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15 pages, 439 KB  
Article
Head Orientation Estimation Based on Multiple Frequency Bands Using Sparsely Aligned Microphones
by Toru Takahashi, Taiki Kanbayashi, Ryota Aoki, Yuta Ochi, Akira Lee and Masato Nakayama
J. Exp. Theor. Anal. 2025, 3(4), 34; https://doi.org/10.3390/jeta3040034 (registering DOI) - 31 Oct 2025
Abstract
We describe the problem of estimating the speaker’s head orientation from the asynchronous multi-channel waveforms observed by microphones distributed in a room. In particular, we address a novel problem of estimating head orientation from sound captured by fewer microphones than the number of [...] Read more.
We describe the problem of estimating the speaker’s head orientation from the asynchronous multi-channel waveforms observed by microphones distributed in a room. In particular, we address a novel problem of estimating head orientation from sound captured by fewer microphones than the number of distinct head orientations to be distinguished. This is because the head orientation is an important clue indicating the speaker’s intended conversational partners. Head orientation estimation technology is an essential technology within environmental intelligence technology, which uses sensors embedded in rooms to monitor and support people’s activities. We propose a head orientation estimation method that aims to achieve high angular resolution using a small number of microphones. The proposed method achieves high estimation accuracy by using the spatial radiation pattern of the sound source as clues and by integrating information from multiple frequency bands. We conducted an experiment to estimate head orientation with an angular resolution of 15degrees under observation conditions using six microphones. Experimental results showed that higher estimation accuracy was obtained than the conventional method using distributed microphone arrays (Oriented Global Coherence Field method) and the conventional method using distributed microphones (Radiation Pattern Matching method). The proposed method utilizing multiple frequency bands achieved the best performance with a mean absolute error of 10.58degrees in the task of classifying 24 distinct head orientations. Full article
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22 pages, 13163 KB  
Article
LW-MS-LFTFNet: A Lightweight Multi-Scale Network Integrating Low-Frequency Temporal Features for Ship-Radiated Noise Recognition
by Yu Feng, Zhangxin Chen, Yixuan Chen, Ziqin Xie, Jiale He, Jiachang Li, Houqian Ding, Tao Guo and Kai Chen
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(11), 2073; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13112073 (registering DOI) - 31 Oct 2025
Abstract
Ship-radiated noise (SRN) recognition is vital for underwater acoustics, with applications in both military and civilian fields. Traditional manual recognition by sonar operators is inefficient and error-prone, motivating the development of automated recognition systems. However, most existing deep learning approaches demand high computational [...] Read more.
Ship-radiated noise (SRN) recognition is vital for underwater acoustics, with applications in both military and civilian fields. Traditional manual recognition by sonar operators is inefficient and error-prone, motivating the development of automated recognition systems. However, most existing deep learning approaches demand high computational resources, limiting their deployment on resource-constrained edge devices. To overcome this challenge, we propose LW-MS-LFTFNet, a lightweight model informed by time-frequency analysis of SRN that highlights the critical role of low-frequency components. The network integrates a multi-scale depthwise separable convolutional backbone with CBAM attention for efficient spectral representation, along with two LSTM-based modules to capture temporal dependencies in low-frequency bands. Experiments on the DeepShip dataset show that LW-MS-LFTFNet achieves 75.04% accuracy with only 0.85 M parameters, 0.38 GMACs, and 3.27 MB of storage, outperforming representative lightweight architectures. Ablation studies further confirm that low-frequency temporal modules contribute complementary gains, improving accuracy by 2.64% with minimal overhead. Guided by domain-specific priors derived from time-frequency pattern analysis, LW-MS-LFTFNet achieves efficient and accurate SRN recognition with strong potential for edge deployment. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Ocean Engineering)
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22 pages, 4002 KB  
Article
A Laboratory Set-Up for Hands-On Learning of Heat Transfer Principles in Aerospace Engineering Education
by Pablo Salgado Sánchez, Antonio Rosado Lebrón, Andriy Borshchak Kachalov, Álvaro Oviedo, Jeff Porter and Ana Laverón Simavilla
Thermo 2025, 5(4), 45; https://doi.org/10.3390/thermo5040045 (registering DOI) - 30 Oct 2025
Viewed by 71
Abstract
This paper describes a laboratory set-up designed to support hands-on learning of heat transfer principles in aerospace engineering education. Developed within the framework of experiential and project-based learning, the set-up enables students to experimentally characterize the convective coefficient of a cooling fan and [...] Read more.
This paper describes a laboratory set-up designed to support hands-on learning of heat transfer principles in aerospace engineering education. Developed within the framework of experiential and project-based learning, the set-up enables students to experimentally characterize the convective coefficient of a cooling fan and the thermo-optical properties of aluminum plates with different surface coatings, specifically their absorptivity and emissivity. A custom-built, LED-based radiation source (the ESAT Sun simulator) and a calibrated temperature acquisition system are used to emulate and monitor radiative heating under controlled conditions. Simplified physical models are developed for both the ESAT Sun simulator and the plates that capture the dominant thermal dynamics via first-order energy balances. The laboratory workflow includes real-time data acquisition, curve fitting, and thermal model inversion to estimate the convective and thermo-optical coefficients. The results demonstrate good agreement between the model predictions and observed temperatures, which supports the suitability of the set-up for education. The proposed activities can strengthen the student’s understanding of convective and radiative heat transport in aerospace applications while also fostering skills in data analysis, physical and numerical reasoning, and system-level thinking. Opportunities exist to expand the material library, refine the physical modeling, and evaluate the long-term pedagogical impact of the educational set-up described here. Full article
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18 pages, 1154 KB  
Article
Explainable AI-Driven Wildfire Prediction in Australia: SHAP and Feature Importance to Identify Environmental Drivers in the Age of Climate Change
by Zina Abohaia, Abeer Elkhouly, May El Barachi and Obada Al-Khatib
Fire 2025, 8(11), 421; https://doi.org/10.3390/fire8110421 - 30 Oct 2025
Viewed by 176
Abstract
This study develops an explainable machine learning framework for wildfire prediction across Australia, integrating region-specific models and feature attribution to identify key environmental drivers. Three wildfire indicators, Estimated Fire Area (FA), Mean Fire Brightness Temperature (FBT), and Fire Radiative Power (FRP), were modeled [...] Read more.
This study develops an explainable machine learning framework for wildfire prediction across Australia, integrating region-specific models and feature attribution to identify key environmental drivers. Three wildfire indicators, Estimated Fire Area (FA), Mean Fire Brightness Temperature (FBT), and Fire Radiative Power (FRP), were modeled using Lasso, Random Forest, LightGBM, and XGBoost. Performance metrics (RMSEC, RMSECV, RMSEP) confirmed strong calibration and generalization, with Tasmania and Queensland achieving the lowest prediction errors for FA and FRP, respectively. Feature importance and SHAP analyses revealed that soil moisture, solar radiation, precipitation, and humidity variability are dominant predictors. Extremes and variance-based measures proved more influential than mean climatic values, indicating that fire dynamics respond non-linearly to environmental fluctuations. Lasso models captured stable linear dependencies in arid regions, while ensemble models effectively represented complex interactions in tropical climates. The results highlight a hierarchical process where cumulative soil and radiation stress establish fire potential, and short-term meteorological variability drives ignition and spread. Projected climate shifts, declining soil water and increased radiative load, are likely to intensify these drivers. The framework supports interpretable, region-specific mitigation planning and paves the way for incorporating generative AI and multi-source data fusion to enhance real-time wildfire forecasting. Full article
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10 pages, 955 KB  
Proceeding Paper
Enhancing Parabolic Trough Collector Performance Through Surface Treatment: A Comparative Experimental Analysis
by Abdullah Rahman, Nawaf Mehmood Malik and Muhammad Irfan
Eng. Proc. 2025, 111(1), 30; https://doi.org/10.3390/engproc2025111030 - 28 Oct 2025
Viewed by 111
Abstract
Parabolic trough collectors (PTCs) are effective solar thermal systems, but their performance can be significantly enhanced through surface treatments. This research investigates the enhancement of thermal performance in parabolic trough collectors (PTCs) by experimentally evaluating the results of surface coating on the absorber [...] Read more.
Parabolic trough collectors (PTCs) are effective solar thermal systems, but their performance can be significantly enhanced through surface treatments. This research investigates the enhancement of thermal performance in parabolic trough collectors (PTCs) by experimentally evaluating the results of surface coating on the absorber tube surface. To achieve this objective, a closed-loop PTC system was fabricated to conduct an experimental comparison between a conventional simple copper tube and a black-painted copper tube. The experimental setup was placed in Islamabad, Pakistan, operated under both laminar and turbulent flow conditions to measure key performance metrics, of temperature difference (ΔT) between the inlet and outlet. The results demonstrate a significant performance advantage for the black-painted tube. In laminar flow, the black-painted tube achieved an average ΔT of 3.54 °C, compared to 2.11 °C for the simple copper tube. Similarly, in turbulent flow, the black-painted tube’s ΔT was 2.1 °C, surpassing the simple copper tube’s 1.57 °C. This superior performance is primarily attributed to the black surface’s high solar absorptivity, which more effectively captures and converts solar radiation into thermal energy. The findings highlight the critical role of surface treatment in optimizing PTC efficiency and provide a practical method for improving solar thermal energy systems. Full article
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24 pages, 13390 KB  
Article
Performance of Acoustic, Electro-Acoustic and Optical Sensors in Precise Waveform Analysis of a Plucked and Struck Guitar String
by Jan Jasiński, Marek Pluta, Roman Trojanowski, Julia Grygiel and Jerzy Wiciak
Sensors 2025, 25(21), 6514; https://doi.org/10.3390/s25216514 - 22 Oct 2025
Viewed by 368
Abstract
This study presents a comparative performance analysis of three sensor technologies—microphone, magnetic pickup, and laser Doppler vibrometer—for capturing string vibration under varied excitation conditions: striking, plectrum plucking, and wire plucking. Two different magnetic pickups are included in the comparison. Measurements were taken at [...] Read more.
This study presents a comparative performance analysis of three sensor technologies—microphone, magnetic pickup, and laser Doppler vibrometer—for capturing string vibration under varied excitation conditions: striking, plectrum plucking, and wire plucking. Two different magnetic pickups are included in the comparison. Measurements were taken at multiple excitation levels on a simplified electric guitar mounted on a stable platform with repeatable excitation mechanisms. The analysis focuses on each sensor’s capacity to resolve fine-scale waveform features during the initial attack while also taking into account its capability to measure general changes in instrument dynamics and timbre. We evaluate their ability to distinguish vibro-acoustic phenomena resulting from changes in excitation method and strength as well as measurement location. Our findings highlight the significant influence of sensor choice on observable string vibration. While the microphone captures the overall radiated sound, it lacks the required spatial selectivity and offers poor SNR performance 34 dB lower then other methods. Magnetic pickups enable precise string-specific measurements, offering a compelling balance of accuracy and cost-effectiveness. Results show that their low-pass frequency characteristic limits temporal fidelity and must be accounted for when analysing general sound timbre. Laser Doppler vibrometers provide superior micro-temporal fidelity, which can have critical implications for physical modeling, instrument design, and advanced audio signal processing, but have severe practical limitations. Critically, we demonstrate that the required optical target, even when weighing as little as 0.1% of the string’s mass, alters the string’s vibratory characteristics by influencing RMS energy and spectral content. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Deep Learning for Perception and Recognition: Method and Applications)
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17 pages, 14104 KB  
Article
An Interpretable Machine Learning Approach to Remote Sensing-Based Estimation of Hourly Agricultural Evapotranspiration in Drylands
by Qifeng Zhuang, Weiwei Zhu, Nana Yan, Ghaleb Faour, Mariam Ibrahim and Liang Zhu
Agriculture 2025, 15(21), 2193; https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture15212193 - 22 Oct 2025
Viewed by 613
Abstract
Obtaining evapotranspiration (ET) estimates at high spatiotemporal resolution is a fundamental prerequisite for clarifying the patterns and controlling factors of agricultural water consumption in drylands. However, most existing ET products are provided at daily or coarser spatial–temporal scales, which limits the ability to [...] Read more.
Obtaining evapotranspiration (ET) estimates at high spatiotemporal resolution is a fundamental prerequisite for clarifying the patterns and controlling factors of agricultural water consumption in drylands. However, most existing ET products are provided at daily or coarser spatial–temporal scales, which limits the ability to capture short-term variations in crop water use. This study developed a novel hourly 10-m ET estimation method that combines remote sensing with machine learning techniques. The approach was evaluated using agricultural sites in two arid regions: the Heihe River Basin in China and the Bekaa Valley in Lebanon. By integrating hourly eddy covariance measurements, Sentinel-2 reflectance data, and ERA5-Land reanalysis meteorological variables, we constructed an XGBoost-based modeling framework for hourly ET estimation, and incorporated the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method for model interpretability analysis. Results demonstrated that the model achieved strong performance across all sites (R2 = 0.86–0.91, RMSE = 0.04–0.05 mm·h−1). Additional metrics, including the Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (NSE) and percent bias (PBIAS), further confirmed the model’s robustness. Interpreting the model with SHAP highlighted net radiation (Rn), 2-m temperature (t2m), and near-infrared reflectance of vegetation (NIRv) as the dominant factors controlling hourly ET variations. Significant interaction effects, such as Rn × NIRv and Rn × t2m, were also identified, revealing the modulation mechanism of energy, vegetation status and temperature coupling on hourly ET. The study offers a practical workflow and an interpretable framework for generating high-resolution ET maps, thereby supporting regional water accounting and land–atmosphere interaction research. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Artificial Intelligence and Digital Agriculture)
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21 pages, 2684 KB  
Article
Construction of Yunnan Flue-Cured Tobacco Yield Integrated Learning Prediction Model Driven by Meteorological Data
by Yunshuang Wang, Jinheng Zhang, Xiaoyi Bai, Mengyan Zhao, Xianjin Jin and Bing Zhou
Agronomy 2025, 15(10), 2436; https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy15102436 - 21 Oct 2025
Viewed by 248
Abstract
The timely and accurate prediction of flue-cured tobacco yield is crucial for its stable yield and income growth. Based on yield and meteorological data from 2003 to 2023 (from the NASA POWER database) of Yunnan Province, this study constructed a coupled framework of [...] Read more.
The timely and accurate prediction of flue-cured tobacco yield is crucial for its stable yield and income growth. Based on yield and meteorological data from 2003 to 2023 (from the NASA POWER database) of Yunnan Province, this study constructed a coupled framework of polynomial regression and a Stacking ensemble model. Four trend yield separation methods were compared, with polynomial regression selected as being optimal for capturing long-term trends. A total of 135 meteorological features were built using flue-cured tobacco’s growth period data, and 17 core features were screened via Pearson’s correlation analysis and Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE). With Random Forest (RF), Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), and Support Vector Regression (SVR) as base models, a ridge regression meta-model was developed to predict meteorological yield. The final results were obtained by integrating trend and meteorological yields, and core influencing factors were analyzed via SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP). The results showed that the Stacking model had the best predictive performance, significantly outperforming single models; August was the optimal prediction lead time; and the day–night temperature difference in the August maturity stage and the solar radiation in the April transplantation stage were core yield-influencing factors. This framework provides a practical yield prediction tool for Yunnan’s flue-cured tobacco areas and offers important empirical support for exploring meteorology–yield interactions in subtropical plateau crops. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Precision and Digital Agriculture)
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27 pages, 3255 KB  
Article
Hourly Photovoltaic Power Forecasting Using Exponential Smoothing: A Comparative Study Based on Operational Data
by Dmytro Matushkin, Artur Zaporozhets, Vitalii Babak, Mykhailo Kulyk and Viktor Denysov
Solar 2025, 5(4), 48; https://doi.org/10.3390/solar5040048 - 20 Oct 2025
Viewed by 261
Abstract
The accurate forecasting of solar power generation is becoming increasingly important in the context of renewable energy integration and intelligent energy management. The variability of solar radiation, caused by changing meteorological conditions and diurnal cycles, complicates the planning and control of photovoltaic systems [...] Read more.
The accurate forecasting of solar power generation is becoming increasingly important in the context of renewable energy integration and intelligent energy management. The variability of solar radiation, caused by changing meteorological conditions and diurnal cycles, complicates the planning and control of photovoltaic systems and may lead to imbalances in supply and demand. This study aims to identify the most effective exponential smoothing approach for real-world PV power forecasting using actual hourly generation data from a 9 MW solar power plant in the Kyiv region, Ukraine. Four exponential smoothing techniques are analysed: Classic, a Modified classic adapted to daily generation patterns, Holt’s linear trend method, and the Holt–Winters seasonal method. The models were implemented in Microsoft Excel (Microsoft 365, version 2408) using real measurement data collected over six months. Forecasts were generated one hour ahead, and optimal smoothing constants were identified via RMSE minimisation using the Solver Add-in. Substantial differences in forecasting accuracy were observed. The Classic simple exponential smoothing model performed worst, with an RMSE of 1413.58 kW and nMAE of 9.22%. Holt’s method improved trend responsiveness (RMSE = 1052.79 kW, nMAE = 5.96%), but still lacked seasonality modelling. Holt–Winters, which incorporates both trend and seasonality, achieved a strong balance (RMSE = 1031.00 kW, nMAE = 3.7%). The best performance was observed with the modified simple exponential smoothing method, which captured the daily cycle more effectively (RMSE = 166.45 kW, nMAE = 0.84%). These results pertain to a one-step-ahead evaluation on a single plant and an extended validation window; accuracy is dependent on meteorological conditions, with larger errors during rapid cloud transi. The study identifies forecasting models that combine high accuracy with structural simplicity, intuitive implementation, and minimal parameter tuning—features that make them well-suited for integration into lightweight real-time energy control systems, despite not being evaluated in terms of runtime or memory usage. The modified simple exponential smoothing model, in particular, offers a high degree of precision and interpretability, supporting its integration into operational PV forecasting tools. Full article
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16 pages, 2601 KB  
Article
Real-Time Monitoring of Occupational Radiation Exposure in Nuclear Medicine Technologists: An Initial Study
by Masaki Fujisawa, Masahiro Sota, Yoshihiro Haga, Shigehisa Tanaka, Nozomi Kataoka, Toshiki Kato, Yuji Kaga, Mitsuya Abe, Masatoshi Suzuki, Yohei Inaba and Koichi Chida
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(20), 11008; https://doi.org/10.3390/app152011008 - 14 Oct 2025
Viewed by 573
Abstract
Occupational radiation exposure in nuclear medicine presents complex spatial and temporal patterns due to the use of unsealed radiopharmaceuticals and prolonged proximity to patients. Traditional passive dosimetry provides only cumulative dose values, limiting its usefulness in identifying task-specific exposures or capturing momentary fluctuations. [...] Read more.
Occupational radiation exposure in nuclear medicine presents complex spatial and temporal patterns due to the use of unsealed radiopharmaceuticals and prolonged proximity to patients. Traditional passive dosimetry provides only cumulative dose values, limiting its usefulness in identifying task-specific exposures or capturing momentary fluctuations. This study applied a real-time dosimetry system capable of second-by-second measurements, combined with time-series analysis, to evaluate staff exposure during myocardial perfusion imaging using technetium-99m. Dosimeters were placed on the left and right sides of the neck and head of two radiological technologists. Dose rates were continuously recorded throughout the injection and imaging phases. The right side of the neck received the highest cumulative and peak dose rates among all sites. Although no significant difference in total dose was observed between the injection and imaging phases, specific high-exposure events were detected. Notably, ECG lead placement and post-injection handling produced dose spikes. A positive correlation was found between administered activity and dose rate at neck-level sites but not at head-level sites. These findings demonstrate the value of real-time dosimetry in identifying procedural actions associated with elevated exposure. Time-series analysis further contextualized these peaks, supporting improved task-specific protective strategies beyond the capabilities of conventional dosimetry. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Applied Physics General)
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16 pages, 571 KB  
Article
Lightweight Statistical and Texture Feature Approach for Breast Thermogram Analysis
by Ana P. Romero-Carmona, Jose J. Rangel-Magdaleno, Francisco J. Renero-Carrillo, Juan M. Ramirez-Cortes and Hayde Peregrina-Barreto
J. Imaging 2025, 11(10), 358; https://doi.org/10.3390/jimaging11100358 - 13 Oct 2025
Viewed by 350
Abstract
Breast cancer is the most commonly diagnosed cancer in women globally and represents the leading cause of mortality related to malignant tumors. Currently, healthcare professionals are focused on developing and implementing innovative techniques to improve the early detection of this disease. Thermography, studied [...] Read more.
Breast cancer is the most commonly diagnosed cancer in women globally and represents the leading cause of mortality related to malignant tumors. Currently, healthcare professionals are focused on developing and implementing innovative techniques to improve the early detection of this disease. Thermography, studied as a complementary method to traditional approaches, captures infrared radiation emitted by tissues and converts it into data about skin surface temperature. During tumor development, angiogenesis occurs, increasing blood flow to support tumor growth, which raises the surface temperature in the affected area. Automatic classification techniques have been explored to analyze thermographic images and develop an optimal classification tool to identify thermal anomalies. This study aims to design a concise description using statistical and texture features to accurately classify thermograms as control or highly probable to be cancer (with thermal anomalies). The importance of employing a short description lies in facilitating interpretation by medical professionals. In contrast, a characterization based on a large number of variables could make it more challenging to identify which values differentiate the thermograms between groups, thereby complicating the explanation of results to patients. A maximum accuracy of 91.97% was achieved by applying only seven features and using a Coarse Decision Tree (DT) classifier and robust Machine Learning (ML) model, which demonstrated competitive performance compared with previously reported studies. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Medical Imaging)
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20 pages, 3413 KB  
Article
Process Simulation of Humidity and Airflow Effects on Arc Discharge Characteristics in Pantograph–Catenary Systems
by Yiming Dong, Hebin Wang, Huayang Zhang, Huibin Gong and Tengfei Gao
Processes 2025, 13(10), 3242; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr13103242 - 11 Oct 2025
Viewed by 326
Abstract
The electrical arcs generated by high-speed dynamic separation between pantograph and catenary systems pose a significant threat to the operational safety of high-speed railways. Environmental factors, particularly relative humidity and airflow, critically influence arc characteristics. This study establishes a two-dimensional pantograph–catenary arc model [...] Read more.
The electrical arcs generated by high-speed dynamic separation between pantograph and catenary systems pose a significant threat to the operational safety of high-speed railways. Environmental factors, particularly relative humidity and airflow, critically influence arc characteristics. This study establishes a two-dimensional pantograph–catenary arc model based on magnetohydrodynamic theory, validated through a self-developed experimental platform. Research findings demonstrate that as relative humidity increases from 25% to 100%, the core arc temperature decreases from 10,500 K to 9000 K due to enhanced heat dissipation in humid air and electron capture by water molecules; the peak arc voltage rises from 37.25 V to 48.17 V resulting from accelerated deionization processes under high humidity conditions; the average arc energy in polar regions increases from 2.5 × 10−4 J/m3 to 3.5 × 10−4 J/m3, exhibiting a saddle-shaped distribution; and the maximum arc pressure declines from 5.3 Pa to 3.7 Pa. Under airflow conditions of 10–30 m/s, synergistic effects between airflow and humidity further modify arc behavior. The most pronounced temperature fluctuations and most frequent arc root migration occur at 100% humidity with 30 m/s airflow, while the shortest travel distance and longest persistence are observed at 25% humidity with 10 m/s airflow, as airflow accelerates heat dissipation and promotes arc root alternation. Experimental measurements of arc radiation intensity and temperature distribution show excellent agreement with simulation results, verifying the model’s reliability. This study quantitatively elucidates the influence patterns of humidity and airflow on arc characteristics, providing a theoretical foundation for enhancing pantograph–catenary system reliability. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Process Control and Monitoring)
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32 pages, 5368 KB  
Article
Next-Generation Drought Forecasting: Hybrid AI Models for Climate Resilience
by Jinping Liu, Tie Liu, Lei Huang, Yanqun Ren and Panxing He
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(20), 3402; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17203402 - 10 Oct 2025
Viewed by 523
Abstract
Droughts are increasingly threatening ecological balance, agricultural productivity, and socio-economic resilience—especially in semi-arid regions like the Inner Mongolia segment of China’s Yellow River Basin. This study presents a hybrid drought forecasting framework integrating machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) models with high-resolution [...] Read more.
Droughts are increasingly threatening ecological balance, agricultural productivity, and socio-economic resilience—especially in semi-arid regions like the Inner Mongolia segment of China’s Yellow River Basin. This study presents a hybrid drought forecasting framework integrating machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) models with high-resolution historical and downscaled future climate data. TerraClimate observations (1985–2014) and bias-corrected CMIP6 projections (2030–2050) under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios were utilized to develop and evaluate the models. Among the tested ML algorithms, Random Forest (RF) demonstrated the best trade-off between accuracy and interpretability and was selected for feature importance analysis. The top-ranked predictors—precipitation, solar radiation, and maximum temperature—were used to train a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network. The LSTM outperformed all ML models, achieving high predictive skill (R2 = 0.766, CC = 0.880, RMSE = 0.885). Scenario-based projections revealed increasing drought severity and variability under SSP5-8.5, with mean PDSI values dropping below −3 after 2040 and deepening toward −4 by 2049. The high-emission scenario also exhibited broader uncertainty bands and amplified interannual anomalies. These findings highlight the value of hybrid AI–climate modeling approaches in capturing complex drought dynamics and supporting anticipatory water resource planning in vulnerable dryland environments. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Environmental Remote Sensing)
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24 pages, 4205 KB  
Article
Mechanism and Data-Driven Grain Condition Information Perception Method for Comprehensive Grain Storage Monitoring
by Yunshandan Wu, Ji Zhang, Xinze Li, Yaqiu Zhang, Wenfu Wu and Yan Xu
Foods 2025, 14(19), 3426; https://doi.org/10.3390/foods14193426 - 5 Oct 2025
Viewed by 445
Abstract
Conventional grain monitoring systems often rely on isolated data points (e.g., point-based temperature measurements), limiting holistic condition assessment. This study proposes a novel Mechanism and Data Driven (MDD) framework that integrates physical mechanisms with real-time sensor data. The framework quantitatively analyzes solar radiation [...] Read more.
Conventional grain monitoring systems often rely on isolated data points (e.g., point-based temperature measurements), limiting holistic condition assessment. This study proposes a novel Mechanism and Data Driven (MDD) framework that integrates physical mechanisms with real-time sensor data. The framework quantitatively analyzes solar radiation and external air temperature effects on silo boundaries and introduces a novel interpolation-optimized model parameter initialization technique to enable comprehensive grain condition perception. Rigorous multidimensional validation confirms the method’s accuracy: The novel initialization technique achieved high precision, demonstrating only 1.89% error in Day-2 low-temperature zone predictions (27.02 m2 measured vs. 26.52 m2 simulated). Temperature fields were accurately reconstructed (≤0.5 °C deviation in YOZ planes), capturing spatiotemporal dynamics with ≤0.45 m2 maximum low-temperature zone deviation. Cloud map comparisons showed superior simulation fidelity (SSIM > 0.97). Further analysis revealed a 22.97% reduction in total low-temperature zone area (XOZ plane), with Zone 1 (near south exterior wall) declining 27.64%, Zone 2 (center) 25.30%, and Zone 3 20.35%. For dynamic evolution patterns, high-temperature zones exhibit low moisture (<14%), while low-temperature zones retain elevated moisture (>14%). A strong positive correlation between temperature and relative humidity fields; temperature homogenization drives humidity uniformity. The framework enables holistic monitoring, providing actionable insights for smart ventilation control, condensation risk warnings, and mold prevention. It establishes a robust foundation for intelligent grain storage management, ultimately reducing post-harvest losses. Full article
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29 pages, 3520 KB  
Article
Thermal Entropy Generation in Magnetized Radiative Flow Through Porous Media over a Stretching Cylinder: An RSM-Based Study
by Shobha Visweswara, Baskar Palani, Fatemah H. H. Al Mukahal, S. Suresh Kumar Raju, Basma Souayeh and Sibyala Vijayakumar Varma
Mathematics 2025, 13(19), 3189; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13193189 - 5 Oct 2025
Viewed by 273
Abstract
Magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) flow and heat transfer in porous media are central to many engineering applications, including heat exchangers, MHD generators, and polymer processing. This study examines the boundary layer flow and thermal behavior of an electrically conducting viscous fluid over a porous stretching [...] Read more.
Magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) flow and heat transfer in porous media are central to many engineering applications, including heat exchangers, MHD generators, and polymer processing. This study examines the boundary layer flow and thermal behavior of an electrically conducting viscous fluid over a porous stretching tube. The model accounts for nonlinear thermal radiation, internal heat generation/absorption, and Darcy–Forchheimer drag to capture porous medium resistance. Similarity transformations reduce the governing equations to a system of coupled nonlinear ordinary differential equations, which are solved numerically using the BVP4C technique with Response Surface Methodology (RSM) and sensitivity analysis. The effects of dimensionless parameters magnetic field strength (M), Reynolds number (Re), Darcy–Forchheimer parameter (Df), Brinkman number (Br), Prandtl number (Pr), nonlinear radiation parameter (Rd), wall-to-ambient temperature ratio (rw), and heat source/sink parameter (Q) are investigated. Results show that increasing M, Df, and Q suppresses velocity and enhances temperature due to Lorentz and porous drag effects. Higher Re raises pressure but reduces near-wall velocity, while rw, Rd, and internal heating intensify thermal layers. The entropy generation analysis highlights the competing roles of viscous, magnetic, and thermal irreversibility, while the Bejan number trends distinctly indicate which mechanism dominates under different parameter conditions. The RSM findings highlight that rw and Rd consistently reduce the Nusselt number (Nu), lowering thermal efficiency. These results provide practical guidance for optimizing energy efficiency and thermal management in MHD and porous media-based systems.: Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances and Applications in Computational Fluid Dynamics)
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