Search Results (10)

Thamnidium elegans and Mortierella alpina are two oleaginous fungi that belong to Mucoromycota that synthesize polyunsaturated fatty acids, which are credited with multiple health benefits and possible anticancer properties. These fungi were cultivated on culture media, with glucose or glycerol as a carbon source. After extracting the lipids, we transformed them into fatty acid lithium salts (FALSs), which are water-soluble and absorbable mammalian cells, including DU-145 and PC-3 cancer cells. The two cell lines, both long-established prostate cancer models, were treated with FALSs and indicated increased susceptibility to the lipid derivatives. The viability and proliferation rates were significantly reduced, as well as their migratory capabilities, which were significantly impaired compared to olive oil-derived FALS, which was used as a control substance. We conclude that the FALS derivatives of microbial lipids from these organisms exhibit anticancer effects, by suppressing the proliferation and migration of human prostate cancer cell lines. Full article

Background: The modern credit card system is critical, but it has not been fully examined to meet the unique financial needs of a constantly changing number of manufacturers and importers. Methods: An intelligent credit card system integrates the features of artificial intelligence and blockchain technology. The decentralized and unchangeable ledger of the Blockchain technology significantly reduces the risk of fraud while maintaining real-time transaction recording. On the other hand, the capabilities of AI-driven credit assessment algorithms enable more precise, effective, and customized credit choices that are specifically tailored to meet the unique financial profiles of manufacturers and importers. Results: Several metrics, including predictive credit risk, fraud detection, credit assessment accuracy, default rate comparison, loan approval rate comparison, and other important metrics affecting the credit card system, have been investigated to determine the effectiveness of modern credit card systems when using Blockchain technology and AI. Conclusion: The study of developing an intelligent scoring system for crediting manufacturers and importers of goods in Industry 4.0 can be enhanced by incorporating user adoption. The changing legislation and increasing security threats necessitate ongoing monitoring. Scalability difficulties can be handled by detailed planning that focuses on integration, data migration, and change management. The research may potentially increase operational efficiency in the manufacturing and importing industries. Full article

In this paper, we propose an extended credit migration model with asymmetric fixed boundaries and multiple ratings, for a more precise depiction of credit changes in the real world. A model with three ratings is established and analyzed as an example, and then the results are generalized to a general multirating form model. We prepare the model meaningfully by arranging the asymmetric boundaries in a suitable order. A PDE system problem is deduced, and the existence and uniqueness of the solution for the problem are obtained using PDE techniques, which further ensure the rationality of the model. Due to the flexible configuration of asymmetric boundaries, the multirating model has various types of structures in the buffer zones where the credit rating keeps its original state. For instance, the two buffers in the three-rating model may be separated, connected, or intersected, as presented in the numerical results for different boundary parameters. Full article

Credit risk modeling by debt pricing has been a popular theme in both academia and practice since the subprime crisis. In this paper, we devote our study to the indifferent price of a corporate bond with credit risk involving both default risk and credit rating migration risk in an incomplete market. The firm’s stock and a financial index on the market as tradable assets are introduced to hedge the credit risk, and the bond price is determined by the indifference of investors’ utilities with and without holding the bond. The models are established under the structural framework and result in Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman (HJB) systems regarding utilities subject to default boundary and multiple migration boundaries. According to dynamic programming theory, closed-form solutions for pricing formulas are derived by implementing an inverted iteration program to overcome the joint effect of default and multiple credit rating migration. Therefore, with the derived explicit pricing formulas for the corporate bond, the models can be easily applied in practice, and investors can generate their strategies of hedging the credit risk by easily analyzing the impacts of the parameters on the bond price. Full article

The 2007–2008 financial crisis had severe consequences on the global economy and an intriguing question related to the crisis is whether structural breaks in the credit market can be detected. To address this issue, we chose firms’ credit rating transition dynamics as a proxy of the credit market and discuss how statistical process control tools can be used to surveil structural breaks in firms’ rating transition dynamics. After reviewing some commonly used Markovian models for firms’ rating transition dynamics, we present several surveillance rules for detecting changes in generators of firms’ rating migration matrices, including the likelihood ratio rule, the generalized likelihood ratio rule, the extended Shiryaev’s detection rule, and a Bayesian detection rule for piecewise homogeneous Markovian models. The effectiveness of these rules was analyzed on the basis of Monte Carlo simulations. We also provide a real example that used the surveillance rules to analyze and detect structural breaks in the monthly credit rating migration of U.S. firms from January 1986 to February 2017. Full article

The misestimation of rating transition probabilities may lead banks to lend money incoherently with borrowers’ default trajectory, causing both a deterioration in asset quality and higher system distress. Applying a Mover-Stayer model to determine the migration risk of small and medium enterprises, we find that banks are over-estimating their credit risk resulting in excessive regulatory capital. This has important macroeconomic implications due to the fact that holding a large capital buffer is costly for banks and this in turn influences their ability to lend in the wider economy. This conclusion is particularly true during economic downturns with the consequence of exacerbating the cyclicality in risk capital that therefore acts to aggravate economic conditions further. We also explain part of the misevaluation of borrowers and the actual relevant weight of non-performing loans within banking portfolios: some of the prudential requirements, at least as regards EMS credit portfolios, cannot be considered effective as envisaged by the regulators who developed the “new” regulation in response to the most recent crisis. The Mover-Stayers approach helps to reduce calculation inaccuracy when analyzing the historical movements of borrowers’ ratings and consequently, improves the efficacy of the resource allocation process and banking industry stability. Full article

In this paper, we consider a new corporate bond-pricing model with credit-rating migration risks and a stochastic interest rate. In the new model, the criterion for rating change is based on a predetermined ratio of the corporation’s total asset and debt. Moreover, the rating changes are allowed to happen a finite number of times during the life-span of the bond. The volatility of a corporate bond price may have a jump when a credit rating for the bond is changed. Moreover, the volatility of the bond is also assumed to depend on the interest rate. This new model improves the previous existing bond models in which the rating change is only allowed to occur once with an interest-dependent volatility or multi-ratings with constant interest rate. By using a Feynman-Kac formula, we obtain a free boundary problem. Global existence and uniqueness are established when the interest rate follows a Vasicek’s stochastic process. Calibration of the model parameters and some numerical calculations are shown. Full article

The informal constraints that arise from the national culture in which a firm resides have a pervasive impact on managerial decision making and corporate credit risk, which in turn impacts on corporate ratings and rating changes. In some cultures, firms are naturally predisposed to rating changes in a particular direction (downgrade or upgrade) while, in other cultures, firms are more likely to migrate from the current rating in either direction. This study employs a survival analysis framework to examine the effect of national culture on the probability of rating transitions of 5360 firms across 50 countries over the period 1985–2010. Firms located in long-term oriented cultures are less likely to be downgraded and, in some cases, more likely to be upgraded. Downgrades occur more often in strong uncertainty-avoiding countries and less often in large power distance (hierarchy) and embeddedness countries. There is some evidence that masculinity predisposes firms to more rating transitions. Studying culture helps enrich our understanding of corporate rating migrations, and helps develop predictive models of corporate rating changes across countries. Full article

Bangladesh is one of the most disaster prone countries in the world. Cyclone disasters that affect millions of people, destroy homesteads and livelihoods, and trigger migration are common in the coastal region of Bangladesh. The aim of this article is to understand how the coastal communities in Bangladesh deal with the continuous threats of cyclones. As a case study, this study investigates communities that were affected by the Cyclone Sidr in 2007 and Cyclone Aila in 2009, covering 1555 households from 45 coastal villages in the southwestern region of Bangladesh. The survey method incorporated household based questionnaire techniques and community based focus group discussions. The pre-event situation highlights that the affected communities were physically vulnerable due to the strategic locations of the cyclone shelters nearer to those with social supreme status and the location of their houses in relatively low-lying lands. The victims were also socio-economically vulnerable considering the high rate of illiteracy, larger family size, no ownership of land, and extreme poverty. They were mostly day labourers, farmers, and fishermen. Post-event situation reveals that the victims’ houses and livelihoods were severely damaged or destroyed. Most victims were forced to shift their occupations (e.g., from farmers to fishermen), and many became unemployed. They also became heavily dependent on micro-credits and other forms of loans. A significant number of people were displaced and migrated to large urban agglomerations in search of livelihoods to maintain their families back in the affected villages. Migration was primarily undertaken as an adaptation strategy. Full article

Credit risk measurement remains a critical field of top priority in banking finance, directly implicated in the recent global financial crisis. This paper examines the dynamic linkages between credit risk migration due to rating shifts and prevailing macroeconomic conditions, reflected in alternative business cycle states. An innovative empirical methodology applies to bank internal rating data, under different economic scenarios and investigates the implications of credit risk quality shifts for risk rating transition matrices. The empirical findings are useful and critical for banks to align to Basel guidelines in relation to core capital requirements and risk-weighted assets in the underlying loan portfolio. Full article