Sign in to use this feature.

Years

Between: -

Subjects

remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline

Journals

Article Types

Countries / Regions

Search Results (17)

Search Parameters:
Keywords = moving horizon estimator (MHE)

Order results
Result details
Results per page
Select all
Export citation of selected articles as:
20 pages, 7661 KiB  
Article
Incorporating a Deep Neural Network into Moving Horizon Estimation for Embedded Thermal Torque Derating of an Electric Machine
by Alexander Winkler, Pranav Shah, Katrin Baumgärtner, Vasu Sharma, David Gordon and Jakob Andert
Energies 2025, 18(14), 3813; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18143813 - 17 Jul 2025
Viewed by 261
Abstract
This study presents a novel state estimation approach integrating Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) into Moving Horizon Estimation (MHE). This is a shift from using traditional physics-based models within MHE towards data-driven techniques. Specifically, a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)-based DNN is trained using synthetic [...] Read more.
This study presents a novel state estimation approach integrating Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) into Moving Horizon Estimation (MHE). This is a shift from using traditional physics-based models within MHE towards data-driven techniques. Specifically, a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)-based DNN is trained using synthetic data derived from a high-fidelity thermal model of a Permanent Magnet Synchronous Machine (PMSM), applied within a thermal derating torque control strategy for battery electric vehicles. The trained DNN is directly embedded within an MHE formulation, forming a discrete-time nonlinear optimal control problem (OCP) solved via the acados optimization framework. Model-in-the-Loop simulations demonstrate accurate temperature estimation even under noisy sensor conditions and simulated sensor failures. Real-time implementation on embedded hardware confirms practical feasibility, achieving computational performance exceeding real-time requirements threefold. By integrating the learned LSTM-based dynamics directly into MHE, this work achieves state estimation accuracy, robustness, and adaptability while reducing modeling efforts and complexity. Overall, the results highlight the effectiveness of combining model-based and data-driven methods in safety-critical automotive control systems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section F5: Artificial Intelligence and Smart Energy)
Show Figures

Graphical abstract

15 pages, 4137 KiB  
Article
Improved Model Predictive Control Algorithm for the Path Tracking Control of Ship Autonomous Berthing
by Chunyu Song, Xiaomin Guo and Jianghua Sui
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(7), 1273; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13071273 - 30 Jun 2025
Viewed by 352
Abstract
To address the issues of path tracking accuracy and control stability in autonomous ship berthing, an improved algorithm combining nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) and convolutional neural networks (CNNs) is proposed in this paper. A CNN is employed to train on a large [...] Read more.
To address the issues of path tracking accuracy and control stability in autonomous ship berthing, an improved algorithm combining nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) and convolutional neural networks (CNNs) is proposed in this paper. A CNN is employed to train on a large dataset of ship berthing trajectories, combined with the rolling optimization mechanism of NMPC. A high-precision path tracking control method is designed, which accounts for ship motion constraints and environmental disturbances. Simulation results show an 88.24% improvement in tracking precision over traditional MPC. This paper proposes an improved nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) strategy for autonomous ship berthing. By integrating convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and moving horizon estimation (MHE), the method enhances robustness and path-tracking accuracy under environmental disturbances. The amount of system overshoot is reduced, and the anti-interference capability is notably improved. The effectiveness, generalization, and applicability of the proposed algorithm are verified. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Control and Optimization of Ship Propulsion System)
Show Figures

Figure 1

18 pages, 2196 KiB  
Article
A Cooperative MHE-Based Distributed Model Predictive Control for Voltage Regulation of Low-Voltage Distribution Networks
by Yongqing Lv, Xiaobo Dou, Kexin Zhang and Yi Zhang
Symmetry 2025, 17(4), 513; https://doi.org/10.3390/sym17040513 - 28 Mar 2025
Viewed by 300
Abstract
This paper presents a moving horizon estimator-based cooperative model predictive control strategy for a low-voltage distribution area equipped with symmetric distributed generators (DGs). First, DGs have their symmetries in the control structures that can be utilized for the control design. Then, a simplified [...] Read more.
This paper presents a moving horizon estimator-based cooperative model predictive control strategy for a low-voltage distribution area equipped with symmetric distributed generators (DGs). First, DGs have their symmetries in the control structures that can be utilized for the control design. Then, a simplified model using feedback linearization theory for the symmetric DGs with hierarchical control reduces the high-order detailed models to low-order ones. To supplement the loss of accuracy and reliability in the proposed model, the controller introduces a moving horizon estimator to observe the unmeasured state variables under the poor communication condition of a low-voltage distribution network. Compared to the conventional method, the moving horizon estimator has advantages in handling uncertain disturbances, communication delays, constraints, etc. Furthermore, with all measured and observed state information, a cooperative distributed model predictive controller can be executed, and the stability and feasibility of controller are given. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed control technique is verified through simulation based on Matlab/Simulink. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Symmetry in Digitalisation of Distribution Power System)
Show Figures

Figure 1

22 pages, 1322 KiB  
Article
A Consensus-Driven Distributed Moving Horizon Estimation Approach for Target Detection Within Unmanned Aerial Vehicle Formations in Rescue Operations
by Salvatore Rosario Bassolillo, Egidio D’Amato and Immacolata Notaro
Drones 2025, 9(2), 127; https://doi.org/10.3390/drones9020127 - 9 Feb 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 989
Abstract
In the last decades, the increasing employment of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) in civil applications has highlighted the potential of coordinated multi-aircraft missions. Such an approach offers advantages in terms of cost-effectiveness, operational flexibility, and mission success rates, particularly in complex scenarios such [...] Read more.
In the last decades, the increasing employment of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) in civil applications has highlighted the potential of coordinated multi-aircraft missions. Such an approach offers advantages in terms of cost-effectiveness, operational flexibility, and mission success rates, particularly in complex scenarios such as search and rescue operations, environmental monitoring, and surveillance. However, achieving global situational awareness, although essential, represents a significant challenge, due to computational and communication constraints. This paper proposes a Distributed Moving Horizon Estimation (DMHE) technique that integrates consensus theory and Moving Horizon Estimation to optimize computational efficiency, minimize communication requirements, and enhance system robustness. The proposed DMHE framework is applied to a formation of UAVs performing target detection and tracking in challenging environments. It provides a fully distributed architecture that enables UAVs to estimate the position and velocity of other fleet members while simultaneously detecting static and dynamic targets. The effectiveness of the technique is proved by several numerical simulation, including an in-depth sensitivity analysis of key algorithm parameters, such as fleet network topology and consensus iterations and the evaluation of the robustness against node faults and information losses. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Resilient Networking and Task Allocation for Drone Swarms)
Show Figures

Figure 1

23 pages, 9346 KiB  
Article
PMSM Sensorless Control Based on Moving Horizon Estimation and Parameter Self-Adaptation
by Aoran Chen, Wenbo Chen and Heng Wan
Electronics 2024, 13(13), 2444; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics13132444 - 21 Jun 2024
Viewed by 1850
Abstract
The field of sensorless control of permanent magnet synchronous motor (PMSM) systems has been the subject of extensive research. The accuracy of sensorless controllers depends on the precise estimation of PMSM state quantities, including rotational speed and rotor position. In order to enhance [...] Read more.
The field of sensorless control of permanent magnet synchronous motor (PMSM) systems has been the subject of extensive research. The accuracy of sensorless controllers depends on the precise estimation of PMSM state quantities, including rotational speed and rotor position. In order to enhance state estimation accuracy, this paper proposes a moving horizon estimator that can be utilized in the sensorless control system of PMSM. Considering the parameter variations observed in PMSM, a nonlinear mathematical model of PMSM is established. A model reference adaptive system (MRAS) is employed to identify parameters such as resistance, inductance, and magnetic chain in real time. This approach can mitigate the impact of parameter fluctuations. Moving horizon estimation (MHE) is an estimation method based on optimization that can directly handle nonlinear system models. In order to eliminate the influence of external interference and improve the robustness of state estimation, a method based on MHE has been designed for PMSM, and a sensorless observer has been established. Considering the traditional MHE with large computation and high memory occupation, the calculation of MHE is optimized by utilizing a Hessian matrix and gradient vector. The speed and position of the PMSM are estimated within constraints during a single-step iteration. The results of the simulation demonstrate that in comparison to the traditional control structure, the estimation error of rotational speed and rotor position can be reduced by utilizing the proposed method. A more accurate estimation can be achieved with good adaptability and computational speed, which can enhance the robustness of the control system of PMSM. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in Control for Permanent Magnet Synchronous Motor (PMSM))
Show Figures

Figure 1

22 pages, 1512 KiB  
Article
Influence of Estimators and Numerical Approaches on the Implementation of NMPCs
by Fernando Arrais Romero Dias Lima, Ruan de Rezende Faria, Rodrigo Curvelo, Matheus Calheiros Fernandes Cadorini, César Augusto García Echeverry, Maurício Bezerra de Souza and Argimiro Resende Secchi
Processes 2023, 11(4), 1102; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr11041102 - 4 Apr 2023
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1897
Abstract
Advanced control strategies, together with state-estimation methods, are frequently applied to nonlinear and complex systems. It is crucial to understand which of these are the most efficient methods for the best use of these approaches in a chemical process. In the current work, [...] Read more.
Advanced control strategies, together with state-estimation methods, are frequently applied to nonlinear and complex systems. It is crucial to understand which of these are the most efficient methods for the best use of these approaches in a chemical process. In the current work, nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) approaches were developed that considered three numerical methods: single shooting (SS), multiple shooting (MS), and orthogonal collocation (OC). Their performance was compared against the Van de Vusse reactor benchmark while considering set-point changes, unreachable set-point, disturbances, and mismatches. The results showed that the NMPC based on OC presented less computational cost than the other approaches. The extended Kalman filter (EKF), constrained extended Kalman filter (CEKF), and the moving horizon estimator (MHE) were also developed. The estimators’ performance was compared for the same benchmark by considering the computational cost and the mean squared error (MSE) for the estimated variables, thereby verifying the CEKF as the best option. Finally, the performance of the nine combinations of estimators and control approaches was compared to consider the Van de Vusse reactor and the same scenarios, thereby verifying the best performance of the CEKF with the OC. The present work can help with choosing the numerical method and the estimator for controlling chemical processes. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Process System Engineering 4.0)
Show Figures

Figure 1

16 pages, 1412 KiB  
Article
Plant-Inspired Soft Growing Robots: A Control Approach Using Nonlinear Model Predictive Techniques
by Haitham El-Hussieny, Ibrahim A. Hameed and Ahmed B. Zaky
Appl. Sci. 2023, 13(4), 2601; https://doi.org/10.3390/app13042601 - 17 Feb 2023
Cited by 10 | Viewed by 3248
Abstract
Soft growing robots, which mimic the biological growth of plants, have demonstrated excellent performance in navigating tight and distant environments due to their flexibility and extendable lengths of several tens of meters. However, controlling the position of the tip of these robots can [...] Read more.
Soft growing robots, which mimic the biological growth of plants, have demonstrated excellent performance in navigating tight and distant environments due to their flexibility and extendable lengths of several tens of meters. However, controlling the position of the tip of these robots can be challenging due to the lack of precise methods for measuring the robots’ Cartesian position in their working environments. Moreover, classical control techniques are not suitable for these robots because they involve the irreversible addition of materials, which introduces process constraints. In this paper, we propose two optimization-based approaches, combining Moving Horizon Estimation (MHE) with Nonlinear Model Predictive Control (NMPC), to achieve superior performance in point stabilization, trajectory tracking, and obstacle avoidance for these robots. MHE is used to estimate the entire state of the robot, including its unknown Cartesian position, based on available configuration measurements. The proposed NMPC approach considers process constraints by relying on the estimated state to ensure optimal performance. We perform numerical simulations using the nonlinear kinematic model of a vine-like robot, one of the newly introduced plant-inspired growing robots, and achieve satisfactory results in terms of reduced computation times and tracking error. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Latest Advances in Automation and Robotics)
Show Figures

Figure 1

16 pages, 6491 KiB  
Article
A Hierarchical Estimation Method for Road Friction Coefficient Combining Single-Step Moving Horizon Estimation and Inverse Tire Model
by Guodong Wang, Guoxing Bai, Yu Meng, Li Liu, Qing Gu and Zhiping Ma
Electronics 2023, 12(3), 525; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics12030525 - 19 Jan 2023
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 2077
Abstract
To improve the real-time performance of the estimation method of road friction coefficient (RFC) based on moving horizon estimation (MHE), a hierarchical estimation method for RFC combining single-step MHE (S-MHE) and inverse tire model (ITM) based on lateral vehicle dynamics is proposed in [...] Read more.
To improve the real-time performance of the estimation method of road friction coefficient (RFC) based on moving horizon estimation (MHE), a hierarchical estimation method for RFC combining single-step MHE (S-MHE) and inverse tire model (ITM) based on lateral vehicle dynamics is proposed in this study. Firstly, a hierarchical estimation framework is designed to decouple vehicle and tire systems. Secondly, the S-MHE estimator is designed based on the nonlinear vehicle model to estimate the lateral tire force. Thirdly, the ITM is deduced based on the Pacejka model, and the estimator for the RFC based on the ITM is designed. Finally, the estimation accuracy, convergence speed, and real-time performance of the proposed method and the traditional MHE method are compared and discussed through different tests based on CarSim and Simulink. The results show that compared with the traditional MHE method, the proposed method reduces the average computation time to about 0.125 s and improves the real-time performance by more than 30% while ensuring the estimation accuracy and convergence speed. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue State-of-the-Art Technologies for Connected and Automated Vehicles)
Show Figures

Figure 1

17 pages, 1321 KiB  
Article
Nonlinear Model Predictive Control of Shipboard Boom Cranes Based on Moving Horizon State Estimation
by Yuchi Cao, Tieshan Li and Liying Hao
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2023, 11(1), 4; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse11010004 - 20 Dec 2022
Cited by 10 | Viewed by 2390
Abstract
As important equipment in offshore engineering and freight transportation, shipboard cranes, working in non-inertial coordination systems, are complicated nonlinear systems with strong couplings and typical underactuation. To tackle the challenges in the controller design for shipboard boom cranes, which is a representative type [...] Read more.
As important equipment in offshore engineering and freight transportation, shipboard cranes, working in non-inertial coordination systems, are complicated nonlinear systems with strong couplings and typical underactuation. To tackle the challenges in the controller design for shipboard boom cranes, which is a representative type of shipboard cranes, a comprehensive framework embedding moving horizon estimation (MHE) in model predictive control (MPC) is constructed in this paper while considering disturbances and noise. By utilizing MHE, velocity information can be estimated with high precision even though this is influenced by disturbances and measurement noises. This expected superiority can greatly ease the difficulties in directly measuring all states of shipboard boom cranes. Then, the estimated information can be passed to MPC to derive the optimal control law by solving a constrained optimal problem. During this process, the physical limits of shipboard boom cranes are fully considered. Therefore, the practicability of the proposed framework is highly suitable for the actual requirements of shipboard boom cranes. Finally, the framework is verified by designing three typical scenarios with different disturbances and/or noises. Comparisons with other control approaches are also performed to demonstrate the effectiveness. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

15 pages, 995 KiB  
Article
Economic Linear Parameter Varying Model Predictive Control of the Aeration System of a Wastewater Treatment Plant
by Fatiha Nejjari, Boutrous Khoury, Vicenç Puig, Joseba Quevedo, Josep Pascual and Sergi de Campos
Sensors 2022, 22(16), 6008; https://doi.org/10.3390/s22166008 - 11 Aug 2022
Cited by 4 | Viewed by 2067
Abstract
This work proposes an economic model predictive control (EMPC) strategy in the linear parameter varying (LPV) framework for the control of dissolved oxygen concentrations in the aerated reactors of a wastewater treatment plant (WWTP). A reduced model of the complex nonlinear plant is [...] Read more.
This work proposes an economic model predictive control (EMPC) strategy in the linear parameter varying (LPV) framework for the control of dissolved oxygen concentrations in the aerated reactors of a wastewater treatment plant (WWTP). A reduced model of the complex nonlinear plant is represented in a quasi-linear parameter varying (qLPV) form to reduce computational burden, enabling the real-time operation. To facilitate the formulation of the time-varying parameters which are functions of system states, as well as for feedback control purposes, a moving horizon estimator (MHE) that uses the qLPV WWTP model is proposed. The control strategy is investigated and evaluated based on the ASM1 simulation benchmark for performance assessment. The obtained results applying the EMPC strategy for the control of the aeration system in the WWTP of Girona (Spain) show its effectiveness. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

24 pages, 4946 KiB  
Article
Evaluation of a Combined MHE-NMPC Approach to Handle Plant-Model Mismatch in a Rotary Tablet Press
by Yan-Shu Huang, M. Ziyan Sheriff, Sunidhi Bachawala, Marcial Gonzalez, Zoltan K. Nagy and Gintaras V. Reklaitis
Processes 2021, 9(9), 1612; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr9091612 - 8 Sep 2021
Cited by 18 | Viewed by 3687
Abstract
The transition from batch to continuous processes in the pharmaceutical industry has been driven by the potential improvement in process controllability, product quality homogeneity, and reduction of material inventory. A quality-by-control (QbC) approach has been implemented in a variety of pharmaceutical product manufacturing [...] Read more.
The transition from batch to continuous processes in the pharmaceutical industry has been driven by the potential improvement in process controllability, product quality homogeneity, and reduction of material inventory. A quality-by-control (QbC) approach has been implemented in a variety of pharmaceutical product manufacturing modalities to increase product quality through a three-level hierarchical control structure. In the implementation of the QbC approach it is common practice to simplify control algorithms by utilizing linearized models with constant model parameters. Nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) can effectively deliver control functionality for highly sensitive variations and nonlinear multiple-input-multiple-output (MIMO) systems, which is essential for the highly regulated pharmaceutical manufacturing industry. This work focuses on developing and implementing NMPC in continuous manufacturing of solid dosage forms. To mitigate control degradation caused by plant-model mismatch, careful monitoring and continuous improvement strategies are studied. When moving horizon estimation (MHE) is integrated with NMPC, historical data in the past time window together with real-time data from the sensor network enable state estimation and accurate tracking of the highly sensitive model parameters. The adaptive model used in the NMPC strategy can compensate for process uncertainties, further reducing plant-model mismatch effects. The nonlinear mechanistic model used in both MHE and NMPC can predict the essential but complex powder properties and provide physical interpretation of abnormal events. The adaptive NMPC implementation and its real-time control performance analysis and practical applicability are demonstrated through a series of illustrative examples that highlight the effectiveness of the proposed approach for different scenarios of plant-model mismatch, while also incorporating glidant effects. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

17 pages, 1133 KiB  
Article
State and Parameter Estimation of a Mathematical Carcinoma Model under Chemotherapeutic Treatment
by Máté Siket, György Eigner, Dániel András Drexler, Imre Rudas and Levente Kovács
Appl. Sci. 2020, 10(24), 9046; https://doi.org/10.3390/app10249046 - 17 Dec 2020
Cited by 17 | Viewed by 2362
Abstract
One challenging aspect of therapy optimization and application of control algorithms in the field of tumor growth modeling is the limited number of measurable physiological signals—state variables—and the knowledge of model parameters. A possible solution to provide such information is the application of [...] Read more.
One challenging aspect of therapy optimization and application of control algorithms in the field of tumor growth modeling is the limited number of measurable physiological signals—state variables—and the knowledge of model parameters. A possible solution to provide such information is the application of observer or state estimator. One of the most widely applied estimators for nonlinear problems is the extended Kalman filter (EKF). In this study, a moving horizon estimation (MHE)-based observer is developed and compared to an optimized EKF. The observers utilize a third-order tumor growth model. The performance of the observers is tested on measurements gathered from a laboratory mice trial using chemotherapeutic drug. The proposed MHE is designed to be suitable for closed-loop applications and yields simultaneous state and parameter estimation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Control and Automation)
Show Figures

Figure 1

27 pages, 4110 KiB  
Review
Challenges and Opportunities on Nonlinear State Estimation of Chemical and Biochemical Processes
by Ronald Alexander, Gilson Campani, San Dinh and Fernando V. Lima
Processes 2020, 8(11), 1462; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr8111462 - 15 Nov 2020
Cited by 24 | Viewed by 7306
Abstract
This paper provides an overview of nonlinear state estimation techniques along with a discussion on the challenges and opportunities for future work in the field. Emphasis is given on Bayesian methods such as moving horizon estimation (MHE) and extended Kalman filter (EKF). A [...] Read more.
This paper provides an overview of nonlinear state estimation techniques along with a discussion on the challenges and opportunities for future work in the field. Emphasis is given on Bayesian methods such as moving horizon estimation (MHE) and extended Kalman filter (EKF). A discussion on Bayesian, deterministic, and hybrid methods is provided and examples of each of these methods are listed. An approach for nonlinear state estimation design is included to guide the selection of the nonlinear estimator by the user/practitioner. Some of the current challenges in the field are discussed involving covariance estimation, uncertainty quantification, time-scale multiplicity, bioprocess monitoring, and online implementation. A case study in which MHE and EKF are applied to a batch reactor system is addressed to highlight the challenges of these technologies in terms of performance and computational time. This case study is followed by some possible opportunities for state estimation in the future including the incorporation of more efficient optimization techniques and development of heuristics to streamline the further adoption of MHE. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Feature Review Papers)
Show Figures

Figure 1

19 pages, 5071 KiB  
Article
Estimation of Biomass Enzymatic Hydrolysis State in Stirred Tank Reactor through Moving Horizon Algorithms with Fixed and Dynamic Fuzzy Weights
by Vitor B. Furlong, Luciano J. Corrêa, Fernando V. Lima, Roberto C. Giordano and Marcelo P. A. Ribeiro
Processes 2020, 8(4), 407; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr8040407 - 31 Mar 2020
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 3435
Abstract
Second generation ethanol faces challenges before profitable implementation. Biomass hydrolysis is one of the bottlenecks, especially when this process occurs at high solids loading and with enzymatic catalysts. Under this setting, kinetic modeling and reaction monitoring are hindered due to the conditions of [...] Read more.
Second generation ethanol faces challenges before profitable implementation. Biomass hydrolysis is one of the bottlenecks, especially when this process occurs at high solids loading and with enzymatic catalysts. Under this setting, kinetic modeling and reaction monitoring are hindered due to the conditions of the medium, while increasing the mixing power. An algorithm that addresses these challenges might improve the reactor performance. In this work, a soft sensor that is based on agitation power measurements that uses an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) as an internal model is proposed in order to predict free carbohydrates concentrations. The developed soft sensor is used in a Moving Horizon Estimator (MHE) algorithm to improve the prediction of state variables during biomass hydrolysis. The algorithm is developed and used for batch and fed-batch hydrolysis experimental runs. An alteration of the classical MHE is proposed for improving prediction, using a novel fuzzy rule to alter the filter weights online. This alteration improved the prediction when compared to the original MHE in both training data sets (tracking error decreased 13%) and in test data sets, where the error reduction obtained is 44%. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Bioenergy Systems, Material Management, and Sustainability)
Show Figures

Figure 1

34 pages, 22542 KiB  
Article
Proactive Energy Optimization in Residential Buildings with Weather and Market Forecasts
by Cody R. Simmons, Joshua R. Arment, Kody M. Powell and John D. Hedengren
Processes 2019, 7(12), 929; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr7120929 - 5 Dec 2019
Cited by 17 | Viewed by 5043
Abstract
This work explores the development of a home energy management system (HEMS) that uses weather and market forecasts to optimize the usage of home appliances and to manage battery usage and solar power production. A Moving Horizon Estimation (MHE) application is used to [...] Read more.
This work explores the development of a home energy management system (HEMS) that uses weather and market forecasts to optimize the usage of home appliances and to manage battery usage and solar power production. A Moving Horizon Estimation (MHE) application is used to find the unknown home model parameters. These parameters are then updated in a Model Predictive Controller (MPC) which optimizes and balances competing comfort and economic objectives. Combining MHE and MPC applications alleviates model complexity commonly seen in HEMS by using a lumped parameter model that is adapted to fit a high-fidelity model. Heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) on/off behaviors are simulated by using Mathematical Program with Complementarity Constraints (MPCCs) and solved in near real time with a non-linear solver. Removing HVAC on/off as a discrete variable and replacing it with an MPCC reduces solve time. The results of this work indicate that energy management optimization significantly decreases energy costs and balances energy usage more effectively throughout the day. A case study for Phoenix, Arizona shows an energy reduction of 21% and a cost reduction of 40%. This simulated home contributes less to the grid peak load and therefore improves grid stability and reduces the amplitude of load-following cycles for utilities. The case study combines renewable energy, energy storage, forecasts, cooling system, variable rate electricity plan and a multi-objective function allowing for a complete home energy optimization assessment. There remain several challenges, including improved forecast models, improved computational performance to allow the algorithms to run in real time, and mixed empirical/physics-based machine-learning methods to guide the model structure. Full article
Show Figures

Graphical abstract

Back to TopTop