A Large-Scale Evaluation of SWOT-Derived Water Surface Elevations: Precision Drivers and Strategies to Enhance Data Availability
Highlights
- SWOT-derived WSE shows good agreement with in situ observations across 132 Brazilian lakes: Flag = 0 reduces the 68th percentile errors to below 12 cm but retains only 22% of observations, while Flag = 1 is affected by outliers (68th percentile errors below 21 cm).
- A Random Forest analysis identifies cross-track distance and lake geometry as the dominant drivers of WSE precision across three SWOT products (vector and raster products).
- The SQRTL filter combines all Flag = 0 with cross-track constrained Flag = 1 observations, more than tripling usable data relative to Flag = 0 and achieving comparable precision (68th percentile of errors below 16 cm).
- This framework is transferable to other regions, showing potential to expand systematic lake monitoring for (un)gauged lakes.
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Materials
2.1.1. ONS In Situ Observations
2.1.2. SWOT Data for Lakes
2.1.3. Brazilian Database for Water Bodies
2.2. Methods
2.2.1. Selection of ONS and SWOT Locations for WSE Anomalies Assessment
2.2.2. Evaluating Potential Drivers of WSE Precision
2.2.3. Identifying Key Drivers of WSE Precision via Random Forests
2.2.4. Auxiliary Filtering Strategy Based on ROC Analysis
3. Results
3.1. Water Surface Elevation (WSE) from SWOT
3.2. Explanatory Variables Associated with WSE Precision from SWOT
3.3. Performance and Limitations of SWOT Quality Flags
3.4. Influence of Lake Geometry on WSE Anomalies
3.5. SWOT-Specific Drivers of WSE Precision: Cross-Track, Angle, and Layover Effects
3.6. Proposal of Filtering Based on the Key Drivers
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| ANA | Brazilian Water and Sanitation Agency |
| HEPP | Hydroelectric Power Plant |
| IQR | Interquartile Range |
| KaRIn | Ka-band Radar Interferometer |
| MDA | Mean Decrease Accuracy |
| ONS | Brazilian National Operator for the Electric System |
| PLD | Prior Lake Database |
| RF | Random Forest |
| ROC | Receiver Operating Characteristic |
| SQRTL | SWOT Quality-Range Threshold for Lakes |
| SWOT | Surface Water and Ocean Topography |
| WSE | Water Surface Elevation |
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| Variable | Description of Variable | Data Source |
|---|---|---|
| cross_track | Distance to the satellite’s cross-track [m] | LakeSP/Raster |
| wse_u | Uncertainty in the WSE measurement [m] | LakeSP/Raster |
| wse_qual | Quality Flag assigned by SWOT | LakeSP/Raster |
| SWOT Product | LakeSP, Raster_100m or Raster_250m | LakeSP/Raster |
| layovr_val | Estimate of the WSE error due to layover | LakeSP |
| wse_std | Standard deviation of WSE from lake’s pixels | LakeSP |
| dark_frac | Fraction of the lake covered by dark water | LakeSP |
| partial_f | Flag that indicates partial lake coverage | LakeSP |
| xovr_cal_c | Cross-over calibration applied to wse [m] | LakeSP |
| xovr_cal_q | Quality flag for the cross-over calibration | LakeSP |
| inc | Incidence angle of radar measurement [deg.] | Raster |
| darkwater | Fraction of water_area covered by dark water | Raster |
| water_frac | Estimated fraction of pixel covered by water | Raster |
| sig0 | Normalized radar cross section, or [dB] | Raster |
| sig0_cor_atmos_model | Atmos. correction model applied to [dB] | Raster |
| sig0_qual | Quality flag for the at water pixels | Raster |
| xover | Height correction to WSE [m] | Raster |
| Number of pixels | Number of pixels with data in 3 × 3 window | Raster |
| Area | Surface area of the lake [km2] | ANA |
| Perimeter | Perimeter of the lake outline [km] | ANA |
| Min. shore-to-shore dist. | Parameter for shape and size of lake [km] | ANA |
| Max. shore-to-shore dist. | Parameter for shape and size of lake [km] | ANA |
| Circularity index | Similarity to a circular shape | ANA |
| Compactness coefficient | Deviation from circularity | ANA |
| Threshold | Total | Flag = 0 | Flag ≤ 1 | Flag ≤ 2 | Flag ≤ 3 | SQRTL | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| n | % | n | % | n | % | n | % | n | % | n | % | |
| ≤|0.1 m| | 9212 | 46 | 2796 | 65 | 8219 | 56 | 9011 | 49 | 9212 | 46 | 7564 | 58 |
| >|0.1 m| | 10,675 | 54 | 1510 | 35 | 6547 | 44 | 9563 | 51 | 10,675 | 54 | 5506 | 42 |
| ≤|0.3 m| | 13,681 | 69 | 3837 | 89 | 11,955 | 81 | 13,311 | 72 | 13,681 | 69 | 10,821 | 83 |
| >|0.3 m| | 6206 | 31 | 469 | 11 | 2811 | 19 | 5263 | 28 | 6206 | 31 | 2249 | 17 |
| ≤|0.5 m| | 14,738 | 74 | 3983 | 92 | 12,672 | 86 | 14,301 | 77 | 14,738 | 74 | 11,437 | 88 |
| >|0.5 m| | 5149 | 26 | 323 | 8 | 2094 | 14 | 4273 | 23 | 5149 | 26 | 1633 | 12 |
| ≤|0.8 m| | 15,429 | 78 | 4041 | 94 | 13,056 | 88 | 14,941 | 80 | 15,429 | 78 | 11,767 | 90 |
| >|0.8 m| | 4458 | 22 | 265 | 6 | 1710 | 12 | 3633 | 20 | 4458 | 22 | 1303 | 10 |
| ≤|1.0 m| | 15,710 | 79 | 4071 | 95 | 13,188 | 89 | 15,198 | 82 | 15,710 | 79 | 11,884 | 91 |
| >|1.0 m| | 4177 | 21 | 235 | 5 | 1578 | 11 | 3376 | 18 | 4177 | 21 | 1186 | 9 |
| Total | 19,887 | - | 4306 | - | 14,766 | - | 18,574 | - | 19,887 | - | 13,070 | - |
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Share and Cite
Lappicy, T.; Beltrão, D.; Sales, L.O.; Almeida, T.; Pessoa, G.G.; Souza, S.; Frasson, R.P.d.M.; Cicerelli, R.E. A Large-Scale Evaluation of SWOT-Derived Water Surface Elevations: Precision Drivers and Strategies to Enhance Data Availability. Remote Sens. 2026, 18, 1609. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18101609
Lappicy T, Beltrão D, Sales LO, Almeida T, Pessoa GG, Souza S, Frasson RPdM, Cicerelli RE. A Large-Scale Evaluation of SWOT-Derived Water Surface Elevations: Precision Drivers and Strategies to Enhance Data Availability. Remote Sensing. 2026; 18(10):1609. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18101609
Chicago/Turabian StyleLappicy, Thiago, Daniel Beltrão, Luana Oliveira Sales, Tati Almeida, Guilherme Gomes Pessoa, Saulo Souza, Renato Prata de Moraes Frasson, and Rejane Ennes Cicerelli. 2026. "A Large-Scale Evaluation of SWOT-Derived Water Surface Elevations: Precision Drivers and Strategies to Enhance Data Availability" Remote Sensing 18, no. 10: 1609. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18101609
APA StyleLappicy, T., Beltrão, D., Sales, L. O., Almeida, T., Pessoa, G. G., Souza, S., Frasson, R. P. d. M., & Cicerelli, R. E. (2026). A Large-Scale Evaluation of SWOT-Derived Water Surface Elevations: Precision Drivers and Strategies to Enhance Data Availability. Remote Sensing, 18(10), 1609. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18101609

