FIB-4 First in the Diagnostic Algorithm of Metabolic-Dysfunction-Associated Fatty Liver Disease in the Era of the Global Metabodemic

The prevalence of obesity or metabolic syndrome is increasing worldwide (globally metabodemic). Approximately 25% of the adult general population is suffering from nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), which has become a serious health problem. In 2020, global experts suggested that the nomenclature of NAFLD should be updated to metabolic-dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD). Hepatic fibrosis is the most significant determinant of all cause- and liver -related mortality in MAFLD. The non-invasive test (NIT) is urgently required to evaluate hepatic fibrosis in MAFLD. The fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index is the first triaging tool for excluding advanced fibrosis because of its accuracy, simplicity, and cheapness, especially for general physicians or endocrinologists, although the FIB-4 index has several drawbacks. Accumulating evidence has suggested that vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) and the enhanced liver fibrosis (ELF) test may become useful as the second step after triaging by the FIB-4 index. The leading cause of mortality in MAFLD is cardiovascular disease (CVD), extrahepatic malignancy, and liver-related diseases. MAFLD often complicates chronic kidney disease (CKD), resulting in increased simultaneous liver kidney transplantation. The FIB-4 index could be a predictor of not only liver-related mortality and incident hepatocellular carcinoma, but also prevalent and incident CKD, CVD, and extrahepatic malignancy. Although NITs as milestones for evaluating treatment efficacy have never been established, the FIB-4 index is expected to reflect histological hepatic fibrosis after treatment in several longitudinal studies. We here review the role of the FIB-4 index in the management of MAFLD.


Introduction
Obesity-associated disease is the most serious health problem worldwide (so-called metabodemic) [1]. In the adult population, 25% of the general population is estimated to be suffering from nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) [2]. Lifestyle-related diseases, such as obesity, type 2 diabetes (T2D), dyslipidemia, and hypertension, are closely associated with NAFLD, and patients who are not obese can also present with NAFLD; this is known as lean NAFLD. Lean NAFLD is defined as NAFLD that develops in patients with a body mass index (BMI) of <25 kg/m 2 [3]. The prevalence of lean NAFLD varies from 7% in the US [4] to as high as 19% in Asia [5,6]. The pathogenesis of lean NAFLD is not well understood. Lean NAFLD patients demonstrate early alterations in the bile acid and gut microbiota profile [7]. The possession of the patatin-like phospholipase domain containing 3 (PNPLA3) polymorphism has been shown to be an independent factor associated with lean NAFLD patients [8,9].
The nomenclature of NAFLD should be updated to metabolic-dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) [10]. Global experts suggest that the term MAFLD is more appropriate than NAFLD [11]. NAFLD has been diagnosed after exclusion of other liver diseases, while MAFLD can coexist with other liver diseases [10]. Therefore, MAFLD plus the hepatitis B virus (HBV) inactive carrier, MAFLD plus alcoholic liver disease (ALD), MAFLD plus autoimmune hepatitis (AIH), or MAFLD plus drug-induced liver injury (DILI) are plausible as a final diagnosis in clinical practice. Hepatic fibrosis is the most important risk factor for not only incident HCC, but also liver-related mortality in MAFLD [12]. Liver biopsy is now the gold standard for evaluating hepatic fibrosis, but it has several drawbacks such as hemorrhage risk, invasiveness, cost, observers' variability, and patients' unwillingness. Considering a large population of MAFLD patients, non-invasive tests (NITs) without performing liver biopsy are urgently required [13]. The American Association for the Study of Liver Disease (AASLD) practice guidance 2018 recommends the use of an NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS), the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index, vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE), and magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) [14]. However, all institutions do not have these innovative imaging modalities such as VCTE or MRE. The FIB-4 index, consisting of four parameters (age, aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), and platelets), is a simple, cheap, and accurate tool [15,16]. We here review the role of the FIB-4 index for evaluation of hepatic fibrosis, incident comorbidities, carcinogenesis (hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and extrahepatic malignancy), overall/liver-related mortality or morbidity, and treatment efficacy in the management of NAFLD.

Which Fibrosis Stage Should We Pick up in MAFLD?
For a long time, a variety of NITs have been proposed to differentiate steatohepatitis from simple steatosis: cytokerarin-18, The hypertension, ALT levels, and insulin resistance (HAIR) score, and the NAFIC score (NASH, ferritin, insulin, and type IV collagen 7s). None of the NITs were globally accepted, because histological diagnosis of steatohepatitis has Life 2021, 11, 143 3 of 21 several limitations such as existence of borderline steatohepatitis, observers' variability, and sampling error.
Fibrosis stages in MAFLD can be classified into F0, F1, F2, F3, and F4 [17,18]. F3 or F4 were defined as advanced fibrosis. Currently, MAFLD patients with advanced fibrosis should be examined for HCC surveillance considering cost-benefit balance [19,20]. Considering exponential increase in liver-related mortality in MAFLD patients with ≥ F2 compared with those with F0/1 (hazard ratio [HR] 9.57, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1. 67-54.93) [12], we wonder which fibrosis stage (F2, F3, or F4) we should mine among a huge population of MAFLD. A variety of NITs for identifying advanced fibrosis in MAFLD have been established (Table 1). Vilar-Gomez et al. reported that NFS and the FIB-4 index are useful screening tools for determining the stage of liver fibrosis to be routinely applied in clinical practice [21]. Thus, the FIB-4 index and NFS are now recommended for excluding advanced fibrosis in the AASLD practice guidance 2018 [14].
The enhanced liver fibrosis (ELF) test is a non-invasive blood test that measures three direct markers of fibrosis: Hyaluronic acid (HA), procollagen III amino-terminal peptide (PIIINP), and tissue inhibitor of matrix metalloproteinase 1 (TIMP-1) [22]. According to a two-step algorithm from EU [23], ELF test can be applied to the intermediate group of FIB-4 index (1. 3-3.25). If NAFLD patients have an ELF score of 10.35 or above, they are likely to have advanced fibrosis. ELF can reduce unnecessary liver biopsies. Recently, the usefulness of the ELF test was also validated in the Japanese NAFLD population [24]. Combinations or sequential procedures using VCTE complement the diagnostic performance of the ELF test for the identification of advanced fibrosis. From the view of economic cost, the combination of FIB-4 index plus ELF test is superior to the combination of FIB-4 index plus VCTE [25]. In the two-step algorithm for identifying severe fibrosis in MAFLD, FIB-4 index has been established as the 1st step, while ELF score, VCTE, or MRE may be diagnostic modalities as the 2nd step. NAFLD fibrosis score [26] −1.675 + 0.037 × age (years) + 0.094 × BMI (kg/m 2 ) + 1.13 × impaired fasting glucose/diabetes (yes = 1, no = 0) + 0.99 × AST/ALT ratio-0.013 × platelet count (×10 9 /L) − 0. 66

The Usefulness of FIB-4 Index to Evaluating Severe Fibrosis in MAFLD
The FIB-4 index is a score based on readily available blood tests that are routinely measured (age, AST, ALT, and platelet count). FIB-4 index is originally developed for evaluating hepatic fibrosis in patients with HIV/HCV co-infection [30]. At first, multiple regression analysis identified four variables as independent predictors of fibrosis: Age, AST, PT-INR, and platelet count in 505 patients with HIV/HCV co-infection. The second model that was investigated was applicable to 553 patients, and considered age, AST, platelet count, and ALT instead of PT-INR [30]. FIB-4 index enabled the correct identification of patients with severe fibrosis (F3/4) in HCV-monoinfected patients [31]. HCV eradicated patients without cirrhosis, but those with FIB-4 scores ≥ 3.25 have a high enough risk to merit HCC surveillance [32]. In noncirrhotic patients with chronic HBV infection, low FIB-4 index is useful for the prediction of the lowest risks of liver related events (carcinogenesis, cirrhosis progression, and mortality) [33][34][35]. Taken together, FIB-4 index has been established as NIT for identifying severe fibrosis or high risk of liver-related event in patients with chronic viral hepatitis.
In MAFLD, the first report by Shah and colleagues in a study of 541 MAFLD patients found that FIB-4 index had better diagnostic accuracy for estimation of liver fibrosis among various serum markers [15]. FIB-4 index has been suggested as a prescreening strategy to improve the efficiency of referral for specialized liver care, prioritizing patients who are at higher risk of significant liver disease. First of all, diagnostic accuracy is superior to other simple NITs such as NFS, AST to platelet ratio index (APRI), and BARD (BMI, AST/ALT ratio, diabetes) score [15,16,26,[36][37][38][39][40] (Table 2). The NPV values of all methods (APRI, FIB-4 index, BARD score and NFS) were greater than 75% for the diagnosis of severe fibrosis. The summary specificities of the four models (APRI, FIB-4 index, and NFS) were greater than 85% for predicting severe fibrosis. The BARD score was inferior to other parameters. When APRI and FIB-4 index were used to detect severe fibrosis, their corresponding summary specificities were greater than 95%. The summary specificities of APRI (cutoff of 1.5), FIB-4 index (cutoff of 2.67), BARD score (cutoff of 2), and NFS (cutoff of 0.67-0.676) were 96.1%, 96.5%, 61.3%, and 94.6%, respectively. Only FIB-4 and NFS had a summary PPV greater than 70% [36]. Table 2. Summary sensitivities, specificities, PPV, and NPV of APRI, FIB-4, BARD score, and NAFLD Score, at various diagnostic thresholds for prediction of severe fibrosis [36]. FIB-4 index could differentiate between steatohepatitis and non-steatohepatitis, even with steatohepatitis patients with mild or no fibrosis [41]. FIB-4 index has several advantages. First, calculation of FIB-4 index requires only four parameters, age, AST, ALT, and platelet count, while calculating the formula of NFS is slightly more complex [26] (Table 1). Second, FIB-4 index is available even in MAFLD patients with normal ALT levels [42][43][44]. A meta-analysis proved that 25% MAFLD patients and 19% NASH patients possess the normal ALT value [43]. Another strength of FIB-4 index is the availability of free online calculators (https://www.eapharma.co.jp/medicalexpert/product/livact/fib-4/calculator.html) (accessed on 25 January 2021).

The Compassion between FIB-4 Index and VCTE
To assess liver fibrosis, several non-invasive US-based elastography techniques have been developed. These methods include VCTE (FibroScan; Echosens, Paris, France), acoustic radiation force impulse (ARFI) imaging, and shear wave elastography (SWE) [45]. US-based VCTE performed with the FibroScan (Echosens) is the most thoroughly validated and commonly used elastography method worldwide. A systematic review and metaanalysis of VCTE in patients with NAFLD by Kwok et al. indicated that VCTE is good for the diagnosis of F3 (85% sensitivity and 82% specificity) and excellent for F4 (92% sensitivity and 92% sensitivity). However, it has a slightly lower accuracy for diagnosing F2 (79% sensitivity and 75% specificity) [46]. VCTE has several limitations. VCTE is limited to referral centers due to high equipment cost and had substantial failure rate, especially in obese patients. VCTE has a better diagnostic accuracy for advanced fibrosis than both FIB-4 index and NFS only in nonobese and/or low ALT patients [47]. However, liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by VCTE is influenced by not only hepatic fibrosis, but also a various factors, including steatosis, inflammation, congestion, and cholestasis. LSM has also intra-or inter-observers' variability. The two-step algorithm, using FIB-4 index as the first step followed by VCTE as the second step, has been proposed in the US, Canada, and Asia [48][49][50][51][52]. The optimal cutoff value of LSM for identifying advanced fibrosis should be discussed.

FIB-4 Index and Carcinogenesis
In HCV, increased risk for HCC persists up to 10 years after HCV eradication in patients with baseline cirrhosis or high FIB-4 index [53]. In hepatis virus infected patients, a meta-analysis confirmed prognostic values of the FIB-4 index for overall survival and recurrence-free survival in HCC [54]. In NAFLD, Kanwal et al. showed that an FIB-4 Life 2021, 11, 143 6 of 21 index > 2.67 is associated with an increased risk of HCC not only in those with known cirrhosis, but also in those without a prior diagnosis of cirrhosis [55]. It is noteworthy whether FIB-4 index can be a predictor of incident malignancy in NAFLD, including HCC. NAFLD patients had a higher risk of HCC, colon cancer, and breast cancer compared with the non-NAFLD population [56]. NAFLD patients with FIB-4 index > 1.45 had higher risk of all cancer incidence compared to those with FIB-4 index < 1.45 (HR: 13.99, 95% CI: 3.00-65.23) [56]. In another study, FIB-4 index and NFS can predict HCC development and extra-cancer incidence, although the number of NAFLD patients involved in this study is small (n = 123) [57]. In Japan, the FIB-4 index was useful for predicting liver-related diseases but had limitations in predicting extrahepatic malignancies [58]. The relationship between NITs and extrahepatic cancer should be explored further.
It remains to be solved whether hepatic fibrosis could accelerate carcinogenesis in extrahepatic organs.

FIB-4 Index and Mortality
NAFLD patients with higher FIB-4 index are associated with increased liver disease and overall mortality [59][60][61][62] (Table 3). When NITs are applied to the general population, NITs did not become better predictor of severe liver disease than expected [57]. In NAFLD with diabetes, FIB-4 index, NFS, and APRI cannot predict liver-related mortality and morbidity [63]. In Japan, liver related mortality is extremely low in US-diagnosed NAFLD patients (9/4073) [64]. The main cause of mortality in that study is cardiovascular events and extrahepatic malignancies. NFS can stratify risk of cardiovascular events and extrahepatic malignancies [64]. FIB-4 index is also associated with all-cause mortality of systemic chronic diseases such as rheumatoid arthritis [65], microscopic polyangiitis, granulomatosis with polyangiitis [66], and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease [67]. The underlying mechanisms of these relationships remain unknown. Table 3. NITs predicting for over-all mortality/morbidity, liver-related mortality/morbidity, liver related event, CVD, mortality, and extrahepatic cancer incidence in NAFLD.

FIB-4 Index and Risk of Cardiovascular Disease
The leading cause of mortality in MAFLD patients is cardiovascular disease (CVD), followed by extrahepatic cancer and liver related diseases [70]. MAFLD is an independent risk factor of coronary sclerosis [71], atrial fibrillation (AF) [72], coronary artery disease (CAD), and left ventricular dysfunction [73,74]. In daily clinical practice, we should pay attention to CVD event and control other risk factors, such as hypertension, dyslipidemia, and type 2 diabetes (T2D). FIB-4 index appears to be associated with high risk of CVD mortality [60]. Over a median follow-up time of 41

FIB-4 Index and Risk of Cardiovascular Disease
The leading cause of mortality in MAFLD patients is cardiovascular disease (CVD), followed by extrahepatic cancer and liver related diseases [70]. MAFLD is an independent risk factor of coronary sclerosis [71], atrial fibrillation (AF) [72], coronary artery disease (CAD), and left ventricular dysfunction [73,74]. In daily clinical practice, we should pay attention to CVD event and control other risk factors, such as hypertension, dyslipidemia, and type 2 diabetes (T2D). FIB-4 index appears to be associated with high risk of CVD mortality [60]. Over a median follow-up time of 41.4 months (3044.4 patient-years) in 898 consecutive outpatients (mean age, 56.4 ± 12.7 years; 37.5% women), 58 cardiovascular NFS ○ Forns score ○ Forns score○ NAFLD [57] 153 Israel Biopsy 100 months (mean) 180 China US 6.6 (range 0.

FIB-4 Index and Risk of Cardiovascular Disease
The leading cause of mortality in MAFLD patients is cardiovascular disease (CVD), followed by extrahepatic cancer and liver related diseases [70]. MAFLD is an independent risk factor of coronary sclerosis [71], atrial fibrillation (AF) [72], coronary artery disease (CAD), and left ventricular dysfunction [73,74]. In daily clinical practice, we should pay attention to CVD event and control other risk factors, such as hypertension, dyslipidemia, can predict very well, can predict, × cannot predict.

FIB-4 Index and Risk of Cardiovascular Disease
The leading cause of mortality in MAFLD patients is cardiovascular disease (CVD), followed by extrahepatic cancer and liver related diseases [70]. MAFLD is an independent risk factor of coronary sclerosis [71], atrial fibrillation (AF) [72], coronary artery disease (CAD), and left ventricular dysfunction [73,74]. In daily clinical practice, we should pay attention to CVD event and control other risk factors, such as hypertension, dyslipidemia, and type 2 diabetes (T2D). FIB-4 index appears to be associated with high risk of CVD mortality [60]. Over a median follow-up time of 41.4 months (3044.4 patient-years) in 898 consecutive outpatients (mean age, 56.4 ± 12.7 years; 37.5% women), 58 cardiovascular events (1.9%/year) were registered. The rate of cardiovascular events was higher in patients with (n = 643, 2.1%/year) vs. without MAFLD (n = 255, 1.0%/year) (p = 0.066). In multivariable Cox proportional regression analysis, MAFLD increased risk for cardiovascular events (HR, 2.41; 95% CI, 1.06-5.47; p = 0.036) after adjustment for metabolic syndrome. Among patients with MAFLD, male sex, previous cardiovascular events, metabolic syndrome, and FIB-4 index ≥ 2.67 (HR, 4.02; 95% CI, 1.21-13.38; p = 0.023) were independently associated with risk of incident cardiovascular events [75]. A post hoc analysis of SAKURA AF Registry study showed that higher FIB-4 index ≥ 2.51 is independently associated with risks of CVD events and all-cause mortality in patients with AF [76]. The highest levels of NIT such as NFS, FIB-4 index, APRI, gamma-glutamyltransferase (GGT) to platelet ratio (GPR), and Forns score were associated with all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality [77]. In Japan, FIB-4 index is well correlated with coronary atherosclerosis (coronary artery calcium [CAC] score > 100), and subjects with higher FIB-4 index were prone to receive percutaneous coronary intervention [78]. In 665 Korean NAFLD subjects, the NFS and FIB-4 index were associated with coronary atherosclerosis (CAC score > 100) [79]. In patients with CAD, the highest NITs of hepatic fibrosis are associated with increased risks of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality [80]. FIB-4 index is also associated with all-cause mortality in patients with heart failure (HF) [81]. Among 96,373 participants over 6.9 years, 3844 incident congestive heart failure (CHF) events occurred. FIB-4 between 1. 45 [82]. These results suggest that hepatic fibrosis (mild to severe) is associated with incident HF in the general population.

FIB-4 Index and Risk of Chronic Kidney Disease
MAFLD often complicates chronic kidney disease (CKD), resulting in growing indication for simultaneous liver kidney transplantation (SLKT) [83]. Risk of kidney graft loss was over 1.5-fold higher in recipients with MAFLD-cirrhosis than those with other etiologies [83]. A meta-analysis by Musso from Italy showed that MAFLD was associated with an increased risk of prevalent (OR 2.12, 95% CI 1.69-2.66) and incident (HR 1.79, 95% CI 1.65-1.95) CKD. Advanced fibrosis was associated with a higher prevalence (OR 5.20, 95% CI 3.14-8.61) and incidence (HR 3.29, 95% CI 2.30-4.71) of CKD than non-advanced fibrosis [84]. A variety of common drug pipelines exists for MAFLD and CKD [85,86]. In a cross sectional study based on 755 patients with USA-based diagnosed MAFLD, high FIB-4 index (≥1.10) is associated with an increased risk of prevalent CKD. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) was the greatest for FIB-4 index (0.750), followed by NFS (0.710), AAR (0.594), APRI (0.587), and BARD score (0.561). In an analysis of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) conducted in the USA between 1988 and 1994, FIB-4 index is the better predictor of an increased risk of prevalent CKD compared with NFS, BARD, and APRI score [87].
The annual rate of incident CKD in MAFLD patients is estimated to be about 1.2% [88]. Five factors of baseline low eGFR level (60-75 mL/min), aging, T2D, hypertension, and elevated GGT, increase the risk of the development of CKD [88]. High FIB-4 index is a significant risk factor for incident CVD, and patients with increased FIB-4 index showed larger reduction in eGFR compared with those with decreased FIB-4 index [89]. The association of PNPLA3 genotype with incident CVD is conflicting [89][90][91].

Distribution of FIB-4 Index in MAFLD Population
The distribution of FIB-4 index in a healthy general population remains unknown, while some reports showed the distribution of FIB-4 index in MAFLD population. A total of 1370 MAFLD patients (78.5%) exhibited a low cut-off index (COI) (<1. 30 [16]. Distribution of FIB-4 index in MAFLD depends on population age, ethnics, and selection bias (population-based, hospital-based, or biopsy proven). We are now planning to clarify the distribution of FIB-4 index in a healthy general population undergoing health checkups or non-biased MAFLD population.

Drawbacks of FIB-4 Index
FIB-4 index is a simple, reliable, and cheap parameter. Because FIB-4 index shows a high negative positive value (NPV) for detecting advanced fibrosis, FIB-4 index is useful to exclude advanced hepatic fibrosis. However, the FIB-4 index has also several drawbacks [94].
First, FIB-4 index requires an intermediate group. NAFLD patients classified into that group have to receive other NITs or liver biopsies. After exclusion of no or mild fibrosis, 2nd step diagnosis should be applied to the intermediate group. In Europe, the ELF test is usually applied to this intermediate group [23]. In the US or Asia, VCTE has been inducted as the second step.
Second, the positive predictive value (PPV) for identifying advanced fibrosis is not so high, so the FIB-4 index cannot help us to pick up advanced fibrosis.
Third, there is a concern that FIB-4 index may overpredict fibrosis in older patients [95,96], because its formula includes age. On the basis of data in JSG-NAFLD including 1050 biopsyproven MAFLD patients, the box plot of the FIB-4 index according to each age group was shown in Figure 1. The FIB-4 index increases with age. Using conventional COI, the exclusion of advanced fibrosis is decreasing as the age becoming higher, and the detection of advanced fibrosis is decreasing as the age become lower. The new proposed low COI are 1.88 in 60-69 years, and 1.95 in ≥70 years [96] (Figure 2). McPherson and colleagues also suggested 2.0 of low COI in 65 years or older [95]. On data of 1008 patients with MAFLD from nine centers across eight countries (The Gut and Obesity in Asia (GOASIA) Workgroup), NITs such as APRI, NFS, and FIB-4 index had a lower specificity in elderly (AUROC 0.62-0.65) [97]. Female (OR: 3.21; 95% CI 1.37-7.54] and hypertension (OR 3.68; 95%CI 1.11-12.23) were predicting factors for advanced fibrosis in the elderly [97].
Fourth, low COI of FIB-4 index are variable according to ethnics. Low COI of FIB-4 index was generally accepted as 1.3 in western countries [15,98], while 1.45 in Asia [16,50,52]. Over-referral and under-referral are tradeoff relationships ( Table 4). The problem of overreferral includes increased unnecessary liver biopsies, overwork of hepatologists, and high healthcare costs [99]. Over-referral has merits, such as decrease in burden for general physician and early identification of HCC, resulting in improving overall survival. The selection of over-referral or under-referral depends on hospital human resources, and physicians' or hepatologists' commitment for MAFLD.
Fifth, the FIB-4 index has limitations in a certain population of MAFLD patients. FIB-4 index showed significantly lower AUROCs for advanced fibrosis in obese MAFLD than in non-obese NAFLD [100]. Moreover, we found that FIB-4 index might be inferior in MAFLD patients with T2D compared to those without T2D [101]. In a study from Australia, NITs such as FIB-4 index, NFS, and APRI did not predict liver related events in 284 patients with MAFLD and diabetes [102]. Although its precise mechanism underlying inferiority of these NITs in T2D patients remains unknown, platelet count tends to be higher in MAFLD patients with T2D compared to those without T2D [101]. FIB-4 index in MAFLD patients with T2D is also lower than in those without T2D at the same fibrosis stages. FIB-4 index had reasonable specificity (69.9%), but poor sensitivity for detecting advanced fibrosis (72.6%) in T2D [103]. Type IV collagen 7S is the best predictor in Japanese MAFLD patients with T2D [101]. The combination of type IV collagen 7S and AST (CA index) may be more useful than type IV collagen 7S alone for detecting severe fibrosis [29]. 1050 biopsy-proven MAFLD patients, the box plot of the FIB-4 index acc age group was shown in Figure 1. The FIB-4 index increases with age. Usin COI, the exclusion of advanced fibrosis is decreasing as the age becoming h detection of advanced fibrosis is decreasing as the age become lower. The low COI are 1.88 in 60-69 years, and 1.95 in ≥70 years [96] (Figure 2). M colleagues also suggested 2.0 of low COI in 65 years or older [95]. On data o with MAFLD from nine centers across eight countries (The Gut and O (GOASIA) Workgroup), NITs such as APRI, NFS, and FIB-4 index had a lo in elderly (AUROC 0.62-0.65) [97]. Female (OR: 3.21; 95% CI 1.37-7.54] and (OR 3.68; 95%CI 1.11-12.23) were predicting factors for advanced fibrosis in t  COI, the exclusion of advanced fibrosis is decreasing as the age becomin detection of advanced fibrosis is decreasing as the age become lower. Th low COI are 1.88 in 60-69 years, and 1.95 in ≥70 years [96] (Figure 2). colleagues also suggested 2.0 of low COI in 65 years or older [95]. On dat with MAFLD from nine centers across eight countries (The Gut and (GOASIA) Workgroup), NITs such as APRI, NFS, and FIB-4 index had a in elderly (AUROC 0.62-0.65) [97]. Female (OR: 3.21; 95% CI 1.37-7.54] a (OR 3.68; 95%CI 1.11-12.23) were predicting factors for advanced fibrosis i   Sixth, Shah S and colleagues feel that a low cut-off of 1.3 may be inappropriate, as it would include patients with F2 fibrosis [104]. They propose lowering COI of FIB-4 index to 1.0 in order to capture F2 patients. F2 fibrosis confers an increased mortality of liver-related diseases compared with no fibrosis (F0) (HR: 2.52) [12]. "Active fibrotic NASH" which requires intensive treatment is defined as NASH with NAFLD activity score (NAS) ≥ 4 and ≥ F2. Inclusion criteria in a variety of drug pipelines include NASH with NAS ≥ 4 and ≥ F2 [105,106]. FAST (FibroScan-AST) score, consisting of three parameters, including FibroScan-based controlled attenuation parameter (CAP), FibroScan-based LSM, and AST, can predict "active fibrotic NASH" [107][108][109]. "Active fibrotic NASH" patients had better receive intensive treatments for preventing progression to advanced stage. FAST score was designed to isolate "active fibrotic NASH" patients with elevated NAS ≥ 4 and significant fibrosis (≥F2) who could benefit from early interventions with anti-steatohepatitis and/or antifibrotic agents.
Although several problems of FIB-4 index remain to be solved, FIB-4 index is believed to be enough as the first triaging tool to exclude hepatic fibrosis, especially for general physicians or endocrinologists. However, limitations of FIB-4 index were kept in mind. As mentioned above, the MAFLD population with obesity or T2D might be inferior to that without obesity or T2D. It is plausible that heterogeneity of MAFLD has some impact on the performance of NIT.

Two-Step Diagnostic Algorithm Using FIB-4 Index as the First Step
Globally, two-step diagnostic algorithms using FIB-4 index as the first step are generally accepted. Assessment of the potential impact of implementing a FIB-4 first strategy to triage patients using a clinical referral pathway for suspected NAFLD was performed at a tertiary liver center in Canada [98]. FIB-4 first strategy would decrease costs and decrease unnecessary referrals, as well as increase access to screening in non-specialized facilities. It remains unknown which parameters are the most appropriate as the second step among a variety of NITs, including ELF test [22], Mac-2 binding protein glycated isomer (M2BPGi) [110][111][112], type IV collagen 7S [29,111], ProC3 [113], and autotaxin [114,115] ( Figure 3). crease unnecessary referrals, as well as increase access to screening in non-s cilities. It remains unknown which parameters are the most appropriate as th among a variety of NITs, including ELF test [22], Mac-2 binding protein gl (M2BPGi) [110][111][112], type IV collagen 7S [29,111], ProC3 [113], and autot ( Figure 3).

FIB-4 Index as Milestones of Treatment in MAFLD
Hard endpoints of treatments such as overall or liver-related mortalit to evaluate. The gold standard to evaluate steatohepatitis treatment efficacy logical finding by liver biopsy. The primary endpoints are (1) steatohepat without worsening fibrosis, or (2) fibrosis improvement of more than 1 worsening steatohepatitis. However, repeated biopsies are also difficult to cause of risk, patients' unwillingness, cost, and diagnostic variability. NIT treatment efficacy are urgently needed to avoid repeated liver biopsies for treatment efficacy. Hepatic steatosis has been evaluated by innovative imagi

FIB-4 Index as Milestones of Treatment in MAFLD
Hard endpoints of treatments such as overall or liver-related mortality are difficult to evaluate. The gold standard to evaluate steatohepatitis treatment efficacy is now histological finding by liver biopsy. The primary endpoints are (1) steatohepatitis resolution without worsening fibrosis, or (2) fibrosis improvement of more than 1 stage without worsening steatohepatitis. However, repeated biopsies are also difficult to perform, because of risk, patients' unwillingness, cost, and diagnostic variability. NITs monitoring treatment efficacy are urgently needed to avoid repeated liver biopsies for evaluation of treatment efficacy. Hepatic steatosis has been evaluated by innovative imaging modalities such as VCTE-based CAP, magnetic resonance imaging-proton density fat fraction (MRI-PDFF), or ultrasound-guided attenuation parameter (UGAP) [116][117][118]. However, it remains unknown that reduction in hepatic fat content can really result in amelioration of hepatic fibrosis in MAFLD. It also remains unknown whether NITs evaluating hepatic fibrosis in cross-sectional studies can also reflect hepatic fibrosis in longitudinal studies. Accumulating evidence has suggested that improvement in ABC (ALT, body weight, and A1c) is related to ameliorating hepatic fibrosis [106]. It is expected that FIB-4 index can become alternative to liver biopsies for evaluating treatment efficacy [119,120]. Finally, reduction in ALT, body weight, HbA1c, APRI, and FIB-4 index may become milestones for ameliorate hepatic fibrosis in these longitudinal studies (Table 5).

Conclusions
In 2030, the number of Japanese MAFLD patients with advanced fibro mated to reach one million people. In China, about eight people will be su advanced fibrosis. Early identification of advanced fibrosis can result in early HCC or early intervention for MAFLD patients. The FIB-4 index is positione triaging tool for excluding advanced fibrosis due to its simplicity, low cost, an of liver-related or overall mortality. Type IV collagen 7S seems to be superior index in MAFLD patients with T2D. Type IV collagen 7S will become the first for excluding advanced fibrosis in MAFLD patients with T2D. It remains unk NITs are the most appropriate as the second step in a two-step algorithm on cost-benefit balance. The ELF test, VCTE, MRE, and other hepatic fibrosis ma pected.

Conclusions
In 2030, the number of Japanese MAFLD patients with advanced fibrosis are mated to reach one million people. In China, about eight people will be suffering f advanced fibrosis. Early identification of advanced fibrosis can result in early detectio HCC or early intervention for MAFLD patients. The FIB-4 index is positioned as the triaging tool for excluding advanced fibrosis due to its simplicity, low cost, and a predi of liver-related or overall mortality. Type IV collagen 7S seems to be superior to the F index in MAFLD patients with T2D. Type IV collagen 7S will become the first triaging for excluding advanced fibrosis in MAFLD patients with T2D. It remains unknown w NITs are the most appropriate as the second step in a two-step algorithm on the view cost-benefit balance. The ELF test, VCTE, MRE, and other hepatic fibrosis markers are pected.

Conclusions
In 2030, the number of Japanese MAFLD patients with advanced fibrosis are e mated to reach one million people. In China, about eight people will be suffering fro advanced fibrosis. Early identification of advanced fibrosis can result in early detection HCC or early intervention for MAFLD patients. The FIB-4 index is positioned as the fi triaging tool for excluding advanced fibrosis due to its simplicity, low cost, and a predic of liver-related or overall mortality. Type IV collagen 7S seems to be superior to the FIB index in MAFLD patients with T2D. Type IV collagen 7S will become the first triaging t for excluding advanced fibrosis in MAFLD patients with T2D. It remains unknown wh NITs are the most appropriate as the second step in a two-step algorithm on the view cost-benefit balance. The ELF test, VCTE, MRE, and other hepatic fibrosis markers are pected.

Conclusions
In 2030, the number of Japanese MAFLD patients with advanced fibrosis are mated to reach one million people. In China, about eight people will be suffering f advanced fibrosis. Early identification of advanced fibrosis can result in early detectio HCC or early intervention for MAFLD patients. The FIB-4 index is positioned as the triaging tool for excluding advanced fibrosis due to its simplicity, low cost, and a pred of liver-related or overall mortality. Type IV collagen 7S seems to be superior to the F index in MAFLD patients with T2D. Type IV collagen 7S will become the first triaging for excluding advanced fibrosis in MAFLD patients with T2D. It remains unknown w NITs are the most appropriate as the second step in a two-step algorithm on the vie cost-benefit balance. The ELF test, VCTE, MRE, and other hepatic fibrosis markers ar pected.

Conclusions
In 2030, the number of Japanese MAFLD patients with advanced fibr mated to reach one million people. In China, about eight people will be su advanced fibrosis. Early identification of advanced fibrosis can result in early HCC or early intervention for MAFLD patients. The FIB-4 index is positione triaging tool for excluding advanced fibrosis due to its simplicity, low cost, an of liver-related or overall mortality. Type IV collagen 7S seems to be superio index in MAFLD patients with T2D. Type IV collagen 7S will become the first for excluding advanced fibrosis in MAFLD patients with T2D. It remains unk NITs are the most appropriate as the second step in a two-step algorithm o cost-benefit balance. The ELF test, VCTE, MRE, and other hepatic fibrosis ma pected.

Conclusions
In 2030, the number of Japanese MAFLD patients with advance mated to reach one million people. In China, about eight people will advanced fibrosis. Early identification of advanced fibrosis can result in HCC or early intervention for MAFLD patients. The FIB-4 index is pos triaging tool for excluding advanced fibrosis due to its simplicity, low co of liver-related or overall mortality. Type IV collagen 7S seems to be su index in MAFLD patients with T2D. Type IV collagen 7S will become th for excluding advanced fibrosis in MAFLD patients with T2D. It remain NITs are the most appropriate as the second step in a two-step algorit cost-benefit balance. The ELF test, VCTE, MRE, and other hepatic fibro pected.

Conclusions
In 2030, the number of Japanese MAFLD patients with advanced fibrosis a mated to reach one million people. In China, about eight people will be sufferin advanced fibrosis. Early identification of advanced fibrosis can result in early dete HCC or early intervention for MAFLD patients. The FIB-4 index is positioned as t triaging tool for excluding advanced fibrosis due to its simplicity, low cost, and a pr of liver-related or overall mortality. Type IV collagen 7S seems to be superior to th index in MAFLD patients with T2D. Type IV collagen 7S will become the first triag for excluding advanced fibrosis in MAFLD patients with T2D. It remains unknown NITs are the most appropriate as the second step in a two-step algorithm on the cost-benefit balance. The ELF test, VCTE, MRE, and other hepatic fibrosis markers pected.

Conclusions
In 2030, the number of Japanese MAFLD patients with advan mated to reach one million people. In China, about eight people w advanced fibrosis. Early identification of advanced fibrosis can resul HCC or early intervention for MAFLD patients. The FIB-4 index is p triaging tool for excluding advanced fibrosis due to its simplicity, low of liver-related or overall mortality. Type IV collagen 7S seems to be index in MAFLD patients with T2D. Type IV collagen 7S will become for excluding advanced fibrosis in MAFLD patients with T2D. It rem NITs are the most appropriate as the second step in a two-step algo cost-benefit balance. The ELF test, VCTE, MRE, and other hepatic fib pected.

Conclusions
In 2030, the number of Japanese MAFLD patients with mated to reach one million people. In China, about eight pe advanced fibrosis. Early identification of advanced fibrosis ca HCC or early intervention for MAFLD patients. The FIB-4 in triaging tool for excluding advanced fibrosis due to its simplic of liver-related or overall mortality. Type IV collagen 7S seem index in MAFLD patients with T2D. Type IV collagen 7S will b for excluding advanced fibrosis in MAFLD patients with T2D NITs are the most appropriate as the second step in a two-st cost-benefit balance. The ELF test, VCTE, MRE, and other hep pected.

Conclusions
In 2030, the number of Japanese MAFLD patients with advanced mated to reach one million people. In China, about eight people will advanced fibrosis. Early identification of advanced fibrosis can result in HCC or early intervention for MAFLD patients. The FIB-4 index is pos triaging tool for excluding advanced fibrosis due to its simplicity, low co of liver-related or overall mortality. Type IV collagen 7S seems to be sup index in MAFLD patients with T2D. Type IV collagen 7S will become the for excluding advanced fibrosis in MAFLD patients with T2D. It remain NITs are the most appropriate as the second step in a two-step algorith cost-benefit balance. The ELF test, VCTE, MRE, and other hepatic fibros pected.

Conclusions
In 2030, the number of Japanese MAFLD patients with advanced fi mated to reach one million people. In China, about eight people will be advanced fibrosis. Early identification of advanced fibrosis can result in ea HCC or early intervention for MAFLD patients. The FIB-4 index is positio triaging tool for excluding advanced fibrosis due to its simplicity, low cost, of liver-related or overall mortality. Type IV collagen 7S seems to be super index in MAFLD patients with T2D. Type IV collagen 7S will become the fir for excluding advanced fibrosis in MAFLD patients with T2D. It remains u NITs are the most appropriate as the second step in a two-step algorithm cost-benefit balance. The ELF test, VCTE, MRE, and other hepatic fibrosis m pected.

Conclusions
In 2030, the number of Japanese MAFLD patients with advanced mated to reach one million people. In China, about eight people will advanced fibrosis. Early identification of advanced fibrosis can result in HCC or early intervention for MAFLD patients. The FIB-4 index is posi triaging tool for excluding advanced fibrosis due to its simplicity, low co of liver-related or overall mortality. Type IV collagen 7S seems to be sup index in MAFLD patients with T2D. Type IV collagen 7S will become the for excluding advanced fibrosis in MAFLD patients with T2D. It remain NITs are the most appropriate as the second step in a two-step algorith cost-benefit balance. The ELF test, VCTE, MRE, and other hepatic fibros pected.

Conclusions
In 2030, the number of Japanese MAFLD patients with advanced fibro mated to reach one million people. In China, about eight people will be suf advanced fibrosis. Early identification of advanced fibrosis can result in early d HCC or early intervention for MAFLD patients. The FIB-4 index is positioned triaging tool for excluding advanced fibrosis due to its simplicity, low cost, and of liver-related or overall mortality. Type IV collagen 7S seems to be superior index in MAFLD patients with T2D. Type IV collagen 7S will become the first t for excluding advanced fibrosis in MAFLD patients with T2D. It remains unkn NITs are the most appropriate as the second step in a two-step algorithm on cost-benefit balance. The ELF test, VCTE, MRE, and other hepatic fibrosis mar pected.

Conclusions
In 2030, the number of Japanese MAFLD patients mated to reach one million people. In China, about eigh advanced fibrosis. Early identification of advanced fibros HCC or early intervention for MAFLD patients. The FIBtriaging tool for excluding advanced fibrosis due to its sim of liver-related or overall mortality. Type IV collagen 7S s index in MAFLD patients with T2D. Type IV collagen 7S w for excluding advanced fibrosis in MAFLD patients with NITs are the most appropriate as the second step in a tw cost-benefit balance. The ELF test, VCTE, MRE, and other pected. In China, about eight people will be suffering from dentification of advanced fibrosis can result in early detection of n for MAFLD patients. The FIB-4 index is positioned as the first advanced fibrosis due to its simplicity, low cost, and a predictor mortality. Type IV collagen 7S seems to be superior to the FIB-4 with T2D. Type IV collagen 7S will become the first triaging tool brosis in MAFLD patients with T2D. It remains unknown which riate as the second step in a two-step algorithm on the view of ELF test, VCTE, MRE, and other hepatic fibrosis markers are ex-symbol represents the change in various laboratory values between the first and second liver biopsy.

Conclusions
In 2030, the number of Japanese MAFLD patients with advanced fibrosis are estimated to reach one million people. In China, about eight people will be suffering from advanced fibrosis. Early identification of advanced fibrosis can result in early detection of HCC or early intervention for MAFLD patients. The FIB-4 index is positioned as the first triaging tool for excluding advanced fibrosis due to its simplicity, low cost, and a predictor of liver-related or overall mortality. Type IV collagen 7S seems to be superior to the FIB-4 index in MAFLD patients with T2D. Type IV collagen 7S will become the first triaging tool for excluding advanced fibrosis in MAFLD patients with T2D. It remains unknown which NITs are the most appropriate as the second step in a two-step algorithm on the view of cost-benefit balance. The ELF test, VCTE, MRE, and other hepatic fibrosis markers are expected.
We plan to examine two-step algorithm using FIB-4 first followed by type IV collagen 7S or M2BPGi. The FIB-4 index can predict incident CVD, CKD, and extrahepatic cancer. In clinical practice, repeated liver biopsies are difficult to perform in order to evaluate treatment efficacy. Accumulating evidence suggests that the FIB-4 index can also be used to evaluate treatment efficacy, although validation studies are required. It is concerned that primary care clinicians underestimate the prevalence of NAFLD and under-recognize the clinical spectrum of MAFLD. Interface between primary care and second care is essential for stratifying high risk of HCC/hepatic decompensation to improve survival in a large population of MAFLD. The FIB-4 index must help us to establish a referral pathway from primary care clinicians to hepatologists.