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Symmetry
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10 December 2025

A Symmetric Analysis of COVID-19 Transmission Using a Fuzzy Fractional SEIRi–UiHR Model

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1
Department of Applied Science (Mathematics), PSG College of Technology, Coimbatore 641004, India
2
Departamento de Estadística, Universidad de Salamanca, 37008 Salamanca, Spain
3
Facultad de Ingeniería, Universidad Espíritu Santo, Samborondón 0901952, Ecuador
4
Department of Mathematics, Sri Eshwar College of Engineering, Coimbatore 641202, India
This article belongs to the Section Mathematics

Abstract

In this research article, we propose a fuzzy fractional-order SEI𝑅𝑖𝑈𝑖HR model to describe the transmission dynamics of COVID-19, comprising susceptible, exposed, infected, reported, unreported, hospitalized, and recovered compartments. The uncertainty in initial conditions is represented using fuzzy numbers, and the fuzzy Laplace transform combined with the Adomian decomposition method is employed to solve nonlinear differential equations and also to derive approximate analytical series of solutions. In addition to fuzzy lower and upper bound solutions, a model is introduced to provide a representative trajectory under uncertainty. A key feature of the proposed model is its inherent symmetry in compartmental transitions and structural formulation, which show the difference in reported and unreported cases. Numerical experiments are conducted to compare fuzzy and normal (non-fuzzy) solutions, supported by 3D visualizations. The results reveal the influence of fractional-order and fuzzy parameters on epidemic progression, demonstrating the model’s capability to capture realistic variability and to provide a flexible framework for analyzing infectious disease dynamics.

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