Search Results (402)

Previous studies reported the links between the COVID-19 incidence and weather factors, but few investigated their impact and timing on mortality, at a continental scale. We systematically investigated the temporal relationship of COVID-19 mortality in the European countries in the 1st year of pandemic (March–December 2020) with (i) solar insolation (W/${\mathrm{m}}^2$) at the ground level and (ii) objective sky cloudiness (as decimal cloud fraction), both derived from satellite measurements. We checked the correlations of these factors within a sliding window of two months for the whole period. Linear-mixed effect modeling revealed that overall, for the European countries (adjusted for latitude), COVID-19 mortality was substantially negatively correlated with solar insolation in the previous month (std. beta −0.69). Separately, mortality was significantly correlated with the cloudiness in both the previous month (std. beta +0.14) and the respective month (std. beta +0.32). This time gap of ∼1 month between the COVID-19 mortality and correlated weather factors was previously unreported. The long-term monitoring of these factors might be important for epidemiological policy decisions especially in the initial period of potential future pandemics when effective medical treatment might not yet be available. Full article

Aerosols are critical to the Earth’s atmosphere, influencing climate through interactions with solar radiation and clouds. However, accurately replicating the interactions between aerosols and clouds remains challenging due to the complexity of the physical processes involved. This study evaluated the performance of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) models in simulating aerosol optical depth (AOD), cloud fraction (CF), and liquid water path (LWP) by comparing them with satellite observations from MODIS and AMSR-E. Using 30 years of CMIP6 model simulations and available satellite observations during the satellite era, the results show that most CMIP6 models underestimate CF and LWP by 24.3% for LWP in the Northern Hemisphere. An assessment of spatial patterns indicates that models generally align more closely with observations in the Northern Hemisphere than in the Southern Hemisphere. Latitudinal profiles reveal that while most models capture the overall distribution patterns, they struggle to accurately reproduce observed magnitudes. A quantitative scoring system is applied to evaluate each model’s ability to replicate the spatial characteristics of multi-year mean aerosol and cloud properties. Overall, the findings suggest that CMIP6 models perform better in simulating AOD and CF than LWP, particularly in the Southern Hemisphere. Full article

Clouds modulate the net radiative flux that interacts with both shortwave (SW) and longwave (LW) radiation, but the uncertainties regarding their effect in polar regions are especially high because ground observations are lacking and evaluation through satellites is made difficult by high surface reflectance. In this work, sky conditions for six different polar stations, two in the Arctic (Ny-Ålesund and Utqiagvik [formerly Barrow]) and four in Antarctica (Neumayer, Syowa, South Pole, and Dome C) will be presented, considering the decade between 2010 and 2020. Measurements of broadband SW and LW radiation components (both downwelling and upwelling) are collected within the frame of the Baseline Surface Radiation Network (BSRN). Sky conditions—categorized as clear sky, cloudy, or overcast—were determined using cloud fraction estimates obtained through the RADFLUX method, which integrates shortwave (SW) and longwave (LW) radiative fluxes. RADFLUX was applied with daily fitting for all BSRN stations, producing two cloud fraction values: one derived from shortwave downward (SWD) measurements and the other from longwave downward (LWD) measurements. The variation in cloud fraction used to classify conditions from clear sky to overcast appeared consistent and reasonable when compared to seasonal changes in shortwave downward (SWD) and diffuse radiation (DIF), as well as longwave downward (LWD) and longwave upward (LWU) fluxes. These classifications served as labels for a machine learning-based classification task. Three algorithms were evaluated: Random Forest, K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), and XGBoost. Input features include downward LW radiation, solar zenith angle, surface air temperature ($T_a$), relative humidity, and the ratio of water vapor pressure to $T_a$. Among these models, XGBoost achieved the highest balanced accuracy, with the best scores of 0.78 at Ny-Ålesund (Arctic) and 0.78 at Syowa (Antarctica). The evaluation employed a leave-one-year-out approach to ensure robust temporal validation. Finally, the results from cross-station models highlighted the need for deeper investigation, particularly through clustering stations with similar environmental and climatic characteristics to improve generalization and transferability across locations. Additionally, the use of feature normalization strategies proved effective in reducing inter-station variability and promoting more stable model performance across diverse settings. Full article

Satellite-based monitoring of atmospheric column-averaged dry-air mole fraction (XCH₄) is essential for quantifying methane (CH₄) emissions, yet uncharacterized spatially varying biases in XCH₄ observations can cause misattribution in flux estimates. This study assesses the potential of the upcoming TanSat-2 satellite mission to estimate China’s CH₄ emission using a series of Observing System Simulation Experiments (OSSEs) based on an Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) inversion framework coupled with GEOS-Chem on a 0.5° × 0.625° grid, alongside an evaluation of current TROPOMI-based products against Total Carbon Column Observing Network (TCCON) observations. Assuming a target precision of 8 ppb, TanSat-2 could achieve an annual national emission estimate accuracy of 2.9% ± 4.2%, reducing prior uncertainty by 84%, with regional deviations below 5.0% across Northeast, Central, East, and Southwest China. In contrast, limited coverage in South China due to persistent cloud cover leads to a 26.1% discrepancy—also evident in pseudo TROPOMI OSSEs—highlighting the need for complementary ground-based monitoring strategies. Sensitivity analyses show that satellite retrieval biases strongly affect inversion robustness, reducing the accuracy in China’s total emission estimates by 5.8% for every 1 ppb increase in bias level across scenarios, particularly in Northeast, Central and East China. We recommend expanding ground-based XCH₄ observations in these regions to support the correction of satellite-derived biases and improve the reliability of satellite-constrained inversion results. Full article

Medical images demand robust privacy protection, driving research into advanced image encryption (IE) schemes. However, current IE schemes still encounter certain challenges in both security and efficiency. Fractional-order Hopfield neural networks (HNNs) demonstrate unique advantages in IE. The introduction of fractional-order calculus operators enables them to possess more complex dynamical behaviors, creating more random and unpredictable keystreams. To enhance privacy protection, this paper introduces a high-performance medical IE scheme that integrates a novel 4D fractional-order HNN with a differentiated encryption strategy (MIES-FHNN-DE). Specifically, MIES-FHNN-DE leverages this 4D fractional-order HNN alongside a 2D hyperchaotic map to generate keystreams collaboratively. This design not only capitalizes on the 4D fractional-order HNN’s intricate dynamics but also sidesteps the efficiency constraints of recent IE schemes. Moreover, MIES-FHNN-DE boosts encryption efficiency through pixel bit splitting and weighted accumulation, ensuring robust security. Rigorous evaluations confirm that MIES-FHNN-DE delivers cutting-edge security performance. It features a large key space ($2^{383}$), exceptional key sensitivity, extremely low ciphertext pixel correlations (<0.002), excellent ciphertext entropy values (>7.999 bits), uniform ciphertext pixel distributions, outstanding resistance to differential attacks (with average NPCR and UACI values of $99.6096\%$ and $33.4638\%$, respectively), and remarkable robustness against data loss. Most importantly, MIES-FHNN-DE achieves an average encryption rate as high as 102.5623 Mbps. Compared with recent leading counterparts, MIES-FHNN-DE better meets the privacy protection demands for medical images in emerging fields like medical intelligent analysis and medical cloud services. Full article

This study presents a systematic analysis of the optical-physical properties of low clouds and their vertical interaction mechanisms with aerosols over three African sub-regions (A: North African Desert; B: Congo Basin; C: Southeastern Plateau and Coastal Zone) using CALIPSO satellite vertical observations taken between 2006 and 2021. The results revealed distinct spatiotemporal variations: For example, the low-cloud aerosol optical depth (AOD) in Region A peaked during December–February, while Regions B and C exhibited higher values from June to November, with elevated dry-season and daytime levels. A positive correlation emerged between low-cloud AOD and its fractional contribution. Regional contrasts in low-cloud vertical structure were evident, with Region C showing the highest seasonal mean cloud base/top heights and Region A the lowest. The depolarisation ratio of low clouds was higher in desert areas (Region A) but lower in rainforest regions (Region B), while the SRlc (Low-cloud spectral reflectance ratio) was maximised in the Congo Basin (Region B), with wet-season and daytime enhancements. The near-surface aerosol AOD in Regions A and B was positively correlated with low-cloud AOD proportion (PAOD_lc). Across all regions, the near-surface aerosol layer top height showed positive correlations with the low-cloud base height and vertical extent, while the height of the bottom of the near-surface aerosol layer was positively aligned with the low-cloud base height. For Region C, there were negative correlations between near-surface aerosol layer heights and PAOD_lc, whereas the springtime aerosol parameters in Region A exhibited positive PAOD_lc correlations. These findings advance the current understanding of aerosol sources and ecosystem impacts, and provide critical insights for refining aerosol and low-cloud parameterisations in climate models. Full article

The safety performance of liquid hydrogen storage has a significant influence on its large-scale commercial application. Due to the complexity and costs of experimental investigation, computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations have been extensively applied to investigate the dynamic behaviors of liquid hydrogen release. The involved physical and chemical models, such as models of species thermodynamic properties and liquid–gas mass transfer, play a major role for the entire CFD model performance. However, comprehensive investigations into their impacts remain insufficient. In this study, CFD models of liquid hydrogen release were developed by using two widely used commercial simulation tools, Fluent and FLACS, and validated against experimental data available in the literature. Comparisons of the model results reveal strong discrepancies in the prediction accuracy of temperature and hydrogen volume fraction between the two models. The impact of the models of thermodynamic properties and liquid–gas mass transfer on the prediction results was subsequently explored by incorporating the FLACS sub-models to Fluent and evaluating the resulting prediction differences in temperatures and hydrogen volume fractions. The results show that the models of thermodynamic properties and liquid–gas mass transfer used in FLACS underestimate the vertical rise height and the highest hydrogen volume fraction of the cloud. Sensitivity analyses on the parameters in these sub-models indicate that the specific heats of hydrogen and nitrogen, in conjunction with the mass flow rate and outflow density of the mass transfer model, have a significant influence on model prediction of temperature. Full article

Mineral dust particles significantly influence the Earth’s climate through direct and semi-direct radiative effects. This study investigates these effects and their meteorological impacts during a dust intrusion and heatwave over the Iberian Peninsula in summer 2019 using a regional climate model. Three simulations with different spectral nudging configurations are evaluated. During the central period, the mean direct and semi-direct radiative effects in the shortwave spectrum at the top of the atmosphere (bottom of the atmosphere) are −0.4 ± 0.4 (−3.9 ± 2.3) Wm⁻² and +0.1 ± 1.7 (−0.1 ± 1.9) Wm⁻², respectively. In the longwave spectrum, these effects are +0.1 ± 0.1 (+0.3 ± 0.1) WmWm⁻² and 0.0 ± 0.6 (+0.9 ± 1.1) Wm⁻², respectively. The semi-direct effect mitigates 18.8% of the dust-induced warming in the full atmosphere and alters meteorological variables. The liquid water path decreases by −0.2 ± 4.5 mg m⁻², the cloud fraction in the upper (lower) troposphere reduces (increases) by −0.2 ± 1.2 (+0.1 ± 1.3) %, and the near-surface air temperature drops slightly by −0.2 ± 0.2 °C. The results highlight substantial spatial variability and underscore the importance of considering semi-direct radiative effects in radiative analysis. Full article

Solar radiation is a first-order essential climate variable like temperature and precipitation. Its significant spatiotemporal variability, mainly due to atmospheric conditions, makes modelling particularly challenging, especially in regions with complex atmospheric dynamics and sparse meteorological stations. This study evaluates 6 solar radiation models (SARAH, PVGIS, Constant Atmospheric Conditions, Physical Solar Model, CAMS Worldwide, and InsolMets) using monthly measurements from 141 ground-based stations across the Iberian Peninsula from 2004–2020. Although all models consistently captured intra-annual variability, discrepancies in absolute values arise due to factors such as the differences in their functional designs and input parameters. InsolMets, which integrates cloud optical thickness, cloud fractional cover, the diffuse radiation component, and enhanced solar illumination geometry, was the most robust model, showing relevant improvements (61.5% in January, 59.7% in November, and 52.0% in December) compared to the worst-performing model (constant atmospheric conditions). Using as a threshold three times the root-mean-square error (RMSE) proposed by the Global Climate Observing System, InsolMets achieved the highest number of months (10) under this limit, also achieving the best overall result, with only 1 month showing non-significant correlations over the same time span. Nevertheless, SARAH and PVGIS matched InsolMets’ performance during March, November, and December. The results provide insights for selecting and improving solar radiation estimations, highlighting the need to incorporate remote sensing atmospheric data to minimize uncertainties. While all models that account for atmospheric effects enhance accuracy, InsolMets stands out as the most accurate model for estimating solar radiation across the Iberian Peninsula throughout the year, achieving the lowest RMSE and normalized RMSE values. Full article

In order to analyze the explosion risk of the engine room, this paper uses CFD software to simulate the LNG leakage process in the engine room of the ship, and uses the combustible gas cloud obtained from the leakage simulation to simulate the explosion, analyzing its combustion and explosion dynamics. On the basis of previous studies, this paper studies the coupling of leakage and explosion simulation to ensure that it conforms to the real situation. At the same time, taking explosion overpressure, explosion temperature, and the mass fraction of combustion products as the breakthrough point, this paper studies the harm of explosion to human body and the influence of ignition source location on the propagation characteristics of LNG explosion shock wave in the engine room, and discusses the influence of obstacles on gas diffusion and accumulation. The results show that the LNG leakage reaches the maximum concentration in the injection direction, and the obstacles in the cabin have a significant effect on the diffusion and accumulation of gas. In the explosion simulation based on the leakage results, it can be determined that the shape of the pressure field generated by the explosion is irregular, and the pressure field at the obstacle side has obvious accumulation. Finally, in order to reduce the explosion hazard, the collaborative strategy of modular layout, directional ventilation, and gas detection is proposed, which provides ideas for the explosion-proof design of the cabin. Full article

A novel data assimilation technique is developed to assimilate MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) level two (L2) cloud products, including cloud optical thickness (COT), cloud particle effective radius (Re), cloud water path (CWP), and cloud top pressure (CTP), into the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model. Its impact on the analysis and forecast of Typhoon Talim in 2023 at its initial developing stage is demonstrated. First, the conditional generative adversarial networks–bidirectional ensemble binned probability fusion (CGAN-BEBPF) model ) is applied to retrieve three-dimensional (3D) CloudSat CPR (cloud profiling radar) equivalent W-band (94 Ghz) radar reflectivity factor for the typhoons Talim and Chaba using the MODIS L2 data. Next, a W-band to S-band radar reflectivity factor mapping algorithm (W2S) is developed based on the collocated measurements of the retrieved W-band radar and ground-based S-band (4 Ghz) radar data for Typhoon Chaba at its landfall time. Then, W2S is utilized to project the MODIS-retrieved 3D W-band radar reflectivity factor of Typhoon Talim to equivalent ground-based S-band reflectivity factors. Finally, data assimilation and forecast experiments are conducted by using the WRF Hydrometeor and Latent Heat Nudging (HLHN) radar data assimilation technique. Verification of the simulation results shows that assimilating the MODIS L2 cloud products dramatically improves the initialization and forecast of the cloud and precipitation fields of Typhoon Talim. In comparison to the experiment without assimilation of the MODIS data, the Threat Score (TS) for general cloud areas and major precipitation areas is increased by 0.17 (from 0.46 to 0.63) and 0.28 (from 0.14 to 0.42), respectively. The fraction skill score (FSS) for the 5 mm precipitation threshold is increased by 0.43. This study provides an unprecedented data assimilation method to initialize 3D cloud and precipitation hydrometeor fields with the MODIS imagery payloads for numerical weather prediction models. Full article

The Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, characterized by its complex and fragile ecosystems, has faced ongoing ecological degradation in recent years, challenging national ecological security and sustainable development. To promote the sustainable development of regional ecological and landscape conservation, this study investigates Fractional Vegetation Cover (FVC) dynamics in Xinjiang. Existing studies often lack recent data and exhibit limitations in the selection of driving factors. To mitigate the issues, this study utilized Google Earth Engine (GEE) and cloud-free MOD13A2.061 data to systematically generate comprehensive FVC products for Xinjiang from 2000 to 2024. Additionally, a comprehensive and quantitative analysis of up to 15 potential driving factors was conducted, providing an updated and more robust understanding of vegetation dynamics in the region. This study integrated advanced methodologies, including spatiotemporal statistical analysis, optimized spatial scaling, trend analysis, and Geographical Detector (GeoDetector). Notably, we propose a novel approach combining a Theil–Sen Median trend analysis with a Hurst index to predict future vegetation trends, which to some extent enhances the persuasiveness of the Hurst index alone. The following are the key experimental results: (1) Over the 25-year study period, Xinjiang’s vegetation cover exhibited a pronounced north–south gradient, with significantly higher FVC in the northern regions compared to the southern regions. (2) A time series analysis revealed an overall fluctuating upward trend in the FVC, accompanied by increasing volatility and decreasing stability over time. (3) Identification of 15 km as the optimal spatial scale for FVC analysis through spatial statistical analysis using Moran’s I and the coefficient of variation. (4) Land use type, vegetation type, and soil type emerged as critical factors, with each contributing over 20% to the explanatory power of FVC variations. (5) To elucidate spatial heterogeneity mechanisms, this study conducted ecological subzone-based analyses of vegetation dynamics and drivers. Full article

Macleania rupestris, a fruit-bearing species of the Ericaceae family, has traditionally been used for its potential medicinal properties. Background/Objectives: This study investigates the phytochemical composition and antimicrobial activity of M. rupestris fruit extract, focusing on its antibacterial, antibiofilm, and antifungal effects. Methods: M. rupestris (Kunth) A.C.Sm. berries (code: 4456, Herbario QUPS-Ecuador) were collected from the cloud forest Montano Alto, Cuenca-Ecuador, and the extract was obtained using an ethanolic-based extraction and chemically characterized. The antibacterial and antifungal activity of the fruit extract was assessed against seven multidrug-resistant bacteria strains and four fungal strains using the microdilution method. The biofilm inhibition potential was evaluated using a microplate assay with the crystal violet staining method. The antioxidant activity was evaluated using DPPH and ABTS assays. Results: The bioactive compounds showed 853.9 mg phenols/100 g DW, 573.2 mg organic acid/100 g DW, and 21.5 mg C-3-gl/100 g DW of anthocyanins. The antibacterial assays demonstrated significant inhibitory activity against Enterococcus faecalis, Enterococcus faecium, Escherichia coli, and Staphylococcus epidermidis, with MIC values ranging from 1.25 to 5 mg/mL. Additionally, the biofilm inhibition assays confirmed the potential of M. rupestris extract to disrupt bacterial biofilms, particularly in S. aureus and L. monocytogenes. Nevertheless, no significant antifungal activity was observed against Candida spp., suggesting selective antimicrobial properties. Finally, the antioxidant activity was strong (1.62 mmol TE/100 g DW by DPPH and 3.28 mmol TE/100 g DW by ABTS). Conclusions: These findings indicate that M. rupestris possesses promising antibacterial, antibiofilm, and antioxidant properties, which may be attributed to its phenolic and organic acid composition. Further fractionation and targeted bioassays are required to elucidate the specific bioactive compounds responsible for these effects and explore their potential applications in antimicrobial formulations. Full article

In spaced crop systems, understanding the interactions between different types of vegetation in the agroecosystem and solar radiation is essential for understanding surface radiation dynamics. This study aimed to both seasonally and spatially quantify and characterize the components of the solar radiation balance in the cultivation of green dwarf coconut. The experiment was conducted in Santa Izabel do Pará, Brazil, and monitored the following meteorological parameters: rainfall, incident global radiation (R_g), and net radiation (R_n). Landsat 8 satellite images were obtained between 2021 and 2023, and the estimates for global and net radiation were subsequently calculated. The resulting data were subjected to mean tests and performance index analysis. The dry season showed higher values of R_g and R_n due to reduced cloud cover. In contrast, the rainy season exhibited lower R_g and R_n totals, with reductions of 21% and 23%, respectively. In the irrigated area, a higher R_n/R_g fraction was observed compared to the non-irrigated area, with no significant differences between the row and inter-row zones. In the non-irrigated system, there were no seasonal differences, but a spatial difference between row and inter-row was noted, with the row having higher net radiation (9.95 MJ m⁻² day⁻¹) than the inter-row (8.36 MJ m⁻² day⁻¹), which could result in distinct energy balances at a micrometeorological scale. Spatially, the eastern portion of the study area showed higher global radiation totals, with the radiation balance predominantly ranging between 400 and 700 W m⁻². Based on the performance indices obtained, satellite-based estimates proved to be a viable alternative for characterizing the components of the radiation balance in the region, provided that the images have low cloud cover. Full article

Surface soil moisture (SSM) plays a pivotal role various fields, including agriculture, hydrology, water environment, and meteorology. To investigate the impact of land use types and fractional vegetation cover (FVC) on the accuracy of SSM estimation, this study conducted a comprehensive analysis of SSM estimation performance across diverse land use scenarios (e.g., multiple land use combinations and cropland) and varying FVC conditions. Sentinel-2 NDVI and MOD09A1 NDVI were fused by the Enhanced Spatial and Temporal Adaptive Reflection Fusion Model (ESTARFM) to obtain NDVI with a temporal resolution better than 8 d and a spatial resolution of 20 m, which improved the matching degree between NDVI and the Sentinel-1 backscattering coefficient (σ⁰). Based on the σ⁰, NDVI, and in situ SSM, combined with the water cloud model (WCM), the SSM estimation model is established, and the model of each land use and FVC is validated. The model has been applied in Handan. The results are as follows: (1) Compared with vertical–horizontal (VH) polarization, vertical–vertical (VV) polarization is more sensitive to soil backscattering (${\mathsf{\sigma }}_{\mathrm{soil}}^0$). In the model for multiple land use combinations (Multiple-Model) and the model for the cropland (Cropland-Model), the R² increases by 0.084 and 0.041, respectively. (2) The estimation accuracy of SSM for the Multiple-Model and Cropland-Model is satisfactory (Multiple-Model, RMSE = 0.024 cm³/cm³, MAE = 0.019 cm³/cm³, R² = 0.891; Cropland-Model, RMSE = 0.023 cm³/cm³, MAE = 0.018 cm³/cm³, R² = 0.886). (3) When the FVC > 0.75, the accuracy of SSM by the WCM is low. It is suggested the model should be applied to the cropland where the FVC ≤ 0.75. This study clarified the applicability of SSM estimation by microwave remote sensing (RS) in different land uses and FVCs, which can provide scientific reference for regional agricultural irrigation and agricultural water resources management. The findings highlight that the VV polarization-based model significantly improves SSM estimation accuracy, particularly in croplands with FVC ≤ 0.75, offering a reliable tool for optimizing irrigation schedules and enhancing water use efficiency in agriculture. These results can aid in better water resource management, especially in regions with limited water availability, by providing precise soil moisture data for informed decision-making. Full article