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Keywords = SEIRM

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Article
The Dynamic Behavior of a Stochastic SEIRM Model of COVID-19 with Standard Incidence Rate
by Yuxiao Zhao, Hui Wang and Dongxu Wang
Mathematics 2024, 12(19), 2966; https://doi.org/10.3390/math12192966 - 24 Sep 2024
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 976
Abstract
This paper studies the dynamic behavior of a stochastic SEIRM model of COVID-19 with a standard incidence rate. The existence of global solutions for dynamic system models is proven by integrating stochastic process theory and the concept of stopping times, together with the [...] Read more.
This paper studies the dynamic behavior of a stochastic SEIRM model of COVID-19 with a standard incidence rate. The existence of global solutions for dynamic system models is proven by integrating stochastic process theory and the concept of stopping times, together with the contradiction method. Moreover, we construct appropriate Lyapunov functions to analyze system stability and apply Dynkin’s formula and Fatou’s lemma to handle stopping times and expectations of stochastic processes. Notably, the extinction study provides mathematical proof that under the given system dynamics, the total population does not grow indefinitely but tends to stabilize over time. The properties of the diffusion matrix are harnessed to guarantee the system’s stationary distribution. Conclusively, numerical simulations confirm the model’s extinction outcomes. Full article
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