Coastline Changes and Driving Forces Based on Remotely Sensed Data in Bohai Bay over the Past 20 Years
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Methodology
2.1. Pre-Processing of Remote Sensing Images
2.2. Water Body Index for Coastline Extraction
2.3. Overall Uncertainty Assessment
- (1)
- Sensor cross-calibration. Cross-calibration of Landsat sensors to Landsat 8 OLI achieves an overall reflectance uncertainty of <±3% [37]. Using the water-land reflectance contrast (~0.15 in NIR), this translates into a positional uncertainty of ±6–15 m.
- (2)
- Atmospheric correction. Based on global AERONET-OC validation, Landsat 8 OLI shows ~30% uncertainty in green/red bands over coastal waters, while Landsat 5/7 exhibits >50% uncertainty due to lower SNR [38]. Propagated to a shoreline position, this yields ±4–10 m for OLI and ±8–15 m for TM/ETM+.
- (3)
- Sub-pixel mixing. For medium-resolution sensors, shoreline pixels inherently contain mixed water-land signals. Without sub-pixel processing, positioning errors up to ±1 pixel (±30 m) can occur [39]; however, typical uncertainty is ±0.2–0.5 pixel (±6–15 m) under standard extraction methods.
3. Study Area and Data
3.1. Study Area
3.2. Data
4. Results and Discussion
4.1. Coastline Extraction and Length Calculation
4.2. Analysis of Coastline Length Variation
4.2.1. Silt
4.2.2. Hydrodynamics
4.2.3. Artificial Driving Force
4.3. Discussion
- (1)
- Due to the lack of official and accurate annual variation data of various human activities, we conducted relatively few quantitative analyses on the impact of human driving forces on the changes in the Bohai Bay coastline. More precise annual variation data of various human activities will be obtained through remote sensing interpretation in future research.
- (2)
- Due to the construction of ports and industrial zones, the coastline length of Bohai Bay has undergone an extremely high rate of change over the past two decades. Therefore, a comparative analysis with coastline changes will be conducted in other similar regions around the world in subsequent research.
5. Conclusions
- (1)
- In the past 20 years, the total coastline length of Bohai Bay has increased by 881.05 km, with an average rate of change of 41.95 km per year, showing an upward trend overall. From 2003 to 2009, the rate of change of coastline length of Bohai Bay was the fastest, with an average rate of change of 69.24 km per year. The period from 2003 to 2009 was when Tianjin port and Caofeidian Industrial Zone were constructed, which has the largest reclamation area in Bohai Bay. Therefore, the change in the Bohai Bay coastline in the past 20 years is mainly caused by artificial coastline growth. The change in natural coastline is small and has little impact on the change in the overall coastline.
- (2)
- In the past 20 years, the natural driving force changing the coastline of Bohai Bay has mainly been composed of sediment and hydrodynamic forces. However, with the construction of various hydraulic projects and breakwaters, on the one hand, sediment transport of various rivers has decreased significantly or even become zero. On the other hand, erosion from waves, tidal currents, and storm surges to circulation on the coastline has weakened, leading to a weak natural driving force, changing the coastline of Bohai Bay.
- (3)
- The human-driven force changing the coastline of Bohai Bay in the recent 20 years is mainly composed of various ports, industrial zones, salt fields, aquaculture construction, and reclamation projects. Through time series analysis, we analyzed the main human driving forces that have changed the coastline of Bohai Bay in the recent 20 years. It was found that the main human driving forces are the Caofeidian Industrial Zone in the north, Tianjin port and Nangang Industrial Zone in the middle, Huanghua port and Binzhou port in the south, and other related engineering construction projects.
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| No. | Satellite | Sensors | Track No. | Spatial Resolution/m | Acquisition Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Landsat 5 | TM | 122-33 | 30 | 2001-10-11 |
| 2 | Landsat 5 | TM | 122-33 | 30 | 2002-11-15 |
| 3 | Landsat 5 | TM | 122-33 | 30 | 2003-10-17 |
| 4 | Landsat 5 | TM | 122-33 | 30 | 2004-10-03 |
| 5 | Landsat 5 | TM | 122-33 | 30 | 2005-10-22 |
| 6 | Landsat 5 | TM | 122-33 | 30 | 2006-05-02 |
| 7 | Landsat 5 | TM | 122-33 | 30 | 2007-04-03 |
| 8 | Landsat 5 | TM | 122-33 | 30 | 2008-03-04 |
| 9 | Landsat 5 | TM | 122-33 | 30 | 2009-04-08 |
| 10 | Landsat 5 | TM | 122-33 | 30 | 2010-03-26 |
| 11 | Landsat 5 | TM | 122-33 | 30 | 2011-09-21 |
| 12 | Landsat 7 | ETM+ | 122-33 | 30 | 2012-04-08 |
| 13 | Landsat 8 | OLI, TIRS | 122-33 | 30 | 2013-09-26 |
| 14 | Landsat 8 | OLI, TIRS | 122-33 | 30 | 2014-03-21 |
| 15 | Landsat 8 | OLI, TIRS | 122-33 | 30 | 2015-10-02 |
| 16 | Landsat 8 | OLI, TIRS | 122-33 | 30 | 2016-03-10 |
| 17 | Landsat 8 | OLI, TIRS | 122-33 | 30 | 2017-04-14 |
| 18 | Landsat 8 | OLI, TIRS | 122-33 | 30 | 2018-03-16 |
| 19 | Landsat 8 | OLI, TIRS | 122-33 | 30 | 2019-10-29 |
| 20 | Landsat 8 | OLI, TIRS | 122-33 | 30 | 2020-04-22 |
| 21 | Landsat 8 | OLI, TIRS | 122-33 | 30 | 2021-12-21 |
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Share and Cite
Wang, D.; Liu, J.; Cao, L.; Zhang, D. Coastline Changes and Driving Forces Based on Remotely Sensed Data in Bohai Bay over the Past 20 Years. J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2026, 14, 962. https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse14110962
Wang D, Liu J, Cao L, Zhang D. Coastline Changes and Driving Forces Based on Remotely Sensed Data in Bohai Bay over the Past 20 Years. Journal of Marine Science and Engineering. 2026; 14(11):962. https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse14110962
Chicago/Turabian StyleWang, Dong, Jiayi Liu, Lei Cao, and Dianjun Zhang. 2026. "Coastline Changes and Driving Forces Based on Remotely Sensed Data in Bohai Bay over the Past 20 Years" Journal of Marine Science and Engineering 14, no. 11: 962. https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse14110962
APA StyleWang, D., Liu, J., Cao, L., & Zhang, D. (2026). Coastline Changes and Driving Forces Based on Remotely Sensed Data in Bohai Bay over the Past 20 Years. Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, 14(11), 962. https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse14110962

