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1,351 Results Found

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
7,341 Views
17 Pages

20 November 2015

Climate change impacts on nature and the environment have been widely discussed and studied. Traditionally, a company’s continuity management is based on risk analysis. There are also attempts to implement scenario-based methods in the risk managemen...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
3,202 Views
21 Pages

Modeling the Spatial Distribution of Wildfire Risk in Chile Under Current and Future Climate Scenarios

  • John Gajardo,
  • Marco Yáñez,
  • Robert Padilla,
  • Sergio Espinoza and
  • Marcos Carrasco-Benavides

15 March 2025

Wildfires pose severe threats to terrestrial ecosystems by causing loss of biodiversity, altering landscapes, compromising ecosystem services, and endangering human lives and infrastructure. Chile, with its diverse geography and climate, faces escala...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
4,631 Views
19 Pages

25 December 2024

For effective management and prevention, wildfire risk prediction needs to consider the substantial impacts of climate change on wildfire patterns. This study analyzed the probability of wildfire occurrence in South Korea using the Maximum Entropy (M...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
2,032 Views
20 Pages

Hierarchical Fuzzy MCDA Multi-Risk Model for Detecting Critical Urban Areas in Climate Scenarios

  • Barbara Cardone,
  • Valeria D’Ambrosio,
  • Ferdinando Di Martino and
  • Vittorio Miraglia

5 April 2024

One of the issues of greatest interest in urban planning today concerns the evaluation of the most vulnerable urban areas in the presence of different types of climate hazards. In this research, a hierarchical fuzzy MCDA model is implemented on a GIS...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
2,328 Views
22 Pages

Meteorological and Hydrological Drought Risks under Future Climate and Land-Use-Change Scenarios in the Yellow River Basin

  • Yunyun Li,
  • Yi Huang,
  • Jingjing Fan,
  • Hongxue Zhang,
  • Yanchun Li,
  • Xuemei Wang and
  • Qian Deng

26 October 2023

The primary innovation of this study lies in the development of an integrated modeling framework that combines downscaled climate projections, land-use-change simulations, and copula-based risk analysis. This framework allows for the assessment of lo...

  • Article
  • Open Access
21 Citations
3,101 Views
24 Pages

Future Land Use and Flood Risk Assessment in the Guanzhong Plain, China: Scenario Analysis and the Impact of Climate Change

  • Pingping Luo,
  • Xiaohui Wang,
  • Lei Zhang,
  • Mohd Remy Rozainy Mohd Arif Zainol,
  • Weili Duan,
  • Maochuan Hu,
  • Bin Guo,
  • Yuzhu Zhang,
  • Yihe Wang and
  • Daniel Nover

18 December 2023

Continuously global warming and landscape change have aggravated the damage of flood disasters to ecological safety and sustainable development. If the risk of flood disasters under climate and land-use changes can be predicted and evaluated, it will...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
2,237 Views
24 Pages

Flooding poses a significant hazard to urban areas, particularly under the pressures of climate change and rapid urbanization. This study evaluates the flood risk in the Wadi Ibrahim watershed, located in Makkah Al-Mukarramah City, Kingdom of Saudi A...

  • Article
  • Open Access
8 Citations
8,929 Views
25 Pages

2 November 2023

The Climate Risk and Vulnerability Assessment (CRVA) is a systematic process used to identify gaps in regional climate adaptation strategies. The CRVA method assesses regional vulnerability, adaptation capacity, exposure, and sensitivity to climate c...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,970 Views
28 Pages

Climate Risk and Vulnerability Assessment in the Province of Almeria (Spain) Under Different Climate Change Scenarios

  • Sara Barilari,
  • Yaiza Villar-Jiménez,
  • Giusy Fedele,
  • Alfredo Reder and
  • Iván Ramos-Diez

4 July 2025

Climate change represents a major global challenge, with semi-arid regions like the province of Almería being particularly vulnerable. Almería’s dependence on climate-sensitive sectors such as agriculture and tourism, coupled with...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
3,349 Views
17 Pages

24 August 2019

Many communities throughout the world are utilizing green infrastructure practices to mitigate the projected impacts of climate change. While some areas of the world are anticipating droughts, other areas are preparing for an increased flood risk, du...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
1,970 Views
14 Pages

Risk Assessment of Global Animal Melioidosis Under Current and Future Climate Scenarios

  • Suya Li,
  • Le Xu,
  • Yuqing Jiao,
  • Shiyuan Li,
  • Yingxue Yang,
  • Feng Lan,
  • Si Chen,
  • Churiga Man,
  • Li Du and
  • Qiaoling Chen
  • + 2 authors

6 February 2025

Melioidosis is a zoonotic disease that is caused by Burkholderia pseudomallei, which is a serious public health and safety risk. In order to explore the global animal melioidosis risk distribution and its dynamic response to future climate scenarios,...

  • Article
  • Open Access
25 Citations
9,808 Views
17 Pages

Assessment of Flood Risk Map under Climate Change RCP8.5 Scenarios in Taiwan

  • Yun-Ju Chen,
  • Hsuan-Ju Lin,
  • Jun-Jih Liou,
  • Chao-Tzuen Cheng and
  • Yung-Ming Chen

11 January 2022

Climate change has exerted a significant global impact in recent years, and extreme weather-related hazards and incidents have become the new normal. For Taiwan in particular, the corresponding increase in disaster risk threatens not only the environ...

  • Article
  • Open Access
16 Citations
6,517 Views
28 Pages

Stochastic Flood Risk Assessment under Climate Change Scenarios for Toronto, Canada Using CAPRA

  • Daniela Rincón,
  • Juan Felipe Velandia,
  • Ioannis Tsanis and
  • Usman T. Khan

13 January 2022

Amongst all natural disasters, floods have the greatest economic and social impacts worldwide, and their frequency is expected to increase due to climate change. Therefore, improved flood risk assessment is important for implementing flood mitigation...

  • Article
  • Open Access
21 Citations
4,737 Views
14 Pages

6 March 2021

The conservation of cultural heritage built of historical brick masonry alongside meeting targets in energy reduction will most likely require widespread installation of internal wall insulation (IWI). In London, traditional buildings (pre-1919) make...

  • Article
  • Open Access
10 Citations
3,602 Views
18 Pages

Flood Risk Assessment for Sustainable Transportation Planning and Development under Climate Change: A GIS-Based Comparative Analysis of CMIP6 Scenarios

  • Muamer Abuzwidah,
  • Ahmed Elawady,
  • Ayat Gamal Ashour,
  • Abdullah Gokhan Yilmaz,
  • Abdallah Shanableh and
  • Waleed Zeiada

12 July 2024

Climate change is causing a range of environmental impacts, including increased flood frequency and intensity, posing significant risks to human populations and transportation infrastructure. Assessing flood risk under climate change is critical, but...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
2,698 Views
19 Pages

Combining E-Scores with Scenario Analysis to Evaluate the Impact of Transition Risk on Corporate Client Performance

  • Rudolf van der Walt,
  • Gary van Vuuren,
  • Janette Larney,
  • Tanja Verster and
  • Helgard Raubenheimer

19 July 2024

Scenario analysis is a comprehensive approach to assess the impact of climate-related transition risk on businesses. Environmental, social, and governance (ESG) scores are popular tools with financial institutions (FI’s) for green-scoring pract...

  • Feature Paper
  • Article
  • Open Access
10 Citations
4,743 Views
23 Pages

A Case Study of the Impact of Climate Change on Agricultural Loan Credit Risk

  • Jagdeep Kaur Brar,
  • Antoine Kornprobst,
  • Willard John Braun,
  • Matthew Davison and
  • Warren Hare

28 November 2021

Changing weather patterns may impose increased risk to the creditworthiness of financial institutions in the agriculture sector. To reduce the credit risk caused by climate change, financial institutions need to update their agricultural lending port...

  • Article
  • Open Access
9 Citations
4,392 Views
22 Pages

Climate change has increased pluvial flood risks in cities around the world. To mitigate floods, pluvial risk maps with climate change scenarios have been developed to help major urban areas adapt to a changing climate. In some cases, subnational gov...

  • Article
  • Open Access
11 Citations
2,333 Views
17 Pages

Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on the Biodeterioration Risk in Historical Buildings of the Mediterranean Area: The State Archives of Palermo

  • Elena Verticchio,
  • Francesca Frasca,
  • Donatella Matè,
  • Federico Maria Giammusso,
  • Matilde Sani,
  • Maria Letizia Sebastiani,
  • Maria Carla Sclocchi and
  • Anna Maria Siani

19 July 2023

The growing sensitivity towards environmental sustainability, particularly in the light of climate change, requires a reflection on the role that historical buildings can play in heritage conservation. This research proposed an interdisciplinary appr...

  • Proceeding Paper
  • Open Access
5 Citations
2,214 Views
4 Pages

A Theoretical Framework for Multi-Hazard Risk Mapping on Agricultural Areas Considering Artificial Intelligence, IoT, and Climate Change Scenarios

  • Roberto F. Silva,
  • Maria C. Fava,
  • Antonio M. Saraiva,
  • Eduardo M. Mendiondo,
  • Carlos E. Cugnasca and
  • Alexandre C. B. Delbem

31 December 2021

This work proposes a data-driven theoretical framework for addressing: (i) extreme climate events prediction through multi-hazard risk mapping using remote sensing, artificial intelligence, and hydrological models, considering multiple hazards; and (...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
4,124 Views
17 Pages

28 March 2023

We propose an empirical approach to estimate the impact of climate transition risk on corporate revenues that specifically accounts for reputational risk. We employ the information on disclosed Scope 3 emissions to proxy companies’ carbon footp...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
2,228 Views
24 Pages

15 March 2023

HERIe was used to model the effect of changes to indoor climate on the risk of humidity-induced mechanical damage (cracking and plastic deformation) to wooden panels painted with stiff gesso in two Norwegian medieval stone churches: Kinn (mean relati...

  • Article
  • Open Access
22 Citations
3,716 Views
14 Pages

2 December 2021

This research seeks to identify non-financial enterprises exposed to the climate risk relating to transition risks and at the same time use of bank loans, as well as to conduct stress tests to take account of the financial risk related to climate cha...

  • Article
  • Open Access
23 Citations
4,495 Views
17 Pages

2 November 2021

The Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB) is an important part of China’s “two screens and three belts” strategic ecological security barrier, and the urban agglomeration along the YREB is the core of its economic development. However, it has suffered t...

  • Article
  • Open Access
18 Citations
7,436 Views
23 Pages

Flood Risk Assessment under Climate Change: The Petite Nation River Watershed

  • Khalid Oubennaceur,
  • Karem Chokmani,
  • Yves Gauthier,
  • Claudie Ratte-Fortin,
  • Saeid Homayouni and
  • Jean-Patrick Toussaint

5 August 2021

In Canada, climate change is expected to increase the extreme precipitation events by magnitude and frequency, leading to more intense and frequent river flooding. In this study, we attempt to map the flood hazard and damage under projected climate s...

  • Article
  • Open Access
21 Citations
18,598 Views
26 Pages

Using the WWF Water Risk Filter to Screen Existing and Projected Hydropower Projects for Climate and Biodiversity Risks

  • Jeffrey J. Opperman,
  • Rafael R. Camargo,
  • Ariane Laporte-Bisquit,
  • Christiane Zarfl and
  • Alexis J. Morgan

24 February 2022

Climate change is predicted to drive various changes in hydrology that can translate into risks for river ecosystems and for those who manage rivers, such as for hydropower. Here we use the WWF Water Risk Filter (WRF) and geospatial analysis to scree...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
953 Views
15 Pages

21 May 2025

Trade ports are the first places where alien species invade and the source of their spread to other areas. Controlling invasions in these regions can effectively reduce invasion pressure and disrupt the spread pathways of invasive species, thereby si...

  • Article
  • Open Access
40 Citations
9,356 Views
28 Pages

17 July 2019

In urbanized plains that are subject to flooding, the socioeconomic aspects, climate characteristics, built environment, and riverine processes exhibit bi-univocal relationships with the flood formation itself, creating a pattern of development witho...

  • Article
  • Open Access
462 Views
17 Pages

15 October 2025

Forest fire regimes are undergoing systematic reorganization under climate change, particularly in monsoon–human coupled ecosystems such as Southeastern China, where risk dynamics remain poorly quantified. This study proposes a meteorology-driv...

  • Article
  • Open Access
447 Views
20 Pages

31 October 2025

Mountain catchments in Central Europe are highly susceptible to flash floods. To inform local adaptation, this study quantifies the future flood response of a Polish Carpathian catchment (Upper Skawa, 240.4 km2) to Intergovernmental Panel on Climate...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
3,385 Views
46 Pages

Emerging Human Fascioliasis in India: Review of Case Reports, Climate Change Impact, and Geo-Historical Correlation Defining Areas and Seasons of High Infection Risk

  • Santiago Mas-Coma,
  • Pablo F. Cuervo,
  • Purna Bahadur Chetri,
  • Timir Tripathi,
  • Albis Francesco Gabrielli and
  • M. Dolores Bargues

The trematodes Fasciola hepatica and F. gigantica are transmitted by lymnaeid snails and cause fascioliasis in livestock and humans. Human infection is emerging in southern and southeastern Asia. In India, the number of case reports has increased sin...

  • Article
  • Open Access
20 Citations
5,863 Views
18 Pages

14 September 2018

Within the built environment, historic buildings are among the most vulnerable structures to the climate change impact. In the Scandinavian countries, the risk from climatic changes is more pronounced and the right adaptation interventions should be...

  • Review
  • Open Access
162 Citations
10,622 Views
20 Pages

Toxigenic fungi and mycotoxins are very common in food crops, with noticeable differences in their host specificity in terms of pathogenicity and toxin contamination. In addition, such crops may be infected with mixtures of mycotoxigenic fungi, resul...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
2,949 Views
19 Pages

Incorporating Future Climate Scenarios in Oil Industry’s Risk Assessment: A Greek Refinery Case Study

  • Theodoros Katopodis,
  • Emmanuel D. Adamides,
  • Athanasios Sfetsos and
  • Antonios Mountouris

19 November 2021

The impacts of climate change are anticipated to become stronger in the future, leading to higher costs and more severe accidents in the oil industry’s facilities and surrounding communities. Motivated by this, the main objective of this paper is to...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
2,930 Views
12 Pages

Levee Overtopping Risk Assessment under Climate Change Scenario in Kao-Ping River, Taiwan

  • Hsiao-Ping Wei,
  • Yuan-Fong Su,
  • Chao-Tzuen Cheng and
  • Keh-Chia Yeh

2 June 2020

With the growing concern about the failure risk of river embankments in a rapidly changing climate, this study aims to quantify the overtopping probability of river embankment in Kao-Ping River basin in southern Taiwan. A water level simulation model...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
1,921 Views
21 Pages

9 February 2025

In this study, we predicted the global climatic suitability of Tuta absoluta, using maximum entropy (MaxEnt) modeling. We used species’ natural occurrence records in 1981–2024 and environmental variables in 1981–2010, reflecting nea...

  • Article
  • Open Access
10 Citations
9,801 Views
25 Pages

The overall objective of the study is to generate information for an enhanced land use planning with respect to flood hazards. The study assesses the potential impact of climate change by simulating a dam break scenario in a high intensity rainfall e...

  • Article
  • Open Access
19 Citations
5,713 Views
28 Pages

Addressing Long-Term Operational Risk Management in Port Docks under Climate Change Scenarios—A Spanish Case Study

  • Álvaro Campos,
  • José María García-Valdecasas,
  • Rafael Molina,
  • Carmen Castillo,
  • Enrique Álvarez-Fanjul and
  • Joanna Staneva

16 October 2019

Ports are strategic hubs of the logistic chain and are likely to be exposed to natural hazard events. Variation of metocean agents derived from climate change, such as sea level rise or changes in the magnitude, frequency, duration, and direction of...

  • Article
  • Open Access
8 Citations
2,721 Views
20 Pages

19 June 2023

Aeolesthes sarta or Trirachys sarta is a polyphagous long-horned beetle that has caused severe damage to the Populus alba forests/plantations in its regions of origin. Climate change could accelerate the introduction and spread of invasive pest speci...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
2,142 Views
15 Pages

Production–Living–Ecological Risk Assessment and Corresponding Strategies in China’s Provinces under Climate Change Scenario

  • Wenjuan Hou,
  • Shaohong Wu,
  • Linsheng Yang,
  • Yunhe Yin,
  • Jiangbo Gao,
  • Haoyu Deng,
  • Maowei Wu,
  • Xiaojie Li and
  • Lulu Liu

29 August 2022

In the context of the increasing frequency of natural disasters caused by climate change in recent years, rational territorial spatial planning must pay attention to production–living–ecological (PLE) risks under climate change scenarios....

  • Article
  • Open Access
16 Citations
4,219 Views
17 Pages

Current Risk of Dirofilariosis Transmission in the Iberian Peninsula (Spain and Portugal) and the Balearic Islands (Spain) and Its Future Projection under Climate Change Scenarios

  • Iván Rodríguez-Escolar,
  • Ricardo E. Hernández-Lambraño,
  • José Ángel Sánchez-Agudo,
  • Manuel Collado,
  • Patricia Pérez-Pérez and
  • Rodrigo Morchón

26 May 2023

Dirofilariosis is a vector-borne zoonotic disease whose distribution is linked to the presence of culicid mosquitoes. Spain and Portugal are considered endemic countries; however, the distribution of dirofilariosis is not uniform. Our aim was to deve...

  • Article
  • Open Access

30 November 2025

Groundwater depletion causes a critical risk for the sustainability of urban and agricultural resilience in semi-arid regions such as Tangshan city. This study deployed an integrated framework that combines understandable machine learning (Shapley Ad...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
2,028 Views
25 Pages

27 March 2025

Climate change is leading to an increase in the frequency and intensity of flooding, making it necessary to consider future changes in flood risk management. In regions where ground-based observations are significantly restricted, the implementation...

  • Article
  • Open Access
9 Citations
4,474 Views
23 Pages

1 June 2023

Around the world, human populations and their supporting infrastructures are concentrated in coastal areas. With rising sea levels, these settlements and urban infrastructures are at risk of service interruptions, lasting damage and frequent climate-...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
17,596 Views
21 Pages

Scoping Potential Routes to UK Civil Unrest via the Food System: Results of a Structured Expert Elicitation

  • Aled Jones,
  • Sarah Bridle,
  • Katherine Denby,
  • Riaz Bhunnoo,
  • Daniel Morton,
  • Lucy Stanbrough,
  • Barnaby Coupe,
  • Vanessa Pilley,
  • Tim Benton and
  • Pete Falloon
  • + 47 authors

12 October 2023

We report the results of a structured expert elicitation to identify the most likely types of potential food system disruption scenarios for the UK, focusing on routes to civil unrest. We take a backcasting approach by defining as an end-point a soci...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
3,201 Views
15 Pages

Results of a Survey of UK Farmers on Food System Vulnerability over the Short and Long Term

  • Aled Jones,
  • Sarah Bridle,
  • Pete Falloon,
  • Jez Fredenburgh and
  • Christian Reynolds

9 August 2024

We report the results of a survey of farmers and landowners to identify the most likely potential food system disruption scenarios for the UK and compare these with a previous expert elicitation with a much wider set of food system stakeholders. We f...

  • Article
  • Open Access
11 Citations
8,269 Views
22 Pages

4 April 2018

The purpose of this study is to identify the relationship between weather variables and buildings damaged in natural disasters. We used four datasets on building damage history and 33 weather datasets from 230 regions in South Korea in a decision tre...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
3,627 Views
15 Pages

Multivariate Flood Risk Analysis at a Watershed Scale Considering Climatic Factors

  • Yuqin Gao,
  • Zichen Guo,
  • Dongdong Wang,
  • Zhenxing Zhang and
  • Yunping Liu

10 December 2018

Based on the constructed SWAT model in the Qinhuai River Basin, the hydrological response of flooding under different scenarios of temperature and rainfall change is analyzed. The Copula function is then used to calculate and analyze the multivariate...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
1,677 Views
22 Pages

Analysis of the Projected Climate Impacts on the Interlinkages of Water, Energy, and Food Nexus Resources in Narok County, Kenya, and Vhembe District Municipality, South Africa

  • Nosipho Zwane,
  • Joel O. Botai,
  • Siyabonga H. Nozwane,
  • Aphinda Jabe,
  • Christina M. Botai,
  • Lucky Dlamini,
  • Luxon Nhamo,
  • Sylvester Mpandeli,
  • Brilliant Petja and
  • Motochi Isaac
  • + 1 author

11 May 2025

The current changing climate requires the development of water–energy–food (WEF) nexus-oriented systems capable of mainstreaming climate-smart innovations into resource management. This study demonstrates the cross-sectoral impacts of cli...

  • Article
  • Open Access
10 Citations
17,629 Views
17 Pages

11 September 2024

This study investigates the profound and multifaceted impacts of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and geopolitical developments on global dynamics by 2040. Utilising a Delphi process coupled with probabilistic modelling, the research constructs detailed...

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