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Sustainability 2017, 9(1), 11; doi:10.3390/su9010011

Using Goal-Programming to Model the Effect of Stakeholder Determined Policy and Industry Changes on the Future Management of and Ecosystem Services Provision by Ireland’s Western Peatland Forests

UCD Forestry, School of Agriculture & Food Science, UCD, Belfield, Dublin 4, Ireland
These authors contributed equally to this work.
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Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Academic Editors: Jose G. Borges, Eva-Maria Nordström, Luiz Carlos Rodriguez and Thomas Seifert
Received: 12 July 2016 / Revised: 12 December 2016 / Accepted: 17 December 2016 / Published: 23 December 2016
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Decision Support for Forest Ecosystem Management Sustainability)
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Abstract

Recent studies have highlighted land-use conflicts between stakeholder groups in Ireland. Some of these conflicts can be attributed to European directives, designed with sustainable forest management principles in mind, but imposing incoherencies for land-owners and stakeholders at the local level. This study, using Ireland’s Western Peatland forests as a case study area, focused on the development and implementation of a goal programming model capable of analysing the long term impact of policy and industry changes at the landscape level. The model captures the essential aspects of the changes identified by local level stakeholders as influencing forest management in Ireland and determines the future impact of these changes on ecosystem services provisions. Initially, a business as usual potential future is generated. This is used as a baseline against which to compare the impact of industry and policy changes. The model output indicated that the current forest composition is only really suited to satisfy a single, financial objective for forest management. The goal programming model analysed multiple objectives simultaneously and the results indicated that the stakeholders’ desired ecosystem service provisions in the future will be more closely met by diversifying the forest estate and/or by changing to an alternative, non-forest land-use on less productive areas. View Full-Text
Keywords: Remsoft; optimisation; land-use change; forest management; scenario analysis; sustainable forest management Remsoft; optimisation; land-use change; forest management; scenario analysis; sustainable forest management
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MDPI and ACS Style

Corrigan, E.; Nieuwenhuis, M. Using Goal-Programming to Model the Effect of Stakeholder Determined Policy and Industry Changes on the Future Management of and Ecosystem Services Provision by Ireland’s Western Peatland Forests. Sustainability 2017, 9, 11.

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