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  <front>
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">agriculture</journal-id>
      <journal-title>Agriculture</journal-title>
      <abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">Agriculture</abbrev-journal-title>
      <abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="pubmed">Agriculture</abbrev-journal-title>
      <issn pub-type="epub">2077-0472</issn>
      <publisher>
        <publisher-name>MDPI</publisher-name>
      </publisher>
    </journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3390/agriculture2040282</article-id>
      <article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">agriculture-02-00282</article-id>
      <article-categories>
        <subj-group>
          <subject>Article</subject>
        </subj-group>
      </article-categories>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Modelling Nitrogen Losses from Sheep Grazing Systems with Different Spatial Distributions of Excreta</article-title>
      </title-group>
      
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Bell</surname>
            <given-names>Matthew J.</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref rid="c1-agriculture-02-00282" ref-type="corresp">*</xref>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Cullen</surname>
            <given-names>Brendan R.</given-names>
          </name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Johnson</surname>
            <given-names>Ian R.</given-names>
          </name>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Eckard</surname>
            <given-names>Richard J.</given-names>
          </name>
        </contrib>
      </contrib-group>
      <aff id="af1-agriculture-02-00282">Melbourne School of Land and Environment, University of Melbourne, Vic. 3010, Australia; Email: <email>bcullen@unimelb.edu.au</email> (B.R.C.); <email>ian@imj.com.au</email> (I.R.J.); <email>rjeckard@unimelb.edu.au</email> (R.J.E.)</aff>
      <author-notes>
        <corresp id="c1-agriculture-02-00282"><label>*</label> Author  to whom correspondence should be addressed; Email: <email>Matt.Bell@unimelb.edu.au</email>; Tel.: +61-390-353974.</corresp>
      </author-notes>
      <pub-date pub-type="epub">
        <day>25</day>
        <month>09</month>
        <year>2012</year>
      </pub-date>
      <pub-date pub-type="collection"><month>12</month>
        <year>2012</year>
      </pub-date>
      <volume>2</volume>
      <issue>4</issue>
      <fpage>282</fpage>
      <lpage>294</lpage>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received">
          <day>28</day>
          <month>06</month>
          <year>2012</year>
        </date>
        <date date-type="rev-recd">
          <day>07</day>
          <month>09</month>
          <year>2012</year>
        </date>
        <date date-type="accepted">
          <day>10</day>
          <month>09</month>
          <year>2012</year>
        </date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
        <copyright-statement>©  2012 by the authors; licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland.</copyright-statement>
        <copyright-year>2012</copyright-year>
        <license xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" license-type="open-access" xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/">
          <p>This article is an open-access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/).</p>
        </license>
      </permissions>
      <abstract>
        <p>The aim of this study was to assess the effect that the randomised <italic>versus</italic> even distribution of excreta (dung and urine) may have on modelling nitrogen (N) losses by leaching, volatilisation and denitrification from a grazing system. A range of stock densities (from 200 to 2000 sheep/ha, equivalent to an annual stocking rate of 3 to 33 dry sheep equivalent (DSE)/ha respectively) were simulated to represent an increasing application of N excreta to a grazed 1 hectare area either distributed randomly or uniformly. This study found that the proportion of annual N inputs lost by denitrification were significantly lower and leaching N losses were higher at high stocking densities compared to if excreta was distributed uniformly. The results of this study indicate that N losses from a sheep grazing system could be adequately modelled assuming uniform distribution of excreta at stocking densities up to 1200 sheep/ha (equivalent to an annual stocking rate of 20 DSE/ha). But at higher stock densities, when N loads are high, the spatial distribution of excreta is important and models need to explicitly deal with the distribution of dung and urine N returns.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group>
        <kwd>distribution</kwd>
        <kwd>excreta</kwd>
        <kwd>grazing system</kwd>
        <kwd>modelling</kwd>
        <kwd>nitrogen losses</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <sec sec-type="intro">
      <title>1. Introduction</title>
      <p>Nutrients are lost from pasture systems largely through the actions of the grazing animal. Nitrogen (N) losses from grazing systems through leaching, denitrification, volatilisation, and runoff are a potential source of ground water nitrate pollution or nitrous oxide (N<sub>2</sub>O) emissions to the atmosphere [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1-agriculture-02-00282">1</xref>]. The N inputs to the grazing system, rainfall and the soil’s pH, hydraulic conductivity, water-filled pore space and temperature to a lesser extent, have been identified as key factors affecting soil N losses [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1-agriculture-02-00282">1</xref>]. A previous study on dairy pastures at Ellinbank Research Farm in south-eastern Victoria (the site but not the soil modelled in this study) found that in grazing systems, where no synthetic fertiliser was used, the total losses of N by leaching, denitrification, volatilization were about 22% of the total N inputs [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2-agriculture-02-00282">2</xref>]. </p>
      <p>Due to the distribution of nutrients in excreta being concentrated in dung and urine patches, there is potential for the quantities of nutrients supplied to be greater than the immediate requirements of the soil-plant system in these areas. This is exacerbated by excreta being naturally clustered together and overlapping in a given area, influenced by the density of livestock [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3-agriculture-02-00282">3</xref>,<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B4-agriculture-02-00282">4</xref>]. An increase in surplus N in a grazing system typically aligns with an increase in total N losses [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2-agriculture-02-00282">2</xref>], particularly nitrate leaching [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B5-agriculture-02-00282">5</xref>].</p>
      <p>The grazing area covered by excreta depends on the amount deposited, which is influenced by the number of animals, the quantity produced per animal and its concentration. The concentration of N in dung has been found to be less variable than urine N content, whereby the N content of urine appears to increase as dietary N increases beyond animal requirements [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6-agriculture-02-00282">6</xref>]. Even though the area of an individual dung and urine patch is difficult to estimate, it is reasonable to assume in sheep that a dung and urine patch can be produced about 20 times per day with an approximate area of 0.025 m<sup>2 </sup>[<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3-agriculture-02-00282">3</xref>]. In comparison, cattle defecate about 10 times per day with an average patch area of about 0.05 and 0.2 m<sup>2 </sup>for dung and urine respectively [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B6-agriculture-02-00282">6</xref>]. The grazing area affected by excreta is not only a function of the type of livestock being carried by the pasture but also their stocking density. Nutrient returns as excreta to the paddock play a vital role in the whole-system nutrient dynamics, including plant growth, volatilisation, leaching and denitrification.</p>
      <p>EcoMod [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7-agriculture-02-00282">7</xref>] is a process-based biophysical pasture simulation model that includes pasture growth and utilisation by grazing animals, animal metabolism and growth (sheep and cattle), water and nutrient dynamics, and options for pasture management, irrigation and fertiliser application. It includes full carbon and nitrogen dynamics of the system, and their interactions. The model has been used to investigate the growth of different pasture species [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8-agriculture-02-00282">8</xref>], as well as assessing the impact of climate variability [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B9-agriculture-02-00282">9</xref>], drought [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10-agriculture-02-00282">10</xref>], business risk [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B11-agriculture-02-00282">11</xref>], and climate change [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B12-agriculture-02-00282">12</xref>,<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B13-agriculture-02-00282">13</xref>]. The spatial and temporal variability in the N balance can be modelled on a daily time-step. EcoMod has been previously used to simulate N losses at a range of sites with different climates and soil types [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B10-agriculture-02-00282">10</xref>,<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14-agriculture-02-00282">14</xref>,<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15-agriculture-02-00282">15</xref>]. Process-oriented models are important when apportioning N losses from soils under different land use [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15-agriculture-02-00282">15</xref>,<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B16-agriculture-02-00282">16</xref>]. The single heterogeneous paddock (SHP) approach within EcoMod can help model the processes within the whole farm system that have a direct or indirect relationship to the concentration of N in excreta [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14-agriculture-02-00282">14</xref>,<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15-agriculture-02-00282">15</xref>]. The SHP function within the model allows comparisons to be made between different allocation methods of excreta, which is not possible with other grazing system models. The need to study the impact of the non-uniform distribution of N excreta on not only leaching losses, but also volatilisation and denitrification losses under a managed grazing system has been identified [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14-agriculture-02-00282">14</xref>]. Therefore, this study aimed to use the same model as other studies [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14-agriculture-02-00282">14</xref>,<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17-agriculture-02-00282">17</xref>] when simulating N loss from grazing systems, but further investigate the importance of dung and urine being randomly or evenly distributed to pasture. In comparison to a previous study using this model [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B17-agriculture-02-00282">17</xref>], this study looks to determine at what level of stock the spatial distribution of excreta becomes important. </p>
      <p>The objective of this study was to (1) investigate the effect of random <italic>versus</italic> uniform distribution of excreta in a model on the predicted amount of N that is lost from a sheep grazing system by leaching, volatilisation and denitrification and (2) determine what level of stock is important to account for the spatial distribution of excreta in a model and (3) suggest developments to models that could better describe N losses from the grazing system. </p>
    </sec>
    <sec>
      <title>2 Material and Methods</title>
      <sec>
        <title>2.1. Pasture Model and Site Simulated</title>
        <p>The single heterogeneous paddock (SHP) option within the dynamic biophysical model EcoMod [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7-agriculture-02-00282">7</xref>,<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18-agriculture-02-00282">18</xref>] was used to allocate excreta (dung and urine together) to a grazed 1 ha area. For a full description of the model see [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18-agriculture-02-00282">18</xref>]. The SHP approach allows a paddock’s soil nutrients, pasture production and species composition to be simulated independently within a defined proportion of the grazed area on a daily time-step. Options are available with regard to how nutrients are returned to the pasture <italic>i.e.</italic>, to a defined area with a chance of repeat deposits or spread evenly to the whole paddock. This model incorporates daily climate data, soil properties, pasture species, livestock and management to describe the whole farm system. The climate data inputs include minimum and maximum temperature (°C), rainfall (mm), solar radiation (MJ/m<sup>2</sup>), vapour pressure (kPa) and minimum and maximum relative humidity (%). The climate data were obtained from the SILO database [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B19-agriculture-02-00282">19</xref>].</p>
        <p>Simulations were based on climate data from the years 1901 to 2000 for the Ellinbank Research Farm in south-eastern Victoria (−38.25° N, 145.93° E). Ellinbank has a temperate climate (average daily minimum and maximum temperatures of 8.6 and 18.4 °C respectively) with a relatively high mean annual rainfall of 1054 mm during the study period. The soil type was a well-drained, basalt-derived, Red Mesotrophic Haplic Ferrosol [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B20-agriculture-02-00282">20</xref>]. The pasture system was a dryland (<italic>i.e.</italic>, rainfed) perennial ryegrass (<italic>Lolium perenne L.</italic>) and white clover legume (<italic>Trifolium repens L. 1753</italic>) sward, which was grazed for a period of one day every 60 days (6 or 7 grazings per year) by 45 kg wethers, which were assumed to maintain their body weight. The model has previously been assessed to predict pasture growth rate at Ellinbank and has been found to give good agreement [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B8-agriculture-02-00282">8</xref>,<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B18-agriculture-02-00282">18</xref>]. </p>
        <p>The animal module describes the animal’s energy requirements for maintenance (defined as 0.52 × body weight<sup>^0.75</sup> MJ d<sup>−1</sup>), feeding activity and body weight change (see [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7-agriculture-02-00282">7</xref>], for details). The model assumes that the animal will try to eat enough food to meet its ME requirement, with ME intake constrained by the ME content of available feed and a constraint on the animal’s DM intake depending on its digestibility (1.8 kg/d at 80% dry matter digestibility). The sheep grazed the same paddock every 60 days to allow the pasture biomass time to recover from grazing and so that allocation of excreta was compared on the same days. Growth of each pasture species in the model is described by the plant’s photosynthesis and respiration response. In the model it was assumed that the optimum N content for photosynthesis was 4 and 4.5% for perennial ryegrass and white clover respectively.</p>
        <p>Of the N consumed by the animal, a fixed proportion of 0.15 of N intake was assumed to be retained by the animal and not defecated (as assumed by [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14-agriculture-02-00282">14</xref>]). In the model, the proportion of N excreted in dung (<italic>φ</italic><sub>F</sub>) depends on the N-energy density (<italic>ρ</italic><sub>I</sub>) of feed intake (kg N/MJ) and the proportion of N intake that is excreted (<italic>λ</italic><sub>N</sub>):
        <disp-formula id="agriculture-02-00282-i001">
	<inline-graphic xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="agriculture-02-00282-i001.tif"/>
		</disp-formula>
		where <italic>α </italic>and <italic>β</italic> were assumed to be 45 and 13% for values of <italic>φ</italic><sub>F</sub> at very low and very high <italic>λ</italic><sub>N </sub>respectively, and <italic>γ </italic>is an empirical coefficient, which was assumed to be 560 MJ/kg N. </p>
        <p>No supplementary feed was fed to the sheep, which meant that the only true N input to the system was from fixation by legumes. Thus as stocking rates increased the pasture systems would become more N deficient. It was assumed that one animal would produce 0.5 m<sup>2</sup> of excreta (20 deposits of 0.025 m<sup>2</sup> including both dung and urine) each grazing day [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3-agriculture-02-00282">3</xref>]. </p>
        <p>The model allows a minimum of 1% of the paddock to receive excreta and so a range of stocking densities from 200 to 2000 sheep/ha (increasing in 200 sheep/ha intervals) was used to allocate an increasing amount of excreta produced by the animals. Assuming that a 45 kg wether is 1 dry sheep equivalent (DSE; [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B21-agriculture-02-00282">21</xref>]), the range of stocking densities simulated would equate to a range in annual stocking rate of 3 to 33 DSE/ha. The model simulated the allocation of excreta produced by the range of stock densities to the grazed area either: randomly [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B22-agriculture-02-00282">22</xref>] over 1 to 10% of the grazed area per day representing an increase in excreta applied to the pasture by increasing the stocking density from 200 to 2000 sheep/ha (in 200 sheep/ha intervals) or uniformly spread to the whole 1 ha grazed area. The random and uniform allocation of dung with urine was applied so comparisons could be made between modelled N allocation methods—even though dung and urine would typically be excreted separately by the grazing animal. </p>
      </sec>
      <sec>
        <title>2.2. Nitrogen Predictions</title>
        <p>Grazing system simulations were run for 100 years from 1901 to 2000 to allow for full expression of the nitrogen balance and its variability. A subset of 40 years from 1961 to 2000 was used for the analysis. The average annual N inputs (kg N/ha) to the grazing system by excreta and fixation by legumes were predicted by the model. </p>
        <p>The model apportions predicted N losses (kg N/ha) from the system by volatisation, denitrification and leaching in this order. Ammonia volatisation from urine is influenced by temperature and rainfall. Temperature had a linear effect on volatilisation (0.20 × kg urine N × temperature °C/20) and rainfall greater than 5mm stopped volatilisation. Nitrification and denitrification in the model are influenced by temperature, water filled pore space (WFPS) and soil carbon status, using the same generic response functions as for other soil processes. The model includes a mechanistic treatment of the rate of nitrification as a function of available soil ammonium (NH<sub>4</sub><sup>+</sup>) and denitrification as a function of available soil nitrate (NO<sub>3</sub><sup>−</sup>). As the soil moisture increases above wilting point oxygen diffusion in the soil is hindered and thus slows the rate of nitrification, but promotes denitrification, due to increasing anaerobicity, with a consequent release of both N<sub>2</sub>O and N<sub>2</sub> [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23-agriculture-02-00282">23</xref>]. Modelled N<sub>2</sub>O losses increase exponentially after 0.6 saturation of the WFPS, and decrease after saturation at 0.8, with cessation of N<sub>2</sub>O loss at 0.95 saturation of the WFPS, with all products of denitrification being nitrogen gas (N<sub>2</sub>) thereafter [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B23-agriculture-02-00282">23</xref>,<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B24-agriculture-02-00282">24</xref>]. Nitrous oxide from nitrification was not predicted by the model, as nitrification was considered a minor source of N<sub>2</sub>O in pasture systems in terms of total N loss [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B1-agriculture-02-00282">1</xref>]. Temperature, WFPS and soil carbon status influenced the rate of denitrification, with an assumed maximum rate of denitrification of 0.25 mg N kg<sup>−1</sup> soil. Full details of the model structure are given in [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B7-agriculture-02-00282">7</xref>].</p>
      </sec>
      <sec>
        <title>2.3. Data Analysis</title>
        <p>The data were analysed using Genstat Version 12.1 [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B25-agriculture-02-00282">25</xref>]. The Mann-Whitney U-Test was used to evaluate any significant difference in total pasture intake (t DM/ha), N intake, total N inputs (excreta and legume fixation) to the system, amount of N fixed by legumes (all kg N/ha), total N losses, and proportion of N inputs lost by leaching, volatilisation and denitrification for an increasing stocking density of 200 to 2000 sheep/ha with their excreta distributed uniformly or randomly to the grazed area. Significance was attributed at a value of <italic>P &lt;</italic> 0.05.</p>
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec sec-type="results">
      <title>3. Results</title>
      <sec>
        <title>3.1. Pasture Intake</title>
        <p>There was a consistent decline in soil N content over time in all simulations (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="agriculture-02-00282-f001">Figure 1</xref>). </p>
        <fig id="agriculture-02-00282-f001" position="anchor">
          <label>Figure 1</label>
          <caption>
            <p>Simulated total soil nitrogen (N; t/ha) content at the end of a calendar year for the site of Ellinbank between the years 1961 to 2000 when excreta from 200 sheep/ha (―) and 2000 sheep/ha (- -) was distributed uniformly (■) or randomly (×) to a 1 hectare grazed area using the EcoMod model.</p>
          </caption>
          <graphic xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="agriculture-02-00282-g001.tif"/>
        </fig>
        <p><xref ref-type="fig" rid="agriculture-02-00282-f002">Figure 2</xref> shows the average annual N in soil, plant matter, fixed by legumes and retained (removed) by the grazing animal, and losses by volatilisation, denitrification and leaching for each simulated pasture system. In the simulation in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="agriculture-02-00282-f001">Figure 1</xref> and in <xref ref-type="fig" rid="agriculture-02-00282-f002">Figure 2</xref>, the grazing system with 2000 sheep/ha and a random distribution for excreta resulted in the lowest soil N content. </p>
        <fig id="agriculture-02-00282-f002" position="anchor">
          <label>Figure 2</label>
          <caption>
            <p>Average annual grazing system nitrogen (N; kg/ha) in the soil, plant matter, fixed by legumes and removed by the grazing animal, and lost by volatilisation, denitrification and leaching when excreta from 200 to 2000 sheep/ha was distributed uniformly (U) or randomly (R) to a 1 hectare grazed area using the EcoMod model for a 40 year simulation run. Note the x-axis starts at 13,000 kg N/ha.</p>
          </caption>
          <graphic xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="agriculture-02-00282-g002.tif"/>
        </fig>
        <p>When excreta was distributed uniformly to the pasture at stocking densities of 1600 to 2000 sheep/ha the average pasture intake of the sheep was significantly greater than if excreta was distributed randomly (<italic>P</italic> &lt; 0.05; <xref ref-type="table" rid="agriculture-02-00282-t001">Table 1</xref>). The concentration of N in the pasture ranged from 4.3% to 4.6% across the range of stocking densities applied. The N intake/ha of the sheep was also significantly greater at stock densities of 1200 to 2000 sheep/ha when excreta was distributed uniformly rather than randomly (<italic>P</italic> &lt; 0.05).</p>
        <table-wrap id="agriculture-02-00282-t001" position="float">
          <object-id pub-id-type="pii">agriculture-02-00282-t001_Table 1</object-id>
          <label>Table 1</label>
          <caption>
            <p>Predicted average pasture intake, nitrogen (N) intake of sheep, N fixation by legumes and with N excreted by sheep which was distributed uniformly (U) and randomly (R) to a 1 hectare grazed area with a stocking density from 200 to 2000 sheep/ha.</p>
          </caption>
          <table>
             <tbody>
              <tr>
                <td align="center" valign="middle"> </td>
                <td colspan="3" align="center" valign="middle">Pasture intake (t DM/ha)</td>
                <td colspan="3" align="center" valign="middle">N intake (kg N/ha)</td>
                <td colspan="3" align="center" valign="middle">N fixation (kg N/ha)</td>
                <td colspan="2" align="center" valign="middle">N excreta + N fixation</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td align="center" valign="middle"> </td>
                <td align="center" valign="middle" style="border-top: solid thin">U</td>
                <td align="center" valign="middle" style="border-top: solid thin">R</td>
                <td align="center" valign="middle" style="border-top: solid thin"> </td>
                <td align="center" valign="middle" style="border-top: solid thin">U</td>
                <td align="center" valign="middle" style="border-top: solid thin">R</td>
                <td align="center" valign="middle" style="border-top: solid thin"> </td>
                <td align="center" valign="middle" style="border-top: solid thin">U</td>
                <td align="center" valign="middle" style="border-top: solid thin">R</td>
                <td align="center" valign="middle" style="border-top: solid thin"> </td>
                <td align="center" valign="middle" style="border-top: solid thin">U</td>
                <td align="center" valign="middle" style="border-top: solid thin">R</td>
              </tr>
              <tr style="border-top: solid thin">
                <td align="left" valign="middle">Sheep/ha</td>
                <td colspan="2" align="center" valign="middle">Mean (s.d.)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">
                  <italic>P value</italic>
                </td>
                <td colspan="2" align="center" valign="middle">Mean (s.d.)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">
                  <italic>P value</italic>
                </td>
                <td colspan="2" align="center" valign="middle">Mean (s.d.)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">
                  <italic>P value</italic>
                </td>
                <td colspan="2" align="center" valign="middle">Mean (s.d.)</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">200</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">0.8 (0.1)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">0.9 (0.1)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle"> </td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">40 (3)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">40 (3)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle"> </td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">86 (12)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">87 (12)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle"> </td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">121 (12)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">121 (12)</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">400</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">1.7 (0.1)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">1.7 (0.1)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle"> </td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">78 (5)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">77 (5)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle"> </td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">87 (12)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">88 (12)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle"> </td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">153 (13)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">153 (13)</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">600</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">2.5 (0.2)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">2.5 (0.2)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle"> </td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">114 (8)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">112 (7)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle"> </td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">83 (11)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">91 (14)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">&lt;0.05</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">180 (12)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">186 (16)</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">800</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">3.3 (0.3)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">3.3 (0.3)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle"> </td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">149 (10)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">145 (10)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle"> </td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">87 (18)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">97 (31)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">&lt;0.05</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">214 (20)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">221 (34)</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">1000</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">4.1 (0.3)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">4.0 (0.3)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle"> </td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">181 (13)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">176 (15)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle"> </td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">90 (21)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">99 (19)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">&lt;0.01</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">244 (25)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">249 (26)</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">1200</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">4.8 (0.4)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">4.7 (0.5)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle"> </td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">210 (18)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">202 (19)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">&lt;0.05</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">87 (11)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">105 (17)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">&lt;0.001</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">265 (22)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">277 (28)</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">1400</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">5.4 (0.6)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">5.2 (0.6)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle"> </td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">235 (24)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">224 (24)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">&lt;0.05</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">89 (11)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">114 (25)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">&lt;0.001</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">289 (27)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">304 (40)</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">1600</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">5.8 (0.7)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">5.4 (0.7)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">&lt;0.01</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">252 (29)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">233 (28)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">&lt;0.01</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">90 (10)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">116 (19)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">&lt;0.001</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">305 (32)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">314 (39)</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">1800</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">6.1 (0.7)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">5.6 (0.7)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">&lt;0.01</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">264 (31)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">242 (31)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">&lt;0.001</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">94 (12)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">118 (21)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">&lt;0.001</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">319 (35)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">324 (43)</td>
              </tr>
              <tr>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">2000</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">6.4 (0.8)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">5.8 (0.7)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">&lt;0.001</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">274 (33)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">248 (31)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">&lt;0.001</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">96 (12)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">120 (22)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">&lt;0.001</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">329 (38)</td>
                <td align="left" valign="middle">330 (44)</td>
              </tr>
            </tbody>
          </table>
        </table-wrap>
      </sec>
      <sec>
        <title>3.2. Nitrogen Inputs and Losses from the Grazing System</title>
        <p>Whilst N intake was significantly greater at high stock densities when the excreta were distributed uniformly, the total N return of excreta plus N fixed by legumes to the pasture system were not significantly different between the simulated grazing systems for both methods of distributing excreta (<italic>P</italic> &gt; 0.05; <xref ref-type="table" rid="agriculture-02-00282-t001">Table 1</xref>). Even though the standard deviation in total N inputs (excreta + fixation) increased as stock density increased, the amount of N fixed by legumes meant there was no overall significant difference in these N inputs between the uniform and random distributions before accounting for N losses from the system. On its own, the amount of N fixed by legumes at &gt;600 sheep /ha was significantly more when excreta was distributed randomly rather than uniformly (<italic>P</italic> &lt; 0.05; <xref ref-type="table" rid="agriculture-02-00282-t001">Table 1</xref>). </p>
        <p><xref ref-type="fig" rid="agriculture-02-00282-f003">Figure 3</xref> shows that the average annual N leaching losses from the system ranged from 91 ± 62 to 67 ± 29 kg N/ha and 92 ± 60 to 95 ± 37 kg N/ha for low to high stocking densities and uniform and randomly distributed excreta respectively. Volatilisation N losses ranged from 3.1 ± 0.7 to 21 ± 4.7 kg N/ha and 3.1 ± 0.7 to 19 ± 4.7 kg N/ha for low to high stocking densities and uniform and randomly distributed excreta respectively. Whereas, denitrification losses were 5.4 ± 2.7 to 4.8 ± 1.2 kg N/ha and 5.1 ± 2.6 to 4.0 to 0.7 kg N/ha for low to high stocking densities and uniform and randomly distributed excreta respectively. On average, the N/ha lost by leaching remained at a similar level when excreta was distributed randomly to the grazed area but gradually reduced for the uniformly distributed excreta with increasing stock density. Volatilisation N losses increased with an increasing area of the grazing receiving excreta, and denitrification losses showed a similar pattern to leaching, however for both volatilisation and denitrification the losses were higher when excreta was distributed uniformly rather than randomly at higher stocking densities.</p>
        
      </sec>
      <sec>
        <title>3.3. Proportion of Total Nitrogen Inputs Lost from the Grazing System</title>
        <p>At the site simulated, the proportion of total N inputs (from excreta and N fixation by legumes) lost from the grazed area (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="agriculture-02-00282-f004">Figure 4</xref>) declined as the stock density and pasture intakes increased (<xref ref-type="table" rid="agriculture-02-00282-t001">Table 1</xref>). Distributing excreta uniformly over the grazed area reduced the proportion of total N inputs lost (<italic>P</italic> &lt; 0.05 to <italic>P</italic> &lt; 0.001 for 1400 to 2000 sheep/ha) and in particular N lost by leaching (<italic>P</italic> &lt; 0.01 to <italic>P</italic> &lt; 0.001 for 1400 to 2000 sheep/ha). In some years, the N in the soil would start to build up in the soil and then be lost later in higher rainfall years (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="agriculture-02-00282-f001">Figure 1</xref>). This resulted in the proportion of total N inputs in a year that were lost being more than one; hence for 200 sheep/ha the standard deviation was greater than one.</p>
        <fig id="agriculture-02-00282-f003" position="anchor">
          <label>Figure 3</label>
          <caption>
            <p>Average annual nitrogen (N; kg/ha) lost by (<bold>a</bold>) leaching (<bold>b</bold>) volatilization and (<bold>c</bold>) denitrification when excreta from 200 to 2000 sheep/ha was distributed uniformly (■) or randomly (□) to the grazed area using the EcoMod model for a 40 year simulation run. Vertical bars indicate standard deviation for the 40 year model runs.</p>
          </caption>
          <graphic xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="agriculture-02-00282-g003.tif"/>
        </fig>
        <p><xref ref-type="fig" rid="agriculture-02-00282-f004">Figure 4</xref> shows that the proportion of total N inputs lost by leaching averaged 0.75 at 200 sheep/ha to 0.21 and 0.29 at 2000 sheep/ha for uniform and random distributions of excreta respectively. In comparison, the proportion of N inputs lost by volatilisation ranged from 0.03 to 0.06 and 0.04 to 0.01 for denitrification losses across the range of stocking densities. The proportion of N inputs lost by volatilisation was not significantly different between uniformly and randomly distributed excreta across the range of stocking densities (<italic>P</italic> &gt; 0.05). Even though the proportion of N inputs lost by denitrification each year was low, it was significantly greater at higher stocking densities when excreta was distributed uniformly rather randomly to the grazed area (<italic>P</italic> &lt; 0.05 to <italic>P</italic> &lt; 0.01 for 1200 to 2000 sheep/ha). </p>
        <fig id="agriculture-02-00282-f004" position="anchor">
          <label>Figure 4</label>
          <caption>
            <p>Proportion of (<bold>a</bold>) total nitrogen (N; kg/ha) inputs that were lost and the proportion lost by (<bold>b</bold>) leaching (<bold>c</bold>) volatilisation or (<bold>d</bold>) denitrification when excreta from 200 to 2000 sheep/ha was distributed uniformly (■) or randomly (□) to a 1 hectare grazed area using the EcoMod model for a 40 year simulation run. Vertical bars indicate standard deviation for the 40 year model runs.</p>
          </caption>
          <graphic xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="agriculture-02-00282-g004.tif"/>
        </fig>
        
      </sec>
    </sec>
    <sec sec-type="discussion">
      <title>4. Discussion</title>
      <p>The decline in soil and system N over time was directly a function of new N input to the system being limited to legume N<sub>2</sub> fixation, coupled with N losses from the system over time; this was a function of the modelling assumptions. </p>
      <p>Based on the modelling approach used in this study, the distribution of excreta influenced not only leached N losses (as was also found by [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14-agriculture-02-00282">14</xref>]) but also denitrification N losses. The study by [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14-agriculture-02-00282">14</xref>], modelled the sequential allocation of urine from cattle, in contrast to dung and urine being allocated in a more characteristic random distribution from sheep in the present study. There was no significant effect on N losses by volatilisation by the method of excreta allocation in this study, as volatilisation was modelled as a fixed proportion of urine N deposited and the effect of ambient temperature and rainfall on urine N rather than soil conditions. This may require further development in a more dynamic and mechanistic process in the model. A function of the model is that it estimates volatilisation N losses, then denitrification and lastly leaching losses. The available N to be leached is therefore influenced by this order of N losses, and may have contributed to the decline in the proportion of N lost by leaching and denitrification in this study with increasing stock density. However, as volatilisation was a fixed proportion, the relative changes in leaching and denitrification over simulated treatments would still be relevant. </p>
      <p>The loss of N from a grazing system can vary considerable depending on the climate, soil, pasture species and grazing animal at a given location [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B15-agriculture-02-00282">15</xref>]. Under the conditions simulated, this study suggests that the uniform distribution of N to the whole grazed area and in an increasing amount (modelled by an increased stocking density) may promote better plant utilisation and growth, resulting in higher animal N intake and potentially less N leaching than if randomly allocated. Naturally, however, nitrogen excreted by grazing animals is distributed randomly in clusters and concentrated in small areas [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3-agriculture-02-00282">3</xref>]. The random allocation and potential overlap of N returned can lead to a higher concentration of nutrients in a given area and increased risk of leaching, which was the main source of N loss from the grazing system in this study. The amounts of N leached were higher than you would expect from a grazing system at Ellinbank, which was due to the high densities of sheep simulated and more freely draining soil type simulated, than in the study by [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2-agriculture-02-00282">2</xref>], resulting in large amounts of surplus N and nitrate leaching. </p>
      <p>Even though N losses by denitrification were relatively small (0.01 to 0.04 of total N inputs), due to a free draining soil used in the simulation, randomly distributing excreta significantly reduced denitrification losses at higher stocking densities (1200 sheep/ha or more). However, this surplus N left over can then potentially be leached from the soil if it is not taken up by the pasture. Although denitrification can be a small component of the overall N dynamics, it can be a significant source of the greenhouse gas N<sub>2</sub>O. The average amounts of N lost by denitrification across stocking densities in this study for a random excretal distribution were slightly lower at 5.1 to 4.0 kg/ha than field measurements taken at the same site over a 3 year period for a dairy grazing system [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B2-agriculture-02-00282">2</xref>], which averaged 6.7 kg/ha. This would be expected given the difference in soil types. The authors reported a similar average amount of 115 kg/ha of N fixed by legumes each year as seen in this study (<xref ref-type="table" rid="agriculture-02-00282-t001">Table 1</xref>) and amount of N lost by volatilisation (averaging 18 kg N/ha) from the dairy system that would be comparable to levels produced at high stocking densities of sheep in this study (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="agriculture-02-00282-f003">Figure 3</xref>). </p>
      <p>As discussed by [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B14-agriculture-02-00282">14</xref>], it is a weakness of pastoral simulation models to ignore that grazing ruminants return the nutrients in their excreta in patches within the grazed area rather than evenly. This study showed that assuming a homogenous distribution of excreta to the pasture would have been adequate to simulate annual N fluxes within the grazing system at lower N input levels or low stock densities (1200 or less sheep/ha or 20 DSE/ha). However, for stocking rates of 20 or more DSE/ha where N excreta returns are high, inclusion of a distribution function that describes the clustering and overlap of N inputs in the model would describe the N losses from the system better (<italic>i.e.</italic>, the SHP approach). This does add complexity to the model, but the distribution of excreta to pasture can significantly influence pasture growth and prediction of N losses from different sources within the system. A negative binomial distribution has been found to be the most suitable model to describe the distribution of excreta, as it incorporates overlap and clustering of deposits [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3-agriculture-02-00282">3</xref>,<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B26-agriculture-02-00282">26</xref>]. This approach includes a Poisson Index function that allows for a change in clustering with increased stocking density. A decrease in the Poisson Index with an increasing stocking density would allow more clustering and potential overlap of excreta than can be obtained by assuming that excreta is randomly distributed [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="B3-agriculture-02-00282">3</xref>] as in this study. </p>
    </sec>
    <sec sec-type="conclusions">
      <title>5. Conclusions</title>
      <p>This study modelled the N dynamics within a sheep grazing system using the single heterogeneous paddock (SHP) option in EcoMod that allows the simulation of dung and urine patch dynamics within a single paddock. Our analysis has considered the impact of the randomised nature of dung and urine N returns to a grazing system on leaching, volatilisation and denitrification N losses. Our analysis suggests that the impact on N losses from a grazing system by the spatial distribution of N inputs is more significant at high N input levels, which in this study was at 20 or more DSE/ha, where the N excreta returns and losses could be considered more characteristic of a dairy system. There are few models that can simulate N fluxes within a grazing system and allow different distribution methods to be simulated. Further developments of the model would allow the randomised excretal returns using approaches similar to the SHP to be used across a range of stocking densities and grazing systems.</p>
    </sec>
   </body>
  <back>
    <ack>
      <title>Acknowledgments</title>
      <p>This work was supported by funding from Dairy Australia, Meat and Livestock Australia and the Australian Government Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry under its Australia’s Farming Future Climate Change Research Program.</p>
    </ack>
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