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Keywords = levee overtopping

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21 pages, 27161 KB  
Article
Integrated Protection of Levee Landward Slopes: Effects of Seamless Cement Coating and H-Type Piles on Flow Dynamics and Scour Reduction
by Javedullah Hemat Sherzai, Yoshiya Igarashi, Norio Tanaka, Hokuto Kato and Takuma Takeda
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 20; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010020 - 9 Feb 2026
Viewed by 1073
Abstract
Levee overtopping poses a significant risk to flood defense infrastructure by inducing severe erosion and scour, particularly along the landward slope and toe regions. This study investigates the effectiveness of an integrated protection system combining seamless cement coating with strategically placed H-type piles [...] Read more.
Levee overtopping poses a significant risk to flood defense infrastructure by inducing severe erosion and scour, particularly along the landward slope and toe regions. This study investigates the effectiveness of an integrated protection system combining seamless cement coating with strategically placed H-type piles to mitigate scour and modify flow dynamics under prolonged overflowing. A series of physical model tests were conducted to evaluate full and partial concrete slope protection with and without pile integration. Results showed that the seamless concrete revetment significantly delayed slope failure, resisted joint-related seepage, acted as a rigid cantilever, and maintained the structural integrity despite surrounding erosion. The inclusion of emergent H-type piles at the downstream toe disrupted the overflow jet, enhanced early energy dissipation, and reduced scour dimensions. The FC + P_ES (fully coated with emergent piles) configuration exhibited the strongest performance, reducing downstream scour length by 40%, upstream extent by 66.7%, and maximum scour depth by 7.7% compared to the FC_NP (fully coated, no-piles) condition. Partial slope coverage combined with emergent piles delayed scour initiation by approximately threefold, highlighting the synergistic effect of combined surface and flow-deflected structures measures. Conversely, bed-level piles redirected jet energy beneath the surface layer, intensifying vertical scour and upstream erosion, indicating the critical importance of pile placement and elevation. The findings emphasize the importance of integrating seamless surface protection with vertical flow disrupters to effectively manage flow-induced erosion and enhance levee resilience against overtopping floods. This hybrid approach offers a practical solution for flood-prone riverine levee systems. Full article
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15 pages, 1385 KB  
Article
Numerical Study of Flow Characteristics on Landward Levee Slopes Under Overtopping at Different Froude Numbers
by Chanjin Jeong, Dong-Hyun Kim and Seung-Oh Lee
Sci 2025, 7(3), 119; https://doi.org/10.3390/sci7030119 - 1 Sep 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1115
Abstract
Most levees are composed of earthen materials, making their structural stability vulnerable under flood conditions, especially in the case of overtopping. This study aims to analyze the relationship between the channel Froude number and the flow behavior on the landward slope of a [...] Read more.
Most levees are composed of earthen materials, making their structural stability vulnerable under flood conditions, especially in the case of overtopping. This study aims to analyze the relationship between the channel Froude number and the flow behavior on the landward slope of a levee during overtopping, enabling the prediction of landward slope velocity (LSV) in advance. Accurate estimation of flow velocity on the landward slope is crucial for predicting the occurrence and intensity of erosion during overtopping events, and it serves as a critical criterion for designing protective armoring and assessing levee structural stability. Numerical simulations were conducted under various Froude numbers in the channel to estimate the corresponding LSV. Key variables, including channel discharge, velocity, levee height, and overtopping flow depth, were used to establish quantitative correlations between channel flow characteristics and LSV. The proposed model effectively predicts the LSV for channel Froude numbers approximately between 0.05 and 0.60. The findings allow for a simplified estimation of LSV based on changes in Froude number and overtopping flow depth, providing valuable baseline data for planning levee reinforcement and maintenance strategies. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Environmental and Earth Science)
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13 pages, 2730 KB  
Article
Air Entrainment and Slope Erosion During Overflow on a Levee Covered by Non-Uniform Turfgrass
by Yoshiya Igarashi, Norio Tanaka, Muhammad W. A. Junjua and Takeharu Kobori
Fluids 2025, 10(8), 212; https://doi.org/10.3390/fluids10080212 - 12 Aug 2025
Viewed by 728
Abstract
To mitigate flood damage caused by overflow from a levee, it is essential to prevent the levee failure or extend the time to breaching. Although turfgrass on a levee slope is effective in suppressing erosion, insufficient maintenance can reduce its coverage. When overtopping [...] Read more.
To mitigate flood damage caused by overflow from a levee, it is essential to prevent the levee failure or extend the time to breaching. Although turfgrass on a levee slope is effective in suppressing erosion, insufficient maintenance can reduce its coverage. When overtopping occurs under such non-uniform turfgrass conditions, the flow tends to entrain air. In spillways, air entrainment is known to reduce friction loss; therefore, it may also contribute to lowering shear stress and erosion depth. This study conducted flume experiments with artificial turf arranged in various patterns on levee slopes to investigate flow patterns, air entrainment, and erosion. The flow pattern changed depending on the turf arrangement and overflow depth, and air entrainment occurred due to water surface fluctuations around the turfgrass. The inception point of air entrainment was found to be similar to or shorter than that observed in stepped spillways. Furthermore, the experiments showed a tendency for erosion depth to decrease once air entrainment is fully developed. This finding is significant because it suggests that erosion can potentially be minimized not only by reinforcing the levee structure itself but also by modifying flow characteristics through designs that promote air entrainment. Full article
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14 pages, 1983 KB  
Article
Numerical Approach for Predicting Levee Overtopping in River Curves Through Dimensionless Parameters
by Chanjin Jeong, Dong Hyun Kim and Seung Oh Lee
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(15), 8422; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15158422 - 29 Jul 2025
Viewed by 1638
Abstract
Recent climate changes have led to an increase in flood intensity, often resulting in frequent levee overtopping, which causes significant human and property damage. High vulnerability to such breaches is expected in general, especially at river curves. This study aims to predict the [...] Read more.
Recent climate changes have led to an increase in flood intensity, often resulting in frequent levee overtopping, which causes significant human and property damage. High vulnerability to such breaches is expected in general, especially at river curves. This study aims to predict the occurrence of levee overtopping at these critical points and to suggest a curve, the levee overtopping risk curve, to assess overtopping probabilities. For this purpose, several dimensionless parameters, such as superelevation relative to levee height (y/H) and the channel’s Froude number, were examined. Based on dimensional analysis, a relationship was developed, and the levee overtopping curve was finally proposed. The accuracy of this curve was validated through numerical analysis using a selected levee case, which clearly distinguished between safe and risky conditions for levee overtopping. The curve is designed for immediate integration into the hydraulic design processes, providing engineers with a reliable method for optimizing levee design to mitigate overtopping risks. It also serves as a critical decision-making tool in flood risk management, particularly for urban planning and infrastructure development in areas prone to flooding. Full article
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16 pages, 5613 KB  
Article
Modelling of Bottom Shear Stresses in Scoured Hole Formed by Nappe Flow During Levee Overtopping
by Yoshiya Igarashi and Norio Tanaka
GeoHazards 2025, 6(1), 11; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards6010011 - 1 Mar 2025
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 1540
Abstract
Increases in flood magnitude due to climate change increase the necessity of resilient river levees to prevent the breaching that can contribute to reduced flood inundation volume even when overtopping from a levee occurs. When a levee is composed of cohesive soil and [...] Read more.
Increases in flood magnitude due to climate change increase the necessity of resilient river levees to prevent the breaching that can contribute to reduced flood inundation volume even when overtopping from a levee occurs. When a levee is composed of cohesive soil and the levee crest is paved, overtopping can lead to a waterfall-like nappe flow due to the erosion of the downstream slope of a levee. This flow subsequently expands the scour hole and increases the risk of levee failure. Although some models of scour hole expansion due to nappe flow were proposed, flow structures in the scour hole were not adequately taken into account. This study aimed to clarify the flow structure, including formation of vortices in the scour hole, by conducting flow visualization experiments and three-dimensional numerical analyses. After clarifying the flow structure, this study proposed a simplified model to calculate the bottom shear stress in a scour hole on the levee side. The accuracy of the estimated bottom shear stress was verified by comparing the results with a three-dimensional numerical analysis. This proposed method can predict further erosion of a scour hole. Full article
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10 pages, 47140 KB  
Technical Note
Integrating Multiple Levee-Breaching Scenarios and Flood Events to Develop a Probabilistic Spatial Flood-Hazard Map of Etobicoke Creek in Toronto, Canada
by Florence Mainguenaud, Laurent Peyras, Usman T. Khan, Claudio Carvajal, Bruno Beullac and Jitendra Sharma
Water 2024, 16(24), 3622; https://doi.org/10.3390/w16243622 - 16 Dec 2024
Viewed by 1269
Abstract
Forecasting flood characteristics (e.g., water levels and velocity) is a growing concern due to climate change. It is therefore necessary to consider the stability conditions of earthen levees used to mitigate floods during a flood risk assessment. This technical note presents a method [...] Read more.
Forecasting flood characteristics (e.g., water levels and velocity) is a growing concern due to climate change. It is therefore necessary to consider the stability conditions of earthen levees used to mitigate floods during a flood risk assessment. This technical note presents a method to assess probabilistic flood hazard that takes into account levee failures, for a levee located along Etobicoke Creek in Toronto, Canada. We compute flood scenario probabilities resulting from multiple flood scenarios that accounts for both the levee failures across the length of the levee, and different levee-failure mechanisms (e.g., backward erosion and overtopping). Then, for each location of the flooded area, we compute a cumulative flood exceedance probability curve for flood depth and velocity. This method provides a flood-hazard map (depth and velocity) for a given probability and probabilistic maps for given values of depth or velocity. Full article
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12 pages, 4355 KB  
Article
Effect of Seepage on Sand Levee Failure Due to Lateral Overtopping
by Woochul Kang, Seongyun Kim and Eunkyung Jang
Water 2024, 16(24), 3617; https://doi.org/10.3390/w16243617 - 16 Dec 2024
Cited by 4 | Viewed by 1754
Abstract
Recent increases in rainfall duration and intensity due to climate change have heightened the importance of levee stability. However, previous studies on levee failure, primarily caused by seepage and overtopping, have mostly examined these causes independently owing to their distinct characteristics. In this [...] Read more.
Recent increases in rainfall duration and intensity due to climate change have heightened the importance of levee stability. However, previous studies on levee failure, primarily caused by seepage and overtopping, have mostly examined these causes independently owing to their distinct characteristics. In this study, we conducted lateral overtopping failure experiments under seepage conditions that closely resembled those in experiments conducted in previous studies. Seepage was monitored using water pressure sensors and a distributed optical fiber cable that provided continuous heat for temperature monitoring in the levee. Τhe analysis of levee failure due to lateral overtopping, in the presence of seepage, was conducted using image analysis with digitization techniques and machine learning-based color segmentation techniques on the protected lowland side of the levee, targeting the same area. The results revealed that levee failure occurred more than twice as fast in experiments where seepage conditions were considered compared to the experiments where they were not. Thus, levees weakened by seepage are more vulnerable to overtopping and breaching. Consequently, employing a comprehensive approach that integrates various monitoring and analysis methods for assessing levee stability is preferable to relying on a single method alone. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Safety Monitoring of Hydraulic Structures)
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22 pages, 3493 KB  
Article
A Coupled River–Overland (1D-2D) Model for Fluvial Flooding Assessment with Cellular Automata
by Hsiang-Lin Yu, Tsang-Jung Chang, Chia-Ho Wang and Shyh-Yuan Maa
Water 2024, 16(18), 2703; https://doi.org/10.3390/w16182703 - 23 Sep 2024
Cited by 5 | Viewed by 2634
Abstract
To provide accurate and efficient forecasting of fluvial flooding assessment in the river basin, the present study links the well-known CA-based urban inundation modeling (2D-OFM-CA) with a one-dimensional river flow model (1D-RFM) as a coupled 1D-2D river–overland modeling. Rules to delineate the geometric [...] Read more.
To provide accurate and efficient forecasting of fluvial flooding assessment in the river basin, the present study links the well-known CA-based urban inundation modeling (2D-OFM-CA) with a one-dimensional river flow model (1D-RFM) as a coupled 1D-2D river–overland modeling. Rules to delineate the geometric linking between the 1D-RFM and 2D-OFM-CA along embankments are developed. The corresponding exchanged water volume across an embankment is then computed by using the free and submerged weir flow formulas. The applicability of the proposed coupled model on fluvial flooding assessment is then assessed and compared with a well-recognized commercial software (HEC-RAS model) through an idealized fluvial case and an extensively studied real-scale fluvial case in the Severn River Basin. Based on the simulated results concerning the numerical accuracy, the coupled model is found to give similar results in the aspects of the river flow and overland flow modeling in both two study cases, which demonstrates the effectiveness of the linking methodology between the 1D-RFM and 2D-OFM-CA. From the viewpoint of numerical efficiency, the coupled model is 47% and 41% faster than the HEC-RAS model in the two cases, respectively. The above results indicate that the coupled model can reach almost the same accuracy as the HEC-RAS model with an obvious reduction in its computational time. Hence, it is concluded that the coupled model has considerable potential to be an effective alternative for fluvial flooding assessment in the river basin. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in Hydraulic and Water Resources Research (2nd Edition))
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19 pages, 5887 KB  
Article
Evaluating the Effectiveness of Seepage Countermeasures and Retrofitting Strategies for Mitigating Nappe Flow-Induced Reverse Flow and Erosion for Overtopping Flow from a Levee
by Liaqat Ali, Kento Sekine and Norio Tanaka
Geosciences 2024, 14(9), 233; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences14090233 - 29 Aug 2024
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 2159
Abstract
Levee failure due to nappe flow and subsequent erosion presents a significant challenge to flood protection infrastructure. This study evaluates the effectiveness of horizontal drainage layers, a common seepage control method, in mitigating these risks. While many traditional solutions to mitigate overtopping are [...] Read more.
Levee failure due to nappe flow and subsequent erosion presents a significant challenge to flood protection infrastructure. This study evaluates the effectiveness of horizontal drainage layers, a common seepage control method, in mitigating these risks. While many traditional solutions to mitigate overtopping are costly and complex, horizontal drainage layers offer a promising and cost-effective alternative. These layers not only address seepage control but also manage nappe flow-induced erosion, potentially reducing construction and maintenance costs. Despite extensive research on their role in seepage control, a gap remains in understanding their effectiveness against overtopping-induced erosion, particularly in managing reverse flow. Existing studies often address seepage control or nappe flow erosion separately, overlooking the integrated impact of these layers. This study aims to address this gap by evaluating the performance of horizontal drainage layers under simulated overtopping conditions. The research involves two series of experiments, Series I: Focuses on newly built levees equipped with full (HD15L50 and HD25L50, where the thicknesses are 15 and 25 cm, respectively, with a horizontal drainage layer length of 50 cm and a crest length of 40 cm), partial length (HD15L40 and HD25L40), and short/reduced length (HD15L30 and HD25L30). The results showed that full-length layers reduce erosion inside the levee body and foundation by almost 100% and enhance levee stability due to their superior ability to dissipate hydraulic energy. Series II: Investigates practical solutions for retrofitting existing levees using shorter drainage layers with extended crests and gauzed sheets (HD15L15L30C60GH and HD25L30C60GH, where the thicknesses are 15 and 25 cm, the drainage length is 30 cm, and the crest is extended to 60 cm with gauzed sheets). Although shorter layers were less effective than full-length ones, extending the levee crest significantly improved their performance, achieving protection levels comparable to full-length layers, providing a valuable solution for upgrading existing levees. Overall, this study offers valuable insights by systematically evaluating and optimizing seepage control techniques. These findings can be directly applied to guide levee design, maintenance, and risk reduction strategies. This research contributes significantly to improving the resilience of levee systems against water pressure and ensuring their long-term stability. Full article
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14 pages, 1510 KB  
Article
Analysis of Uncertainty in Internal Erosion Simulations for DLBreach and WinDAM C
by Anthony Atkinson and Mitchell Neilsen
GeoHazards 2024, 5(2), 350-363; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards5020018 - 16 Apr 2024
Viewed by 2160
Abstract
The work detailed here is part of an international initiative on the evaluation of dam safety simulation software for internal erosion performance and best practices. The primary experiments involve simulating uncertainty in the failure events of two dams with two different models: DLBreach [...] Read more.
The work detailed here is part of an international initiative on the evaluation of dam safety simulation software for internal erosion performance and best practices. The primary experiments involve simulating uncertainty in the failure events of two dams with two different models: DLBreach and WinDAM C. DLBreach is a physically-based dam/levee breach model developed by Wu. WinDAM C is also a physically based dam breach model capable of analyzing both dam overtopping and internal erosion. The dams selected for the analysis include a 1.3 m high dam tested in the lab and a larger 15.56 m high dam, which suffered a failure in the field. The findings from these experiments are extended with a further analysis on variance, sensitivity, and optimization. Finally, a regression model is trained using the results of these simulators as an inquiry into how well such a system can be captured using machine learning techniques. The results of these experiments, together with the results of the other members of the initiative, improve our understanding of the influences that users bring to using these tools. Full article
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22 pages, 21422 KB  
Article
Fast-Processing DEM-Based Urban and Rural Inundation Scenarios from Point-Source Flood Volumes
by Kay Khaing Kyaw, Federica Bonaiuti, Huimin Wang, Stefano Bagli, Paolo Mazzoli, Pier Paolo Alberoni, Simone Persiano and Attilio Castellarin
Sustainability 2024, 16(2), 875; https://doi.org/10.3390/su16020875 - 19 Jan 2024
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 3405
Abstract
Flooding has always been a huge threat to human society. Global climate change coupled with unsustainable regional planning and urban development may cause more frequent inundations and, consequently, higher societal and economic losses. In order to characterize floods and reduce flood risk, flood [...] Read more.
Flooding has always been a huge threat to human society. Global climate change coupled with unsustainable regional planning and urban development may cause more frequent inundations and, consequently, higher societal and economic losses. In order to characterize floods and reduce flood risk, flood simulation tools have been developed and widely applied. Hydrodynamic models for inundation simulation are generally sophisticated, yet they normally require massive setup and computational costs. In contrast, simplified conceptual models may be more easily applied and efficient. Based on the Hierarchical Filling-and-Spilling or Puddle-to-Puddle Dynamic Filling-and-Spilling Algorithms (i.e., HFSAs), Safer_RAIN has been developed as a fast-processing DEM-based model for modelling pluvial flooding over large areas. This study assesses Safer_RAIN applicability outside the context for which it was originally developed by looking at two different inundation problems with point-source flooding volumes: (1) rural inundation modelling associated with levee breaching/overtopping; (2) urban flooding caused by drainage systems outflow volumes. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Flood Risk Assessment and Resilience for Sustainability)
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19 pages, 5911 KB  
Article
Uncertainty Assessment of Flood Hazard Due to Levee Breaching
by Cédric Goeury, Vito Bacchi, Fabrice Zaoui, Sophie Bacchi, Sara Pavan and Kamal El kadi Abderrezzak
Water 2022, 14(23), 3815; https://doi.org/10.3390/w14233815 - 23 Nov 2022
Cited by 10 | Viewed by 4669
Abstract
Water resource management and flood forecasting are crucial societal and financial stakes requiring reliable predictions of flow parameters (depth, velocity), the accuracy of which is often limited by uncertainties in hydrodynamic numerical models. In this study, we assess the effect of two uncertainty [...] Read more.
Water resource management and flood forecasting are crucial societal and financial stakes requiring reliable predictions of flow parameters (depth, velocity), the accuracy of which is often limited by uncertainties in hydrodynamic numerical models. In this study, we assess the effect of two uncertainty sources, namely breach characteristics induced by overtopping and the roughness coefficient, on water elevations and inundation extent. A two-dimensional (2D) hydraulic solver was applied in a Monte Carlo integration framework to a reach of the Loire river (France) including about 300 physical parameters. Inundation hazard maps for different flood scenarios allowed for the highlighting of the impact of the breach development chronology. Special attention was paid to proposing a relevant sensitivity analysis to examine the factors influencing the depth and extent of flooding. The spatial analysis of the vulnerability area induced by a levee breach width exhibits that, with increasing the flood discharge, the rise of the parameter influence is accompanied by a more localized spatial effect. This argues for a local analysis to allow a clear understanding of the flood hazard. The physical interpretation, highlighted by a global sensitivity analysis, showed the dependence of the flood simulation on the main factors studied, i.e., the roughness coefficients and the characteristics of the breaches. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Numerical Simulations and Modelling of Extreme Flood Events)
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18 pages, 5526 KB  
Article
Utilization of Geogrid and Water Cushion to Reduce the Impact of Nappe Flow and Scouring on the Downstream Side of a Levee
by Fakhar Muhammad Abbas and Norio Tanaka
Fluids 2022, 7(9), 299; https://doi.org/10.3390/fluids7090299 - 10 Sep 2022
Cited by 14 | Viewed by 3616
Abstract
Water overflowing from a levee generates scour holes on the toe, which progresses towards the backward crest of the levee and results in nappe flow generation. The direct collision of nappe flow on the downstream area causes levee failure. It is important to [...] Read more.
Water overflowing from a levee generates scour holes on the toe, which progresses towards the backward crest of the levee and results in nappe flow generation. The direct collision of nappe flow on the downstream area causes levee failure. It is important to introduce a novel countermeasure against scouring caused by nappe flow. Hence, the present study utilized a new technique to reduce scouring due to nappe flow by introducing a combination of pooled water and geogrids. Herein, laboratory experiments were conducted with the three cases for rigid bed (R), named as NR, G1R, G2R (N, G1 and G2 represent no geogrid, geogrid 1 and geogrid 2, respectively), and moveable bed (M), named as NM (nothing moveable), G1M (geogrid 1 moveable), G2M (geogrid 2 moveable), to elucidate the effect of dimensionless pooled water depth (DP*), overtopping depth (DC*) and the aperture size of geogrids (d*) on flow structure and scouring. The results showed that the scour depth was reduced by around 17–31% during the NM cases, 57–78% during the G1M cases and 100% during the G2M cases by increasing the DP* from 0.3 to 0.45. Hence, the combination of geogrids with pooled water (G1M, G2M) performed a vital role in suppressing the scouring, but the results of G2M were more advantageous in terms of scouring countermeasures. Full article
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14 pages, 6382 KB  
Article
Erosion Resistance Performance of Surface-Reinforced Levees Using Novel Biopolymers Investigated via Real-Scale Overtopping Experiments
by Woochul Kang, Dongwoo Ko and Joongu Kang
Water 2021, 13(18), 2482; https://doi.org/10.3390/w13182482 - 10 Sep 2021
Cited by 15 | Viewed by 3273
Abstract
This study evaluates a novel biopolymer-based material reinforcement method. A real-scale experiment minimizing flood disasters and economic losses incurred by the collapse of river levees due to overtopping was conducted. At the Andong River Experiment Center, lateral overflow was reproduced to induce levee [...] Read more.
This study evaluates a novel biopolymer-based material reinforcement method. A real-scale experiment minimizing flood disasters and economic losses incurred by the collapse of river levees due to overtopping was conducted. At the Andong River Experiment Center, lateral overflow was reproduced to induce levee collapse using sand, reinforced novel materials, and vegetation levees represented as cases 1, 2, and 3, respectively. The flow in the upstream and downstream areas was measured, and fluctuations in the lateral overflow discharge were calculated using an acoustic Doppler current profiler. To quantitatively verify the performance of this method, the collapse delay effect based on the surface loss rate of the levee slope was analyzed using image pixel analysis and three-dimensional point cloud modeling. Comparing the collapse delay effect of the new-material levee with that of the non-reinforced levees, we found a time delay of approximately 2.7–7 times from the occurrence of overtopping via the lateral flow to the end of the test. These results indicate that we can secure time for emergency repairs and operations by reinforcing the levee surface using the material proposed in this study. These research findings are expected to provide the basis for the proper design and construction of river levees. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Hydraulics and Hydrodynamics)
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19 pages, 6860 KB  
Article
Development of Fragility Curves for Piping and Slope Stability of River Levees
by Nicola Rossi, Mario Bačić, Meho Saša Kovačević and Lovorka Librić
Water 2021, 13(5), 738; https://doi.org/10.3390/w13050738 - 9 Mar 2021
Cited by 22 | Viewed by 6146
Abstract
The design code Eurocode 7 relies on semi-probabilistic calculation procedures, through utilization of the soil parameters obtained by in situ and laboratory tests, or by the means of transformation models. To reach a prescribed safety margin, the inherent soil parameter variability is accounted [...] Read more.
The design code Eurocode 7 relies on semi-probabilistic calculation procedures, through utilization of the soil parameters obtained by in situ and laboratory tests, or by the means of transformation models. To reach a prescribed safety margin, the inherent soil parameter variability is accounted for through the application of partial factors to either soil parameters directly or to the resistance. However, considering several sources of geotechnical uncertainty, including the inherent soil variability, measurement error and transformation uncertainty, full probabilistic analyses should be implemented to directly consider the site-specific variability. This paper presents the procedure of developing fragility curves for levee slope stability and piping as failure mechanisms that lead to larger breaches, where a direct influence of the flood event intensity on the probability of failure is calculated. A range of fragility curve sets is presented, considering the variability of levee material properties and varying durations of the flood event, thus providing crucial insight into the vulnerability of the levee exposed to rising water levels. The procedure is applied to the River Drava levee, a site which has shown a continuous trend of increased water levels in recent years. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Dam Safety. Overtopping and Geostructural Risks)
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