1. Introduction
Gastric or gastroesophageal junction cancer (GC/GEJC) is the fifth most common cancer and the fourth leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide [
1]. Fluoropyrimidine plus platinum chemotherapy remains the backbone of systemic treatment for metastatic GC/GEJC. HER2-targeted therapy and anti-PD-1 antibodies combined with chemotherapy have improved first-line outcomes in selected molecular subgroups, particularly HER2-positive, PD-L1-enriched, or microsatellite instability-high tumors [
2,
3]. However, many patients have limited or short-lived benefit, and additional therapeutic targets are needed.
Claudin 18.2 (CLDN18.2), a tight-junction protein normally restricted to gastric mucosal epithelial cells, can become exposed on the tumor-cell surface during malignant transformation, making it an attractive and relatively specific therapeutic target in GC/GEJC [
4]. Upon malignant transformation, loss of cellular polarity exposes CLDN18.2 epitopes, rendering the protein accessible to antibody-based therapeutics [
5,
6]. The phase II FAST trial first showed that adding zolbetuximab to EOX chemotherapy improved PFS and OS in advanced CLDN18.2-positive G/GEJ adenocarcinoma defined as ≥2+ staining in ≥40% of tumor cells [
7]. The phase III SPOTLIGHT and GLOW trials subsequently confirmed survival benefits with zolbetuximab plus chemotherapy in HER2-negative, CLDN18.2-positive disease using the more stringent threshold of ≥2+ staining in ≥75% of tumor cells [
8,
9]. The markedly different CLDN18.2 positivity thresholds used across the pivotal trials illustrate a conceptual shift toward more stringent patient selection, although head-to-head comparisons of the clinical and biological profiles defined by each threshold are lacking. Beyond monoclonal antibodies, CLDN18.2-directed antibody-drug conjugates and CAR T-cell therapy have shown early clinical activity [
10,
11,
12]. With CLDN18.2-targeted treatment entering clinical practice, the prevalence, clinicopathological correlates, and interaction of CLDN18.2 with established biomarkers such as PD-L1, EBV, and MMR status require further clarification.
Most prior work has focused on CLDN18.2 as a therapeutic target, whereas its predictive role in immunotherapy is less defined. CLDN18.2 expression has been linked to PD-L1 and may influence the immune microenvironment, raising the possibility of an association with immunotherapy response [
13,
14]. However, the biological basis of this link remains poorly understood: it is unclear whether the lower PD-L1 levels observed in CLDN18.2-positive tumors reflect an intrinsic molecular feature of the tumor microenvironment or point to an alternative immune evasion mechanism independent of the PD-L1/PD-1 axis [
15]. In particular, whether CLDN18.2 expression predicts response to immune checkpoint inhibitor-based first-line therapy remains uncertain.
To address these questions, we retrospectively analyzed a Chinese cohort of HER2-negative GC/GEJC patients, applying the two clinically relevant CLDN18.2 positivity thresholds (≥2+ in ≥40% and ≥75% of tumor cells). Associations between CLDN18.2 expression and clinicopathological or molecular features were evaluated, along with treatment outcomes in patients receiving first-line chemoimmunotherapy.
3. Results
A total of 189 patients were included (median age, 69 years; 139/189 [73.5%] male). Tumor specimens consisted of 77 endoscopic biopsies and 112 surgical resections. Using the ≥40% threshold, CLDN18.2 positivity was observed in 92 patients (48.7%), broadly consistent with the FAST trial. Using the ≥75% threshold, 69 patients (36.5%) were CLDN18.2-positive.
At both thresholds, CLDN18.2-positive tumors had a significantly lower prevalence of PD-L1 CPS ≥ 5 than CLDN18.2-negative tumors (≥40% threshold: 8.7% vs. 23.7%,
p = 0.003; ≥75% threshold: 8.7% vs. 20.8%,
p = 0.019). No significant differences were observed by age, sex, specimen type, histological type, differentiation, stage, MMR status, EBV status, or HER2 expression category (
Table 1 and
Table 2).
Among the 189 patients, 135 had evaluable results for all four biomarkers included in the co-expression analysis: CLDN18.2 (using the ≥75% threshold), PD-L1 CPS, EBV status, and MMR status. The distribution and overlap of these biomarkers are shown in
Figure 1.
Among the 189 patients, 87 received first-line chemoimmunotherapy. None received zolbetuximab, reflecting real-world practice during the study period. Baseline characteristics by CLDN18.2 status using the ≥40% and ≥75% thresholds are shown in
Table 3 and
Table 4. Median follow-up in this subgroup was 15.3 months. Three patients lacked evaluable lesions and were excluded from ORR and PFS analyses; therefore, 84 patients were response-evaluable. ORR did not differ significantly between CLDN18.2-negative and -positive groups at either threshold (≥40%: 20/45 [44.4%] vs. 13/39 [33.3%],
p = 0.298; ≥75%: 26/61 [42.6%] vs. 7/23 [30.4%],
p = 0.308).
Survival outcomes were also comparable by CLDN18.2 status. Using the ≥40% threshold, median PFS was 8.27 months (95% CI, 6.37–10.2) in CLDN18.2-negative patients and 6.97 months (95% CI, 6.27–13.2) in CLDN18.2-positive patients (HR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.59–1.52;
p = 0.828). Median OS was 16.1 months (95% CI, 13.4–19.9) and 14.9 months (95% CI, 12.5–19.8), respectively (HR, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.63–1.60;
p = 0.997) (
Figure 2A and
Figure 3A). Using the ≥75% threshold, median PFS was 8.27 months (95% CI, 6.63–10.2) in CLDN18.2-negative patients and 6.77 months (95% CI, 5.23–15.0) in CLDN18.2-positive patients (HR, 1.15; 95% CI, 0.68–1.94;
p = 0.599). Median OS was 16.1 months (95% CI, 13.4–19.5) and 14.4 months (95% CI, 11.9–21.6), respectively (HR, 1.19; 95% CI, 0.71–2.02;
p = 0.507) (
Figure 2B and
Figure 3B).
Multivariate Cox models adjusting for sex, age, tumor location, HER2 expression category, PD-L1 CPS, EBV status, and MMR status showed that CLDN18.2 status was not independently associated with PFS or OS at either positivity threshold (
Table 5 and
Table 6).
4. Discussion
The clinical significance of CLDN18.2 in GC/GEJC remains incompletely defined because published studies differ in disease stage, sampling method, antibody clone, staining platform, and positivity threshold [
16,
17,
18,
19,
20,
21]. This heterogeneity has contributed to variation in CLDN18.2 positivity rates and inconsistent findings regarding its association with PD-L1, EBV, and MMR across studies [
22,
23]. In this single-center Chinese cohort of 189 patients with HER2-negative GC/GEJC, we applied both the FAST-derived threshold (≥2+ staining in ≥40% of tumor cells) and the SPOTLIGHT/GLOW threshold (≥2+ staining in ≥75% of tumor cells) to systematically evaluate how threshold selection affects CLDN18.2 expression distribution and its associations with clinicopathological and molecular features. The main findings were that CLDN18.2 positivity was common, was associated with lower PD-L1 CPS ≥ 5 prevalence, and was not associated with ORR, PFS, or OS among patients receiving first-line chemoimmunotherapy.
The CLDN18.2 positivity rate in our cohort was 48.7% using the ≥40% threshold, within the range reported in the FAST trial and Asian real-world series [
7,
17,
19,
24]. When the ≥75% threshold was applied, the rate decreased to 36.5%, close to the 38.4% prevalence reported across SPOTLIGHT and GLOW and within the range of other contemporary studies using similar criteria [
16,
17,
18,
20,
25]. Differences across studies are likely driven by patient ethnicity, disease stage, sampling site, antibody clone, staining platform, and scoring threshold [
25,
26,
27,
28]. These factors underscore the need for standardized CLDN18.2 testing and careful reporting of the exact assay and cutoff used.
We did not observe statistically significant associations between CLDN18.2 status and sex, age, Lauren classification, tumor location, differentiation, or stage. Although several studies have linked CLDN18.2 expression with diffuse-type histology, others using contemporary diagnostic antibodies and thresholds have reported broadly similar positivity across Lauren subtypes [
16,
18,
25,
29]. Our data therefore support testing for CLDN18.2 regardless of histological subtype, particularly as CLDN18.2-targeted therapies are considered for HER2-negative disease.
Biopsy and surgical specimens showed comparable CLDN18.2 positivity rates in our cohort. This is clinically relevant because treatment decisions in advanced GC/GEJC often rely on endoscopic biopsy material. Prior analyses using virtual biopsies and paired specimens suggest that CLDN18.2 assessment is affected by intratumoral heterogeneity, but diagnostic sensitivity improves as the number of biopsy fragments increases, with limited incremental gain beyond approximately six fragments [
16,
25]. When CLDN18.2 testing is performed on biopsy material, adequate sampling and careful pathological review remain essential.
An important finding of our study was the lower prevalence of PD-L1 CPS ≥ 5 among CLDN18.2-positive tumors at both thresholds. In SPOTLIGHT and GLOW, PD-L1 CPS ≥ 5 was reported in 13.2% and 21.9% of CLDN18.2-positive tumors, respectively, lower than the proportions reported in some first-line immunotherapy trials enrolling patients irrespective of CLDN18.2 status [
2,
3,
8,
9,
25]. However, retrospective cohorts using similar CLDN18.2 assays have not consistently confirmed an inverse association between CLDN18.2 and PD-L1 expression [
16,
18]. The lower PD-L1 positivity in our cohort may reflect biological differences, such as an immunologically less inflamed tumor microenvironment, or cohort-specific factors, including referral patterns, local PD-L1 prescreening, and missing PD-L1 data. The inverse CLDN18.2–PD-L1 association may reflect alternative immune evasion mechanisms: CLDN18.2-positive tumors appear to rely on TGF-β-driven stromal remodeling and regulatory T-cell infiltration rather than the PD-L1/PD-1 axis [
14,
15]. Single cell data have linked these tumors to galectin 3 CD44 signaling and expanded Treg populations, implying less dependence on PD L1 mediated suppression [
14]. This is consistent with a 563 case study showing negative correlation between CLDN18.2 and PD L1 expression, supporting the immune cold phenotype of CLDN18.2 positive gastric cancer [
30]. These possibilities should be tested in larger cohorts with paired immune-microenvironment profiling.
We did not identify a significant association between CLDN18.2 status and EBV or MMR status. Earlier studies suggested enrichment of CLDN18.2 expression in EBV-positive tumors, whereas more recent advanced-disease cohorts have shown similar CLDN18.2 prevalence across EBV and MMR subgroups [
17,
18,
20,
25,
29,
31]. Our findings align with recent evidence and further support that CLDN18.2 expression is not strongly associated with EBV or MMR status in advanced GC/GEJC. In our cohort, the small numbers of EBV-positive and dMMR tumors limited statistical power; therefore, absence of association should be interpreted cautiously.
Despite lower PD-L1 expression in CLDN18.2-positive tumors, first-line chemoimmunotherapy produced comparable ORR, PFS, and OS in CLDN18.2-positive and -negative patients. This finding suggests that CLDN18.2 status alone should not be used to exclude patients from immune checkpoint inhibitor-based first-line therapy. Our results are consistent with the study by Kim et al., in which outcomes with first-line nivolumab plus chemotherapy did not differ by CLDN18.2 status using the ≥75% threshold [
20], and with the broader clinical and molecular analysis by Kubota et al., which found no clear impact of CLDN18.2 on chemotherapy or anti-PD-1 outcomes [
18]. In contrast, Qi et al. reported poorer immunotherapy-related PFS and OS in CLDN18.2-positive advanced gastric cancer [
17]. Differences in treatment line, PD-1 inhibitor exposure, threshold selection (≥70% vs. ≥75%), sample size, and immune contexture may explain these divergent results. Our cohort adds China-specific real-world data in the first-line chemoimmunotherapy setting and includes both clinically relevant CLDN18.2 cutoffs.
In multivariate analyses, CLDN18.2 was not independently associated with OS or PFS. Age ≥ 65 years was associated with worse survival, whereas PD-L1 CPS ≥ 5 was associated with a lower risk of death in the model using the ≥75% CLDN18.2 threshold, with a similar trend in the ≥40% model. These findings are directionally consistent with first-line immunotherapy trials and meta-analyses showing greater benefit from PD-1 blockade in PD-L1-enriched gastric and gastroesophageal junction cancers [
2,
3,
32,
33]. The consistency of this PD-L1 effect across both threshold models adds internal validity to our findings. Because the treated subgroup was small, these covariate associations should be viewed as exploratory rather than definitive.
The optimal first-line strategy for HER2-negative, CLDN18.2-positive GC/GEJC remains undefined. Zolbetuximab plus chemotherapy has demonstrated consistent survival benefits in the FAST, SPOTLIGHT, and GLOW trials [
7,
8,
9], yet direct head-to-head comparisons with PD-1 inhibitor-based chemoimmunotherapy are lacking, and real-world evidence for zolbetuximab-containing regimens remains limited. For patients with CLDN18.2-positive and PD-L1-low tumors, a CLDN18.2-targeted approach may be a reasonable choice, given the modest benefit of immune checkpoint inhibitors in this subgroup. Nevertheless, treatment decisions must integrate multiple factors, including dMMR/MSI-H status, EBV positivity, performance status, toxicity profile, reimbursement, and planned treatment sequence [
18,
27,
28,
29,
30]. Future research should focus on developing integrated biomarker algorithms that combine CLDN18.2 expression, PD-L1 CPS, MMR/EBV status, genomic alterations, and digital-pathology or AI-derived immune features to optimize patient selection and treatment sequencing [
31].
Limitations
This study has some limitations. First, the single-center retrospective design is subject to selection and information biases that cannot be fully adjusted, which may limit the generalizability of our conclusions. Second, our eligibility criteria excluded patients over 75 years of age, which may limit the generalizability of our findings to older patients, who constitute a substantial proportion of the gastric cancer population. Third, the modest sample size of the chemoimmunotherapy subgroup (n = 87) may have limited the statistical power of our multivariable analyses, particularly for subgroup assessments involving rare events or low-prevalence biomarkers such as dMMR or EBV positivity. Given the limited event count, the eight-covariate Cox model may be overfitted, as suggested by the wide confidence intervals for certain estimates. These findings should therefore be considered exploratory and hypothesis-generating, warranting validation in larger independent cohorts.
An additional methodological concern relates to the use of archival primary tumor specimens for CLDN18.2 IHC. Preanalytical variables, including fixation duration, tissue processing, and block age, may affect IHC sensitivity and introduce variability in biomarker classification. Although all samples were processed according to standardized institutional protocols, the impact of these factors cannot be entirely excluded. Additionally, we did not evaluate biopsy-resection concordance for CLDN18.2; given its intratumoral heterogeneity, biopsy-based classification may not fully capture the overall tumor status, despite prior reports that approximately six fragments may suffice. Regarding biomarker assessment, PD-L1 expression data were incomplete for a small subset of patients, and our analysis was restricted to a single CPS cutoff (≥5). While clinically relevant, this threshold did not permit evaluation of potential dose–response relationships between PD-L1 levels and treatment outcomes. In addition, the heterogeneity in PD-1 inhibitor selection and chemotherapy backbones—while reflective of real-world practice—limited regimen-specific subgroup analyses; however, this also enhances the generalizability of our findings. Finally, the absence of a chemotherapy-alone control arm precludes a definitive assessment of whether CLDN18.2 expression predicts incremental benefit from immune checkpoint inhibitors.