Search Results (862)

Local site conditions can significantly influence the amplitude, duration, and frequency content of seismic recordings, making the characterization of subsoil properties a critical component in seismic hazard assessment. However, despite extensive research, standardized methodologies for assessing site effects are still lacking. This study presents preliminary steps in the site characterization of a small area of Campi Flegrei caldera (Italy), with the aim of enhancing understanding of local lithology and seismic wave propagation. The analysis focuses on the broad-band seismic station CSTH, installed in 2021, and incorporates data from a temporary 2D array of five short-period sensors deployed around the station. These sensors recorded both ambient noise and seismic events associated with caldera dynamics. To improve the robustness of the characterization, data from two additional permanent broad-band stations (CPIS and CSOB) of the Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia—Osservatorio Vesuviano’s monitoring network, also located nearby a hydrothermal field, were included. Spectral analyses such as Power Spectral Density (PSD), Horizontal-to-Vertical (H/V) spectral ratios, and f-k array technique were performed to evaluate the frequency-dependent response of the site and to support the development of a comprehensive seismic site model. Full article

Earthquake-triggered landslides pose significant hazards to lives and infrastructure. While existing seismic landslide models primarily focus on seismic and terrain variables, they often overlook the dynamic nature of hydrologic conditions, such as seasonal soil moisture variability. This study addresses this gap by incorporating satellite-based soil moisture data from NASA’s Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) mission into the assessment of seismic landslide occurrence. Using landslide inventories from five major earthquakes (Nepal 2015, New Zealand 2016, Papua New Guinea 2018, Indonesia 2018, and Haiti 2021), a balanced global dataset of landslide and non-landslide cases was compiled. Exploratory analysis revealed a strong association between elevated pre-event soil moisture and increased landslide occurrence, supporting its relevance in seismic slope failure. Moreover, a Random Forest model was trained and tested on the dataset and demonstrated excellent predictive performance. To assess the generalizability of the model, a leave-one-earthquake-out cross-validation approach was also implemented, in which the model trained on four events was tested on the fifth. This approach outperformed comparable models that did not consider soil moisture, such as the United States Geological Survey (USGS) seismic landslide model, confirming the added value of satellite-based soil moisture data in improving seismic landslide susceptibility assessments. Full article

After the 2011 earthquake, lake water depletion has become a widespread issue in Sikkim, especially in regions classified as high to very high seismic zones, where many lakes have turned into seasonal water bodies. This study investigates Chochen Lake in the Barapathing area of Sikkim’s Pakyong district, which is facing severe water seepage and instability. The problem, intensified by the 2011 seismic event and ongoing local construction, is examined through subsurface fracture mapping using Vertical Electrical Sounding (VES) and profiling techniques. A statistical factor method, applied to interpret VES data, helped identify fracture patterns beneath the lake. Results from two sites (VES-1 and VES-2) reveal significant variations in weathered and semi-weathered soil layers, indicating fractures at depths of 17–50 m (VES-1) and 20–55 m (VES-2). Higher fracture density near VES-1 suggests increased settlement risk and ground displacement compared to VES-2. Contrasting resistivity values emphasize the greater instability in this zone and the need for cautious construction practices. The findings highlight the role of seismic-induced fractures in ongoing water depletion and underscore the importance of continuous dewatering to stabilize the swampy terrain. Full article

The Mw 7.8 Gorkha Earthquake of 25 April 2015 triggered over 25,000 landslides across central Nepal, with 4775 events concentrated in Gorkha District alone. Despite substantial advances in landslide susceptibility mapping, existing studies often overlook the compound role of post-seismic rainfall and lack robust spatial validation. To address this gap, we validated an ensemble machine learning framework for co-seismic landslide susceptibility modeling by integrating seismic, geomorphological, hydrological, and anthropogenic variables, including cumulative post-seismic rainfall. Using a balanced dataset of 4775 landslide and non-landslide instances, we evaluated the performance of Logistic Regression (LR), Random Forest (RF), and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) models through spatial cross-validation, SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) explainability, and ablation analysis. The RF model outperformed all others, achieving an accuracy of 87.9% and a Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) Area Under the Curve (AUC) value of 0.94, while XGBoost closely followed (AUC = 0.93). Ensemble models collectively classified over 95% of observed landslides into High and Very High susceptibility zones, demonstrating strong spatial reliability. SHAP analysis identified elevation, proximity to fault, peak ground acceleration (PGA), slope, and rainfall as dominant predictors. Notably, the inclusion of post-seismic rainfall substantially improved recall and F1 scores in ablation experiments. Spatial cross-validation revealed the superior generalizability of ensemble models under heterogeneous terrain conditions. The findings underscore the value of integrating post-seismic hydrometeorological factors and spatial validation into susceptibility assessments. We recommend adopting ensemble models, particularly RF, for operational hazard mapping in earthquake-prone mountainous regions. Future research should explore the integration of dynamic rainfall thresholds and physics-informed frameworks to enhance early warning systems and climate resilience. Full article

The NW–SE-trending Firenze-Pistoia Basin (FPB) is an intermontane tectonic depression in the Northern Apennines (Italy) bounded to the northeast by a SW-dipping normal fault system. Although it has moderate historical seismicity (maximum estimated Mw 5.5 in 1895), the FPB lacks detailed characterization of its recent tectonic structures, unlike those of nearby basins that have produced Mw > 6 events. This study focuses on the southeastern sector of the basin, including the urban area of Florence, using tectonic geomorphology derived from remote sensing, in particular LiDAR data, field verification, and high-resolution geophysical surveys such as electrical resistivity tomography and seismic reflection profiles. The integration of these techniques enabled interpretation of the subdued and anthropogenically masked tectonic structures, allowing the identification of Holocene activity and significant, although limited, surface vertical offset for three NE–SW-striking normal faults, the Peretola, Scandicci, and Maiano faults. The Scandicci and Maiano faults appear to segment the southeasternmost strand of the master fault of the FPB, the Fiesole Fault, which now shows activity only along isolated segments and cannot be considered a continuous active fault. From empirical relationships, the Scandicci Fault, the most relevant among the three active faults, ~9 km long within the basin and with an approximate Late Quaternary slip rate of ~0.2 mm/year, might source Mw > 5.5 earthquakes. These findings highlight the need to reassess the local seismic hazard for more informed urban planning and for better preservation of the cultural and architectural heritage of Florence and the other artistic towns located in the FPB. Full article

The precise characterization of surface rupture zones and associated co-seismic displacement fields from large earthquakes provides critical insights into seismic rupture mechanisms, earthquake dynamics, and hazard assessments. Stereo-photogrammetric digital elevation models (DEMs), produced from high-resolution satellite stereo imagery, offer reliable global datasets that are suitable for the detailed extraction and quantification of vertical co-seismic displacements. In this study, we utilized pre- and post-event WorldView-2 stereo images of the 2024 Ms7.1 Wushi earthquake in Xinjiang to generate DEMs with a spatial resolution of 0.5 m and corresponding terrain point clouds with an average density of approximately 4 points/m². Subsequently, we applied the Iterative Closest Point (ICP) algorithm to perform differencing analysis on these datasets. Special care was taken to reduce influences from terrain changes such as vegetation growth and anthropogenic structures. Ultimately, by maintaining sufficient spatial detail, we obtained a three-dimensional co-seismic displacement field with a resolution of 15 m within grid cells measuring 30 m near the fault trace. The results indicate a clear vertical displacement distribution pattern along the causative sinistral–thrust fault, exhibiting alternating uplift and subsidence zones that follow a characteristic “high-in-center and low-at-ends” profile, along with localized peak displacement clusters. Vertical displacements range from approximately 0.2 to 1.4 m, with a maximum displacement of ~1.46 m located in the piedmont region north of the Qialemati River, near the transition between alluvial fan deposits and bedrock. Horizontal displacement components in the east-west and north-south directions are negligible, consistent with focal mechanism solutions and surface rupture observations from field investigations. The successful extraction of this high-resolution vertical displacement field validates the efficacy of satellite-based high-resolution stereo-imaging methods for overcoming the limitations of GNSS and InSAR techniques in characterizing near-field surface displacements associated with earthquake ruptures. Moreover, this dataset provides robust constraints for investigating fault-slip mechanisms within near-surface geological contexts. Full article

This study presents a scenario-based, two-dimensional flood modeling approach to assess the potential downstream impacts of a piping-induced dam failure triggered by seismic activity. The case study focuses on the Doğantepe Dam in northwestern Türkiye, located near an active branch of the North Anatolian Fault. Critical deformation zones were previously identified through PLAXIS 2D seismic analyses, which served as the physical basis for a dam break scenario. This scenario was modeled using the HEC-RAS 2D platform, incorporating high-resolution topographic data, reservoir capacity, and spatially varying Manning’s roughness coefficients. The simulation results show that the flood wave reaches downstream settlements within the first 30 min, with water depths exceeding 3.0 m in low-lying areas and flow velocities surpassing 6.0 m/s, reaching up to 7.0 m/s in narrow sections. Inundation extents and hydraulic parameters such as water depth and duration were spatially mapped to assess flood hazards. The study demonstrates that integrating physically based seismic deformation data with hydrodynamic modeling provides a realistic and applicable framework for evaluating flood risks and informing emergency response planning. Full article

We inspected a sector of the Apennines (central–southern Italy) in geographic and structural continuity with the Quaternary-active extensional belt but where clear geomorphic and seismological signatures of normal faulting are unexpectedly missing. The evidence of active tectonics in this area, between Abruzzo and Molise, does not align with geodetic deformation data and the seismotectonic setting of the central Apennines. To investigate the apparent disconnection between active deformation and the absence of surface faulting in a sector where high lithologic erodibility and landslide susceptibility may hide its structural evidence, we combined multi-scale and multi-source data analyses encompassing morphometric analysis and remote sensing techniques. We utilised high-resolution topographic data to analyse the topographic pattern and investigate potential imbalances between tectonics and erosion. Additionally, we employed aerial-photo interpretation to examine the spatial distribution of morphological features and slope instabilities which are often linked to active faulting. To discern potential biases arising from non-tectonic (slope-related) signals, we analysed InSAR data in key sectors across the study area, including carbonate ridges and foredeep-derived Molise Units for comparison. The topographic analysis highlighted topographic disequilibrium conditions across the study area, and aerial-image interpretation revealed morphologic features offset by structural lineaments. The interferometric analysis confirmed a significant role of gravitational movements in denudating some fault planes while highlighting a clustered spatial pattern of hillslope instabilities. In this context, these instabilities can be considered a proxy for the control exerted by tectonic structures. All findings converge on the identification of an ~20 km long corridor, the Castel di Sangro–Rionero Sannitico alignment (CaS-RS), which exhibits varied evidence of deformation attributable to active normal faulting. The latter manifests through subtle and diffuse deformation controlled by a thick tectonic nappe made up of poorly cohesive lithologies. Overall, our findings suggest that the CaS-RS bridges the structural gap between the Mt Porrara–Mt Pizzalto–Mt Rotella and North Matese fault systems, potentially accounting for some of the deformation recorded in the sector. Our approach contributes to bridging the information gap in this complex sector of the Apennines, offering original insights for future investigations and seismic hazard assessment in the region. Full article

This research paper presents an assessment of geohazards on Lefkas Island, Greece, using Geographic Information System (GIS) technology to map risk and enhance public awareness through an interactive web application. Natural hazards such as landslides, floods, wildfires, and desertification threaten both the safety of residents and the island’s tourism-dependent economy, particularly due to its seismic activity and Mediterranean climate. By combining the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction with GIS capabilities, we created detailed hazard maps that visually represent areas of susceptibility and provide critical insights for local authorities and the public. The web application developed serves as a user-friendly platform for disseminating hazard information and educational resources, thus promoting community preparedness and resilience. The findings highlight the necessity for proactive land management strategies and community engagement in disaster risk reduction efforts. This study underscores GIS’s pivotal role in fostering informed decision making and enhancing the safety of Lefkas Island’s inhabitants and visitors in the face of environmental challenges. Full article

This study investigates the robustness of steel moment-resisting frames (MRFs) under column loss scenarios, both in undamaged and post-seismic conditions. In this context, robustness is defined as the ability of a damaged structure to prevent progressive collapse following an earthquake. A parametric investigation was conducted on 48 three-dimensional MRF configurations, varying key design and geometric parameters such as the number of storeys, span length, and design load combinations. Nonlinear dynamic analyses were performed using realistic ground motions and column loss scenarios defined by UFC guidelines. The effects of pre-existing seismic damage, façade claddings, and joint typologies were explicitly accounted for using validated component-based modelling approaches. The results indicate that long-span, low-rise frames are more vulnerable to collapse initiation due to higher plastic demands, while higher-rise frames benefit from load redistribution through their increased redundancy. In detail, long-span, low-rise frames experience roughly ten times higher displacement demands than their short-span counterparts, and post-seismic damage has limited influence, yielding rotational demands within 5–10% of the undamaged case. The Reserve Displacement Ductility (RDR) ranges from approximately 6.3 for low-rise, long-span frames to 21.5 for high-rise frames, highlighting the significant role of geometry in post-seismic robustness. The post-seismic damage was found to have a limited influence on the dynamic displacement and rotational demands, suggesting that the robustness of steel MRFs after a moderate earthquake is largely comparable to that of the initially undamaged structure. These findings support the development of more accurate design and retrofit provisions for seismic and multi-hazard scenarios. Full article

The M_w7.0 earthquake that occurred on 23 January 2024, in Wushi County, Xinjiang, China, was centered on the Maidan fault, located at the rear edge of the Kalpin reverse-thrust system in the southwestern Tianshan Mountains, at a depth of 13 km. This event caused significant surface deformation and triggered a series of secondary geologic hazards. In this study, data from two satellites, Sentinel-1A and LuTan-1, were combined to obtain the coseismic deformation field of the earthquake. The two-step inversion method was applied to determine the geometrical parameters and slip characteristics of the mainshock fault. The results indicate that the seismicity is primarily driven by reverse faulting, with a contribution from sinistral strike–slip faulting, and the maximum dip–slip displacement is 4.2 m. Additionally, an aftershock of magnitude 5.7 occurring on January 30 was identified in the LT-1 data. This aftershock was controlled by a reverse fault dipping opposite to the mainshock fault, and its maximum slip is 0.65 m. Analysis of the Coulomb stress triggering effect suggests that the Wushi earthquake may have induced the aftershock. Full article

This study investigates the impact of nonlinear constitutive models on one-dimensional seismic site response analysis (SRA) for soft, reclaimed soil deposits in Saemangeum, South Korea. Two widely used models, MKZ and GQ/H, were applied to three representative soil profiles using the DEEPSOIL program. Ground motions were scaled to bedrock peak ground accelerations (PGAs) corresponding to annual return periods (ARPs) of 1000, 2400, and 4800 years. Seismic response metrics include the ratio of GQ/H to MKZ shear strain, effective PGA (EPGA), and short- and long-term amplification factors (F_a and F_v). The results highlight the critical role of the site-to-motion period ratio (T_g/T_m) in controlling seismic behavior. Compared to the MKZ, the GQ/H model, which features strength correction and improved stiffness retention, predicts lower shear strains and higher surface spectral accelerations, particularly under strong shaking and shallow conditions. Model differences are most pronounced at low T_g/T_m values, where MKZ tends to underestimate amplification and overestimate strain due to its limited ability to reflect site-specific shear strength. Relative to code-based amplification factors, the GQ/H model yields lower short-term estimates, reflecting the disparity between stiff inland reference sites and the soft reclaimed conditions at Saemangeum. These findings emphasize the need for strength-calibrated constitutive models to improve the accuracy of site-specific seismic hazard assessments. Full article

Blasting-induced seismic waves are typically nonlinear and non-stationary signals. The EMD-Hilbert transform is commonly used for time–frequency analysis of such signals. However, during the empirical mode decomposition (EMD) processing of blasting-induced seismic waves, endpoint effects occur, resulting in varying degrees of divergence in the obtained intrinsic mode function (IMF) components at both ends. The further application of the Hilbert transform to these endpoint-divergent IMFs yield artificial time–frequency analysis results, adversely impacting the assessment of blasting-induced seismic wave hazards. This paper proposes an improved EMD endpoint effect suppression algorithm that considers local endpoint development trends, global time distribution, energy matching, and waveform matching. The method first analyzes global temporal characteristics and endpoint amplitude variations to obtain left and right endpoint extension signal fragment S(t)_L and S(t)_R. Using these as references, the original signal is divided into “b” equal segments S(t)₁, S(t)₂ … S(t)_b. Energy matching and waveform matching functions are then established to identify signal fragments S(t)_i and S(t)_j that match both the energy and waveform characteristics of S(t)_L and S(t)_R. Replacing S(t)_L and S(t)_R with S(t)_i and S(t)_j effectively suppresses the EMD endpoint effects. To verify the algorithm’s effectiveness in suppressing EMD endpoint effects, comparative studies were conducted using simulated signals to compare the proposed method with mirror extension, polynomial fitting, and extreme value extension methods. Three evaluation metrics were utilized: error standard deviation, correlation coefficient, and computation time. The results demonstrate that the proposed algorithm effectively reduces the divergence at the endpoints of the IMFs and yields physically meaningful IMF components. Finally, the method was applied to the analysis of actual blasting seismic signals. It successfully suppressed the endpoint effects of EMD and improved the extraction of time–frequency characteristics from blasting-induced seismic waves. This has significant practical implications for safety assessments of existing structures in areas affected by blasting. Full article

This study addresses the lack of detailed geodetic assessments of crustal strain accumulation along the central Yangsan Fault in southeastern Korea, an area of recognized but insufficiently characterized seismic potential. To tackle this, we applied elastic strain tensor analysis to GNSS data from 33 stations, forming 49 triangular elements across the fault zone. From this, we quantified areal strain (Δ), maximum shear strain (γ_max), and principal stress orientations (θ_p, θ_γ_max) to map spatial deformation heterogeneity. The results identify several high-strain zones, notably Triangle 10 (2.984 µstrain/yr), Triangle 16 (2.325), and Triangle 31 (2.452), with Triangle 16—located at the Yangsan–Ulsan Fault intersection—exhibiting pronounced shear strain and a sharp angular deviation in stress orientation. These findings reveal localized stress reorganization likely caused by fault–fault interaction. Our analysis highlights the capability of GNSS-based strain tensor modeling to detect subtle intraplate deformation. The proposed methodology offers a practical framework for pinpointing structurally sensitive fault segments with elevated seismic risk in otherwise stable continental interiors, supporting more targeted seismic hazard assessment in Korea and other intraplate regions worldwide. Full article

The 6 February 2023 M_W 7.8 and M_W 7.6 earthquakes in southeastern Türkiye ruptured more than 400 km of the East Anatolian Fault Zone (EAFZ), producing one of the most destructive seismic sequences in recent history. Here, we integrate InSAR data, a new GNSS velocity field, and small-magnitude earthquakes to investigate the coseismic deformation, rupture geometry, and interseismic strain accumulation along the EAFZ. Using elastic dislocation modeling with a variable-strike, multi-segment fault geometry, we constrain the slip distribution of the mainshocks, showing improved fits to the surface displacement compared to the planar fault model. The M_W 7.8 event ruptured a number of fault segments over ~300 km, while the M_W 7.6 event activated a more localized fault system with a peak slip exceeding 15 m. We also model two moderate events (M_W 5.6 in 2020 and M_W 5.3 in 2022) along the southwestern part of the Pütürge segment—an area not ruptured during the 2020 or 2023 sequences. GNSS-derived strain-rate and locking depth estimates reveal strong interseismic coupling and significant strain accumulation in this region, suggesting the potential for a future large earthquake (M_W 6.6–7.1). Similarly, the Hatay region, at the southwestern termination of the 2023 rupture, shows a persistent strain accumulation and complex fault interactions involving the Dead Sea Fault and the Cyprus Arc. Our results demonstrate the importance of combining remote sensing and geodetic data to constrain fault kinematics, evaluate rupture segmentation, and assess the seismic hazard in tectonically active regions. Targeted monitoring at rupture terminations—such as the Pütürge and Hatay sectors—may be crucial for anticipating future large-magnitude earthquakes. Full article