Search Results (673)

Accurate and non-destructive monitoring of leaf chlorophyll content (LCC) is essential for assessing crop photosynthetic activity and nitrogen status in precision agriculture. This study introduces a phenology-aware machine learning framework that combines hyperspectral reflectance data with various regression models to estimate leaf chlorophyll content (LCC) in cotton at six key reproductive stages. Field experiments utilized synchronized spectral and SPAD measurements, incorporating spectral transformations—such as vegetation indices (VIs), first-order derivatives, and trilateration edge parameters (TEPs, a new set of geometric metrics for red-edge characterization)—for evaluation. Five regression approaches were evaluated, including univariate and multivariate linear models, along with three machine learning algorithms: Random Forest, K-Nearest Neighbor, and Support Vector Regression. Random Forest consistently outperformed the other models, achieving the highest R² (0.85) and the lowest RMSE (4.1) during the bud stage. Notably, the optimal prediction accuracy was achieved with fewer than five spectral features. The proposed framework demonstrates the potential for scalable, stage-specific monitoring of chlorophyll dynamics and offers valuable insights for large-scale crop management applications. Full article

Acacia mearnsii De Wild. has been introduced to over 150 countries for its economic value. However, it easily escapes from plantations and establishes monospecific stands across plains, hills, valleys, and riparian habitats, including protected areas such as national parks and forest reserves. Due to its negative ecological impact, A. mearnsii has been listed among the world’s 100 worst invasive alien species. This species exhibits rapid stem growth in its sapling stage and reaches reproductive maturity early. It produces a large quantity of long-lived seeds, establishing a substantial seed bank. A. mearnsii can grow in different environmental conditions and tolerates various adverse conditions, such as low temperatures and drought. Its invasive populations are unlikely to be seriously damaged by herbivores and pathogens. Additionally, A. mearnsii exhibits allelopathic activity, though its ecological significance remains unclear. These characteristics of A. mearnsii may contribute to its expansion in introduced ranges. The presence of A. mearnsii affects abiotic processes in ecosystems by reducing water availability, increasing the risk of soil erosion and flooding, altering soil chemical composition, and obstructing solar light irradiation. The invasion negatively affects biotic processes as well, reducing the diversity and abundance of native plants and arthropods, including protective species. Eradicating invasive populations of A. mearnsii requires an integrated, long-term management approach based on an understanding of its invasive mechanisms. Early detection of invasive populations and the promotion of public awareness about their impact are also important. More attention must be given to its invasive traits because it easily escapes from cultivation. Full article

Slow-release nitrogen fertilizers enhance crop production and reduce environmental pollution, but their slow nitrogen release may cause insufficient nitrogen supply in the early stages of crop growth. Mixed nitrogen fertilization (MNF), combining slow-release nitrogen fertilizer with urea, is an effective way to increase yield and income and improve nitrogen fertilizer efficiency. This study used urea alone (Urea) and slow-release nitrogen fertilizer alone (C/SRF) as controls and employed meta-analysis and a random forest model to assess MNF effects on crop yield and nitrogen partial factor productivity (PFPN), and to identify key influencing factors. Results showed that compared with urea, MNF increased crop yield by 7.42% and PFPN by 8.20%, with higher improvement rates in Northwest China, regions with an average annual temperature ≤ 20 °C, and elevations of 750–1050 m; in soils with a pH of 5.5–6.5, where 150–240 kg·ha⁻¹ nitrogen with 25–35% content and an 80–100 day release period was applied, and the blending ratio was ≥0.3; and when planting rapeseed, maize, and cotton for 1–2 years. The top three influencing factors were crop type, nitrogen rate, and soil pH. Compared with C/SRF, MNF increased crop yield by 2.44% and had a non-significant increase in PFPN, with higher improvement rates in Northwest China, regions with an average annual temperature ≤ 5 °C, average annual precipitation ≤ 400 mm, and elevations of 300–900 m; in sandy soils with pH > 7.5, where 150–270 kg·ha⁻¹ nitrogen with 25–30% content and a 40–80 day release period was applied, and the blending ratio was 0.4–0.7; and when planting potatoes and rapeseed for 3 years. The top three influencing factors were nitrogen rate, crop type, and average annual precipitation. In conclusion, MNF should comprehensively consider crops, regions, soil, and management. This study provides a scientific basis for optimizing slow-release nitrogen fertilizers and promoting the large-scale application of MNF in farmland. Full article

Climate change is generally having a negative impact on forest health by inducing drought stress and favouring the spread of pest species, such as bark beetles. The terrestrial monitoring of bark beetle infestation is very time-consuming, especially in the early stages, and therefore not feasible for extensive areas, emphasising the need for a comprehensive approach based on remote sensing. Although numerous studies have researched the use of optical data for this task, radar data remains comparatively underexplored. Therefore, this study uses the weekly and cloud-free acquisitions of Sentinel-1 in the Bavarian Forest National Park. Time series analysis within a Multi-SAR framework using Random Forest enables the monitoring of moisture content loss and, consequently, the assessment of tree vitality, which is crucial for the detection of stress conditions conducive to bark beetle outbreaks. High accuracies are achieved in predicting future bark beetle infestation (R² of 0.83–0.89). These results demonstrate that forest vitality trends ranging from healthy to bark beetle-affected states can be mapped, supporting early intervention strategies. The standard deviation of 0.44 to 0.76 years indicates that the model deviates on average by half a year, mainly due to the uncertainty in the reference data. This temporal uncertainty is acceptable, as half a year provides a sufficient window to identify stressed forest areas and implement targeted management actions before bark beetle damage occurs. The successful application of this technique to extensive test sites in the state of North Rhine-Westphalia proves its transferability. For the first time, the results clearly demonstrate the expected relationship between radar backscatter expressed in the Kennaugh elements K₀ and K₁ and bark beetle infestation, thereby providing an opportunity for the continuous and cost-effective monitoring of forest health from space. Full article

The ongoing decade of UN restoration matches with the European goal of bringing nature back into our lives, including in urban systems, and Nature Restoration Regulation. Within such a framework, this work is aimed at highlighting the ecological rationale and strategic value of an NRRP measure devoted to forest restoration in Italian Metropolitan Cities, and at assessing respective preliminary results. Therefore, the measure’s overarching goal (not to create urban parks or gardens, but activate forest recovery), geographic extent and scope (over 4000 ha and more than 4 million planted trees and shrubs across the country), plantation model (mandatory use of native species consistent with local potential vegetation, density of 1000 seedlings per ha, use of at least four tree and four shrub species in each project, with a minimum proportion of 70% for trees, certified provenance for reproductive material), and compulsory management activities (maintenance and replacement of any dead plants for at least five years), are herein shown and explained under an ecological perspective. Current implementation outcomes were thus assessed in terms of coherence and expected biodiversity benefits, especially with respect to ecological and biogeographic consistency of planted forests, representativity in relation to national and European plant diversity, biogeographic interest and conservation concern of adopted plants, and potential contribution to the EU Habitats Directive. Compliance with international strategic goals and normative rules, along with recognizable advantages of the measure and limitations to be solved, are finally discussed. In conclusion, the forestation model proposed for the Italian Metropolitan Cities proved to be fully applicable in its ecological rationale, with expected benefits in terms of biodiversity support plainly met, and even exceeded, at the current stage of implementation, especially in terms of the contribution to protected habitats. These promising preliminary results allow the model to be recognized at the international level as a good practice that may help achieve protection targets and sustainable development goals within and beyond urban systems. Full article

Water infiltration into soil is a key process in regulating the hydrological cycle and sustaining ecosystem services in high-Andean environments. However, limited information is available regarding its dynamics in these ecosystems. This study evaluated the influence of three types of vegetation cover and soil properties on water infiltration in a high-Andean environment. A double-ring infiltrometer, the Water Drop Penetration Time (WDPT, s) method, and laboratory physicochemical characterization were employed. Soils under forest cover exhibited significantly higher quasi-steady infiltration rates (i_s, 0.248 ± 0.028 cm·min⁻¹) compared to grazing areas (0.051 ± 0.016 cm·min⁻¹) and agricultural lands (0.032 ± 0.013 cm·min⁻¹). Soil organic matter content was positively correlated with i_s. The modified Kostiakov infiltration model provided the best overall fit, while the Horton model better described infiltration rates approaching i_s. Sand and clay fractions, along with K⁺, Ca²⁺, and Mg²⁺, were particularly significant during the soil’s wet stages. In drier stages, increased Na⁺ concentrations and decreased silt content were associated with higher water repellency. Based on WDPT, agricultural soils exhibited persistent hydrophilic behavior even after drying (median [IQR] from 0.61 [0.38] s to 1.24 [0.46] s), whereas forest (from 2.84 [3.73] s to 3.53 [24.17] s) and grazing soils (from 4.37 [1.95] s to 19.83 [109.33] s) transitioned to weakly or moderately hydrophobic patterns. These findings demonstrate that native Andean forest soils exhibit a higher infiltration capacity than soils under anthropogenic management (agriculture and grazing), highlighting the need to conserve and restore native vegetation cover to strengthen water resilience and mitigate the impacts of land-use change. Full article

Background: Overcrowded emergency departments (EDs) create significant challenges for patient management and hospital efficiency. In response, Amiens Picardy University Hospital (APUH) developed the “Prediction of the Patient Pathway in the Emergency Department” (3P-U) model to enhance patient flow management. Objectives: To develop and clinically validate an explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) model for hospital admission predictions, using structured triage data, and demonstrate its real-world applicability in the ED setting. Methods: Our retrospective, single-center study involved 351,019 patients consulting in APUH’s EDs between 2015 and 2018. Various models (including a cross-validation artificial neural network (ANN), a k-nearest neighbors (KNN) model, a logistic regression (LR) model, and a random forest (RF) model) were trained and assessed for performance with regard to the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). The best model was validated internally with a test set, and the F1 score was used to determine the best threshold for recall, precision, and accuracy. XAI techniques, such as Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) and partial dependence plots (PDP) were employed, and the clinical explanations were evaluated by emergency physicians. Results: The ANN gave the best performance during the training stage, with an AUROC of 83.1% (SD: 0.2%) for the test set; it surpassed the RF (AUROC: 71.6%, SD: 0.1%), KNN (AUROC: 67.2%, SD: 0.2%), and LR (AUROC: 71.5%, SD: 0.2%) models. In an internal validation, the ANN’s AUROC was 83.2%. The best F1 score (0.67) determined that 0.35 was the optimal threshold; the corresponding recall, precision, and accuracy were 75.7%, 59.7%, and 75.3%, respectively. The SHAP and PDP XAI techniques (as assessed by emergency physicians) highlighted patient age, heart rate, and presentation with multiple injuries as the features that most specifically influenced the admission from the ED to a hospital ward. These insights are being used in bed allocation and patient prioritization, directly improving ED operations. Conclusions: The 3P-U model demonstrates practical utility by reducing ED crowding and enhancing decision-making processes at APUH. Its transparency and physician validation foster trust, facilitating its adoption in clinical practice and offering a replicable framework for other hospitals to optimize patient flow. Full article

Banana Fusarium wilt (BFW, also known as Panama disease) is a highly infectious and destructive disease that threatens global banana production, requiring early recognition for timely prevention and control. Current monitoring methods primarily rely on continuous variable features—such as band reflectances (BRs) and vegetation indices (VIs)—collectively referred to as basic features (BFs)—which are prone to noise during the early stages of infection and struggle to capture subtle spectral variations, thus limiting the recognition accuracy. To address this limitation, this study proposes a discretized enhanced feature (EF) construction method, the automated kernel density segmentation-based feature construction algorithm (AutoKDFC). By analyzing the differences in the kernel density distributions between healthy and diseased samples, the AutoKDFC automatically determines the optimal segmentation threshold, converting continuous BFs into binary features with higher discriminative power for early-stage recognition. Using UAV-based multi-spectral imagery, BFW recognition models are developed and tested with the random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and Gaussian naïve Bayes (GNB) algorithms. The results show that EFs exhibit significantly stronger correlations with BFW’s presence than original BFs. Feature importance analysis via RF further confirms that EFs contribute more to the model performance, with VI-derived features outperforming BR-based ones. The integration of EFs results in average performance gains of 0.88%, 2.61%, and 3.07% for RF, SVM, and GNB, respectively, with SVM achieving the best performance, averaging over 90%. Additionally, the generated BFW distribution map closely aligns with ground observations and captures spectral changes linked to disease progression, validating the method’s practical utility. Overall, the proposed AutoKDFC method demonstrates high effectiveness and generalizability for BFW recognition. Its core concept of “automatic feature enhancement” has strong potential for broader applications in crop disease monitoring and supports the development of intelligent early warning systems in plant health management. Full article

Accurate estimation aboveground biomass (AGB) in winter wheat is crucial for yield assessment but remains challenging to achieve non-destructively. Unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV)-based remote sensing offers a promising solution at the plot level. Traditional field sampling methods, such as random plant selection or full-quadrat harvesting, are labor intensive and may introduce substantial errors compared to the canopy-level estimates obtained from UAV imagery. This study proposes a novel method using Fractional Vegetation Coverage (FVC) to adjust field-sampled AGB to per-plant biomass, enhancing the accuracy of AGB estimation using UAV imagery. Correlation analysis and Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) were employed for feature selection, and estimation models for leaf, spike, stem, and total AGB were constructed using Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Neural Network (NN) models. The aim was to evaluate the performance of multimodal data in estimating winter wheat leaves, spikes, stems, and total AGB. Results demonstrated that (1) FVC-adjusted per-plant biomass significantly improved correlations with most indicators, particularly during the filling stage, when the correlation between leaf biomass and NDVI increased by 56.1%; (2) RF and NN models outperformed SVM, with the optimal accuracies being R² = 0.709, RMSE = 0.114 g for RF, R² = 0.66, RMSE = 0.08 g for NN, and R² = 0.557, RMSE = 0.117 g for SVM. Notably, the RF model achieved the highest prediction accuracy for leaf biomass during the flowering stage (R² = 0.709, RMSE = 0.114); (3) among different water treatments, the R² values of water and drought treatments were higher 0.723 and 0.742, respectively, indicating strong adaptability. This study provides an economically effective method for monitoring winter wheat growth in the field, contributing to improved agricultural productivity and fertilization management. Full article

In this study, we comprehensively analyzed material consumption (fuel, hydraulic oil, lubricants, and AdBlue fluid) and estimated carbon dioxide emissions during logging operations. This study was carried out in the northeastern part of Poland. Four harvesters and four forwarders representing two manufacturers (John Deere-Deere & Co., Moline, USA, and Komatsu Forest AB, Umeå, Sweden) were analyzed to compare their operational efficiency and constructional influences on overall operating costs. Due to differences in engine emission standards, approximate greenhouse gas emissions were estimated. The results indicate that harvesters equipped with Stage V engines have lower fuel consumption, while large forwarders use more consumables than small ones per hour and cubic meter of harvested and extracted timber. A strong positive correlation was observed between total machine time and fuel consumption (r = 0.81), as well as between machine time and total volume of timber harvested (r = 0.72). Older and larger machines showed about 40% higher combustion per unit of wood processed. Newer machines meeting higher emission standards (Stage V) generally achieved lower CO₂ and other GHG emissions compared to older models. Machines with Stage V engines emitted about 2.07 kg CO₂ per processing of 1 m³ of wood, while machines with older engine types emitted as much as 4.35 kg CO₂ per 1 m³—roughly half as much. These differences are even more pronounced in the context of nitrogen oxide (NO_x) emissions: the estimated NO_x emissions for the older engine types were as high as ~85 g per m³, while those for Stage V engines were only about 5 g per m³ of harvested wood. Continuing the study would need to expand the number of machines analyzed, as well as acquire more detailed performance data on individual operators. A tool that could make this possible would be fleet monitoring services offered by the manufacturers of the surveyed harvesters and forwards, such as Smart Forestry or Timber Manager. Full article

The accurate early-stage estimation of environmental load (EL) and construction cost (CC) in road infrastructure projects remains a significant challenge, constrained by limited data and the complexity of construction activities. To address this, our study proposes a machine learning-based predictive framework utilizing artificial neural networks (ANNs) and deep neural networks (DNNs), enhanced by autoencoder-driven feature selection. A structured dataset of 150 completed national road projects in South Korea was compiled, covering both planning and design phases. The database focused on 19 high-impact sub-work types to reduce noise and improve prediction precision. A hybrid imputation approach—combining mean substitution with random forest regression—was applied to handle 4.47% missing data in the design-phase inputs, reducing variance by up to 5% and improving data stability. Dimensionality reduction via autoencoder retained 16 core variables, preserving 97% of explanatory power while minimizing redundancy. ANN models benefited from cross-validation and hyperparameter tuning, achieving consistent performance across training and validation sets without overfitting (MSE = 0.06, RMSE = 0.24). The optimal ANN yielded average error rates of 29.8% for EL and 21.0% for CC at the design stage. DNN models, with their deeper architectures and dropout regularization, further improved performance—achieving 27.1% (EL) and 17.0% (CC) average error rates at the planning stage and 24.0% (EL) and 14.6% (CC) at the design stage. These results met all predefined accuracy thresholds, underscoring the DNN’s advantage in handling complex, high-variance data while the ANN excelled in structured cost prediction. Overall, the synergy between deep learning and autoencoder-based feature selection offers a scalable and data-informed approach for enhancing early-stage environmental and economic assessments in road infrastructure planning—supporting more sustainable and efficient project management. Full article

Accurate estimation of rice leaf nitrogen content (LNC) is essential for optimizing nitrogen management in precision agriculture. However, challenges such as spectral saturation and canopy structural variations across different growth stages complicate this task. This study proposes a robust framework for LNC estimation that integrates both spectral and texture features extracted from UAV-based multispectral imagery through the development of novel Spectral–Texture Fusion Indices (STFIs). Field data were collected under nitrogen gradient treatments across three critical growth stages: heading, early filling, and late filling. A total of 18 vegetation indices (VIs), 40 texture features (TFs), and 27 STFIs were derived from UAV images. To optimize the feature set, a two-stage feature selection strategy was employed, combining Pearson correlation analysis with model-specific embedded selection methods: Recursive Feature Elimination with Cross-Validation (RFECV) for Random Forest (RF) and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and Sequential Forward Selection (SFS) for Support Vector Regression (SVR) and Deep Neural Networks (DNNs). The models—RFECV-RF, RFECV-XGBoost, SFS-SVR, and SFS-DNN—were evaluated using four feature configurations. The SFS-DNN model with STFIs achieved the highest prediction accuracy (R² = 0.874, RMSE = 2.621 mg/g). SHAP analysis revealed the significant contribution of STFIs to model predictions, underscoring the effectiveness of integrating spectral and texture information. The proposed STFI-based framework demonstrates strong generalization across phenological stages and offers a scalable, interpretable approach for UAV-based nitrogen monitoring in rice production systems. Full article

Accurate prediction of Air Quality Index (AQI) concentrations remains a critical challenge in environmental monitoring and public health management due to the complex nonlinear relationships among multiple atmospheric factors. To address this challenge, we propose a novel prediction model that integrates an adaptive-weight particle swarm optimization (AWPSO) algorithm with a back propagation neural network (BPNN). First, the random forest (RF) algorithm is used to scree the influencing factors of AQI concentration. Second, the inertia weights and learning factors of the standard PSO are improved to ensure the global search ability exhibited by the algorithm in the early stage and the ability to rapidly obtain the optimal solution in the later stage; we also introduce an adaptive variation algorithm in the particle search process to prevent the particles from being caught in local optima. Finally, the BPNN is optimized using the AWPSO algorithm, and the final values of the optimized particle iterations serve as the connection weights and thresholds of the BPNN. The experimental results show that the RFAWPSO-BP model reduces the root mean square error and mean absolute error by 9.17 μg/m³, 5.7 μg/m³, 2.66 μg/m³; and 9.12 μg/m³, 5.7 μg/m³, 2.68 μg/m³ compared with the BP, PSO-BP, and AWPSO-BP models, respectively; furthermore, the goodness of fit of the proposed model was 14.8%, 6.1%, and 2.3% higher than that of the aforementioned models, respectively, demonstrating good prediction accuracy. Full article

Masting, or the synchronous and intermittent production of seeds, can have profound consequences for Tropical Montane Cloud Forest (TMCF) tree populations and the trophic webs that depend on their mass flowering and seeds. Over the past 80 years, the importance of Fagus mexicana Martínez (Mexican beech) masting has become apparent in terms of conservation and management, promoting regeneration, and conserving endangered tree species, as well as the conscientious development of edible beechnuts as a non-timber forest product. The establishment of the relict-endemic Mexican beech is unknown, and several microenvironmental factors could influence natural regeneration. Thus, this study was conducted in two well-preserved Mexican beech forests to assess the influence of light incidence and soil moisture on the natural germination and seedling establishment of beeches. During two masting years (2017 and 2024), we assessed in situ beechnut germination and establishment. We tested the effect of the microenvironment of the oldest beeches on beechnut germination and seedling establishment. Our study highlights the complexity of the microenvironment of old beeches influencing the early stages of establishment and provides insights into possible conservation actions aimed at mitigating the impact of environmental change and humans. Full article

Potassium (K), a critical macronutrient for the growth and development of Korla fragrant pear (Pyrus sinkiangensis Yu), plays a pivotal regulatory role in sugar-acid metabolism. Furthermore, K exhibits a highly specific response in near-infrared (NIR) spectroscopy compared to elements such as nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P). Given its fundamental impact on fruit quality parameters, the development of rapid and non-destructive techniques for K determination is of significant importance for precision fertilization management. By measuring leaf potassium content at the fruit setting, expansion, and maturity stages (decreasing from 1.60% at fruit setting to 1.14% at maturity), this study reveals its dynamic change pattern and establishes a high-precision prediction model by combining near-infrared spectroscopy (NIRS) with machine learning algorithms. “Near-infrared spectroscopy coupled with machine learning can enable accurate, non-destructive monitoring of potassium dynamics in Korla pear leaves, with prediction accuracy (R²) exceeding 0.86 under field conditions.” We systematically collected a total of 9000 leaf samples from Korla fragrant pear orchards and acquired spectral data using a benchtop near-infrared spectrometer. After preprocessing and feature extraction, we determined the optimal modeling method for prediction accuracy through comparative analysis of multiple models. Multiplicative scatter correction (MSC) and first derivative (FD) are synergistically employed for preprocessing to eliminate scattering interference and enhance the resolution of characteristic peaks. Competitive adaptive reweighted sampling (CARS) is then utilized to screen five potassium-sensitive bands, specifically in the regions of 4003.5–4034.35 nm, 4458.62–4562.75 nm, and 5145.15–5249.29 nm, among others, which are associated with O-H stretching vibration and changes in water status. A comparison between random forest (RF) and BP neural network indicates that the MSC + FD–CARS–BP model exhibits the optimal performance, achieving coefficients of determination (R²) of 0.96% and 0.86% for the training and validation sets, respectively, root mean square errors (RMSE) of 0.098% and 0.103%, a residual predictive deviation (RPD) greater than 3, and a ratio of performance to interquartile range (RPIQ) of 4.22. Parameter optimization revealed that the BPNN model achieved optimal stability with 10 neurons in the hidden layer. The model facilitates rapid and non-destructive detection of leaf potassium content throughout the entire growth period of Korla fragrant pears, supporting precision fertilization in orchards. Moreover, it elucidates the physiological mechanism by which potassium influences spectral response through the regulation of water metabolism. Full article