) and denial-of-service (DoS) attacks demonstrates that incorporating a second-order sequential memory significantly improves detection: F1-score increases by +2.27%, precision by +2.33%, and recall by +3.02%. SHAP analysis identifies the most influential features and transitions, while the causal graph highlights deviations from the system’s normal structure under attack, thereby providing interpretable insights into the root causes of anomalies. Full article
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16 pages, 5269 KB  
Article
Drilling Surface Quality Analysis of Carbon Fiber-Reinforced Polymers Based on Acoustic Emission Characteristics
by Mengke Yan, Yushu Lai, Yiwei Zhang, Lin Yang, Yan Zheng, Tianlong Wen and Cunxi Pan
Polymers 2025, 17(19), 2628; https://doi.org/10.3390/polym17192628 - 28 Sep 2025
Viewed by 398
Abstract
CFRP is extensively utilized in the manufacturing of aerospace equipment owing to its distinctive properties, and hole-making processing continues to be the predominant processing method for this material. However, due to the anisotropy of CFRP, in its processing process, processing damage appears easily, [...] Read more.
CFRP is extensively utilized in the manufacturing of aerospace equipment owing to its distinctive properties, and hole-making processing continues to be the predominant processing method for this material. However, due to the anisotropy of CFRP, in its processing process, processing damage appears easily, such as stratification, fiber tearing, burrs, etc. These damages will seriously affect the performance of CFRP components in the service process. This work employs acoustic emission (AE) and infrared thermography (IT) techniques to analyze the characteristics of AE signals and temperature signals generated during the CFRP drilling process. Fast Fourier transform (FFT) and short-time Fourier transform (STFT) are used to process the collected AE signals. And in combination with the actual damage morphology, the material removal behavior during the drilling process and the AE signal characteristics corresponding to processing defects are studied. The results show that the time-frequency graph and root mean square (RMS) curve of the AE signal can accurately distinguish the different stages of the drilling process. Through the analysis of the frequency domain characteristics of the AE signal, the specific frequency range of the damage mode of the CFRP composite material during drilling is determined. This paper aims to demonstrate the feasibility of real-time monitoring of the drilling process. By analyzing the relationship between the RMS values of acoustic emission signals and hole surface topography under different drilling parameters, it provides a new approach for the research on online monitoring of CFRP drilling damage and improvement of CFRP machining quality. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Polymer Composites and Nanocomposites)
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19 pages, 2073 KB  
Article
Precision Design Method for Superplastic Forming Process Parameters Based on an Improved Back Propagation Neural Network
by Xiaoke Guo, Wanran Yang, Qian Zhang, Junchen Pan, Chengyue Xiong and Le Wu
Processes 2025, 13(10), 3070; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr13103070 - 25 Sep 2025
Viewed by 375
Abstract
A significant contradiction exists between the demand for standardized processes and the need for precise process parameter design in the rapid design of superplastic forming (SPF). To address this, an SPF process parameter design method integrating a knowledge graph and artificial intelligence is [...] Read more.
A significant contradiction exists between the demand for standardized processes and the need for precise process parameter design in the rapid design of superplastic forming (SPF). To address this, an SPF process parameter design method integrating a knowledge graph and artificial intelligence is proposed. Firstly, based on process data analysis, the entity labels, relationship categories, and attributes are determined. On this basis, the knowledge graph for the SPF process is constructed, comprising the pattern layer and the data layer, which provides structured knowledge support for process generation. Secondly, the process parameter prediction model based on small samples and an improved back propagation (BP) neural network is constructed, with model convergence ensured through an adaptive maximum iteration strategy. Experimental results show that the improved BP model significantly outperforms support vector regression (SVR), random forest (RF), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and standard BP models in prediction accuracy. Compared to the standard BP model, the improved model reduces the mean squared error (MSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and root mean squared error (RMSE) by 82.1% (to 0.0005), 46% (to 0.0188), and 57.1% (to 0.0229), respectively. Finally, the effectiveness, feasibility, and superiority of the method in the SPF process parameter design are verified by taking typical hemispherical parts as an example. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Manufacturing Processes and Systems)
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24 pages, 24348 KB  
Article
State of Health for Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on Explainable Feature Fragments via Graph Attention Network and Bi-Directional Gated Recurrent Unit
by Wenpeng Luan, Hanju Cai, Xiaohui Wang and Bochao Zhao
Sensors 2025, 25(19), 5953; https://doi.org/10.3390/s25195953 - 24 Sep 2025
Viewed by 635
Abstract
Accurate lithium-ion battery state of health estimation is critical for safety and range anxiety mitigation. Existing methods often lack interpretability in the extraction of feature fragments and fail to model spatial correlations between features. To address these gaps, this paper introduces a novel [...] Read more.
Accurate lithium-ion battery state of health estimation is critical for safety and range anxiety mitigation. Existing methods often lack interpretability in the extraction of feature fragments and fail to model spatial correlations between features. To address these gaps, this paper introduces a novel framework centered on interpretable feature engineering and synergistic spatial–temporal learning. The core novelty lies in using incremental capacity (IC) analysis on charging data, captured by onboard sensors, to dynamically select a 0.1 V voltage window based on IC peaks, ensuring the extracted voltage and capacity fragments are physically meaningful. These fragments are then transformed into graph-structured data, enabling a graph attention network and a bi-directional gated recurrent unit to effectively capture both spatial dependencies and temporal degradation trends, with a residual connection optimizing the network. Validation on two public benchmark datasets demonstrates the model’s superiority, achieving an average mean absolute error of 0.561% and a root mean square error of 0.783%. Furthermore, the model exhibits a low computational footprint, requiring only 1.68 MFLOPs per inference, and its fast inference time of 17.55 ms on an embedded platform confirms its feasibility for practical deployment. Full article
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24 pages, 393 KB  
Article
The (n-1)-th Laplacian Immanantal Polynomials of Graphs
by Wenwei Zhang, Tingzeng Wu and Xianyue Li
Axioms 2025, 14(9), 716; https://doi.org/10.3390/axioms14090716 - 22 Sep 2025
Viewed by 284
Abstract
Let χn1(σ) denote the irreducible character of the symmetric group Sn corresponding to the partition (n1,1). For an n×n matrix [...] Read more.
Let χn1(σ) denote the irreducible character of the symmetric group Sn corresponding to the partition (n1,1). For an n×n matrix M=(mi,j), we denote its (n1)-th immanant by dn1(M). Let G be a simple connected graph and let L(G) and Q(G) denote the Laplacian matrix and the signless Laplacian matrix of G, respectively. The (n1)-th Laplacian (respectively, signless Laplacian) immanantal polynomial of G is defined as dn1(xIL(G)) (respectively, dn1(xIQ(G))). In this paper, we partially resolve Chan’s open problem by establishing that the broom graph minimizes dn1(L(T)) among all trees with given diameter. Furthermore, we give combinatorial expressions for the first five coefficients of the (n1)-th Laplacian immanantal polynomial dn1(xIL(G)). We also investigate the characterizing properties of this polynomial and present several graphs that are uniquely determined by it. Additionally, for the (n1)-th signless Laplacian immanantal polynomial dn1(xIQ(G)), we show that the multiplicity of root 1 is bounded below by the star degree of G. Full article
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29 pages, 2906 KB  
Article
Spatiotemporal Graph Convolutional Network-Based Long Short-Term Memory Model with A* Search Path Navigation and Explainable Artificial Intelligence for Carbon Monoxide Prediction in Northern Cape Province, South Africa
by Israel Edem Agbehadji and Ibidun Christiana Obagbuwa
Atmosphere 2025, 16(9), 1107; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16091107 - 21 Sep 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 539
Abstract
Background: The emission of air pollutants into the atmosphere is a global issue as it contributes to global warming and climate-related issues. Human activities like the burning of fossil fuel influence changes in weather patterns—resulting in issues such as a rise in sea [...] Read more.
Background: The emission of air pollutants into the atmosphere is a global issue as it contributes to global warming and climate-related issues. Human activities like the burning of fossil fuel influence changes in weather patterns—resulting in issues such as a rise in sea levels, among other things. Identifying road network routes within Northern Cape Province in South Africa that are less exposed to air pollutants like carbon monoxide is the issue this study seeks to address. Methods: The method used for our predictions is based on a graph convolutional network (GCN) and long short-term memory (LSTM). The GCN extracts geospatial characteristics, and the LSTM captures both nonlinear relationships and temporal dependencies in an air pollutant and meteorological dataset. Furthermore, an A* search strategy identifies the path from one location to another with the lowest carbon monoxide concentrations within a road network. The explainable artificial intelligence (xAI) technique is used to describe the nonlinear relationship between the target variable and features. Meteorological and air pollutant data in the form of statistical mean, minimum, and maximum values were leveraged, and a random sampling technique was utilized to fill the data gap to help train the predictive model (GCN-LSTM-A*). Results: The predictive model was evaluated with mean squared error (MSE) and root mean squared error (RMSE) values within two multi-time steps (8 and 16 h) with MSEs of 0.1648 and 0.1701, respectively. The LIME technique, which provides explanations of features, shows that Wind_speed and NO2 and NOx concentrations decreased the predicted CO, whereas PM2.5, PM10, relative humidity, and O3 increased the predicted CO of the route. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Atmospheric Techniques, Instruments, and Modeling)
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27 pages, 7774 KB  
Article
Ultra-Short-Term Photovoltaic Cluster Power Prediction Based on Photovoltaic Cluster Dynamic Clustering and Spatiotemporal Heterogeneous Dynamic Graph Modeling
by Yingjie Liu and Mao Yang
Electronics 2025, 14(18), 3641; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics14183641 - 15 Sep 2025
Viewed by 582
Abstract
Ultra-short-term photovoltaic (PV) cluster power prediction (PCPP) is crucial for intra-day energy dispatch. However, it faces significant challenges due to the chaotic nature of atmospheric systems and errors in meteorological forecasting. To address this, we propose a novel ultra-short-term PCPP strategy that introduces [...] Read more.
Ultra-short-term photovoltaic (PV) cluster power prediction (PCPP) is crucial for intra-day energy dispatch. However, it faces significant challenges due to the chaotic nature of atmospheric systems and errors in meteorological forecasting. To address this, we propose a novel ultra-short-term PCPP strategy that introduces a dynamic smoothing mechanism for PV clusters. This strategy introduces a smoothing convergence function to quantify sequence fluctuations and employs dynamic clustering based on this function to identify PV stations with complementary smoothing effects. We model the similarities in fluctuation amplitude, trend correlation, and degree correlation among sub-cluster nodes using a spatiotemporal heterogeneous dynamic graph convolutional neural network (STHDGCN). Three dynamic heterogeneous graphs are constructed to represent these spatiotemporal evolutionary relationships. Furthermore, a bidirectional temporal convolutional neural network (BITCN) is integrated to capture the temporal dependencies within each sub-cluster, ultimately predicting the output of each node. Experimental results using real-world data demonstrate that the proposed method reduces the normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) and normalized mean absolute error (NMAE) by an average of 6.90% and 4.15%, respectively, while improving the coefficient of determination (R2) by 34.36%, compared to conventional cluster prediction approaches. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Renewable Energy Power and Artificial Intelligence)
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