Search Results (19,210)

The transition to smart, zero-carbon cities relies on advanced, sustainable energy solutions, with artificial intelligence (AI) playing a crucial role in optimizing renewable energy management. This study evaluates state-of-the-art AI models for solar power forecasting, emphasizing accuracy, reliability, and environmental sustainability. Using operational data from Benban Solar Park in Egypt and Sakaka Solar Power Plant in Saudi Arabia, two of the world’s largest solar installations, the research highlights the effectiveness of hybrid AI techniques. The hybrid Convolutional Neural Network–Long Short-Term Memory (CNN-LSTM) model outperformed other models, achieving a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 2.04%, Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 184, Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 252, and R² of 0.99 for Benban, and an MAPE of 2.00%, RMSE of 190, MAE of 255, and R² of 0.98 for Sakaka. This model excels at capturing complex spatiotemporal patterns in solar data while maintaining low computational CO₂ emissions, supporting sustainable AI practices. The findings demonstrate the potential of hybrid AI models to enhance the accuracy and sustainability of solar power forecasting, thereby contributing to efficient, resilient, and zero-carbon urban environments. This research provides valuable insights for policymakers and stakeholders aiming to advance smart energy infrastructure. Full article

Under the current context of the large-scale integration of wind and solar power, the coupling of hydropower with wind and solar energy brings significant impacts on grid stability. To fully leverage the regulatory capacity of hydropower, this paper develops a multi-objective optimization scheduling model for hydropower, wind, and solar that balances generation-side power generation benefit and grid-side peak-regulation requirements, with the latter quantified by the mean square error of the residual load. To efficiently solve this model, Latin hypercube initialization, hybrid distance framework, and adaptive mutation mechanism are introduced into the Strength Pareto Evolutionary Algorithm II (SPEAII), yielding an improved algorithm named LHS-Mutate Strength Pareto Evolutionary Algorithm II (LMSPEAII). Its efficiency is validated on benchmark test functions and a reservoir model. Typical extreme scenarios—months with strong wind and solar in the dry season and months with weak wind and solar in the flood season—are selected to derive scheduling strategies and to further verify the effectiveness of the proposed model and algorithm. Finally, K-medoids clustering is applied to the Pareto front solutions; from the perspective of representative solutions, this reveals the evolutionary trends of different objective trade-off schemes and overall distribution characteristics, providing deeper insight into the solution set’s distribution features. Full article

With the global low-carbon energy transition, accurate prediction of thermal and physical parameters of deep rock masses is critical for geothermal resource development. To address the insufficient generalization ability of machine learning models caused by scarce measured data on granite thermal conductivity, this study focused on granites from the Gonghe Basin and Songliao Basin in Qinghai Province. A data augmentation strategy combining cubic spline interpolation and Gaussian noise injection (with noise intensity set to 10% of the original data feature range) was proposed, expanding the original 47 samples to 150. Thermal conductivity prediction models were constructed using Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), and Backpropagation Neural Network(BPNN). Results showed that data augmentation significantly improved model performance: the RF model exhibited the best improvement, with its coefficient of determination R² increasing from 0.7489 to 0.9765, Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) decreasing from 0.1870 to 0.1271, and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) reducing from 0.1453 to 0.0993. The BPNN and SVM models also improved, with R² reaching 0.9365 and 0.8743, respectively, on the enhanced dataset. Feature importance analysis revealed porosity (with a coefficient of variation of 0.88, much higher than the longitudinal wave velocity’s 0.27) and density as key factors, with significantly higher contributions than longitudinal wave velocity. This study provides quantitative evidence for data augmentation and machine learning in predicting rock thermophysical parameters, promoting intelligent geothermal resource development. Full article

Background/Objectives: Chronological age (CA) is commonly used in clinical decision-making, yet it may not accurately reflect biological aging. Recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI) allow estimation of electrocardiogram (ECG)-derived heart age, which may serve as a non-invasive biomarker for physiological aging. This study aimed to develop and validate a deep learning model to predict ECG-heart age in individuals with no structural heart disease. Methods: We trained a convolutional neural network (DenseNet-121) using 12-lead ECGs from 292,484 individuals (mean age: 51.4 ± 13.8 years; 42.3% male) without significant cardiac disease. Exclusion criteria included missing age data, age <18 or >90 years, and structural abnormalities. CA was used as the target variable. Model performance was evaluated using the coefficient of determination (R²), Pearson correlation coefficient (PCC), mean absolute error (MAE), and root mean square error (RMSE). External validation was conducted using 1191 independent ECGs. Results: The model demonstrated strong predictive performance (R² = 0.783, PCC = 0.885, MAE = 5.023 years, RMSE = 6.389 years). ECG-heart age tended to be overestimated in younger adults (≤30 years) and underestimated in older adults (≥70 years). External validation showed consistent performance (R² = 0.703, PCC = 0.846, MAE = 5.582 years, RMSE = 7.316 years). Conclusions: The proposed AI-based model accurately estimates ECG-heart age in individuals with structurally normal hearts. ECG-derived heart age may serve as a reliable biomarker of biological aging and support future risk stratification strategies. Full article

In football, accurately pinpointing key events like passes is vital for analyzing player and team performance. Despite continuous technological advancements, existing tracking systems still face challenges in accurately synchronizing events and positional data accurately. This is a case study that proposes a new method to synchronize events and positional data collected during football matches. Three datasets were used to perform this study: a dataset created by applying a custom algorithm that synchronizes positional and event data, referred to as the optimized synchronization dataset (OSD); a simple temporal alignment between positional and event data, referred to as the raw synchronization dataset (RSD); and a manual notational data (MND) from the match video footage, considered the ground truth observations. The timestamp of the pass in both synchronized datasets was compared to the ground truth observations (MND). Spatial differences in OSD were also compared to the RSD data and to the original data from the provider. Root mean square error (RMSE) and mean absolute error (MAE) were utilized to assess the accuracy of both procedures. More accurate results were observed for optimized dataset, with RMSE values of RSD = 75.16 ms (milliseconds) and OSD = 72.7 ms, and MAE values RSD = 60.50 ms and OSD = 59.73 ms. Spatial accuracy also improved, with OSD showing reduced deviation from RSD compared to the original event data. The mean positional deviation was reduced from 1.59 ± 0.82 m in original event data to 0.41 ± 0.75 m in RSD. In conclusion, the model offers a more accurate method for synchronizing independent datasets for event and positional data. This is particularly beneficial for applications where precise timing and spatial location of actions are critical. In contrast to previous synchronization methods, this approach simplifies the process by using an automated technique based on patterns of ball velocity. This streamlines synchronization across datasets, reduces the need for manual intervention, and makes the method more practical for routine use in applied settings. Full article

Background: Atrial fibrosis is a key contributor to atrial cardiomyopathy and can be assessed invasively using mean left atrial voltage (MLAV) from electroanatomical mapping. However, the invasive nature of this procedure limits its clinical applicability. Machine learning (ML), particularly regression tree-based models, may offer a non-invasive approach for predicting MLAV using clinical and echocardiographic data, improving non-invasive atrial fibrosis characterisation beyond current dichotomous classifications. Methods: We prospectively included and followed 113 patients with paroxysmal or persistent atrial fibrillation (AF) undergoing pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) with ultra-high-density voltage mapping (uHDvM), from whom MLAV was estimated. Standardised two-dimensional transthoracic echocardiography was performed before ablation, and clinical and echocardiographic variables were analysed. A regression tree model was constructed using the Classification and Regression Trees—CART-algorithm to identify key predictors of MLAV. Results: The regression tree model exhibited moderate predictive accuracy (R² = 0.63; 95% CI: 0.55–0.71; root mean squared error = 0.90; 95% CI: 0.82–0.98), with indexed minimum LA volume and passive emptying fraction emerging as the most influential variables. No significant differences in AF recurrence-free survival were found among MLAV tertiles or model-based generated groups (log-rank p = 0.319 and p = 0.126, respectively). Conclusions: We present a novel ML-based regression tree model for non-invasive prediction of MLAV, identifying minimum LA volume and passive emptying fraction as the most significant predictors. This model offers an accessible, non-invasive tool for refining atrial cardiomyopathy characterisation by reflecting the fibrotic substrate as a continuum, a crucial advancement over existing dichotomous approaches to guide tailored therapeutic strategies. Full article

This study presents an algorithm for non-invasive blood pressure (BP) estimation in neonates using photoplethysmography (PPG), suitable for resource-constrained neonatal telecare platforms. Using the Windkessel model, the algorithm processes PPG signals from a MAX 30102 sensor, (Analog Devices (formerly Maxim Integrated), based in San Jose, CA, USA) filtering motion noise and extracting cardiac cycle time and systolic time (ST). These parameters inform a derived blood flow signal, the input for the Windkessel model. Calibration utilizes average parameters based on the newborn’s post-conceptional age, weight, and gestational age. Performance was validated against readings from a standard non-invasive BP cuff at SES Hospital Universitario de Caldas. Two parameter estimation methods were evaluated. The first yielded root mean square errors (RMSEs) of 24.14 mmHg for systolic and 19.13 mmHg for diastolic BP. The second method significantly improved accuracy, achieving RMSEs of 2.31 mmHg and 5.13 mmHg, respectively. The successful adaptation of the Windkessel model to single PPG signals allows for BP calculation alongside other physiological variables within the telecare program. A device analysis was conducted to determine the appropriate device based on computational capacity, availability of programming tools, and ease of integration within an Internet of Things environment. This study paves the way for future research that focuses on parameter variations due to cardiovascular changes in newborns during their first month of life. Full article

It is imperative to comprehend the cyclical variations inherent in liquid methane engines (LMEs) across both design and operational domains. The theoretical thermal efficiency of LMEs is high at higher compression ratios, but the combustion instability also increases. Obtaining relevant metrics from bench experiments is difficult and time-consuming; therefore, in this study, we model tabular data using Conditional GAN (CTGAN) to model the tabular data and generated more virtual samples based on the experimental results of the key metrics (peak pressure, maximum pressure rise rate, and average effective pressure). Through this, a machine learning model was proposed that couples a random forest (RF) model with a Bayesian optimization machine learning model for predicting cyclic variation. The findings indicate that the Bayesian-optimized RF model demonstrates superiority in predicting the metrics with greater accuracy and reliability compared to the gradient boosting (XGBoost) and support vector machine (SVM) models. The R² value of the former model is consistently greater than 0.75, and the root mean square error (RMSE) is typically lower than 0.3. This paper highlights the promising potential of the Bayesian-optimized RF model in predicting unknown cyclic parameters. Full article

This study assesses future agricultural drought risk in the Ganjiang River Basin under climate change and land use change. A coupled analysis framework was established using the SWAT hydrological model, the CMIP6 climate models (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP5-8.5), and the PLUS land use simulation model. Key methods included the Standardized Soil Moisture Index (SSMI), travel time theory for drought event identification and duration analysis, Mann–Kendall trend test, and the Pettitt change-point test to examine soil moisture dynamics from 2027 to 2100. The results indicate that the CMIP6 ensemble performs excellently in temperature simulations, with a correlation coefficient of R² = 0.89 and a root mean square error of RMSE = 1.2 °C, compared to the observational data. The MMM-Best model also performs well in precipitation simulations, with R² = 0.82 and RMSE = 15.3 mm, compared to observational data. Land use changes between 2000 and 2020 showed a decrease in forestland (−3.2%), grassland (−2.8%), and construction land (−1.5%), with an increase in water (4.8%) and unused land (2.7%). Under all emission scenarios, the SSMI values fluctuate with standard deviations of 0.85 (SSP1-2.6), 1.12 (SSP2-4.5), and 1.34 (SSP5-8.5), with the strongest drought intensity observed under SSP5-8.5 (minimum SSMI = −2.8). Drought events exhibited spatial and temporal heterogeneity across scenarios, with drought-affected areas ranging from 25% (SSP1-2.6) to 45% (SSP5-8.5) of the basin. Notably, abrupt changes in soil moisture under SSP5-8.5 occurred earlier (2045–2050) due to intensified land use change, indicating strong human influence on hydrological cycles. This study integrated the CMIP6 climate projections with high-resolution human activity data to advance drought risk assessment methods. It established a framework for assessing agricultural drought risk at the regional scale that comprehensively considers climate and human influences, providing targeted guidance for the formulation of adaptive water resource and land management strategies. Full article

In the practical physical structure of the electromagnetic inerter–spring–damper (EM–ISD) suspension, parasitic damping inevitably coexists with the mechanical inerter effect. To investigate the intrinsic influence of this parasitic effect on the suspension system’s performance, this study first establishes a quarter-vehicle dynamic model that incorporates parasitic damping, based on the actual configuration of the EM–ISD suspension. Subsequently, the particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm is employed to optimize the key suspension parameters, with the objective of enhancing its comprehensive performance. The optimized parameters are then utilized to systematically analyze the dynamic characteristics of the suspension under the influence of parasitic damping. The results indicate that, compared to an ideal model that neglects parasitic damping, an increase in the parasitic damping coefficient leads to a deterioration in the root mean square (RMS) value of body acceleration, while concurrently reducing the RMS values of the suspension working space and dynamic tire load. However, by incorporating parasitic damping into the design considerations during the optimization phase, its adverse impact on ride comfort can be effectively mitigated. Compared with a traditional passive suspension, the optimized EM–ISD suspension, which accounts for parasitic damping, demonstrates superior performance. Specifically, the RMS values of body acceleration and suspension working space are significantly reduced by 11.1% and 17.6%, respectively, thereby effectively improving the vehicle’s ride comfort and handling stability. Full article

This study investigates the use of a Random Forest (RF), an artificial intelligence (AI) model, to estimate the planetary boundary layer height (PBLH) over Central Amazonia from climatic elements data collected during the GoAmazon experiment, held in 2014 and 2015, as it is a key metric for air quality, weather forecasting, and climate modeling. The novelty of this study lies in estimating PBLH using only surface-based meteorological observations. This approach is validated against remote sensing measurements (e.g., LIDAR, ceilometer, and wind profilers), which are seldom available in the Amazon region. The dataset includes various meteorological features, though substantial missing data for the latent heat flux (LE) and net radiation (Rn) measurements posed challenges. We addressed these gaps through different data-cleaning strategies, such as feature exclusion, row removal, and imputation techniques, assessing their impact on model performance using the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and $r^2$ metrics. The best-performing strategy achieved an RMSE of 375.9 m. In addition to the RF model, we benchmarked its performance against Linear Regression, Support Vector Regression, LightGBM, XGBoost, and a Deep Neural Network. While all models showed moderate correlation with observed PBLH, the RF model outperformed all others with statistically significant differences confirmed by paired t-tests. SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) values were used to enhance model interpretability, revealing hour of the day, air temperature, and relative humidity as the most influential predictors for PBLH, underscoring their critical role in atmospheric dynamics in Central Amazonia. Despite these optimizations, the model underestimates the PBLH values—by an average of 197 m, particularly in the spring and early summer austral seasons when atmospheric conditions are more variable. These findings emphasize the importance of robust data preprocessing and higtextight the potential of ML models for improving PBLH estimation in data-scarce tropical environments. Full article

Significant improvements in the forest-based industrial sector are expected due to increased digitalization; however, examples of practical implementations remain limited. This study explores the use of an automated algorithm to estimate truckload volumes based on 3D point cloud data acquired using two different LiDAR scanning platforms. This research compares the performance of a professional mobile laser scanning (MLS GeoSLAM) platform and a smartphone-based iPhone LiDAR system. A total of 48 truckloads were measured using a combination of manual, factory-based, and digital approaches. Accuracy was evaluated using standard error metrics, including the mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE), with manual or factory references used as benchmarks. The results showed a strong correlation and no significant differences between the algorithmic and manual measurements when using the MLS platform (MAE = 2.06 m³; RMSE = 2.46 m³). For the iPhone platform, the results showed higher deviations and significant overestimation compared to the factory reference (MAE = 3.29 m³; RMSE = 3.60 m³). Despite these differences, the iPhone platform offers real-time acquisition and low-cost deployment. These findings highlight the trade-offs between precision and operational efficiency and support the adoption of automated measurement tools in timber supply chains. Full article

Forest volume is an important information for assessing the economic value and carbon sequestration capacity of forest resources and serves as a key indicator for energy flow and biodiversity. Although remote sensing technology is applied to estimate volume, optical remote sensing data have limitations in capturing forest vertical height information and may suffer from reflectance saturation. While LiDAR data can provide more detailed vertical structural information, they come with high processing costs and limited observation range. Therefore, improving the accuracy of volume estimation through multi-source data fusion has become a crucial challenge and research focus in the field of forest remote sensing. In this study, we integrated Sentinel-2 multispectral data, Resource-3 stereoscopic imagery, UAV-based LiDAR data, and field survey data to quantitatively estimate the forest volume in Saihanwula Nature Reserve, located in Inner Mongolia, China, on the southern part of Daxing’anling Mountains. The study evaluated the performance of multi-source remote sensing features by using recursive feature elimination (RFE) to select the most relevant factors and applied four machine learning models—multiple linear regression (MLR), k-nearest neighbors (kNN), random forest (RF), and gradient boosting regression tree (GBRT)—to develop volume estimation models. The evaluation metrics include the coefficient of determination (R²), root mean square error (RMSE), and relative root mean square error (rRMSE). The results show that (1) forest Canopy Height Model (CHM) data were strongly correlated with forest volume, helping to alleviate the reflectance saturation issues inherent in spectral texture data. The fusion of CHM and spectral data resulted in an improved volume estimation model with R² = 0.75 and RMSE = 8.16 m³/hm², highlighting the importance of integrating multi-source canopy height information for more accurate volume estimation. (2) Volume estimation accuracy varied across different tree species. For Betula platyphylla, we obtained R² = 0.71 and RMSE = 6.96 m³/hm²; for Quercus mongolica, R² = 0.74 and RMSE = 6.90 m³/hm²; and for Populus davidiana, R² = 0.51 and RMSE = 9.29 m³/hm². The total forest volume in the Saihanwula Reserve ranges from 50 to 110 m³/hm². (3) Among the four machine learning models, GBRT consistently outperformed others in all evaluation metrics, achieving the highest R² of 0.86, lowest RMSE of 9.69 m³/hm², and lowest rRMSE of 24.57%, suggesting its potential for forest biomass estimation. In conclusion, accurate estimation of forest volume is critical for evaluating forest management practices and timber resources. While this integrated approach shows promise, its operational application requires further external validation and uncertainty analysis to support policy-relevant decisions. The integration of multi-source remote sensing data provides valuable support for forest resource accounting, economic value assessment, and monitoring dynamic changes in forest ecosystems. Full article

The accurate prediction of significant wave height presents a complex yet vital challenge in the fields of ocean engineering. This capability is essential for disaster prevention, fostering sustainable development and deepening our understanding of various scientific phenomena. We explore the development of a comprehensive predictive methodology for wave height prediction by integrating novel Takagi–Sugeno–Kang fuzzy models within a multiresolution analysis framework. The multiresolution analysis emerges via wavelets, since they are prominent models characterised by their inherent multiresolution nature. The maximal overlap discrete wavelet transform is utilised to generate the detail and resolution components of the time series, resulting from this multiresolution analysis. The novelty of the proposed model lies on its hybrid training approach, which combines least squares with AdaBound, a gradient-based algorithm derived from the deep learning literature. Significant wave height prediction is studied as a time series problem, hence, the appropriate inputs to the model are selected by developing a surrogate-based wrapped algorithm. The developed wrapper-based algorithm, employs Bayesian optimisation to deliver a fast and accurate method for feature selection. In addition, we introduce a projection step, to further refine the approximation capabilities of the resulting predictive system. The proposed methodology is applied to a real-world time series pertaining to spectral wave height and obtained from the Poseidon operational oceanography system at the Institute of Oceanography, part of the Hellenic Center for Marine Research. Numerical studies showcase a high degree of approximation performance. The predictive scheme with the projection step yields a coefficient of determination of $0.9991$, indicating a high level of accuracy. Furthermore, it outperforms the second-best comparative model by approximately $49\%$ in terms of root mean squared error. Comparative evaluations against powerful artificial intelligence models, using regression metrics and hypothesis test, underscore the effectiveness of the proposed methodology. Full article

This study proposes a CatBoost-enhanced hyperspectral modeling approach for accurate prediction of wood dyeing formulations. Using Pinus sylvestris var. mongolica veneer as the substrate, 306 samples with gradient dye concentrations were prepared, and their reflectance spectra (400–700 nm) were acquired. After noise reduction and sensitive band selection (400–450 nm, 550–600 nm, and 600–650 nm), spectral descriptors were extracted as model inputs. The CatBoost algorithm, optimized via k-fold cross-validation and grid search, outperformed XGBoost, random forest, and SVR in prediction accuracy, achieving MSE = 0.00271 and MAE = 0.0349. Scanning electron microscopy (SEM) revealed the correlation between dye particle distribution and spectral response, validating the model’s physical basis. This approach enables intelligent dye formulation control in industrial wood processing, reducing color deviation (ΔE < 1.75) and dye waste by approximately 25%. Full article