Next Article in Journal
Market-Based Instruments for Ecosystem Services between Discourse and Reality: An Economic and Narrative Analysis
Next Article in Special Issue
Performance Comparison of Reservation Based and Instant Access One-Way Car Sharing Service through Discrete Event Simulation
Previous Article in Journal
A Study on Diffusion Pattern of Technology Convergence: Patent Analysis for Korea
Previous Article in Special Issue
Quantitative Decision Making Model for Carbon Reduction in Road Construction Projects Using Green Technologies
 
 
Font Type:
Arial Georgia Verdana
Font Size:
Aa Aa Aa
Line Spacing:
Column Width:
Background:
Article

Evaluation Framework for Alternative Fuel Vehicles: Sustainable Development Perspective

1
Department of Business Administration, National Central University, Taoyuan City 32001, Taiwan
2
Department of Travel and Eco-tourism, Tungnan University, New Taipei City 222, Taiwan
3
Institute of Environmental Engineering and Management, National Taipei University of Technology, Taipei 10608, Taiwan
4
Graduate Institute of Urban Planning, National Taipei University, New Taipei City 23741, Taiwan
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Sustainability 2015, 7(9), 11570-11594; https://doi.org/10.3390/su70911570
Submission received: 22 March 2015 / Revised: 27 July 2015 / Accepted: 13 August 2015 / Published: 25 August 2015
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Carbon reduction strategies and methods in transportation)

Abstract

:
Road transport accounts for 72.06% of total transport CO2, which is considered a cause of climate change. At present, the use of alternative fuels has become a pressing issue and a significant number of automakers and scholars have devoted themselves to the study and subsequent development of alternative fuel vehicles (AFVs). The evaluation of AFVs should consider not only air pollution reduction and fuel efficiency but also AFV sustainability. In general, the field of sustainable development is subdivided into three areas: economic, environmental, and social. On the basis of the sustainable development perspective, this study presents an evaluation framework for AFVs by using the DEMATEL-based analytical network process. The results reveal that the five most important criteria are price, added value, user acceptance, reduction of hazardous substances, and dematerialization. Price is the most important criterion because it can improve the popularity of AFVs and affect other criteria, including user acceptance. Additional, the energy usage criterion is expected to significantly affect the sustainable development of AFVs. These results should be seriously considered by automakers and governments in developing AFVs.

1. Introduction

World transport energy use is projected to increase at a rate of approximately 2% per year, with emerging economies accounting for the highest growth rate. Total transport energy use and carbon emissions are projected to be approximately 80% higher than current levels by 2030. In 2010, the transport sector produced 7.0 Gt CO2 emissions, accounting for 14% of world CO2 emissions [1]. The growth rate of world transport energy use ranks the highest among the end-user sectors.
Road transport currently accounts for 72.06% of total transport CO2 emissions [1], which is the leading cause of global warming. As confirmed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, CO2 emissions spur temperature change and climate change (Figure 1).
Figure 1. Temperature change and CO2 emission. Source: Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2013 [2].
Figure 1. Temperature change and CO2 emission. Source: Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2013 [2].
Sustainability 07 11570 g001
In view of curbing CO2 and greenhouse gas emissions, alternative fuel vehicles (AFVs) have become the focus of research in recent years. The urgent need to address climate change has resulted in significant progress in AFV development. To date, various types of AFVs are available in the market, including biodiesel, electric/hybrid electric, fuel cell/hydrogen, natural gas, methanol, and ethanol. Alternative fuels possess different characteristics and compositions that merit considerable attention [3]. Abundant research discussions on AFVs have been conducted with views on sustainable development focusing on sustainable mobility [4], life-cycle cost [5,6], alternative fuel and clean vehicle development [7], sustainable development of energy and transport [8,9], renewable energy strategies [10], transport project assessment [11], vehicle-to-grid systems [12], investment strategies for energy and transport infrastructures [13,14,15], and safety [16,17]. However, discussions on AFV evaluation itself are minimal.
Many automakers are currently devoted to developing and producing AFVs, such as Toyota, Ford, GM, Fiat, Tesla, and BMW. Furthermore, the concept of sustainable development has resulted in significant attention and gradual acceptance being given by the public and government bodies to AFVs. Automakers must consider sustainable development in AFV development to expand the market diffusion of AFVs. Sustainable development was introduced in a report entitled Our Common Future published by the World Commission on Environment and Development in 1987. In general, the field of sustainable development is subdivided into three elements: economic, environmental, and social [18]. Hence, this study intends to construct an evaluation hierarchy for AFVs from the perspective of sustainable development comprising economic, environmental, and social elements. Market diffusion is expanded by determining the most important criterion in developing AFVs.
Several criteria and aspects should be considered to determine the most critical criterion in developing AFVs, which is a typical multiple criteria decision-making (MCDM) problem. Sustainable development involving professional judgement should also be considered. Thus, this study applies an MCDM approach to evaluate the AFVs with experts’ choice by constructing a hierarchical framework. Some studies used the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) [19,20] and analytic network process (ANP) [21,22] to construct an evaluation hierarchy introduced by Saaty [23]. AHP assumes criteria are independent that do not meet with reality and ANP can overcome the AHP assumption of independence [24]. However, ANP has an equal weight assumption problem in each cluster, which is not irrational in the real world because there are different degrees of influence among the clusters of criteria [25]. To overcome the shortcomings of ANP, this study uses the decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory (DEMATEL) technique [26,27,28,29,30] to assess the causal relationships among the evaluation criteria. The causal relationships indicate that each dimension (criterion) has total direct and indirect influences on other dimensions (criteria). Furthermore, each dimension (criterion) can receive and give influence by or to other dimensions (criteria). DEMATEL was developed by the Science and Human Affairs Program of the Battelle Memorial Institute of Geneva between 1972 and 1976 to research and solve complex interrelated problems. This interdependence is visually depicted with a network relation map (NRM) [29]. Nowadays, DEMATEL has been successfully applied in various situations, including energy, marketing strategies, e-learning evaluation, control systems, and safety problems.
Furthermore, DEMATEL-based ANP (DANP) is utilized to identify the weights of the criteria [25]. The DEMATEL technique is employed to detect complex relationships and establish an NRM among the evaluation criteria for AFVs. The DANP approach is subsequently tapped to measure the importance degree of each criterion. Some studies also applied the fuzzy concept to ANP, which is also known as fuzzy ANP to overcome the uncertainty of human judgment that ANP was considered unable to deal with through its ratio scales [31,32,33]. However, Saaty and Tran [34,35] mentioned that the choice over the value of human judgment is already fuzzy and that using fuzzy concepts to deal with the uncertainty of human judgment is unnecessary. Therefore, this study applies DANP to determine the most critical criterion in developing AFVs by constructing an evaluation hierarchy for AFVs from the sustainable development perspective. The result can also be used as a reference by automakers or researchers to expand the market diffusion of AFVs by improving AFV development.
The remainder of this paper is organized as follows. Section 2 describes the AFV concepts, sustainable development concepts, and the relationship between AFVs and sustainable development. Section 3 presents the evaluation hierarchy established on the basis of the sustainable development concept. Section 4 provides a brief introduction of the DEMATEL and DANP approaches is presented. Section 5 discusses and compares the analysis results with the traditional additive evaluation hierarchy. Section 6 concludes.

2. Literature Review

This section reviews related literature to present the development and definition of sustainable development. Subsequently, an alternative concept is presented to identify various types of AFVs and to present their definitions. Finally, the relationship between sustainable development and AFVs is introduced.

2.1. Sustainable Development

The term sustainable development was introduced in a report titled Our Common Future by the World Commission on Environment and Development in 1987. Since then, sustainable development has been invariably defined as “development that meets the needs of the present generation without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs.” Sustainable development has been adopted as a policy principle by the United Nations, European Union, and various countries around the world; furthermore, sustainable development has likewise become an advocacy of companies, business councils, political parties, and NGOs [36].
Hacking and Guthrie [37] reported that “at an international workshop on ‘SEA and Sustainability Appraisal’ it was apparent that there is little consensus regarding the meaning of Sustainability Assessment.” The definition of sustainable development establishes clear links with many issues of concern, such as poverty, equity, environmental quality, safety, and population control. In general, the field of sustainable development is subdivided into three areas: economic, environmental, and social [18].
Numerous schemes of indicators, such as the Kyoto Protocol and Cartagena Protocol on Biological Safety, have been developed by the United Nations, the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development, the European Union, and various companies and NGOs. These schemes are also often subdivided into groups covering the economic, environmental, and social dimensions.

2.2. Alternative Concepts

The main parameter in defining AFV solutions is the fuel mode. According to collected data, AFVs are classified into four groups: conventional diesel engines, new modes of alternative fuel, electric vehicles (EVs), and hybrid electric EVs (HEVs) [38]. A dynamic worldwide effort exists to develop a means of transportation that utilizes new alternative fuels, including EVs/HEVs, fuel cell (hydrogen), natural gas [39], methanol, ethanol, biodiesel, and solar energy. Alternative fuels, as defined by the Energy Policy Act of 1992, include the following: methanol, ethanol, and other alcohols; blends of 85% or more alcohol with gasoline; natural gas and liquid fuels domestically produced from natural gas; liquefied petroleum gas (propane); coal-derived liquid fuels; hydrogen; electricity; biodiesel (B100); and P-series fuels [40]. Tzeng et al. [38] selected compressed natural gas, liquid propane gas, fuel cell for hydrogen, methanol, electricity with different types of charging, and several hybrid types of electricity to evaluate AFVs. Romm [39] referred to natural gas, hydrogen, and e-hybrid. For its part, this study in substance follows the Energy Policy Act of 1992 and the research conducted by Lin [3], thereby allowing ethanol to represent P-series fuels. Modern EVs are either HEVs or neighborhood EVs. Natural gas vehicles are saddled with problems, such as supply, distribution, and safety. These issues should be urgently improved.
Lin [3] divided AFVs into the following: electric/hybrid electric, fuel cell/hydrogen, natural gas, methanol, ethanol, and biodiesel. Furthermore, natural gas vehicles have failed to gain popularity even though they have become commercialized around the world. In this study, natural gas vehicles are not considered in the evaluation hierarchy.

2.3. Relationship between Sustainable Development and AFVs

Various studies have discussed AFVs in relation to sustainability or sustainable development [4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17]. However, merely a handful of studies have been geared toward AFV evaluation with consideration to all sustainable development elements: economic, environmental, and social. Various issues or criteria are identified in relation to sustainable development by reviewing the literature on AFV evaluation.
Research approaches were conducted in AFVs in relation to sustainability or sustainable development, such as multi-level analysis [4], cost prediction analysis [5], life-cycle modeling [6], qualitative research [7,10,11], the Energy PLAN model [9], NETPLAN [13,14], and the hybrid choice model [16]. However, those research approaches mostly used statistical data as their data resource. This study intends to construct an evaluation hierarchy from the sustainable development perspective to determine the most critical criterion in developing AFVs for expending the market diffusion of AFVs. Sustainable development involves professional judgement. The data source of determination of critical criterion and aspect is from expert choice rather than statistical data. Lin [3] applied a MCDM approach in AFVs evaluation by expert choice. Thus, this research adopts the sustainable development concept and employs the MCDM approach to evaluate AFVs. An evaluation hierarchy of sustainable development is constructed on the basis of the three major elements of sustainable development (i.e., economic, environmental, and social).

3. Construct Evaluating Structure

Evaluating criteria were formulated after extensive research into the related literature and brainstorming. Subsequently, interviews with experts were conducted to confirm the evaluating structure, and the definition of each criterion is presented in Table 1.
Table 1. Evaluating criteria.
Table 1. Evaluating criteria.
GoalDimensionCriteriaReferencesDefinition of Criteria
Sustainable Development of AFVsEconomicPrice (Ec1)[41,42]Reasonable pricing
Value-added (Ec2)[41,43,44,45,46]Additional service or benefits
Modular (Ec3)[42]Towards modular product designing let vehicles more reliability and stability, will reduce maintenance time
Maintenance and repair services (Ec4)[41,42,43]Maintenance or repair accessibility and cost
Optimization transport network (Ec5)[41,42,45]Optimum transport to reduce cost, manpower cost, power usage, and emissions
Vehicle life (Ec6)[41,42,43,44,45]Longer life cycle for reduced waste and materials used
EnvironmentEnergy usage (E1)[45,47,48]Use of less energy and material, or use of renewable/bio-materials and energy, during the vehicle lifecycle
Disassembled (E2)[42]Can be easily disassembled for recycle at the end of lifecycle
Dematerialization (E3)[41,42,44,45,47,48]Reduction of luxury item or unrecyclable material to minimize impact on the environment
Reduce hazardous substances (E4)[49]Reduction in the use of hazardous substances such as Pb, Hg, Cd, Cr6+, PBB, and PBDE during lifecycle
Reduce emission (E5)[41,44,45,47,48]Reduction of emission to air, water, and land during lifecycle
SocialUser acceptance (S1)[41,42,43]User acceptance of alternative fuel vehicle with new usage patterns
Fairness and justice (S2)[47]Based on fairness and justice for labor rights and trade in supply chain
Healthy and safety (S3)[47]Improved stockholder health and safety in full life cycle
Empowerment (S4)[47]Improved stockholders opportunities for participation, or provision of new channels for residents toward decision makers
Sustainable consumption (S5)[47]Promotion of customer sustainable consciousness to encourage more responsible consumer behavior
Improvement of quality of life (S6)[45,47]Promotion of user convenience and comfort for enhanced quality life, including reduced noise, odor, and so on
Employment opportunities (S7)[47,48]Increased employment opportunities for better job safety to enhance regional/national economy

4. Evaluating AFV Based on Sustainable Development

In this section, the DEMATEL technique is combined with a novel MCDM to evaluate AFVs. DEMATEL is employed to confirm the influence relationship and level among dimensions and criteria from expert judgment by questionnaire and DANP to measure the importance degree for obtaining the weight of each criterion. First, we compute the data from expert questionnaires to gain the total relation matrix and influence map by DEMATEL. Second, we compute the weight of the criteria from the results of the DEMATEL using DANP. A flow chart of the proposed approach is shown in Figure 2, and the definitions of notations used in DEMATEL and DANP are presented in Table 2.
Figure 2. The flow chart of DEMATEL and DANP.
Figure 2. The flow chart of DEMATEL and DANP.
Sustainability 07 11570 g002
Table 2. Definitions of notations used in DEMATEL and DANP.
Table 2. Definitions of notations used in DEMATEL and DANP.
FormulaDefinition
1 a i j is the average number of average matrix A
H is the number of experts
x i j k is the influence score that ith criterion on jth criterion of kth expert
2s is the largest number of the sum of each ith column or jth row in average matrix
3D is the normalized initial direct-relation matrix which derived from A / s
4T is the total relation matrix which derived from D(ID)−1
I is identity matrix
5ri denotes the row sum of the ith row of matrix T
6cj denotes the column sum of the jth column of matrix T
7 T c is the matrix of total importance degree of influence relation of criteria
D 1 ,   D 2 D n is the nth dimension
C n 1 ,   C n 2 C n m n is nth criterion of nth dimension
8 T c α is the normalized T c
9 d i is the sum of ith row of T c α
10 T c α 11 is the normalized submatrix of dimension 1
11W is the unweighted supermatrix
12W11 is the transpose matrix of T c 11
13 T D is the matrix of total importance degree of influence relation of dimension
14 d i is the sum of ith row of T D
15 T D α is derived by normalized T D
16W is weighted supermatrix

4.1. DEMATEL Technique

The DEMATEL technique is a comprehensive approach for building and analyzing a structural model involving causal relationships among complex criteria [50]. The technique has been successfully applied in many situations, such as marketing strategies, e-learning evaluations, and air safety [25,28,30,51].
The DEMATEL technique can be summarized in the following steps [3]:
Step 1: Find the average matrix. Suppose we have H number of stakeholders in this study and n criteria to consider. Each stakeholder is asked to indicate the degree to which he or she believes a criterion i affects criterion j. These pairwise comparisons between any two criteria are denoted by aij and are given an integer score ranging between 0 and 4, representing “No influence (0),” “Low influence (1),” “Medium influence (2),” “High influence (3),” and “Very high influence (4),” respectively. The scores by each stakeholder will give us an n × n non-negative answer matrix X k = [ x i j k ] , with 1 ≤ kH. Thus X1, X2,…, XH are the answer matrices for each of the H stakeholders, and each element of Xk is an integer denoted by x i j k The diagonal elements of each answer matrix Xk are all set to zero. We can then compute the n × n average matrix A for all stakeholder opinions by averaging the H stakeholders’ scores as follows:
a i j = 1 H k = 1 H x i j k
The average matrix A = [ a i j ] is also called the initial direct relation matrix. Matrix A shows the initial direct influences that a criterion exerts on and receives from other criteria. Furthermore, we can map out the causal influence between each pair of criteria in a system by drawing an influence map. Figure 3 below is an example of such an influence map. Here, each letter represents a criterion in the system. An arrow from c to d shows the influence that c has on d, and the strength of its influence is 4. DEMATEL can convert the structural relations among the criteria of a system into an intelligible map of the system.
Figure 3. The direct influence map.
Figure 3. The direct influence map.
Sustainability 07 11570 g003
Step 2: Calculate the normalized initial direct-relation matrix. The normalized initial direct-relation matrix D is obtained by normalizing the average matrix A in the following way:
Let
s = max ( max 1 i n j = 1 n a i j , max 1 j n i = 1 n a i j )
then
D = A s
Since the sum of each row j of matrix A represents the total direct influences that criterion i gives to the other criteria, max 1 i n j = 1 n a i j represents the total direct influences of the criterion with the most direct influences on others. Likewise, since the sum of each column i of matrix A represents the total direct influences received by criterion i, max 1 j n i = 1 n a i j represents the total direct influences received of the criterion that receives the most direct influences from others. The positive scalar s takes the lesser of the two as the upper boundary, and the matrix D is obtained by dividing each element of A by the scalar s. Note that each element dij of matrix D is between zero and 1.
Step 3: Compute the total relation matrix. A continuous decrease of the indirect influences of problems along the powers of matrix D, e.g., D1, D2,…, D, guarantees convergent solutions to the matrix inversion, similar to an absorbing Markov chain matrix, where D = [ x i j ] n × n , 0 ≤ xij < 1, 0 < j = 1 n x i j 1 and 0 < i = 1 n x i j 1 . If at least one row or column of summation is equal to 1, but not all, then lim k X k = [ 0 ] n × n and lim m ( I + D + D 2 + D 3 + + D m ) = ( I D ) 1 .
The total relation matrix T is an n × n matrix and is defined as follows:
T = [ t i j ]   i , j = 1 , 2 , ... n ,
where
T = D + D 2 + ... + D m = D ( I + D + D 2 + ... + D m - 1 ) = D [ ( I + D + D 2 + ... + D m - 1 ) ( I D ) ] ( I D ) 1 = D ( I D ) 1 ,  as  m
We also define r and c as n × 1 vectors representing the sum of rows and sum of columns of the total relation matrix T as follows:
r = [ r i ] n × 1 = ( j = 1 n t i j ) n × 1
c = [ c j ] 1 × n = ( i = 1 n t i j ) 1 × n
where the superscript ʹ denotes the transpose of a matrix.
Let ri be the sum of the ith row in matrix T. Then ri shows the total influences, both direct and indirect, given by criterion i to the other criteria. Let cj denotes the sum of the jth column in matrix T. Then cj shows the total influences, both direct and indirect, received by criterion j from the other criteria. Thus when j = i, the sum (ri + ci) gives us an index representing the total influences both given and received by criterion i. In other words, (ri + cj) shows the degree of importance (total sum of influences given and received) that criterion i plays in the system. In addition, the difference (rici) shows the net influence that criterion i contributes to the system. When (rici) is positive, criterion i is a net causer; and when (rici) is negative, criterion i is a net receiver [52].

4.2. DANP

The traditional ANP approach obtains the weighted supermatrix by normalizing the unweighted supermatrix. Each column of the unweighted supermatrix is divided by the number of clusters so that each column will sum to unity. This implies that each cluster has the same weight. However, this is not a good assumption because we already know that the effect that each cluster has on the other clusters may be different. Thus we need to find another way of normalizing the unweighted supermatrix that relaxes this assumption of equal weight among clusters. Here, we turn to the total-influence matrix T in DEMATEL and threshold value α for help.
The supermatrix assumes that each pair has the same weight in normalizing [25]. Although it is easy to normalize with such an approach, this neglects the fact that different groups should have different degrees of influence. So combining DEMATEL with ANP (DANP) solves this problem and will lead to a more practical result.
We use DEMATEL to find the levels of influence among groups, and use the total relation matrix T from DEMATEL as the basis for the influence network that forms the supermatrix in ANP. Although DEMATEL gives us the influence relationship, we still need to use ANP to confirm the influence relationship between each group and obtain the weight of each criterion.
The DANP approach can be described in the following steps [25]:
Step 1: Find the unweighted supermatrix. Normalize each level with the total importance degree of influence relation from the total relation matrix T for criteria by DEMATEL:
Sustainability 07 11570 i001
Normalize Tc with importance criteria with total degree of influence to get T c α .
Sustainability 07 11570 i002
where normalized T c α 11 is as shown in Equations (9) and (10), and other T c α n n values are obtained as above.
d i = j = 1 n t i j
T C α 11 = [ t C 11   1 1 / d 1 11 t C 1 j   1 1 / d 1 11 t C 1 n   1 1 / d 1 11 t C i 1   1 1 / d 2 11 t C i j    1 1 / d 2 11 t C i n   1 1 / d 2 11 t C n 1   1 1 / d 3 11 t C n j   1 1 / d 3 11 t C n n   1 1 / d 3 11 ] = [ t C 11 α 11 t C 1 j α 11 t C 1 n α 11 t C i 1 α 11 t C i j α 11 t C i n α 11 t C n 1 α 11 t C n j α 11 t C n n α 11 ]
Turn the total relation matrix T into a supermatrix by grouping relationships, and we get an unweighted supermatrix:
Sustainability 07 11570 i003
where W11 is based on the T c α 11 transpose:
W 11 = [ T c α 11 ] = [ t 11 α 11 t 1 j α 11 t 1 m 1 α 11 t i 1 α 11 t i j α 11 t i m 1 α 11 t n 1 α 11 t n j α 11 t n m 1 α 11 ]
Step 2: Get weighted supermatrix. Set the dimensions to those of a total relation matrix; normalize with the degree of influence of each level and dimensions:
T D = [ t D 11 t D 1 j t D 1 n t D i 1 t D i j t D i n t D n 1 t D n j t D n n ]
Normalize the dimensions in total relation matrix TD, and get T D α :
d i = j = 1 n t i j ,   i , j = 1 , 2 , ... , n
T D α = [ t D α 11 t D α 1 j t D α 1 n t D α i 1 t D α i j t D α i n t D α n 1 t D α n j t D α n n ]
Turn T D α into an unweighted supermatrix to make a weighted supermatrix:
W = [ t D α 11 × W 11 t D α 21 × W 12 t D α n 1 × W 1 n t D α 12 × W 21 t D α 22 × W 22 t D α j i × W i j t D α n i × W n i t D α 1 n × W n 1 t D α 2 n × W n 2 t D α n n × W n n ]
The two steps are to get the limit of the supermatrix. Multiplying the weighted supermatrix by itself multiple times, we obtain the limit of the supermatrix; then the weight of each evaluating criterion will be obtained. lim k = W k , W represents the limit supermatrix, while k represents any number.

5. Analysis Results of DANP for Sustainable Development

The opinions of eight experts were combined to obtain the results. These experts have significant experience in vehicle development and sustainable development and hail from related fields in industry, government, and academia. The organizations they serve are shown in Table 3. These organizations confirm that the experts are professional, and so the results can be considered reliable. The results of DANP are presented in this section. The NRM by DEMATEL is also presented. The ranking of the criteria through DANP for AFV development based on sustainable development is also identified.
Table 3. The background of experts.
Table 3. The background of experts.
ExpertOrganization
Academia
1Department of Vehicle Engineering, National Taipei University of Technology
2Department of Vehicle Engineering, National Pingtung University of Science and Technology
Industry
3CPC Corporation, Taiwan
4Toyota Taiwan co.
5CIMC consulting co.
6Daihatsu Taiwan co.
Government
7Automotive Research & Testing Center, Taiwan
8Bureau of Energy, Ministry of Economic Affairs, R. O. C.

5.1. Constructing the Network Relation Map by DEMATEL

After establishing the aforementioned evaluation criteria, the influence map can be constructed via the three steps of DEMATEL, as discussed in Section 4. First, the average matrix must be calculated by Equation (1). Second, a normalized initial direct relation matrix is calculated using Equations (2) and (3). Third, the total relation matrix is computed by using Equations (4)–(6). The total relation matrix is presented in Table 4. The influence degrees of purchasing the concern dimension and criteria are shown in Table 5. The influence map of the total relationship is illustrated in Figure 4.
Figure 4 illustrates that the criterion of energy usage is the main net causer, thus indicating that energy usage can influence other criteria the most. Sustainable consumption has the highest value of total influence, thus indicating that either automakers or researchers should pay attention to this criterion. In other words, automakers or researchers should improve energy efficiency by using renewable energy in AFV development. Moreover, the sustainable consciousness of potential AFV buyer should be promoted as the first step to encourage responsible consumer behavior because AFVs simply cannot become popular without sustainable consciousness. After the influence of the relationship and level is obtained in Table 5 by DEMATEL, we can use this relationship on DANP to calculate the weights of the criteria for developing AFVs.
Table 4. The total relation Matrix T.
Table 4. The total relation Matrix T.
CriteriaPriceValue-addedModularMaintenance and Repair ServicesOptimization Transport NetworkVehicle lifeEnergy UsageDisassem-bledDemateri-alizationReduce Hazardous SubstancesReduce EmissionUser AcceptanceFairness and JusticeHealthy and SafetyEmpowermentsustainable ConsumptionImprovement Life’s QualityEmployment Opportunities
Price0.1500.1760.1760.1150.0690.1660.1420.1150.1590.1490.1470.2290.1330.1400.0970.1850.1900.099
Value-added0.1730.0810.1250.0920.0460.0850.0760.0930.1090.1090.0960.1660.1070.1120.0770.1360.1440.097
Modular0.1820.1310.0860.0750.0590.1110.0810.1300.1260.1250.1110.1640.1020.1070.0700.1430.1620.113
Maintenance and repair services0.2160.1610.1590.0770.0680.1500.1040.0990.1200.1200.1400.2100.1280.1440.1050.1870.1830.128
Optimization transport network0.1420.0700.0690.0530.0250.0530.0810.0430.0660.0900.1120.0940.0880.0930.0510.1100.0970.078
Vehicle life0.1960.1240.1330.1210.0490.0800.0810.0870.1270.1150.1140.1880.1030.0960.0830.1560.1420.114
Energy usage0.1930.1250.1670.0970.0780.1490.0810.0880.1310.1540.1640.2090.1260.1450.0810.1880.1820.103
Disassembled0.1750.1240.1570.0980.0400.1150.1260.0670.1180.1180.0830.1680.1250.1190.0720.1580.1660.106
Dematerialization0.2020.1390.1180.0920.0410.1200.1320.1030.0890.1230.1220.1860.1300.1240.0750.1860.1600.085
Reduce Hazardous Substances0.1580.1270.1140.0800.0510.1190.0990.0920.1450.0890.1220.1960.1300.1690.0870.1880.1810.075
Reduce emission0.1580.1090.1080.0860.0380.1020.0920.0860.1040.1260.0800.1850.1110.1400.0820.1770.1710.068
User acceptance0.2410.1600.1590.1400.0710.1700.1340.1060.1630.1630.1610.1600.1490.1460.1220.2030.1870.134
Fairness and justice0.1220.1110.0980.0680.0340.0680.0940.0900.1040.1050.1030.1400.0710.1100.0980.1650.1510.117
Healthy and safety0.1830.1360.1260.0890.0560.1500.1270.1090.1420.1430.1520.2200.1280.1000.0940.2100.1930.104
Empowerment0.0940.1000.0760.0630.0360.0600.0430.0410.0510.0510.0510.1080.0830.0970.0390.1250.1110.069
sustainable consumption0.2290.1840.1830.1490.0980.1710.1570.1600.1860.1870.1850.2450.1740.1710.1310.1670.2050.146
Improving life’s quality0.2000.1640.1620.1130.0800.1310.1180.1130.1340.1350.1330.2160.1330.1710.1300.2050.1340.153
Employment opportunities0.0620.0620.0490.0510.0290.0340.0300.0290.0350.0360.0360.0860.0800.0610.0520.0730.0920.034
Figure 4. The influence map.
Figure 4. The influence map.
Sustainability 07 11570 g004

5.2. Weights of Criteria through DANP

This study obtained an unweighted supermatrix (Table 6) from the total relationship matrix of DEMATEL in Table 4. This technique was performed in accordance with the influence degree of each dimension to obtain a weighted supermatrix (Table 7) and the limited supermatrix to obtain the overall weight of each criterion (Table 8).
Upon obtaining the limited matrix, the calculating step is conducted to identify the weight and overall ranking of the criteria (Table 9).
The ranking of dimensions is determined by DANP, and the results imply that the social dimension (weight = 0.373) is the most important, followed by the economic dimension (weight = 0.320) and the environmental dimension (weight = 0.306). The three dimensions exhibit nearly equal importance, so they can be interpreted as three pillars that need to be balanced simultaneously to achieve sustainable development.
Table 5. The degrees of influence of purchasing concern criteria.
Table 5. The degrees of influence of purchasing concern criteria.
DimensionCriterionriciri + ciri − ci
Economic 0.3490.3420.6900.007
Price2.6393.0755.714−0.436
Value-added 1.9232.2844.207−0.361
Modular2.0772.2684.345−0.191
Maintenance and repair services2.4991.6584.1570.841
Optimization transport network1.4140.9672.3810.447
Vehicle life2.1102.0344.1440.076
Environmental 0.3640.3270.6910.037
Energy usage 2.4621.7984.2600.665
Disassembled 2.1351.6523.7870.484
Dematerialization 2.2262.1114.3370.115
Reduce hazardous substances2.2222.1384.3600.084
Reduce emission 2.0232.1114.134−0.089
Social 0.3550.3990.753−0.044
User acceptance 2.7703.1715.941−0.402
Fairness and justice 1.8512.1013.952−0.250
Healthy and safety 2.4612.2444.7050.216
Empowerment 1.2981.5462.844−0.247
Sustainable consumption 3.1292.9616.0900.168
Improvement life’s quality 2.6262.8515.478−0.225
Employment opportunities 0.9291.8242.753−0.895
When probing the ranking of criteria, the importance ranking is evenly distributed in each dimension. The top three criteria are ranked as follows: “price,” “user acceptance,” and “reduce hazardous substance.” Consequently, the most important consideration of users continues to be “price”. For sustainable development, increasing AFV usage is an important subject. AFV-relevant infrastructure improvement is known to increase the purchase intention of AFVs, but price is still the main factor [53,54]. Sang and Bekhet [55] believe that government intervention, such as subsidizing the purchase price, increases EV purchase intentions in Malaysia. Moreover, AFV-relevant infrastructure suppliers, such as refueling station suppliers, hesitate to set up many facilities because only a few AFVs use the refueling infrastructure and because refueling stations cannot be economized [56]. Thus, if automakers or researchers can find a way to reduce the price of AFVs under sustainable development, AFVs will become popular, thereby attracting infrastructure suppliers involved in infrastructure development. At the same time, “user acceptance” is related to the new usage patterns of AFVs. Therefore, when automakers design a new type of AFV, they should be concerned about whether the user can accept new usage patterns; otherwise, AFVs will face a difficult situation in terms of sale.
Table 6. Unweighted supermatrix.
Table 6. Unweighted supermatrix.
CriteriaPriceValue-AddedModularMaintenance and Repair ServicesOptimization Transport NetworkVehicle LifeEnergy UsageDisasse-mbledDemateriali-zationReduce Hazardous SubstancesReduce EmissionUser AcceptanceFairness and JusticeHealthy and SafetyEmpowermentSustainable ConsumptionImproving Life’s QualityEmployment Opportunities
Price0.1760.2880.2820.2610.3440.2790.2390.2460.2830.2440.2630.2560.2440.2470.2200.2260.2350.216
Value-added0.2060.1350.2040.1930.1700.1760.1540.1750.1950.1950.1820.1700.2210.1850.2330.1810.1930.217
Modular0.2070.2070.1340.1920.1680.1890.2070.2220.1660.1760.1800.1690.1960.1700.1780.1810.1910.172
Maintenance and repair services0.1350.1530.1170.0920.1280.1720.1200.1390.1290.1230.1430.1480.1350.1200.1470.1470.1330.177
Optimization transport network0.0810.0760.0910.0810.0610.0700.0960.0560.0580.0790.0630.0760.0670.0760.0840.0970.0950.100
Vehicle life0.1950.1410.1720.1800.1300.1140.1840.1630.1690.1830.1700.1810.1370.2030.1390.1680.1540.118
Energy usage0.1990.1570.1420.1780.2070.1540.1310.2460.2310.1810.1880.1850.1900.1890.1800.1800.1870.183
Disassembled0.1610.1930.2270.1700.1090.1660.1420.1300.1810.1690.1770.1460.1810.1620.1750.1820.1780.172
Dematerialization0.2240.2260.2190.2060.1690.2420.2130.2310.1570.2650.2140.2240.2100.2110.2150.2130.2120.214
Reduce Hazardous Substances0.2090.2250.2180.2060.2290.2200.2490.2300.2170.1630.2580.2240.2110.2120.2150.2140.2130.215
Reduce emission0.2060.1990.1930.2410.2860.2180.2650.1630.2140.2230.1630.2220.2070.2250.2150.2110.2110.216
User acceptance0.2140.1980.1900.1940.1540.2130.2020.1840.1970.1910.1980.1450.1640.2100.1710.1980.1890.180
Fairness and justice0.1240.1270.1190.1180.1430.1170.1220.1370.1370.1260.1190.1350.0840.1220.1320.1400.1170.169
Healthy and safety0.1300.1330.1240.1330.1520.1090.1400.1300.1310.1640.1500.1320.1290.0960.1540.1380.1500.127
Empowerment0.0900.0920.0810.0970.0840.0940.0790.0790.0800.0850.0880.1110.1150.0890.0610.1060.1130.108
sustainable consumption0.1730.1620.1670.1720.1800.1770.1810.1730.1970.1840.1890.1840.1940.2000.1970.1340.1790.152
Improving life’s quality0.1770.1710.1880.1690.1590.1610.1760.1810.1690.1760.1830.1700.1770.1840.1750.1660.1170.193
Employment opportunities0.0920.1160.1310.1180.1270.1290.1000.1160.0900.0730.0730.1220.1370.0990.1090.1180.1340.071
Table 7. Weighted supermatrix.
Table 7. Weighted supermatrix.
CriteriaPriceValue-addedModularMaintenance and Repair ServicesOptimization Transport NetworkVehicle LifeEnergy UsageDisassembledDemateri-alizationReduce Hazardous SubstancesReduce EmissionUser AcceptanceFairness and JusticeHealthy and SafetyEmpowermentSustainable ConsumptionImproving Life’s QualityEmployment Opportunities
Price0.0570.0930.0910.0840.1110.0900.0760.0780.0900.0780.0840.0820.0780.0790.0700.0720.0750.069
Value-added0.0660.0440.0660.0620.0550.0570.0490.0560.0620.0620.0580.0540.0710.0590.0750.0580.0620.069
Modular0.0670.0670.0430.0620.0540.0610.0660.0710.0530.0560.0570.0540.0630.0540.0570.0580.0610.055
Maintenance and repair services0.0430.0490.0380.0300.0410.0560.0380.0440.0410.0390.0450.0470.0430.0380.0470.0470.0420.057
Optimization transport network0.0260.0240.0290.0260.0200.0230.0310.0180.0180.0250.0200.0240.0210.0240.0270.0310.0300.032
Vehicle life0.0630.0450.0550.0580.0420.0370.0590.0520.0540.0580.0540.0580.0440.0650.0450.0540.0490.038
Energy usage0.0620.0490.0440.0560.0650.0480.0390.0740.0690.0540.0560.0570.0580.0580.0550.0550.0570.056
Disassembled0.0500.0600.0710.0530.0340.0520.0430.0390.0540.0510.0530.0450.0560.0500.0540.0560.0550.053
Dematerialization0.0700.0710.0680.0640.0530.0760.0640.0690.0470.0790.0640.0690.0640.0650.0660.0650.0650.066
Reduce Hazardous Substances0.0650.0700.0680.0640.0720.0690.0750.0690.0650.0490.0780.0690.0650.0650.0660.0660.0650.066
Reduce emission0.0640.0620.0600.0750.0890.0680.0800.0490.0640.0670.0490.0680.0640.0690.0660.0650.0650.066
User acceptance0.0780.0720.0700.0710.0560.0780.0770.0700.0750.0730.0750.0540.0610.0780.0640.0740.0710.067
Fairness and justice0.0450.0470.0430.0430.0520.0430.0470.0520.0520.0480.0450.0510.0310.0460.0490.0520.0440.063
Healthy and safety0.0480.0490.0450.0490.0550.0400.0530.0500.0500.0630.0570.0490.0480.0360.0570.0520.0560.047
Empowerment0.0330.0340.0300.0350.0310.0340.0300.0300.0300.0320.0340.0410.0430.0330.0230.0400.0420.040
sustainable consumption0.0630.0590.0610.0630.0660.0650.0690.0660.0750.0700.0720.0690.0720.0750.0740.0500.0670.057
Improving life’s quality0.0650.0630.0690.0620.0580.0590.0670.0690.0640.0670.0700.0630.0660.0690.0660.0620.0440.072
Employment opportunities0.0340.0420.0480.0430.0470.0470.0380.0440.0340.0280.0280.0460.0510.0370.0410.0440.0500.026
Table 8. Limited matrix.
Table 8. Limited matrix.
CriteriaPriceValue-AddedModularMaintenance and Repair ServicesOptimization Transport NetworkVehicle LifeEnergy UsageDisassembledDemater-ializationReduce Hazardous SubstancesReduce EmissionUser AcceptanceFairness and JusticeHealthy and SafetyEmpowermentSustainable ConsumptionImproving Life’s QualityEmployment Opportunities
Price0.080 0.080 0.080 0.080 0.080 0.080 0.080 0.080 0.080 0.080 0.080 0.080 0.080 0.080 0.080 0.080 0.080 0.080
Value-added0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060 0.060
Modular0.059 0.059 0.059 0.059 0.059 0.059 0.059 0.059 0.059 0.059 0.059 0.059 0.059 0.059 0.059 0.059 0.059 0.059
Maintenance and repair services0.044 0.044 0.044 0.044 0.044 0.044 0.044 0.044 0.044 0.044 0.044 0.044 0.044 0.044 0.044 0.044 0.044 0.044
Optimization transport network0.025 0.025 0.025 0.025 0.025 0.025 0.025 0.025 0.025 0.025 0.025 0.025 0.025 0.025 0.025 0.025 0.025 0.025
Vehicle life0.053 0.053 0.053 0.053 0.053 0.053 0.053 0.053 0.053 0.053 0.053 0.053 0.053 0.053 0.053 0.053 0.053 0.053
Energy usage0.056 0.056 0.056 0.056 0.056 0.056 0.056 0.056 0.056 0.056 0.056 0.056 0.056 0.056 0.056 0.056 0.056 0.056
Disassembled0.052 0.052 0.052 0.052 0.052 0.052 0.052 0.052 0.052 0.052 0.052 0.052 0.052 0.052 0.052 0.052 0.052 0.052
Dematerialization0.066 0.066 0.066 0.066 0.066 0.066 0.066 0.066 0.066 0.066 0.066 0.066 0.066 0.066 0.066 0.066 0.066 0.066
Reduce Hazardous Substances0.067 0.067 0.067 0.067 0.067 0.067 0.067 0.067 0.067 0.067 0.067 0.067 0.067 0.067 0.067 0.067 0.067 0.067
Reduce emission0.065 0.065 0.065 0.065 0.065 0.065 0.065 0.065 0.065 0.065 0.065 0.065 0.065 0.065 0.065 0.065 0.065 0.065
User acceptance0.071 0.071 0.071 0.071 0.071 0.071 0.071 0.071 0.071 0.071 0.071 0.071 0.071 0.071 0.071 0.071 0.071 0.071
Fairness and justice0.047 0.047 0.047 0.047 0.047 0.047 0.047 0.047 0.047 0.047 0.047 0.047 0.047 0.047 0.047 0.047 0.047 0.047
Healthy and safety0.050 0.050 0.050 0.050 0.050 0.050 0.050 0.050 0.050 0.050 0.050 0.050 0.050 0.050 0.050 0.050 0.050 0.050
Empowerment0.035 0.035 0.035 0.035 0.035 0.035 0.035 0.035 0.035 0.035 0.035 0.035 0.035 0.035 0.035 0.035 0.035 0.035
sustainable consumption0.066 0.066 0.066 0.066 0.066 0.066 0.066 0.066 0.066 0.066 0.066 0.066 0.066 0.066 0.066 0.066 0.066 0.066
Improving life’s quality0.064 0.064 0.064 0.064 0.064 0.064 0.064 0.064 0.064 0.064 0.064 0.064 0.064 0.064 0.064 0.064 0.064 0.064
Employment opportunities0.040 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.040 0.040
Table 9. Ranking of each dimension and criterion.
Table 9. Ranking of each dimension and criterion.
DimensionsCriteriaOverall
WeightRanking
Economic 0.32012
Price (Ec1)0.0798 1
Value-added (Ec2)0.0599 8
Modular (Ec3)0.0589 9
Maintenance and repair services (Ec4)0.0437 15
Optimization transport network (Ec5)0.0251 18
Vehicle life (Ec6)0.0527 11
Environmental 0.30663
Energy usage (E1)0.056210
Disassembled (E2)0.052112
Dematerialization (E3)0.06634
Reduce Hazardous Substances (E4)0.06683
Reduce emission (E5)0.06526
Social 0.37321
User acceptance (S1)0.0710 2
Fairness and justice (S2)0.0472 14
Healthy and safety (S3)0.0503 13
Empowerment (S4)0.0345 17
Sustainable consumption (S5)0.0661 5
Improving life’s quality (S6)0.0640 7
Employment opportunities (S7)0.0401 16
“Reduce hazardous substances” pertains to users’ concerns about environmental sustainability. Meanwhile, the criteria “dematerialization” and “reduced emissions,” which are both included in the environmental dimension, are ranked fourth and sixth, respectively. As mentioned earlier, focus should go beyond the dimension ranking.
The environmental dimension is at the top of the influence map (Figure 4). Thus, this dimension possesses the highest degree of influence on others and social dimension is the most important dimension in the evaluation hierarchy. This result shows a certain inconsistency with the ranking because it indicates that when evaluating AFVs, the environmental criterion has the highest degree of influence on the economic and social dimensions. In consideration of the evaluation hierarchy relationship, the social dimension has the highest importance. However, in the real evaluation of AFVs, the economic dimension continues to be most important for users.
On the basis of these findings, although the economic criterion is deemed most important by users, the result obtained by DEMATEL provides information that the economic criterion is not the most important or highest influencing factor in the evaluation hierarchy. Thus, these findings represent the major three elements of sustainable development (i.e., economic, environmental, and social) that are most considered at the same time. The concept of sustainable development has reached a consensus.

6. Conclusions

Efforts to reduce climate change have resulted in the development of AFVs. However, AFVs are not only geared toward reducing climate change but also serve as the answer to the oil crisis. AFVs are not merely a transitional trend for road transportation but are the future of road transportation. The sustainable development concept is based on environmental, economic, and social sustainability; thus, AFV development should also be based on this concept. Various studies have focused on AFVs and sustainable development; however, they merely focus on AFV development through the MCDM approach. On the basis of the three major elements of sustainable development, this study constructs an evaluation hierarchy as a reference for today’s automakers and researchers in reducing the effects of the fuel crisis and slowing down global warming. Furthermore, a novel MCDM evaluating approach called DANP is applied to determine the weight of the evaluation dimensions and criteria for the future design and planning of AFVs.
The results indicate that price is the most important criterion in the AFV industry, and we believe that reducing price is an effective way to improve the popularity of AFVs and motivate AFV-relevant infrastructure suppliers to become involved in the market. At the same time, user acceptance is related to the new usage patterns of AFVs. Therefore, when designing new types of AFVs, automakers should be concerned with whether users can accept new usage patterns; otherwise, AFVs will face a difficult situation in terms of generating sales. The criterion “reduce hazardous substances” is ranked third, thus indicating the concern of users for environmental sustainability.

Future Research

This research only focuses on constructing an evaluation hierarchy of AFVs under the perspective of sustainable development and not on a particular type of AFV. Thus, this evaluation hierarchy can be extended in the future to plan strategies and detailed applications for different types of AFVs, such as compressed natural gas vehicles, plug-in EVs, and pure EVs. Although price is the most critical criterion in AFV development, infrastructure optimization can be considered on the basis of different types of AFVs in the future research because one of the obstacles for AFV market diffusion is the lack of refueling infrastructure, which prevents potential users from buying AFVs [56].
The AFVs’ life-cycle involves maintenance, and fuel and electricity prices [6]. We consider maintenance in our evaluation hierarchy, but not fuel and electricity prices because regional fuel and electricity prices can be affected by public policy or government intervention, as in the nuclear power phase-out policy in Germany that caused it to have the highest retail electricity price in Europe [57]. Thus, this evaluation hierarchy can be extended in the future to fuel or electricity prices under different public policies or government intervention.

Author Contributions

Dong-Shang Chang, Allen H. Hu, and Gwo-Hshiung Tzeng designed the research; Sheng-Hung Chen and Chia-Wei Hsu performed the research; Dong-Shang Chang, Sheng-Hung Chen, Chia-Wei Hsu, and Gwo-Hshiung Tzeng collected and analyzed the data; Dong-Shang Chang, Sheng-Hung Chen, Chia-Wei Hsu, and Allen H. Hu wrote the paper; finally, Chia-Wei Hsu revised the paper. All authors have read and approved the final manuscript.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

References

  1. Edenhofer, O.; Pichs-Madruga, R.; Sokona, Y.; Minx, C.J.; Farahani, E.; Kadner, S.; Seyboth, K.; Adler, A.; Baum, I.; Brunner, S.; et al. (Eds.) Working Group III Contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change; Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change: Cambridge, UK; New York, NY, USA, 2014.
  2. Stocker, T.; Qin, D.; Plattner, G.K.; Tignor, M.; Allen, S.; Boschung, J.; Nauels, A.; Xia, Y.; Bex, V.; Midgley, P. (Eds.) Climate Change 2013: The Physical Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change; Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change: Cambridge, UK; New York, NY, USA, 2013.
  3. Lin, C.-W.; Chen, S.-H.; Tzeng, G.-H. Constructing a cognition map of alternative fuel vehicles using the dematel method. J. Multi-Criteria Decis. Anal. 2010, 16, 5–19. [Google Scholar]
  4. Nykvist, B.; Whitmarsh, L. A multi-level analysis of sustainable mobility transitions: Niche development in the uk and sweden. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Chang. 2008, 75, 1373–1387. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  5. Offer, G.J.; Howey, D.; Contestabile, M.; Clague, R.; Brandon, N.P. Comparative analysis of battery electric, hydrogen fuel cell and hybrid vehicles in a future sustainable road transport system. Energ. Policy 2010, 38, 24–29. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Green Version]
  6. Faria, R.; Marques, P.; Moura, P.; Freire, F.; Delgado, J.; De Almeida, A.T. Impact of the electricity mix and use profile in the life-cycle assessment of electric vehicles. Renew. Sustain. Energ. Rev. 2013, 24, 271–287. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  7. Hu, X.; Chang, S.; Li, J.; Qin, Y. Energy for sustainable road transportation in china: Challenges, initiatives and policy implications. Energy 2010, 35, 4289–4301. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  8. Omer, A.M. Energy, environment and sustainable development. Renew. Sustain. Energ. Rev. 2008, 12, 2265–2300. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  9. Lund, H. Renewable energy strategies for sustainable development. Energy 2007, 32, 912–919. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  10. Lund, H.; Clark, W.W., II. Sustainable energy and transportation systems introduction and overview. Util. Policy 2008, 16, 59–62. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  11. Joumard, R.; Nicolas, J.-P. Transport project assessment methodology within the framework of sustainable development. Ecol. Indic. 2010, 10, 136–142. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  12. Turton, H.; Moura, F. Vehicle-to-grid systems for sustainable development: An integrated energy analysis. Technol. Forecast. Soc. Chang. 2008, 75, 1091–1108. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  13. Krishnan, V.; Gonzalez-Marciaga, L.; McCalley, J. A planning model to assess hydrogen as an alternative fuel for national light-duty vehicle portfolio. Energy 2014, 73, 943–957. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  14. Wu, D.; Aliprantis, C.D. Modeling light-duty plug-in electric vehicles for national energy and transportation planning. Energ Policy 2014, 63, 419–432. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  15. McCalley, J.; Krishnan, V.; Gkritza, K.; Brown, R.; Mejia-Giraldo, D. Planning for long haul: Investment strategies for national energy and transportation infrastructures. IEEE Power Energy M 2013, 11, 24–35. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  16. Daziano, R.A. Taking account of the role of safety on vehicle choice using a new generation of discrete choice models. Safety Sci. 2012, 50, 103–112. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  17. Liu, J.; Asad, K.; Wang, X. The role of alternative fuel vehicles: Using behavioral and sensor data to model hierarchies in travel. Transport. Res. C-Emer. 2015, 55, 379–392. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  18. Heijungs, R.; Huppes, G.; Guinée, J.B. Life cycle assessment and sustainability analysis of products, materials and technologies. Toward a scientific framework for sustainability life cycle analysis. Polym. Degrad. Stab. 2010, 95, 422–428. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  19. Nikou, S.; Mezei, J. Evaluation of mobile services and substantial adoption factors with Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). Telecommun. Policy 2013, 37, 915–929. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  20. Salmeron, J.L.; Herrero, L. An AHP-based methodology to rank critical success factors of executive information systems. Comput. Stand. Interface 2005, 28, 1–12. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  21. Iskin, I.; Daim, T.; Kayakutlu, G.; Altuntas, M. Exploring renewable energy pricing with analytic network process—Comparing a developed and a developing economy. Energ. Econ. 2012, 34, 882–891. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  22. Onut, S.; Tuzkaya, U.R.; Saadet, N. Multiple criteria evaluation of current energy resources for Turkish manufacturing industry. Energ. Convers. Manag. 2008, 49, 1480–1492. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  23. Saaty, T.L. Decision Making with Dependence and Feedback: The Analytic Network Process : The Organization and Prioritization of Complexity; Rws Publications: Pittsburgh, PA, USA, 2001. [Google Scholar]
  24. Hsu, C.C.; Liou, J.J.H. An outsourcing provider decision model for airline industry. J. Air Transp. Manag. 2013, 28, 40–46. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  25. Yang, Y.-P.O.; Shieh, H.-M.; Tzeng, G.-H. A vikor technique based on dematel and anp for information security risk control assessment. Inform. Sci. 2013, 232, 482–500. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  26. Hori, S.; Shimizu, Y. Designing methods of human interface for supervisory control systems. Control. Eng. Pract. 1999, 7, 1413–1419. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  27. Chiu, Y.-J.; Chen, H.-C.; Tzeng, G.-H.; Shyu, J.Z. Marketing strategy based on customer behaviour for the lcd-tv. Int. J. Manag. Decis. Mak. 2006, 7, 143–165. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  28. Liou, J.J.H.; Tzeng, G.-H.; Chang, H.-C. Airline safety measurement using a hybrid model. J. Air Transp. Manag. 2007, 13, 243–249. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  29. Huang, C.-Y.; Shyu, J.Z.; Tzeng, G.-H. Reconfiguring the innovation policy portfolios for Taiwan’s sip mall industry. Technovation 2007, 27, 744–765. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  30. Hsu, C.-Y.; Chen, K.-T.; Tzeng, G.-H. Fmcdm with fuzzy dematel approach for customers’ choice behavior model. Int. J. Fuzzy. Syst. 2007, 9, 236–246. [Google Scholar]
  31. Promentilla, M.A.B.; Furuichi, T.; Ishii, K.; Tanikawa, N. A fuzzy analytic network process for multi-criteria evaluation of contaminated site remedial countermeasures. J. Environ. Manag. 2008, 88, 479–495. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
  32. Guneri, A.F.; Cengiz, M.; Seker, S. A fuzzy ANP approach to shipyard location selection. Expert Syst. Appl. 2009, 36, 7992–7999. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  33. Dargi, A.; Anjomshoae, A.; Galankashi, M.R.; Memari, A.; Tap, M.B.M. Supplier Selection: A Fuzzy-ANP Approach. Procedia Comput. Sci. 2014, 31, 691–700. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  34. Saaty, T.L.; Tran, L.T. On the invalidity of fuzzifying numerical judgments in the Analytic Hierarchy Process. Math. Comput. Model. 2007, 46, 962–975. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  35. Saaty, T.L.; Liem, T.T. Fuzzy judgments and fuzzy set. Int. J. Strat. Decis. Sci. 2010, 1, 23–40. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  36. Baker, S. Sustainable development as symbolic commitment: Declaratory politics and the seductive appeal of ecological modernisation in the european union. Environ. Polit. 2007, 16, 297–317. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  37. Hacking, T.; Guthrie, P. Sustainable development objectives in impact assessment: Why are they needed and where do they come from? J. Environ. Assess. Policy Manag. 2006, 08, 341–371. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  38. Tzeng, G.-H.; Lin, C.-W.; Opricovic, S. Multi-criteria analysis of alternative-fuel buses for public transportation. Energ. Policy 2005, 33, 1373–1383. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  39. Romm, J. The car and fuel of the future. Energ. Policy 2006, 34, 2609–2614. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  40. Epact: Alternative Fuels for Energy Security Cleaner Air. Available online: http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy01osti/30147.pdf (assesed on 17 August 2015).
  41. Besch, K. Product-service systems for office furniture: Barriers and opportunities on the european market. J. Clean. Prod. 2005, 13, 1083–1094. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  42. Mont, O.; Dalhammar, C.; Jacobsson, N. A new business model for baby prams based on leasing and product remanufacturing. J. Clean. Prod. 2006, 14, 1509–1518. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  43. Bartolomeo, M.; dal Maso, D.; de Jong, P.; Eder, P.; Groenewegen, P.; Hopkinson, P.; James, P.; Nijhuis, L.; Örninge, M.; Scholl, G.; et al. Eco-efficient producer services—What are they, how do they benefit customers and the environment and how likely are they to develop and be extensively utilised? J. Clean. Prod. 2003, 11, 829–837. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  44. Mont, O.K. Clarifying the concept of product-service system. J. Clean. Prod. 2002, 10, 237–245. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  45. Manzini, E.; Vezzoli, C. A strategic design approach to develop sustainable product service systems: Examples taken from the “environmentally friendly innovation” italian prize. J. Clean. Prod. 2003, 11, 851–857. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  46. Tukker, A. Eight types of product-service system: Eight ways to sustainability? Experiences from suspronet. Bus. Strateg. Environ. 2004, 13, 246–260. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  47. Halme, M.; Anttonen, M.; Hrauda, G.; Kortman, J. Sustainability evaluation of european household services. J. Clean. Prod. 2006, 14, 1529–1540. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  48. Maxwell, D.; Sheate, W.; van der Vorst, R. Functional and systems aspects of the sustainable product and service development approach for industry. J. Clean. Prod. 2006, 14, 1466–1479. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  49. European Commission. On the Restriction of the Use of Certain Hazardous Substances in Electrical and Electronic Equipment, Directive 2011/65/eu of the european parliament and of the council. 2011. Available online: http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=CELEX:32011L0065&from=EN (accessed on 19 August 2015).
  50. Wu, W.-W.; Lee, Y.-T. Developing global managers’ competencies using the fuzzy dematel method. Expert Syst. Appl. 2007, 32, 499–507. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  51. Liou, J.J.H.; Yen, L.; Tzeng, G.-H. Building an effective safety management system for airlines. J. Air Transp. Manag. 2008, 14, 20–26. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  52. Tzeng, G.-H.; Chiang, C.-H.; Li, C.-W. Evaluating intertwined effects in e-learning programs: A novel hybrid mcdm model based on factor analysis and dematel. Expert Syst. Appl. 2007, 32, 1028–1044. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  53. Hansla, A.; Gamble, A.; Juliusson, A.; Garling, T. The relationships between awareness of consequences, environmental concern, and value orientations. J. Env. Psychol. 2008, 28, 1–9. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  54. Wang, Y.; Liu, H.; Wang, H.; Ouyang, M. Market demand survey for the micro battery electric vehicle in China. In Proceedings of the EET-2007 European Ele-Drive Conference, Brussels, Belgium, 30 May–2 June 2007.
  55. Sang, Y.N.; Bekhet, H.A. Modelling electric vehicle usage intentions: An empirical study in Malaysia. J. Clean Prod. 2015, 92, 75–83. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  56. Gnann, T.; Plotz, P. A review of combined models for market diffusion of alternative fuel vehicles and their refueling infrastructure. Renew. Sustain. Energ. Rev. 2015, 47, 783–793. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
  57. World Nuclear Association. Nuclear Power in Germany. Available online: http://www.world-nuclear.org/info/Country-Profiles/Countries-G-N/Germany/ (accessed on 20 July 2015).

Share and Cite

MDPI and ACS Style

Chang, D.-S.; Chen, S.-H.; Hsu, C.-W.; Hu, A.H.; Tzeng, G.-H. Evaluation Framework for Alternative Fuel Vehicles: Sustainable Development Perspective. Sustainability 2015, 7, 11570-11594. https://doi.org/10.3390/su70911570

AMA Style

Chang D-S, Chen S-H, Hsu C-W, Hu AH, Tzeng G-H. Evaluation Framework for Alternative Fuel Vehicles: Sustainable Development Perspective. Sustainability. 2015; 7(9):11570-11594. https://doi.org/10.3390/su70911570

Chicago/Turabian Style

Chang, Dong-Shang, Sheng-Hung Chen, Chia-Wei Hsu, Allen H. Hu, and Gwo-Hshiung Tzeng. 2015. "Evaluation Framework for Alternative Fuel Vehicles: Sustainable Development Perspective" Sustainability 7, no. 9: 11570-11594. https://doi.org/10.3390/su70911570

Article Metrics

Back to TopTop