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Sustainability 2017, 9(2), 166; doi:10.3390/su9020166

Demand Forecasting for Heavy-Duty Diesel Engines Considering Emission Regulations

Department of Information & Industrial Engineering, Yonsei University, 134 Shinchon-dong, Seoul 120-749, Korea
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Academic Editor: Francesco Asdrubali
Received: 15 December 2016 / Revised: 17 January 2017 / Accepted: 19 January 2017 / Published: 24 January 2017
View Full-Text   |   Download PDF [2475 KB, uploaded 24 January 2017]   |  


Makers of heavy-duty diesel engines (HDDEs) need to reduce their inventory of old-generation products in preparation for the demand for next-generation products that satisfy new emission regulations. In this paper, a new demand forecasting model is proposed to reflect special conditions raised by the technological generational shift owing to new emission regulation enforcement. In addition, sensitivity analyses are conducted to better accommodate uncertainty involved at the time of prediction. Our proposed model can help support manufacturers’ production and sales management for a series of products in response to new emission regulations. View Full-Text
Keywords: technology diffusion model; demand forecasting; diesel engines; emission regulations technology diffusion model; demand forecasting; diesel engines; emission regulations

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This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. (CC BY 4.0).

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Kim, Y.S.; Han, E.J.; Sohn, S.Y. Demand Forecasting for Heavy-Duty Diesel Engines Considering Emission Regulations. Sustainability 2017, 9, 166.

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