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Keywords = heterogeneous vehicle fleet

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19 pages, 1159 KiB  
Article
A Biased–Randomized Iterated Local Search with Round-Robin for the Periodic Vehicle Routing Problem
by Juan F. Gomez, Antonio R. Uguina, Javier Panadero and Angel A. Juan
Mathematics 2025, 13(15), 2488; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13152488 - 2 Aug 2025
Viewed by 185
Abstract
The periodic vehicle routing problem (PVRP) is a well-known challenge in real-life logistics, requiring the planning of vehicle routes over multiple days while enforcing visitation frequency constraints. Although numerous metaheuristic and exact methods have tackled various PVRP extensions, real-world settings call for additional [...] Read more.
The periodic vehicle routing problem (PVRP) is a well-known challenge in real-life logistics, requiring the planning of vehicle routes over multiple days while enforcing visitation frequency constraints. Although numerous metaheuristic and exact methods have tackled various PVRP extensions, real-world settings call for additional features such as depot configurations, tight visitation frequency constraints, and heterogeneous fleets. In this paper, we present a two-phase biased–randomized algorithm that addresses these complexities. In the first phase, a round-robin assignment quickly generates feasible and promising solutions, ensuring each customer’s frequency requirement is met across the multi-day horizon. The second phase refines these assignments via an iterative search procedure, improving route efficiency and reducing total operational costs. Extensive experimentation on standard PVRP benchmarks shows that our approach is able to generate solutions of comparable quality to established state-of-the-art algorithms in relatively low computational times and stands out in many instances, making it a practical choice for real life multi-day vehicle routing applications. Full article
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13 pages, 904 KiB  
Article
An Integrated Traffic and Powertrain Simulation Framework to Evaluate Fuel Efficiency Impacts of Fully and Partial Vehicle Automation
by Yicheng Fu and Yuche Chen
Sustainability 2025, 17(12), 5527; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17125527 - 16 Jun 2025
Viewed by 307
Abstract
The assessment of energy impacts associated with autonomous vehicles must extend beyond individual vehicle analysis to encompass mixed fleets with varying degrees of automation. This study presents an integrated simulation framework designed to evaluate fuel efficiency improvements resulting from both full and partial [...] Read more.
The assessment of energy impacts associated with autonomous vehicles must extend beyond individual vehicle analysis to encompass mixed fleets with varying degrees of automation. This study presents an integrated simulation framework designed to evaluate fuel efficiency improvements resulting from both full and partial vehicle automation across diverse road types and vehicle categories. By coupling traffic microsimulation with detailed powertrain modeling, the framework captures the intricate interdependencies between automation levels and energy consumption. A comprehensive analysis reveals the complex interactions among powertrain architectures, automation levels, and driving environments in both urban and highway contexts. Results indicate that the increased penetration of Connected and Autonomous Vehicles (CAVs) is generally associated with improved energy efficiency across a range of vehicle technologies. These findings offer critical insights into the broader implications of CAV adoption on energy consumption, emphasizing the nuanced dynamics between vehicle heterogeneity and traffic conditions. Full article
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18 pages, 1759 KiB  
Article
DHDRDS: A Deep Reinforcement Learning-Based Ride-Hailing Dispatch System for Integrated Passenger–Parcel Transport
by Huanwen Ge, Xiangwang Hu and Ming Cheng
Sustainability 2025, 17(9), 4012; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17094012 - 29 Apr 2025
Viewed by 1016
Abstract
Urban transportation demands are growing rapidly. Concurrently, the sharing economy continues to expand. These dual trends establish ride-hailing dispatch as a critical research focus for building sustainable smart transportation systems. Current ride-hailing systems only serve passengers. However, they ignore an important opportunity: transporting [...] Read more.
Urban transportation demands are growing rapidly. Concurrently, the sharing economy continues to expand. These dual trends establish ride-hailing dispatch as a critical research focus for building sustainable smart transportation systems. Current ride-hailing systems only serve passengers. However, they ignore an important opportunity: transporting packages. This limitation causes two issues: (1) wasted vehicle capacity in cities, and (2) extra carbon emissions from cars waiting idle. Our solution combines passenger rides with package delivery in real time. This dual-mode strategy achieves four benefits: (1) better matching of supply and demand, (2) 38% less empty driving, (3) higher vehicle usage rates, and (4) increased earnings for drivers in changing conditions. We built a Dynamic Heterogeneous Demand-aware Ride-hailing Dispatch System (DHDRDS) using deep reinforcement learning. It works by (a) managing both passenger and package requests on one platform and (b) allocating vehicles efficiently to reduce the environmental impact. An empirical validation confirms the developed framework’s superiority over conventional approaches across three critical dimensions: service efficiency, carbon footprint reduction, and driver profits. Specifically, DHDRDS achieves at least a 5.1% increase in driver profits and an 11.2% reduction in vehicle idle time compared to the baselines, while ensuring that the majority of customer waiting times are within the system threshold of 8 min. By minimizing redundant vehicle trips and optimizing fleet utilization, this research provides a novel solution for advancing sustainable urban mobility systems aligned with global carbon neutrality goals. Full article
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22 pages, 6469 KiB  
Article
A Collaborative Optimization Approach for Configuring Energy Storage Systems and Scheduling Multi-Type Electric Vehicles Using an Improved Multi-Objective Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm
by Yirun Liu and Xiaolong Wu
Processes 2025, 13(5), 1343; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr13051343 - 27 Apr 2025
Viewed by 545
Abstract
Energy storage systems (ESS) and electric vehicles (EVs) play a crucial role in facilitating the grid integration of variable wind and solar power. Despite their potential, achieving coordinated operational optimization between ESS and heterogeneous EV fleets to maintain grid stability under high renewable [...] Read more.
Energy storage systems (ESS) and electric vehicles (EVs) play a crucial role in facilitating the grid integration of variable wind and solar power. Despite their potential, achieving coordinated operational optimization between ESS and heterogeneous EV fleets to maintain grid stability under high renewable penetration poses a complex technical challenge. To address this, this study develops an integrated optimization framework combining ESS capacity planning with multi-type EV scheduling strategies. For ESS deployment, a tri-objective model balances cost, wind–solar integration, and electricity deficit. A Monte Carlo simulation algorithm is used to simulate different probabilistic models of charging loads for multiple types of EVs, and a bi-objective optimization approach is used for their orderly scheduling. An improved multi-objective particle swarm optimization (IMOPSO) algorithm is proposed to resolve the coupled optimization problem. Case studies reveal that the framework achieves annual cost reductions, enhances the wind–solar integration rate, and minimizes the power deficit in the system. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Energy Systems)
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24 pages, 8890 KiB  
Article
From Map to Policy: Road Transportation Emission Mapping and Optimizing BEV Incentives for True Emission Reductions
by Moritz Seidenfus, Jakob Schneider and Markus Lienkamp
World Electr. Veh. J. 2025, 16(4), 205; https://doi.org/10.3390/wevj16040205 - 1 Apr 2025
Viewed by 1187
Abstract
This study explores the importance of considering regional aspects and different calculation approaches when assessing the environmental impact of passenger cars in Germany. The transportation sector, in general, needs to improve its transition to comply with national and international goals, and more efficient [...] Read more.
This study explores the importance of considering regional aspects and different calculation approaches when assessing the environmental impact of passenger cars in Germany. The transportation sector, in general, needs to improve its transition to comply with national and international goals, and more efficient measures are necessary. To achieve this, the spatial heterogeneity of underlying data, such as vehicle stocks, cubic capacity classes as a proxy for consumption values, and annual mileage, is investigated with respect to regional differences. Using data samples for the year 2017, the average emission values per car and year are calculated as well as Germany’s total emission values from the utilization of passenger cars. Conducting a spatially informed allocation algorithm, battery electric vehicles (BEVs) are added to certain regional fleets, replacing cars with internal combustion engines (ICEs). The results show significant regional differences in the underlying data, with a divergence between rural and urban areas as well as northern and southern regions, while the spread in mileage values is higher than that in consumption values. Comparing the tank-to-wheel (TtW) and well-to-wheel (WtW) approaches reveals different values with an increased spread as more BEVs are introduced to the fleet. Using the presented concept to allocate BEVs, emissions can be reduced by 1.66% to 1.35%, depending on the calculation perspective, compared to the extrapolation of historical values. Furthermore, rural areas benefit more from optimized allocation compared to urban ones. The findings suggest that regional distribution strategies could lead to more efficient reductions in GHG emissions within the transportation sector while incorporating both TtW and WtW approaches, leading to more comparable and precise analyses. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Impact of Electric Vehicles on Power Systems and Society)
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27 pages, 4454 KiB  
Article
Time-Dependent Multi-Center Semi-Open Heterogeneous Fleet Path Optimization and Charging Strategy
by Tingxin Wen and Haoting Meng
Mathematics 2025, 13(7), 1110; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13071110 - 27 Mar 2025
Viewed by 457
Abstract
To address the challenges of distribution cost and efficiency in electric vehicle (EV) logistics, this study proposes a time-dependent, multi-center, semi-open heterogeneous fleet model. The model incorporates a nonlinear power consumption measurement framework that accounts for vehicle parameters and road impedance, alongside an [...] Read more.
To address the challenges of distribution cost and efficiency in electric vehicle (EV) logistics, this study proposes a time-dependent, multi-center, semi-open heterogeneous fleet model. The model incorporates a nonlinear power consumption measurement framework that accounts for vehicle parameters and road impedance, alongside an objective function designed to minimize the total cost, which includes fixed vehicle costs, driving costs, power consumption costs, and time window penalty costs. The self-organizing mapping network method is employed to initialize the EV routing, and an improved adaptive large neighborhood search (IALNS) algorithm is developed to solve the optimization problem. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed algorithm significantly outperforms traditional methods in terms of solution quality and computational efficiency. Furthermore, through real-world case studies, the impacts of different distribution modes, fleet sizes, and charging strategies on key performance indicators are analyzed. These findings provide valuable insights for the optimization and management of EV distribution routes in logistics enterprises. Full article
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23 pages, 1450 KiB  
Article
Supply–Demand Dynamics Quantification and Distributionally Robust Scheduling for Renewable-Integrated Power Systems with Flexibility Constraints
by Jiaji Liang, Jinniu Miao, Lei Sun, Liqian Zhao, Jingyang Wu, Peng Du, Ge Cao and Wei Zhao
Energies 2025, 18(5), 1181; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18051181 - 28 Feb 2025
Viewed by 845
Abstract
The growing penetration of renewable energy sources (RES) has exacerbated operational flexibility deficiencies in modern power systems under time-varying conditions. To address the limitations of existing flexibility management approaches, which often exhibit excessive conservatism or risk exposure in managing supply–demand uncertainties, this study [...] Read more.
The growing penetration of renewable energy sources (RES) has exacerbated operational flexibility deficiencies in modern power systems under time-varying conditions. To address the limitations of existing flexibility management approaches, which often exhibit excessive conservatism or risk exposure in managing supply–demand uncertainties, this study introduces a data-driven distributionally robust optimization (DRO) framework for power system scheduling. The methodology comprises three key phases: First, a meteorologically aware uncertainty characterization model is developed using Copula theory, explicitly capturing spatiotemporal correlations in wind and PV power outputs. System flexibility requirements are quantified through integrated scenario-interval analysis, augmented by flexibility adjustment factors (FAFs) that mathematically describe heterogeneous resource participation in multi-scale flexibility provision. These innovations facilitate the formulation of physics-informed flexibility equilibrium constraints. Second, a two-stage DRO model is established, incorporating demand-side resources such as electric vehicle fleets as flexibility providers. The optimization objective aims to minimize total operational costs, encompassing resource activation expenses and flexibility deficit penalties. To strike a balance between robustness and reduced conservatism, polyhedral ambiguity sets bounded by generalized moment constraints are employed, leveraging Wasserstein metric-based probability density regularization to diminish the probabilities of extreme scenarios. Third, the bilevel optimization structure is transformed into a solvable mixed-integer programming problem using a zero-sum game equivalence. This problem is subsequently solved using an enhanced column-and-constraint generation (C&CG) algorithm with adaptive cut generation. Finally, simulation results demonstrate that the proposed model positively impacts the flexibility margin and economy of the power system, compared to traditional uncertainty models. Full article
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25 pages, 3878 KiB  
Article
Green Vehicle Routing Problem Optimization for LPG Distribution: Genetic Algorithms for Complex Constraints and Emission Reduction
by Nur Indrianti, Raden Achmad Chairdino Leuveano, Salwa Hanim Abdul-Rashid and Muhammad Ihsan Ridho
Sustainability 2025, 17(3), 1144; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17031144 - 30 Jan 2025
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 2697
Abstract
This study develops a Green Vehicle Routing Problem (GVRP) model to address key logistics challenges, including time windows, simultaneous pickup and delivery, heterogeneous vehicle fleets, and multiple trip allocations. The model incorporates emissions-related costs, such as carbon taxes, to encourage sustainable supply chain [...] Read more.
This study develops a Green Vehicle Routing Problem (GVRP) model to address key logistics challenges, including time windows, simultaneous pickup and delivery, heterogeneous vehicle fleets, and multiple trip allocations. The model incorporates emissions-related costs, such as carbon taxes, to encourage sustainable supply chain operations. Emissions are calculated based on the total shipment weight and the travel distance of each vehicle. The objective is to minimize operational costs while balancing economic efficiency and environmental sustainability. A Genetic Algorithm (GA) is applied to optimize vehicle routing and allocation, enhancing efficiency and reducing costs. A Liquid Petroleum Gas (LPG) distribution case study in Yogyakarta, Indonesia, validates the model’s effectiveness. The results show significant cost savings compared to current route planning methods, alongside a slight increase in carbon. A sensitivity analysis was conducted by testing the model with varying numbers of stations, revealing its robustness and the impact of the station density on the solution quality. By integrating carbon taxes and detailed emission calculations into its objective function, the GVRP model offers a practical solution for real-world logistics challenges. This study provides valuable insights for achieving cost-effective operations while advancing green supply chain practices. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Environmental Sustainability and Applications)
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28 pages, 6375 KiB  
Article
Optimization of Fresh Food Logistics Routes for Heterogeneous Fleets in Segmented Transshipment Mode
by Haoqing Sun, Manhui He, Yanbing Gai and Jinghao Cao
Mathematics 2024, 12(23), 3831; https://doi.org/10.3390/math12233831 - 4 Dec 2024
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1721
Abstract
To address the challenges of environmental impact and distribution efficiency in fresh food logistics, a segmented transshipment model involving the coordinated operation of gasoline and electric vehicles is proposed. The model minimizes total distribution costs by considering transportation, refrigeration, product damage, carbon emissions, [...] Read more.
To address the challenges of environmental impact and distribution efficiency in fresh food logistics, a segmented transshipment model involving the coordinated operation of gasoline and electric vehicles is proposed. The model minimizes total distribution costs by considering transportation, refrigeration, product damage, carbon emissions, and penalties for time window violations. The k-means++ clustering algorithm is used to determine transshipment points, while an improved adaptive multi-objective ant colony optimization algorithm (IAMACO) is employed to optimize the delivery routes for the heterogeneous fleet. The case study results show that compared to the traditional model, the segmented transshipment mode reduces the total distribution costs, carbon emissions, and time window penalty costs by 22.13%, 28.32%, and 41.08%, respectively, providing a viable solution for fresh food logistics companies to achieve sustainable and efficient growth. Full article
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28 pages, 2383 KiB  
Article
Optimization of Truck–Cargo Matching for the LTL Logistics Hub Based on Three-Dimensional Pallet Loading
by Xinghan Chen, Weilin Tang, Yuzhilin Hai, Maoxiang Lang, Yuying Liu and Shiqi Li
Mathematics 2024, 12(21), 3336; https://doi.org/10.3390/math12213336 - 24 Oct 2024
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1718
Abstract
This study investigates the truck–cargo matching problem in less-than-truckload (LTL) logistics hubs, focusing on optimizing the three-dimensional loading of goods onto standardized pallets and assigning these loaded pallets to a fleet of heterogeneous vehicles. A two-stage hybrid heuristic algorithm is proposed to solve [...] Read more.
This study investigates the truck–cargo matching problem in less-than-truckload (LTL) logistics hubs, focusing on optimizing the three-dimensional loading of goods onto standardized pallets and assigning these loaded pallets to a fleet of heterogeneous vehicles. A two-stage hybrid heuristic algorithm is proposed to solve this complex logistics challenge. In the first stage, a tree search algorithm based on residual space is developed to determine the optimal layout for the 3D loading of cargo onto pallets. In the second stage, a heuristic online truck–cargo matching algorithm is introduced to allocate loaded pallets to trucks while optimizing the number of trucks used and minimizing transportation costs. The algorithm operates within a rolling time horizon, allowing it to dynamically handle real-time order arrivals and time window constraints. Numerical experiments demonstrate that the proposed method achieves high pallet loading efficiency (close to 90%), near-optimal truck utilization (nearly 95%), and significant cost reductions, making it a practical solution for real-world LTL logistics operations. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Mathematical Programming, Optimization and Operations Research)
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20 pages, 6627 KiB  
Article
Comprehensive Task Optimization Architecture for Urban UAV-Based Intelligent Transportation System
by Marco Rinaldi and Stefano Primatesta
Drones 2024, 8(9), 473; https://doi.org/10.3390/drones8090473 - 10 Sep 2024
Cited by 6 | Viewed by 2311
Abstract
This paper tackles the problem of resource sharing and dynamic task assignment in a task scheduling architecture designed to enable a persistent, safe, and energy-efficient Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) based on multi-rotor Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs). The addressed task allocation problem consists of [...] Read more.
This paper tackles the problem of resource sharing and dynamic task assignment in a task scheduling architecture designed to enable a persistent, safe, and energy-efficient Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) based on multi-rotor Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs). The addressed task allocation problem consists of heterogenous pick-up and delivery tasks with time deadline constraints to be allocated to a heterogenous fleet of UAVs in an urban operational area. The proposed architecture is distributed among the UAVs and inspired by market-based allocation algorithms. By exploiting a multi-auctioneer behavior for allocating both delivery tasks and re-charge tasks, the fleet of UAVs is able to (i) self-balance the utilization of each drone, (ii) assign dynamic tasks with high priority within each round of the allocation process, (iii) minimize the estimated energy consumption related to the completion of the task set, and (iv) minimize the impact of re-charge tasks on the delivery process. A risk-aware path planner sampling a 2D risk map of the operational area is included in the allocation architecture to demonstrate the feasibility of deployment in urban environments. Thanks to the message exchange redundancy, the proposed multi-auctioneer architecture features improved robustness with respect to lossy communication scenarios. Simulation results based on Monte Carlo campaigns corroborate the validity of the approach. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Unmanned Traffic Management Systems)
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15 pages, 2453 KiB  
Article
Route Optimization for Open Vehicle Routing Problem (OVRP): A Mathematical and Solution Approach
by Diego Gasset, Felipe Paillalef, Sebastián Payacán, Gustavo Gatica, Germán Herrera-Vidal, Rodrigo Linfati and Jairo R. Coronado-Hernández
Appl. Sci. 2024, 14(16), 6931; https://doi.org/10.3390/app14166931 - 8 Aug 2024
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 4786
Abstract
In the everchanging landscape of human mobility and commerce, efficient route planning has become paramount. This paper addresses the open vehicle routing problem (OVRP), a major logistical challenge in route optimization for a fleet of vehicles serving geographically dispersed customers. Using a heuristic [...] Read more.
In the everchanging landscape of human mobility and commerce, efficient route planning has become paramount. This paper addresses the open vehicle routing problem (OVRP), a major logistical challenge in route optimization for a fleet of vehicles serving geographically dispersed customers. Using a heuristic approach, we explore the complexities of OVRP, comparing the results with advanced optimization methods. This study not only highlights the effectiveness of mathematical modeling, but also explores the practicality of heuristic algorithms such as Greedy, Nearest Neighbor and 2-opt to provide quality solutions. The findings highlight the nuanced interplay between solution quality and computational efficiency, providing valuable insights for addressing real-world logistics challenges. Recommendations delve into optimization opportunities and the integration of emerging technologies, ensuring adaptable solutions to the intricate the problem of open vehicle routing. Full article
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19 pages, 895 KiB  
Article
Optimizing Unmanned Air–Ground Vehicle Maneuvers Using Nonlinear Model Predictive Control and Moving Horizon Estimation
by Alessandra Elisa Sindi Morando, Alessandro Bozzi, Simone Graffione, Roberto Sacile and Enrico Zero
Automation 2024, 5(3), 324-342; https://doi.org/10.3390/automation5030020 - 30 Jul 2024
Viewed by 1920
Abstract
In this paper, Nonlinear Model Predictive Control (NMPC) and Nonlinear Moving Horizon Estimator (NMHE) are combined to control, in a distributed way, a heterogeneous fleet composed of a steering car and a quadcopter. In particular, the ground vehicle in the role of the [...] Read more.
In this paper, Nonlinear Model Predictive Control (NMPC) and Nonlinear Moving Horizon Estimator (NMHE) are combined to control, in a distributed way, a heterogeneous fleet composed of a steering car and a quadcopter. In particular, the ground vehicle in the role of the leader communicates its one-step future position to the drone, which keeps the formation along the desired trajectory. Inequality constraints are introduced in a switching control fashion to the leader’s NMPC formulation to avoid obstacles. In the literature, few works using NMPC and NMHE deal with these two vehicles together. Moreover, the presented scheme can tackle noisy, partial, and missing measurements of the agents’ state. Results show that the ground car can avoid detected obstacles, keeping the tracking errors of both robots in the order of a few centimeters, thanks to trustworthy NMHE estimates and NMPC predictions. Full article
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21 pages, 5296 KiB  
Article
Solving Dynamic Full-Truckload Vehicle Routing Problem Using an Agent-Based Approach
by Selin Çabuk and Rızvan Erol
Mathematics 2024, 12(13), 2138; https://doi.org/10.3390/math12132138 - 7 Jul 2024
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 2202
Abstract
In today’s complex and dynamic transportation networks, increasing energy costs and adverse environmental impacts necessitate the efficient transport of goods or raw materials across a network to minimize all related costs through vehicle assignment and routing decisions. Vehicle routing problems under dynamic and [...] Read more.
In today’s complex and dynamic transportation networks, increasing energy costs and adverse environmental impacts necessitate the efficient transport of goods or raw materials across a network to minimize all related costs through vehicle assignment and routing decisions. Vehicle routing problems under dynamic and stochastic conditions are known to be very challenging in both mathematical modeling and computational complexity. In this study, a special variant of the full-truckload vehicle assignment and routing problem was investigated. First, a detailed analysis of the processes in a liquid transportation logistics firm with a large fleet of tanker trucks was conducted. Then, a new original problem with distinctive features compared with similar studies in the literature was formulated, including pickup/delivery time windows, nodes with different functions (pickup/delivery, washing facilities, and parking), a heterogeneous truck fleet, multiple trips per truck, multiple trailer types, multiple freight types, and setup times between changing freight types. This dynamic optimization problem was solved using an intelligent multi-agent model with agent designs that run on vehicle assignment and routing algorithms. To assess the performance of the proposed approach under varying environmental conditions (e.g., congestion factors and the ratio of orders with multiple trips) and different algorithmic parameter levels (e.g., the latest response time to orders and activating the interchange of trip assignments between vehicles), a detailed scenario analysis was conducted based on a set of designed simulation experiments. The simulation results indicate that the proposed dynamic approach is capable of providing good and efficient solutions in response to dynamic conditions. Furthermore, using longer latest response times and activating the interchange mechanism have significant positive impacts on the relevant costs, profitability, ratios of loaded trips over the total distance traveled, and the acceptance ratios of customer orders. Full article
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16 pages, 3086 KiB  
Article
Managing Uncertainty in Urban Road Traffic Emissions Associated with Vehicle Fleet Composition: From the Perspective of Spatiotemporal Sampling Coverage
by Yufeng Cai, Xuelan Zeng, Weichi Li, Song He, Zedong Feng and Zihang Tan
Sustainability 2024, 16(8), 3504; https://doi.org/10.3390/su16083504 - 22 Apr 2024
Cited by 5 | Viewed by 1781
Abstract
With pronounced differences in emission factors among vehicle types and marked spatiotemporal heterogeneity of vehicle fleet composition, extrapolating fleet composition from insufficient sample hour periods and road segments will introduce significant uncertainty in calculating regional daily road traffic emissions. We proposed a framework [...] Read more.
With pronounced differences in emission factors among vehicle types and marked spatiotemporal heterogeneity of vehicle fleet composition, extrapolating fleet composition from insufficient sample hour periods and road segments will introduce significant uncertainty in calculating regional daily road traffic emissions. We proposed a framework to manage uncertainty in urban road traffic emissions associated with vehicle fleet composition from the perspective of spatiotemporal sampling coverage. Initially, the respective relationships of the temporal and spatial sampling coverages of fleet composition with the resulting regional daily road traffic emission uncertainties were determined, using the core area of a typical small and medium-sized city in China with the widely-used International Vehicle Emissions (IVE) model as example. Subsequently, function models were developed to explore the determination of the spatiotemporal sampling coverage of fleet composition. These results of emission uncertainties and function models implied that gases with larger emission factor discrepancies between vehicle types, such as NOx, required greater spatiotemporal sampling coverage than gases with smaller discrepancies, such as CO2, under the same uncertainties target. Therefore, sampling efforts should be prioritized for gases with larger emission factor discrepancies. Additionally, increasing sampling coverage in one dimension (either spatial or temporal) can reduce the minimum required coverage in the other dimension. To further reduce uncertainty, enhancing both spatial and temporal sampling coverage of the fleet composition is more effective than enhancing one type of coverage alone. The framework and results proposed in this work can reduce the uncertainty of emissions calculations caused by insufficient sampling coverage and contribute to more accurate transport emission reduction policy formulation. Full article
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