Extreme Hydroclimatic Events and Prediction
A special issue of Water (ISSN 2073-4441). This special issue belongs to the section "Hydrology".
Deadline for manuscript submissions: closed (30 April 2021) | Viewed by 523
Special Issue Editor
Special Issue Information
Dear Colleagues,
Do severe storms, producing lightning, hail, and flooding rains, just come out of a blue sky? Or, are they predictable? If so, at what point in time or with how much lead time? This Special Issue examines the environmental “markers” for and predictability of severe weather events. Lightning and radar networks can be used to identify developing severe flood-producing storms. Information from both networks can be used in nowcasting and nearcasting (numerical forecasts produced with data assimilation for time periods longer than 30 minutes but less than several hours). Deterministic or ensemble forecasts can be used to forecast, respectably, the occurrence of (yes or no) or the probability of severe weather after model spin up. Suggested topics for this Special Issue.
- Studies detailing severe weather events caused by an unusual confluence of weather conditions.
- Studies examining nowcast and near-term predictability of severe weather events.
- Studies that detail the time and spatial scale for which useful (actionable) information can be provided to governments and other emergency responders.
- Can deterministic forecasts be used with any reliability to predict tomorrow’s severe weather events? Are ensemble forecasts of “tomorrow’s” weather able to forecast severe weather events with upscaled growth—or only downscaled?
- As the world’s temperatures warm, are conditions changing to create a higher probability of severe weather?
- Have the characteristics of severe storms changed over the last decade or two? Have lightning rates, for example, increased at the expense of heavy precipitation? Has hail become more prevalent?
Dr. Barry Lynn
Guest Editor
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Keywords
- Severe weather
- Lightning
- Extreme precipitation
- Urban and desert dust aerosol invigoration of convection
- Forecastability
- Deterministic versus ensemble forecasts
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