Search Results (1,086)

Urban air pollution caused by vehicular emissions remains one of the most pressing environmental challenges, negatively affecting both public health and climate processes. In Kokshetau, Kazakhstan, where electric vehicle (EV) adoption accounts for only 0.019% of the total fleet and charging infrastructure is nearly absent, reducing transport-related emissions requires short-term and cost-effective solutions. This study proposes an integrated approach combining urban ecology principles with computational modeling to optimize traffic signal control for emission reduction. An artificial neural network (ANN) was trained using intersection-specific traffic data to predict emissions of carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen oxides (NO_x), sulfur dioxide (SO₂), and particulate matter (PM_2.5). The ANN was incorporated into a nonlinear optimization framework to determine traffic signal timings that minimize total emissions without increasing traffic delays. The results demonstrate reductions in emissions of CO by 12.4%, NO_x by 9.8%, SO₂ by 7.6%, and PM_2.5 by 10.3% at major congestion hotspots. These findings highlight the potential of the proposed framework to improve urban air quality, reduce ecological risks, and support sustainable transport planning. The method is scalable and adaptable to other cities with similar urban and environmental characteristics, facilitating the transition toward eco-friendly mobility and integrating data-driven traffic management into broader climate and public health policies. Full article

This study proposes a Transformer–NSGA-III multi-objective optimization framework for high-rise residential buildings in Haikou, a coastal city characterized by a hot summer and warm winter climate. The framework addresses four conflicting objectives: Annual Energy Demand (AED), Predicted Percentage of Dissatisfied (PPD), Global Cost (GC), and Life Cycle Carbon (LCC) emissions. A localized database of 11 design variables was constructed by incorporating envelope parameters and climate data from 79 surveyed buildings. A total of 5000 training samples were generated through EnergyPlus simulations, employing jEPlus and Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS). A Transformer model was employed as a surrogate predictor, leveraging its self-attention mechanism to capture complex, long-range dependencies and achieving superior predictive accuracy (R² ≥ 0.998, MAPE ≤ 0.26%) over the benchmark CNN and MLP models. The NSGA-III algorithm subsequently conducted a global optimization of the four-objective space, with the Pareto-optimal solution identified using the TOPSIS multi-criteria decision-making method. The optimization resulted in significant reductions of 28.5% in the AED, 24.1% in the PPD, 20.6% in the GC, and 18.0% in the LCC compared to the base case. The synergistic control of the window solar heat gain coefficient and external sunshade length was identified as the central strategy for simultaneously reducing energy consumption, thermal discomfort, cost, and carbon emissions in this hot and humid climate. The TOPSIS-optimal solution (C = 0.647) effectively balanced low energy use, high thermal comfort, low cost, and low carbon emissions. By integrating the Energy Performance of Buildings Directive (EPBD) Global Cost methodology with Life Cycle Carbon accounting, this study provides a robust framework for dynamic economic–environmental trade-off analyses of ultra-low-energy buildings in humid regions. The work advances the synergy between the NSGA-III and Transformer models for high-dimensional building performance optimization. Full article

In the context of global efforts toward energy conservation and emission reduction, accurate short-term electric load forecasting plays a crucial role in improving energy efficiency, enabling low-carbon dispatching, and supporting sustainable power system operations. To address the growing demand for accuracy and stability in this domain, this paper proposes a novel prediction model tailored for power systems. The proposed method combines Spearman correlation analysis with modal decomposition techniques to compress redundant features while preserving key information, resulting in more informative and cleaner input representations. In terms of model architecture, this study integrates Bidirectional Gated Recurrent Units (BiGRUs) with dilated convolution. This design improves the model’s capacity to capture long-range dependencies and complex relationships. For parameter optimization, an Improved Beluga Whale Optimization (IBWO) algorithm is introduced, incorporating dynamic population initialization, adaptive Lévy flight mechanisms, and refined convergence procedures to enhance search efficiency and robustness. Experiments on real-world datasets demonstrate that the proposed model achieves excellent forecasting performance (RMSE = 26.1706, MAE = 18.5462, R² = 0.9812), combining high predictive accuracy with strong generalization. These advancements contribute to more efficient energy scheduling and reduced environmental impact, making the model well-suited for intelligent and sustainable load forecasting applications in environmentally conscious power systems. Full article

The building sector represents a major frontier in the global response to climate change, accounting for approximately one-third of global energy consumption and a comparable share of energy-related carbon dioxide emissions. This review conducts a PRISMA-ScR–based scoping synthesis of technological, behavioural, and policy pathways to achieve energy efficiency and deep decarbonization in buildings. It systematically examines passive design principles, high-performance envelopes, efficient HVAC and lighting systems, renewable energy integration, building energy modelling, and retrofit strategies. The study also addresses the role of regulatory instruments, energy codes, and certification schemes in accelerating sectoral transformation. The synthesis identifies three cross-cutting drivers of decarbonization: integrated design across building systems, digitalization enabling predictive and adaptive operation, and robust policy frameworks ensuring large-scale implementation. The review concludes that while most technologies required to reach zero-emission buildings are already available, their potential remains underutilized due to fragmented policies, limited retrofit rates, and behavioural barriers. Coordinated implementation across technology, governance, and user engagement is essential to realise a net-zero building sector. Full article

The high carbon emissions associated with cement-based materials in lightweight foamed soils have become a significant environmental concern. In addition to this applied problem, there is also a scientific challenge: current studies of carbon–magnesium reactions in lightweight carbonated soils (LCSS) lack multiparameter predictive models, which are essential for understanding the coupled effects of MgO dosage and CO₂ foam content on material performance. This study addresses this gap by systematically investigating the influence of MgO and CO₂ foam on the strength, resistivity, and carbonation behavior of LCSS. A multiparameter regression model was developed to predict these properties, and its statistical significance and predictive accuracy were verified. The results show that MgO dosage strongly promotes carbonation and strength development, while CO₂ foam content primarily regulates porosity and carbonation degree. The established model provides reliable predictions of LCSS performance and offers a scientific basis for optimizing carbon–magnesium reactions in sustainable soil stabilization. Full article

The transition of Türkiye’s energy market toward net-zero emissions by 2053 requires modeling approaches capable of capturing complex interactions and long-term uncertainties. In this study, a long-term agent-based modeling (ABM) framework was developed, integrating econometric demand forecasting with a seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model and machine learning (ML)-based day-ahead market (DAM) price prediction. Of the ML models tested, CatBoost achieved the highest accuracy, outperforming XGBoost and Random Forest, and supported investment analysis through net present value (NPV) calculations. The framework represents major market actors—including generation units, investors, and the market operator—while also incorporating the impact of Türkiye’s first nuclear power plant (NPP) under construction and the potential introduction of a carbon emissions trading scheme (ETS). All model components were validated against historical data, confirming robust forecasting and market replication performance. Hourly simulations were conducted until 2053 under alternative policy and demand scenarios. The results show that renewable generation expands steadily, led by onshore wind and solar photovoltaic (PV), while nuclear capacity, ETS implementation, and demand assumptions significantly reshape prices, generation mix, and carbon emissions. The nuclear plant lowers market prices, whereas an ETS substantially raises them, with both policies contributing to emission reductions. These scenario results were connected to actionable policy recommendations, outlining how renewable expansion, ETS design, nuclear development, and energy efficiency measures can jointly support Türkiye’s 2053 net-zero target. The proposed framework provides an ex-ante decision-support framework for policymakers, investors, and market participants, with future extensions that can include other energy markets, storage integration, and enriched scenario design. Full article

The transition to sustainable urban mobility requires innovative solutions optimising electric vehicle (EV) ecosystems while integrating seamlessly with smart urban grids. This paper proposes a decentralised framework leveraging adaptive algorithms, vehicle-to-grid (V2G) technology, and renewable energy prioritisation to enhance urban sustainability without requiring new infrastructure. By integrating federated learning (FL) for privacy-preserving coordination, multi-objective optimisation for load balancing, and predictive models for renewable energy integration, our approach addresses energy demand, grid stability, and environmental impact in urban areas. Validated through simulations on an IEEE 39-bus urban feeder and real-world urban mobility case studies, the framework achieves a 40% reduction in carbon emissions, improves grid reliability by 20%, and enhances renewable utilisation by 25% compared to an uncoordinated charging baseline. These outcomes support urban planning by informing smart grid design, reducing urban heat island effects, and promoting equitable mobility access. This work provides actionable strategies for policymakers, urban planners, and energy providers to advance more sustainable, electrified urban ecosystems. Full article

Soil organic carbon (SOC) plays a critical role in the global carbon cycle and serves as a sensitive indicator of climate change impacts, with its dynamics significantly influencing regional ecological security and sustainable development. This study focuses on the Songnen Plain in Northeast China—a key black soil agricultural region increasingly affected by water erosion, primarily through surface runoff and rill formation on gently sloping cultivated land. We aim to investigate the spatiotemporal dynamics of SOC stocks across different cultivated land erosion zones under projected future climate change scenarios. To quantify current and future SOC stocks, we applied a boosted regression tree (BRT) model based on 130 topsoil samples (0–30 cm) and eight environmental variables representing topographic and climatic conditions. The model demonstrated strong predictive performance through 10-fold cross-validation, yielding high R² and Lin’s concordance correlation coefficient (LCCC) values, as well as low mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE). Key drivers of SOC stock spatial variation were identified as mean annual temperature, elevation, and slope aspect. Using a space-for-time substitution approach, we projected SOC stocks under the SSP245 and SSP585 climate scenarios for the 2050s and 2090s. Results indicate a decline of 177.66 Tg C (SSP245) and 186.44 Tg C (SSP585) by the 2050s relative to 2023 levels. By the 2090s, SOC losses under SSP245 and SSP585 are projected to reach 2.84% and 1.41%, respectively, highlighting divergent carbon dynamics under varying emission pathways. Spatially, SOC stocks were predominantly located in areas of slight (67%) and light (22%) water erosion, underscoring the linkage between erosion intensity and carbon distribution. This study underscores the importance of incorporating both climate and anthropogenic influences in SOC assessments. The resulting high-resolution SOC distribution map provides a scientific basis for targeted ecological restoration, black soil conservation, and sustainable land management in the Songnen Plain, thereby supporting regional climate resilience and China’s “dual carbon” goals. These insights also contribute to global efforts in enhancing soil carbon sequestration and achieving carbon neutrality goals. Full article

Rapid decarbonization relies on knowing which structural and energy factors affect national carbon dioxide emissions. Much of the literature leans on linear and additive assumptions, which may gloss over curvature and interactions in this energy–emissions link. Unlike previous studies, we take a different approach. Using a panel of 80 high- and upper-middle-income countries from 2011 to 2020, we model emissions as a function of fossil fuel energy consumption, methane, the food production index, renewable electricity output, gross domestic product (GDP), and trade measured as trade over GDP. Our contribution is twofold. First, we evaluate how different modeling strategies, from a traditional Generalized Linear Model to more flexible approaches such as Support Vector Machine regression and Random Forest (RF), influence the identification of emission drivers. Second, we use Double Machine Learning (DML) to estimate the incremental effect of fossil fuel consumption while controlling for other variables, offering a more careful interpretation of its likely causal role. Across models, a clear pattern emerges: GDP dominates; fossil fuel energy consumption and methane follow. Renewable electricity output and trade contribute, but to a moderate degree. The food production index adds little in this aggregate, cross-country setting. To probe the mechanism rather than the prediction, we estimate the incremental role of fossil fuel energy consumption using DML with RF nuisance functions. The partial effect remains positive after conditioning on the other covariates. Taken together, the results suggest that economic scale and the fuel mix are the primary levers for near-term emissions profiles, while renewables and trade matter, just less than is often assumed and in ways that may depend on context. Full article

Anaerobic digestion of manures, crop residues, food waste, and sludge frequently yields biogas with elevated hydrogen sulfide concentrations, which accelerate corrosion and reduce biogas quality. Microaeration, defined as the controlled addition of oxygen at 1 to 5% of the biogas production rate, has been investigated as a low-cost desulfurization strategy. This review synthesizes studies from 2015 to 2025 spanning laboratory, pilot, and full-scale anaerobic digester systems. Continuous sludge digesters supplied with ambient air at 0.28–14 m³ h⁻¹ routinely achieved 90 to 99% H₂S removal, while a full-scale dairy manure system reported a 68% reduction at 20 m³ air d⁻¹. Pure oxygen dosing at 0.2–0.25 m³ O₂ (standard conditions) per m³ reactor volume resulted in greater than 99% removal. Reported methane yield improvements ranged from 5 to 20%, depending on substrate characteristics, operating temperature, and aeration control. Excessive oxygen, however, reduced methane yields in some cases by inhibiting methanogens or diverting carbon to CO₂. Documented benefits of microaeration include accelerated hydrolysis of lignocellulosic substrates, mitigation of sulfide inhibition, and stimulation of sulfur-oxidizing bacteria that convert sulfide to elemental sulfur or sulfate. Optimal redox conditions were generally maintained between −300 and −150 mV, though monitoring was limited by low-resolution oxygen sensors. Recent extensions of the Anaerobic Digestion Model No. 1 (ADM1), a mathematical framework developed by the International Water Association, incorporate oxygen transfer and sulfur pathways, enhancing its ability to predict gas quality and process stability under microaeration. Economic analyses estimate microaeration costs at 0.0015–0.0045 USD m⁻³ biogas, substantially lower than chemical scrubbing. Future research should focus on refining oxygen transfer models, quantifying microbial shifts under long-term operation, assessing effects on digestate quality and nitrogen emissions, and developing adaptive control strategies that enable reliable application across diverse substrates and reactor configurations. Full article

Urban Form (UF), as a synthesis of urban functions and socioeconomic elements, is closely associated with Anthropogenic Carbon Emissions (ACE) and has important implications for low-carbon urban planning. As a key national economic strategy region, the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB) exhibits pronounced heterogeneity in urban development, highlighting the urgent need to elucidate the interaction mechanisms between UF and ACE to support carbon reduction strategies. This study employs nighttime light data and carbon emission records from 2002 to 2022 in the YREB. By integrating Support Vector Regression (SVR), Random Forest (RF), and Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT), we developed a neural network ensemble model (RSG-Net) to analyze the impacts and driving mechanisms of UF on ACE. The results indicate the following: (1) Over the past two decades, total ACE in the YREB increased by 196%, displaying a three-phase trajectory of rapid growth, deceleration, and rebound. (2) The RSG-Net model achieved superior predictive performance, with an R² of 0.93, an RMSE of 1.96 × 10⁶ t, an RPD of 3.69, and a PBIAS of 4.53%. (3) Based on Pearson correlation analysis and SHAP (Shapley Additive Explanations) feature importance, beyond economic and demographic indicators, the most influential UF indicators are ranked as Number of Urban Patches (NP), Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), and Construction Land Concentration (CLC). These findings demonstrate that the RSG-Net model can not only predict ACE but also identify key UF factors and explain their interrelationships, thereby providing technical support for the formulation of urban carbon reduction strategies. Full article

The energy sector, as a major source of carbon emissions, has a significant impact on the operation of the carbon market and the management of carbon emissions. With the introduction of the “dual carbon” goals, the Chinese government has actively implemented measures to reduce carbon emissions, making the carbon market an important tool for emission reduction. Therefore, characterizing the inter-market relationships helps enhance decision-making for market participants and promotes sustainable economic development. This study selects the price of the Chinese carbon emission trading market, which began trading on 16 July 2021, as a representative of the carbon market price. In terms of energy market selection, the prices of electricity, new energy, and coal are chosen as representatives of the energy market. From the perspective of the nonlinear dependency structure between market prices, a “carbon ↔ electricity ↔ new energy ↔ coal market” multi-to-multi interaction model is constructed, and the MSVAR model is employed to study the nonlinear dependency characteristics between market prices under interactive influences. The results show that there is a significant nonlinear dependency structure between the four market prices, especially between the carbon market and the new energy market. These market prices exhibit different behavioral characteristics under different states, with non-stationary states being the most common. There is a strong positive correlation between the electricity market and new energy market prices, while the relationship between the carbon market and other market prices is relatively weaker. The relevant conclusions provide valuable insights for policymakers and investors, helping them better understand and predict future market dynamics. Full article

To reduce the renewable energy waste and carbon emissions predicted for the current expansion plan, this study proposes a hierarchical collaborative optimization model for the planning of generation and transmission expansion plan in cross-regional power systems considering energy storage and load transfer. In the upper layer, the upper limit of expansion is determined according to China’s current policy and expansion plan for the power system. This level completes the annual power expansion plan and provides scale data of power generation facilities and supporting infrastructures for the lower level. The lower layer is the operation level, which simulates the operation of the power system throughout the year. To find the defects of the current plan and provide an optimization scheme, the optimization model is used to analyze China’s power system in 2030. The utilization of renewable energy and power facilities is analyzed, along with the carbon emissions. An improved power expansion plan that comprehensively considers energy storage, transmission and load transfer for China’s carbon peak is proposed. The proposed scheme increases the utilization rate of renewable energy to 97.058%, reduces CO₂ emissions by 224 million tons, and reduces the installed capacity of thermal power by about 18.686 million kilowatts, verifying the effectiveness of the scheme. Full article

In the context of achieving sustainable development goals and promoting a sustainable, low-carbon global energy transition, accurately quantifying and proactively managing the carbon intensity of power systems is a core challenge in monitoring the sustainability of the power sector. However, existing demand response methods often overlook the dynamic characteristics of power system carbon emissions and fail to accurately characterize the complex relationship between power consumption and carbon emissions, which results in suboptimal emission reduction results. To address this challenge, this paper proposes and validates an innovative low-carbon demand response optimization scheduling method as a sustainable tool. The core of this method is the development of a dynamic carbon emission factor (DCEF) assessment model. By innovatively integrating marginal and average carbon emission factors, it becomes a dynamic sustainability indicator that can measure the environmental performance of the power grid in real time. To characterize the relationship between power consumption behavior and carbon emissions, we employ an adaptive Dirichlet process mixture model (DPMM). This model does not require a preset number of clusters and can automatically discover patterns in the data, such as grouping holidays and working days with similar power consumption characteristics. Based on the clustering results and historical data, a dual long short-term memory (LSTM) deep learning network architecture is designed to achieve a coordinated prediction of power consumption and DCEFs for the next 24 h. On this basis, a method is established with the goal of maximizing carbon emission reduction while considering constraints such as fixed daily power consumption, user comfort, and equipment safety. Simulation results demonstrate that this approach can effectively reduce regional carbon emissions through accurate prediction and optimized scheduling. This provides not only a quantifiable technical path for improving the environmental sustainability of the power system but also decision-making support for the formulation of energy policies and incentive mechanisms that align with sustainable development goals. Full article

Low-carbon chemical fires pose significant hazards, and remote sensing of high-temperature gas emissions from these fires is a critical method for identifying and assessing their environmental impact. Analyzing the spectral characteristics of gases produced by low-carbon chemical pool fires and developing spectral radiation models can establish a foundation for remote pollution monitoring. However, such studies remain scarce. Using a custom-built high-temperature gas spectroscopy platform, this study extracts spectral features of gases emitted by low-carbon chemical pool fires. We investigate spectral interference mechanisms among combustion products and develop a high-precision spectral radiation model to support remote fire pollution monitoring. Experimental results reveal distinct spectral bands for key gases: CO₂ peaks near 2.7 μm and 4.35 μm, SO₂ at 4.05 μm, 7.5 μm, and 9.0 μm, NO at 5.5 μm, and NO₂ at 3.6 μm and 6.3 μm. The proposed spectral radiation model accurately simulates the position and shape of spectral peaks. For carbon disulfide and acetonitrile combustion products, the model achieves prediction accuracies of 83.4–96.9% and 79.2–95.3%, respectively. Full article