Algal Boom Characteristics of Yeongsan River Based on Weir and Estuary Dam Operating Conditions Using EFDC-NIER Model

: A number of hydraulic structures have been installed along the Yeongsan River, including an estuary dam and two weirs (Seungchon and Juksan). While these structures aid in regional water security and use and reduce ﬂooding, they reduce water ﬂow in the summer, thereby frequently causing algal blooms. This study simulated algal bloom and water quality characteristics of sections of the Yeongsan River in South Korea under different weir and estuary dam operating conditions using the Environmental Fluid Dynamics Code—National Institute of Environment Research (EFDC-NIER) model. Results showed that when the management levels of the Juksan Weir and estuary dam were maintained, simulated water levels were EL. 3.7 m in the weir section and EL. − 1.2 m (below average water level of the Yellow Sea) in the dam section. When both the weir and dam were open, the water levels varied with the tide; in contrast, when the Juksan Weir alone was open, the water level was between EL. − 1.2 and − 0.9 m, in line with the management level of the estuary dam. Opening the weir alone reduced algal blooms by 72–84% in the weir region, and opening the estuary dam alone reduced the algal blooms by 83% in the dam region. This improvement was attributed to the reduced water retention time and dilution due to seawater inﬂows.


Introduction
Estuaries are transition areas between land and sea, and environmental changes in an estuary can have a significant influence on the adjacent ocean environment. The construction of estuary dams can be highly beneficial in terms of water security and reducing flood damage; however, these dams may also reduce water flow, thereby frequently causing algal blooms in the summer and eutrophication, which adversely affects the use of agricultural water and the aquatic ecosystem due to the effects of deterioration of water quality, low oxygen levels in the bottom layer, and algal toxins. Furthermore, it has been reported that rapid discharge of eutrophic freshwater from an estuary dam may degrade water quality and biotic integrity of an estuarine system by rapid drops in salinity and variations in phytoplankton biomass and species composition [1].
In the United States, algal abundance per unit of phosphorus has increased in proportion to water residence time in the following sequence: rivers < impoundments < natural lakes, which suggests that water residence time is a useful system-level index that has similar ecological implications for rivers, lakes, and reservoirs [2]. In Lake Frances (Oklahoma-Arkansas, USA), Soballe et al. analyzed an advective limitation to phytoplankton standing crop and suggested a simple equation to empirically predict direct advective effect on phytoplankton biomass in rapidly flushed lakes and impoundment [3]. Meanwhile, in the Des Moines River (Iowa, USA), algae decreased by 65-75% as they passed merged. Figure 1 shows the geographical location of the Yeongsan River Basin, its major tributaries, meteorological stations, and water quality and water level stations located in the main stream of the Yeongsan River. There are Gwangju 1st (capacity 600,000 m 3 /day) and 2nd (capacity 120,000 m 3 /day) sewage treatment plants that treat most of the total wastewater generated in the Yeongsan River Basin. The Yeongsan River estuary dam is a tide embankment constructed by filling in the sea approximately 6 km upstream from the coast of Mokpo City; construction began on 20 January 1978 and was completed on December 1981 as a part of a five-stage comprehensive development plan for the Yeongsan River Basin. The construction of the dam ensured the viability of vast farmlands and secured freshwater resources via the formation of the large Yeongsan Lake (253.6 × 10 6 m 3 ). The dam is 4.35 km long and 20 m high, with eight original drainage sluices (30 m long and 13.6 m high). Five additional drainage sluices (48 m long and 13.6 m high) were added in 2014 to respond to the flood level increases attributed to climate change. The normal high water level (NHWL) of the estuary dam is EL. −1.35 m, and it has been managed for the efficient supply of agricultural, industrial, and residential water and lowland flood prevention. However, the estuary dam has changed the natural ecological environment of the Yeongsan River Basin, evidenced by the ongoing eutrophication and periodic formation of low-oxygen layers in downstream reaches [1]. km 2 . The Seungchon and Juksan Weirs are located in the middle and downstream sections of the river, respectively. In the upstream area of the Seungchon weir, Pungyeongjeongcheon, Gwangjucheon, Hwangryonggang, and Pyeongdongcheon are merged in sequence. In the Juksan Weir section, Jisukcheon, Jangseongcheon, Yeongsancheon, Manbongcheon, Moonpyeongcheo, Gomakwoncheon, Hampyeongcheon, Sampocheon, and Yeongamcheon are merged. Figure 1 shows the geographical location of the Yeongsan River Basin, its major tributaries, meteorological stations, and water quality and water level stations located in the main stream of the Yeongsan River. There are Gwangju 1st (capacity 600,000 m 3 /day) and 2nd (capacity 120,000 m 3 /day) sewage treatment plants that treat most of the total wastewater generated in the Yeongsan River Basin. The Yeongsan River estuary dam is a tide embankment constructed by filling in the sea approximately 6 km upstream from the coast of Mokpo City; construction began on 20 January 1978 and was completed on December 1981 as a part of a five-stage comprehensive development plan for the Yeongsan River Basin. The construction of the dam ensured the viability of vast farmlands and secured freshwater resources via the formation of the large Yeongsan Lake (253.6 × 10 6 m 3 ). The dam is 4.35 km long and 20 m high, with eight original drainage sluices (30 m long and 13.6 m high). Five additional drainage sluices (48 m long and 13.6 m high) were added in 2014 to respond to the flood level increases attributed to climate change. The normal high water level (NHWL) of the estuary dam is EL. −1.35 m, and it has been managed for the efficient supply of agricultural, industrial, and residential water and lowland flood prevention. However, the estuary dam has changed the natural ecological environment of the Yeongsan River Basin, evidenced by the ongoing eutrophication and periodic formation of low-oxygen layers in downstream reaches [1].  In 2011, 16 weirs were constructed in the main streams of four major rivers in Korea as a part of the Four Major Rivers Restoration Project [14]. The Seungchon and Juksan Weirs were constructed in the middle and downstream sections of the Yeongsan River Basin. The weirs enabled an average water depth of 5-6 m to be maintained between the weirs based on the management levels of EL. 7.5 and 3.5 m for the Seungchon and Juksan Weirs, respectively. Although weir construction increased water storage in the weir section, it also increased water retention time due to the increased depth and delayed flow [15]. Table 1 summarizes the main specifications of the Seungchon and Juksan Weirs and the estuary dam.

EFDC-NIER Model Construction
The EFDC model was developed by the Virginia Institute of Marine Science in the United States (US) in the early 1990s, and has been maintained by Tetra Tech, Inc. with the support of the US Environmental Protection Agency. The EFDC model is a 3D hydraulic, water quality, and sediment movement numerical model applicable to lakes, rivers, coasts, and estuaries. As the model comprises modules (Hydrodynamics, Water Quality, Sediment Transport, and Toxic modules) it can simulate fluid transport and diffusion, suspended solid behavior, salinity and water temperature changes, water quality and eutrophication mechanisms, and toxic pollutant behavior [16].
The EFDC-NIER model is an improved version of the original EFDC model to simulate multifunctional weirs, multiple algal species, and vertical algal movement mechanisms. The EFDC-NIER model has been used to simulate and forecast the flow and water quality in major rivers and lakes in South Korea [11,12]. The multifunctional weir module used in this study was developed to simulate the operational conditions (discharge, level, etc.) of major hydraulic structures, such as fixed weirs, movable weirs, fishways, and small hydroelectric power plants, as shown in Figure 2. Fixed and movable weir modules can be classified into weirs and orifices depending on the upstream and downstream water level difference. For a fishway module, water discharge to the downstream through the fishway occurs when the water level is higher than the fishway overflow level. With respect to the estuary dam module, it is simulated that discharge to the sea side occurs when the inner water level of estuary dam is generally higher than the management level and the sea tide level according to the operational conditions of the estuary dam. Weir opening height and water level monitoring data from the Korea Water Resources Corporation (kwater.or.kr) (accessed on 6 January 2020) were used as weir operating data for the multifunctional weir simulation. Dam operating status and water level data from the Yeongsan River Flood Control Office (yeongsanriver.go.kr) (accessed on 6 January 2020) were used as data for the estuary dam simulation. The estuary dam drainage sluices opened only when the water level of the freshwater lake was 0.2 m higher than the outer tide level in accordance with the Yeongsan River estuary dam drainage sluice operation guidelines [13,17].
The spatial range of the EFDC-NIER model was from the Woochi water quality station in the upstream area of the Yeongsan River to Dalido at the river estuary ( Figure 1). A horizontal grid network was constructed considering river maps, embankment boundaries, river cross-section data, captured images, and multifunctional weirs. The total number of horizontal grids was 1731 (1225 for the main stream and 507 outside the estuary dam), and five water depth layers were constructed. Figure 3 shows the horizontal and vertical grid configuration of the EFDC-NIER model [12]. Grid size ranged from 62-510 m (mean of 214 m) wide (dx) and 81-560 m (mean of 271 m) in the flow direction (dy). The river bed height ranged from EL. 28.6 m for the uppermost stream to EL. −21.3 m for the estuary dam, and from EL. −30.1 to −0.2 m (mean of EL. −14.1 m) in the sea outside the estuary dam. The tide level data of Mokpo tidal station and the average water temperature and salinity data of Mokpo 3, 4, and 8 station were used for the sea-side boundary conditions for EFDC-NIER model. Gwangju meteorological station data were used for meteorological conditions, and the national water quality monitoring network data (water.nier.go.kr/Ministry of Environment) (accessed on 6 January 2020) were used for the water quality and flow rates of the inflowing tributaries. Tele-monitoring system data were used for the water quality and flow rate of the treated water from sewage and wastewater treatment plants. Weir opening height and water level monitoring data from the Korea Water Resources Corporation (kwater.or.kr) (accessed on 6 January 2020) were used as weir operating data for the multifunctional weir simulation. Dam operating status and water level data from the Yeongsan River Flood Control Office (yeongsanriver.go.kr) (accessed on 6 January 2020) were used as data for the estuary dam simulation. The estuary dam drainage sluices opened only when the water level of the freshwater lake was 0.2 m higher than the outer tide level in accordance with the Yeongsan River estuary dam drainage sluice operation guidelines [13,17].
The spatial range of the EFDC-NIER model was from the Woochi water quality station in the upstream area of the Yeongsan River to Dalido at the river estuary ( Figure 1). A horizontal grid network was constructed considering river maps, embankment boundaries, river cross-section data, captured images, and multifunctional weirs. The total number of horizontal grids was 1731 (1225 for the main stream and 507 outside the estuary dam), and five water depth layers were constructed. Figure 3 shows the horizontal and vertical grid configuration of the EFDC-NIER model [12]. Grid size ranged from 62-510 m (mean of 214 m) wide (dx) and 81-560 m (mean of 271 m) in the flow direction (dy). The river bed height ranged from EL. 28.6 m for the uppermost stream to EL.

Algal Simulation Method
Population at the class level or the total amount of carbon is generally used to quantitatively analyze temporal changes in phytoplankton (i.e., its transition process) from a macroscopic perspective. This is due to the numerous types of phytoplankton to be considered for species or genus classification. The EFDC model can simulate algae by classifying them into three classes (cyanophyceae, bacillariophyceae, and chlorophyceae); however, it cannot easily reproduce the rapid algal blooms of specific species and complex species transitions based on these broad classifications. To address this limitation, a simulation function for multiple algal species was developed by improving the EFDC model [18]. In this study, phytoplankton was simulated using the multiple algal species simulation function, and plankton was grouped according to phytoplankton functional group (PFG) as proposed by Reynolds et al. [19]. PFGs are defined as "a community of algal species with similar characteristics from morphological, physiological, and ecological perspectives," and having similar main habitats [16]. A PFG also exhibits similar tolerance and sensitivity characteristics to changes in the external environment. In this study, groups that represented over 95% of the total phytoplankton carbon mass were selected by arranging each group in the order of the relative carbon-based occupancy and the PFG codons such as M and H1 that cause harmful algal blooms should be included. Nine groups were classified ( Table 2).

Algal Simulation Method
Population at the class level or the total amount of carbon is generally used to quantitatively analyze temporal changes in phytoplankton (i.e., its transition process) from a macroscopic perspective. This is due to the numerous types of phytoplankton to be considered for species or genus classification. The EFDC model can simulate algae by classifying them into three classes (cyanophyceae, bacillariophyceae, and chlorophyceae); however, it cannot easily reproduce the rapid algal blooms of specific species and complex species transitions based on these broad classifications. To address this limitation, a simulation function for multiple algal species was developed by improving the EFDC model [18]. In this study, phytoplankton was simulated using the multiple algal species simulation function, and plankton was grouped according to phytoplankton functional group (PFG) as proposed by Reynolds et al. [19]. PFGs are defined as "a community of algal species with similar characteristics from morphological, physiological, and ecological perspectives," and having similar main habitats [16]. A PFG also exhibits similar tolerance and sensitivity characteristics to changes in the external environment. In this study, groups that represented over 95% of the total phytoplankton carbon mass were selected by arranging each group in the order of the relative carbon-based occupancy and the PFG codons such as M and H1 that cause harmful algal blooms should be included. Nine groups were classified (Table 2).
To simulate phytoplankton, it is necessary to convert the number of observed algal cells into the mass of carbon (a model parameter). The carbon mass of each group was calculated by multiplying the number of cells for each phytoplankton species by the average carbon mass per cell as follows (Equation (1)): the cellular carbon content can be determined from biovolume based on the regression equation below (Equation (2)) suggested by Menden-Deuer and Lessard [20]. The biovolumes of phytoplankton were referenced in the monitoring project [21] and National Water-Quality Assessment of USGS (http://water.usgw.gov/nawqa) (accessed on 6 January 2020).  To simulate phytoplankton, it is necessary to convert the number of observed algal cells into the mass of carbon (a model parameter). The carbon mass of each group was calculated by multiplying the number of cells for each phytoplankton species by the average carbon mass per cell as follows (Equation (1)): the cellular carbon content can be determined from biovolume based on the regression equation below (Equation (2)) suggested by Menden-Deuer and Lessard [20]. The biovolumes of phytoplankton were referenced in the monitoring project [21] and National Water-Quality Assessment of USGS (http://water.usgw.gov/nawqa) (accessed on 6 January 2020).
where algae are the phytoplankton species included in Group A.
Algae carbon mass pgC cell = a × Biovolume µm 3 b where the slope (a) and y-intercept (b) of the regression equation are 0.216 and 0.939, respectively, for phytoplankton excluding diatoms and 0.288 and 0.811, respectively, for diatoms.

Model Assessment
Shin et al. [13] have previously examined the reproducibility of water flow in the Yeongsan River main stream and the inner and outer sections of the estuary dam using the EFDC-NIER model. The authors found that water level, water temperature, flow velocity, flow rate, and salinity were well simulated at the Seungchon and Juksan Weirs, the estuary dam, and the Mokpo tidal station.
The water quality of the Seungchon Weir, Juksan Weir, and estuary dam was calibrated using data from Gwangsan, Juksan, and Muan 2 points, which are representative points of the National Water Quality Monitoring Network. Monitoring is conducted once a week. If the water depth is ≤5 m, only the surface layer is sampled, and if the water depth is >5 m, the surface layer, middle layer, and lower layer are sampled. The monitoring of phytoplankton was carried out only at the representative point of the weir, and not at the estuary.
Deviation (mean error) and normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) were used as statistical indices for assessing model accuracy. The deviation represents the average direction of prediction errors, and NRMSE is used to assess the precision of predicted values (Table 3). Table 3. Statistical indices used to evaluate model accuracy.

Statistical Index Equation Desired
Value

Operational Conditions of the Juksan Weir and Estuary Dam
When the Juksan Weir is opened, the water flows of the middle and downstream sections of the weir are directly affected by the estuary dam water level. Therefore, the effects of the operational conditions of both the Juksan Weir and estuary dam should be comprehensively assessed.
Changes in water quality were assessed according to the operating conditions of the Juksan Weir and estuary dam. Four scenarios were evaluated, as presented in Table 4.   The average water qualities from the headwater to the estuary of the Yeongsan River are shown in Table 5.   Figure 5 and Table 6 show the results of the EFDC-NIER model in comparison with observations for 2018. Variability in BOD, COD, DO, TN, chlorophyll a, and algae (number of harmful cyanobacterial cells) was well reproduced by the model at the Seungchon and Juksan Weirs and the estuary dam. The average water level deviation ranged from 0.0-0.2 m and with a deviation of ≤1 °C for water temperature, ≤1 mg/L for BOD concentration, ≤1.4 mg/L for DO concentration, and ≤1.0 mg/L for TN concentration. The chlorophyll a concentration deviation ranged from −27 to 28 mg/m 3 , and the prediction accuracy was lower than other physicochemical water quality metrics. We attribute this to the high spatiotemporal distribution of algae based on weather and environmental conditions. Cyanobacteria were not measured at the Muan 2 point (estuary dam). The average water qualities from the headwater to the estuary of the Yeongsan River are shown in Table 5.    Figure 5 and Table 6 show the results of the EFDC-NIER model in comparison with observations for 2018. Variability in BOD, COD, DO, TN, chlorophyll a, and algae (number of harmful cyanobacterial cells) was well reproduced by the model at the Seungchon and Juksan Weirs and the estuary dam. The average water level deviation ranged from 0.0-0.2 m and with a deviation of ≤1 • C for water temperature, ≤1 mg/L for BOD concentration, ≤1.4 mg/L for DO concentration, and ≤1.0 mg/L for TN concentration. The chlorophyll a concentration deviation ranged from −27 to 28 mg/m 3 , and the prediction accuracy was lower than other physicochemical water quality metrics. We attribute this to the high spatiotemporal distribution of algae based on weather and environmental conditions. Cyanobacteria were not measured at the Muan 2 point (estuary dam).     Table 7 shows the ranges of the principal water quality parameters of the EFDC-NIER model. The parameters related to algal growth were applied differently depending on the spatial zone of the model. The parameter values were adjusted within the allowable range; simulated values closest to the observed values were applied. CIa, CIb, Clc -Weighting factor for solar radiation at 0, −1, and 2 days 0.80, 0.15, 0.05 CPprm1 g C/g P Minimum algae carbon-to-phosphorus ratio 50

Model Calibration
CPprm2 g C/g P Difference between min. and max. algal C/P ratio 50 CPprm3 /mg/L Effect of dissolved phosphate conc. on algal C/P ratio 20 ANCx g N/g C Nitrogen-to-carbon ratio for algae 0.12 Tables 8 and 9 and Figures 6-8 show the simulation results of the water level and algal bloom characteristics according to the operating conditions of the Juksan Weir and estuary dam. When the Juksan Weir and estuary dam are both closed, the Juksan Weir and estuary dam sections maintain water levels of 3.7 and −1.2 m, respectively. When the weir is opened and the dam closed, the region is connected as a single water body and the entire section exhibits similar water levels. Simulations suggest that a water level between −1.2 and −0.9 m is maintained due to the influence of the management level of the estuary dam. When both the weir and dam are opened, the water level varies depending on the outer tide and maintains an average of 0.2-0.6 m. * A t-test was applied to evaluate the differences between weir and dam operational conditions. When the change was significant (95% confidence level), a reduction is indicated with "↓". Changes with no significance are indicated with "-".   Opening the Juksan Weir and estuary dam significantly decreased algal blooms due to reduced retention time and dilution due to seawater inflow. The number of cyanobacterial cells in the Juksan Weir section ranged between 3201 and 38,185 cells/mL when the Juksan Weir and estuary dam were closed; however, this number decreased by 72-84% to 889-6099 cells/mL when the Juksan Weir alone was opened. This is because the average retention time decreases from 11.2 to 1.8 days due to a reduction in water level, as shown in Table 7. Soballe et al. (1985Soballe et al. ( , 1987 reported that algal abundance per unit of phosphorus increased in proportion to water residence time in the following sequence: rivers < impoundments < natural lakes, and the residence time is a direct limitation to phytoplankton biomass [2,3].

Algal Bloom Characteristics According to the Operating Conditions of Juksan Weir and the Estuary Dam
Conversely, when both the Juksan Weir and estuary dam are opened, algal blooms in the Juksan Weir section are decreased by 0-32%, a smaller reduction than that when the Juksan Weir alone is opened. This is because the increased water level further reduces the water flow and increases the retention time under the direct influence of the outer tide level.  The simulated number of algal cells in the estuary dam section was 67,041 cells/mL when the estuary dam was closed; however, this decreased to 11,313 cells/mL (83%) when the estuary dam alone was opened due to dilution by seawater inflows. Conversely, the impact of opening both the estuary dam and the Juksan Weir (scenario 4) was insignificant. Hoyer et al. (2002) reported that the chlorophyll to phosphorus ratios and chlorophyll to biovolume ratios were significantly lower in marine system than in lakes of Florida [5].
Similar to algal blooms, the model showed that opening the Juksan Weir and estuary dam decreased the chlorophyll a concentration due to a reduced retention time caused by water level changes and seawater dilution impacts; however, the decrease was smaller than that of algal blooms. This is because diatoms, which are dominant during the winter, can grow in a relatively stable manner with low water levels or fast water flow (Codon D in Table 2).

Conclusions
In the middle and downstream sections of the Yeongsan River, water flow is reduced by the Seungchon and Juksan Weirs and an estuary dam, causing frequent algal blooms and hypoxic layers due to the increased retention time during the summer. This study investigated the impacts of operating the Juksan Weir and estuary dam, in terms of water quality and algal bloom characteristics, in the middle and downstream sections of the Yeongsan River. A water quality prediction model was constructed and validated for the mainstream and estuary dam sections using the 3D EFDC-NIER model. A multifunctional weir module was applied to reproduce water flow characteristics of the weirs and estuary dam, and a simulation module for multiple algal species was applied to reflect the occurrence, transition, and extinction characteristics of various algal species. The model was then used to compare and assess water flow and algal bloom characteristics according to the operating conditions of the Juksan Weir and estuary dam. The model validation results indicated that the model could reproduce the water flow and levels under different operating conditions well. Furthermore, the spatiotemporal changes in water quality were generally simulated with a high degree of accuracy.

Conclusions
In the middle and downstream sections of the Yeongsan River, water flow is reduced by the Seungchon and Juksan Weirs and an estuary dam, causing frequent algal blooms and hypoxic layers due to the increased retention time during the summer. This study investigated the impacts of operating the Juksan Weir and estuary dam, in terms of water quality and algal bloom characteristics, in the middle and downstream sections of the Yeongsan River. A water quality prediction model was constructed and validated for the mainstream and estuary dam sections using the 3D EFDC-NIER model. A multifunctional weir module was applied to reproduce water flow characteristics of the weirs and estuary dam, and a simulation module for multiple algal species was applied to reflect the occurrence, transition, and extinction characteristics of various algal species. The model was then used to compare and assess water flow and algal bloom characteristics according to the operating conditions of the Juksan Weir and estuary dam. The model validation results indicated that the model could reproduce the water flow and levels under different operating conditions well. Furthermore, the spatiotemporal changes in water quality were generally simulated with a high degree of accuracy.
When the Juksan Weir and estuary dam were closed (the management water level was maintained), the Juksan Weir and estuary dam sections maintained the average wa-ter levels of EL 3.7 and −1.2 m, respectively. Average cyanobacterial abundance was 3201-38,185 cells/mL for the Juksan Weir section and 67,041 cells/mL for the estuary dam during the summer, suggesting relatively high levels of algae. Scenario simulations showed that opening the Juksan Weir while keeping the estuary dam closed would reduce algal blooms by an average of 72-84% in the Juksan Weir section. This was attributed to increased water flow and reduced retention time caused by decreased water levels. Furthermore, opening the estuary dam while keeping the Juksan Weir closed would reduce algal blooms by an average of 83% due to dilution by seawater inflow. However, when both the Juksan Weir and estuary dam were open, simulations showed that the algal bloom reduction in the middle and downstream sections of the Juksan Weir was smaller than the reductions from opening the Juksan Weir alone. This was attributed to the increased water level caused by the outer tide level.
The occurrence of algal blooms was significantly decreased due to the increased water flow and dilution caused by seawater inflow when the Juksan Weir and the estuary were opened. However, there might be restrictions on the use of agricultural water due to the increase in salinity due to seawater inflows and a decrease in the groundwater level around the river due to the decrease in the river water level. According to the guidelines for the evaluation of water quality for irrigation (FAO, 1994), water with a salinity of <0.7 dS/m would have no restriction on use, while water in the range of 0.7-3.0 dS/m would have a slight to moderate restriction, and water with a salinity of >3.0 dS/m would have a severe restriction on use [22].
The EFDC-NIER model for the Yeongsan River main stream and estuary can be used to analyze water flow and water quality characteristics according to the operational conditions of the multifunctional weirs and estuary dam in the river system, and to establish and evaluate plans for improving the water quality and aquatic ecosystems of the Yeongsan River. The occurrence of algae in rivers and estuaries is affected by various factors such as changes in point/non-point pollutant sources in the watershed, weather, and the opening condition of weirs and estuary dams. Therefore, the scenario simulation results of this study provide a reference for relative comparison values according to the opening conditions.